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QUARTERLY ECONOMIC UPDATE | Q2 2012
Th
                                                                                                                    e                    QUARTERLY ECONOMIC UPDATE | Q2 2012




EMPLOYMENT, LABOR FORCE, UNEMPLOYMENT RATES

                                                              TOTAL PAYROLL EMPLOYMENT                                                  COLUMBUS REGION UNEMPLOYMENT
   Columbus metro area employment rose faster than
                                                                                                                                        RATE
    that of Ohio and U.S.: Columbus MSA employment
    rose 7,600 (0.8%) in the second quarter, compared to                                                                                 12%
                                                                                        102.0
    Ohio growth of 0.7% and U.S. growth of 0.2%.                                        100.0                                            10%




                                                                  Index: 1/08 = 100.0
    Employment growth in the first half was 17,700 (1.9%)                                98.0                                             8%
    for the MSA, 1.6% for Ohio, and 0.7% for the U.S.                                    96.0
                                                                                                                                          6%
   Columbus Region unemployment rate down to                                            94.0
                                                                                                                                         4%
    6.3%: The 11-                                       -                                92.0
    adjusted unemployment rate fell to 6.3% in June,                                     90.0                                             2%

    compared to a 7.2% Ohio rate and an 8.2% U.S. rate.                                  88.0                                            0%




                                                                                                 4/08
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          4/12
   The number of employed residents increased while the
    number of active local job-seekers remained essentially
                                                                                                Columbus MSA             Ohio    US                            Columbus Region                                                Ohio                             U.S.
    constant, leading to the decline in the unemployment
    rate.                                                     Source: Current Employment Statistics, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.   Source: Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Bureau of Labor Stats.
                                                              Seasonal adjustment of MSA employment by Regionomics LLC.                 Seasonal adjustment of regional rate by Regionomics LLC.
   Gap remains between normal and actual labor force
    growth: The difference between reported labor force
    and the level assuming normal growth continues to
    widen, indicating a growing overhang of discouraged       COLUMBUS REGION LABOR FORCE
    workers.
                                                                                        1,120


                                                                                        1,070
                                                              Thousands




                                                                                        1,020


                                                                                         970


                                                                                         920
                                                                                                 4/09




                                                                                                  4/10
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                                                                                                   4/11
                                                                                                 4/08
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                                                                                                   4/12
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                                                                                                    1/11




                                                                                                    Labor force
                                                                                                    Labor force, normal growth
                                                                                                    Resident employment

                                                              Source: Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Bureau of Labor Stats.
                                                              Seasonal adjustment of regional rate by Regionomics LLC.




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 1
QUARTERLY ECONOMIC UPDATE | Q2 2012




EMPLOYMENT BY INDUSTRY

MSA SHARE OF EMPLOYMENT BY INDUSTRY,                                                                     LOGISTICS: TRANSPORTATION,                                            MANUFACTURING
JUNE 2012                                                                                                WAREHOUSING & WHOLESALE

                                                                                                                                110.0                                                                    110.0
                                                    Logistics
                                                      10%                                                                       105.0                                                                   105.0




                                                                                                          Index: 1/08 = 100.0




                                                                                                                                                                               Index: 1/08 = 100.0
                                                           Manufacturing                                                                                                                                100.0
                                           Retail                                                                               100.0
                                           trade               7%                                                                                                                                        95.0
                                            12%                                                                                 95.0                                                                     90.0
                    Government
                       18%                                                                                                                                                                               85.0
                                                                 Professional &                                                 90.0
                                                                 business svcs                                                                                                                           80.0
                                                                      18%                                                       85.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                         75.0
                        Leisure &
                        hospitality                                                                                             80.0                                                                     70.0
                                                               Computer




                                                                                                                                                                                                                  10/10
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                                                                                                                                           1/12
                           11%
                                                                design &
                                                              related svcs
                                Healthcare &        Finance &      3%
                                   social           insurance
                                 assistance            7%                                                                               Columbus MSA          Ohio        US                                     Columbus MSA   Ohio   US
                                    14%




PROFESSIONAL & BUSINESS SERVICES                                                  COMPUTER DESIGN & RELATED SERVICES                                                           FINANCE & INSURANCE


