A Balanced Approach for LLOs using Group Dynamics for COIN Efficacy by C.L. Phillips, Ph.D., N.D. Geddes, Ph.D., and S. Kanareykin

1. A Balanced Approach for LLOs using Group Dynamics for COIN Efficacy © 2008, Proprietary Information of http://www.asinc.com Applied Systems Intelligence, Inc., All Rights Reserved Colleen L. Phillips, Ph.D. – ASI, Inc. Norman D. Geddes, Ph.D. – ASI, Inc. Sergey Kanareykin – Center for Advanced Defense Studies

13. Group Dynamics Computational Cognitive Model © 2008, Proprietary Information of http://www.asinc.com Applied Systems Intelligence, Inc., All Rights Reserved Cultural Beliefs, Desires, and intentions for all Groups in the OA Brigade COA Configurations Reducing 2nd Order Effects DIMEFIL Effects Simulation by PreAct® Holistic Projections Of the Perceived State Of the PMESII and The group’s life cycle Blue Analyst Team Disparate Sources of Knowledge Continuously updated

15. PreAct Libraries Copyright © 2003, nc. © 2008, Confidential and Proprietary Information of http://www.asinc.com Applied Systems Intelligence, Inc., All Rights Reserved

16. Capabilities Summary The Commander’s Associate is an Excellent Use of PreAct ® © 2008, Proprietary Information of http://www.asinc.com Applied Systems Intelligence, Inc., All Rights Reserved PreAct ® PreAct ® intelligent systems competencies used by the Commander’s Associate: Situated Script Library Plan Goal Graph Library Concept Graph Library Activity Performer Intent Interpreter Planner Situation Assessor Error Manager Information Manager (Core Libraries)

17. Capabilities Summary The Commander’s Associate is an Excellent Use of PreAct ® © 2008, Proprietary Information of http://www.asinc.com Applied Systems Intelligence, Inc., All Rights Reserved Activity Performer Intent Interpreter Planner Situation Assessor PreAct ® Situated Script Library Plan Goal Graph Library Concept Graph Library Error Manager Information Manager (Core Libraries) Based on input received from various, disparate sources, the Commander’s Associate will use PreAct’s ® Situation Assessor to monitor the operational environment and the sociocultural context

18. Capabilities Summary The Commander’s Associate is an Excellent Use of PreAct ® © 2008, Proprietary Information of http://www.asinc.com Applied Systems Intelligence, Inc., All Rights Reserved (Core Libraries) PreAct ® Situated Script Library Plan Goal Graph Library Concept Graph Library Activity Performer Intent Interpreter Planner Situation Assessor Error Manager Information Manager Based on group actions received from the Presentation Manager, the Commander’s Associate will use PreAct’s ® Intent Interpreter to interpret the group’s intent without requiring the group to explicitly interact with the Commander’s Associate

19. Capabilities Summary The Commander’s Associate is an Excellent Use of PreAct ® © 2008, Proprietary Information of http://www.asinc.com Applied Systems Intelligence, Inc., All Rights Reserved (Core Libraries) PreAct ® Situated Script Library Plan Goal Graph Library Concept Graph Library Activity Performer Intent Interpreter Planner Situation Assessor Error Manager Information Manager Based on its sociocultural assessment and its interpretation of the group’s intent, the Commander’s Associate can utilize PreAct’s ® Planner to propose or activate campaign plans based on its knowledge of the group’s life cycle stage

20. Capabilities Summary The Commander’s Associate is an Excellent Use of PreAct ® © 2008, Proprietary Information of http://www.asinc.com Applied Systems Intelligence, Inc., All Rights Reserved (Core Libraries) PreAct ® Situated Script Library Plan Goal Graph Library Concept Graph Library Activity Performer Intent Interpreter Planner Situation Assessor Error Manager Information Manager As planning progresses, the Commander’s Associate can perform activities on behalf of the commander (reordering LLOs) by utilizing PreAct’s ® Activity Performer

21. Capabilities Summary The Commander’s Associate is an Excellent Use of PreAct ® © 2008, Proprietary Information of http://www.asinc.com Applied Systems Intelligence, Inc., All Rights Reserved (Core Libraries) PreAct ® Situated Script Library Plan Goal Graph Library Concept Graph Library Activity Performer Intent Interpreter Planner Situation Assessor Error Manager Information Manager The Commander’s Associate will utilize PreAct’s ® Error Manager to prevent or inform the commander from performing procedural errors

22. Capabilities Summary The Commander’s Associate is an Excellent Use of PreAct ® © 2008, Proprietary Information of http://www.asinc.com Applied Systems Intelligence, Inc., All Rights Reserved Information Manager (Core Libraries) PreAct ® Situated Script Library Plan Goal Graph Library Concept Graph Library Activity Performer Intent Interpreter Planner Situation Assessor Error Manager The Commander’s Associate will facilitate the commander’s sociocultural assessment by utilizing PreAct’s ® Information Manager to manage the commander’s display based on the commander’s current intent and sociocultural context