                        110.0                                                                            150.0                                                                                          110.0

                        105.0                                                                            140.0                                                                                          105.0




                                                                                                                                                                                  Index: 1/08 = 100.0
                                                                                   Index: 1/08 = 100.0
  Index: 1/08 = 100.0




                                                                                                         130.0                                                                                          100.0
                        100.0
                                                                                                         120.0
                        95.0                                                                                                                                                                            95.0
                                                                                                         110.0
                        90.0                                                                                                                                                                            90.0
                                                                                                         100.0
                        85.0                                                                                                                                                                            85.0
                                                                                                         90.0

                        80.0                                                                             80.0                                                                                           80.0




                                                                                                                                                                                                                  4/08




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                                Columbus MSA            Ohio           US                                                          Columbus MSA        Ohio          US                                          Columbus MSA   Ohio   US


Source: Current Employment Statistics, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Seasonal adjustment of MSA employment by Regionomics LLC.




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            2
QUARTERLY ECONOMIC UPDATE | Q2 2012




EMPLOYMENT BY INDUSTRY (continued)


        Charts on pages 2 and 3 show that the Columbus                    HEALTHCARE & SOCIAL ASSISTANCE                                 LEISURE & HOSPITALITY
         metro area experienced employment gains in logistics,
         healthcare, leisure & hospitality, and retail, above Ohio                                   130.0                                                              110.0
                                                                                                      125.0
         and U.S. rates. The MSA underperformed in business                                                                                                             105.0




                                                                                                                                          Index: 1/08 = 100.0
                                                                               Index: 1/08 = 100.0
                                                                                                     120.0
         services and saw losses in finance and government.                                            115.0                                                        100.0
        Manufacturing gained 400 jobs (0.6%), partly                                                 110.0
                                                                                                     105.0                                                              95.0
         offsetting a 4,600-job loss over the previous eight                                         100.0
                                                                                                       95.0
                                                                                                                                                                        90.0
         months.
                                                                                                       90.0
        Leisure & hospitality employment surged 4,200 jobs                                                                                                             85.0
                                                                                                       85.0
         (4.8%).                                                                                       80.0                                                             80.0




                                                                                                                4/08




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        Retail continued its strong growth with a gain of 2,100
         jobs (2.2%). Ohio gained 0.5% and the U.S. gained 0.1%.
                                                                                                               Columbus MSA   Ohio   US                                            Columbus MSA                     Ohio                 US
         The second quarter gain brings total growth since
         February 2010 to 6,400 (6.7%).




Industry                            MSA empl. chg.          OH     US

                                          No.     %          %       %     GOVERNMENT                                                     RETAIL
Logistics                                +900    +1.2      -0.5    0.5
                                                                                                     110.0
Manufacturing                            +400 +0.6           1.1   0.3                                                                                                   110.0

Business services                         +100 +0.1         1.0    0.7                               105.0
                                                                                                                                                                        105.0
                                                                           Index: 1/08 = 100.0




                                                                                                                                                  Index: 1/08 = 100.0
     Computer-related                    +200 +0.7          -1.6     1.2                             100.0                                                              100.0
Finance & insurance                       -100 -0.2         0.4    0.2                               95.0                                                                95.0
Healthcare & social assistance         +1,000 +0.9        +0.4 +0.4
                                                                                                     90.0                                                                90.0
Leisure & hospitality                  +4,200 +4.8          +1.1   0.0
                                                                                                     85.0                                                                85.0
Government                              -2,400   -1.6      +0.1 -0.2
                                                                                                     80.0                                                                80.0
Retail                                  +2,100 +2.2       +0.5 +0.1




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                                                                                                               Columbus MSA   Ohio   US                                            Columbus MSA                     Ohio                       US




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      3
QUARTERLY ECONOMIC UPDATE | Q2 2012




EMPLOYMENT BY COUNTY

                                                                                     DELAWARE COUNTY                                                                                                                                          FAIRFIELD COUNTY
     Charts on pages 4 and 5 show 11-year trends of
      Columbus Region employment at the county level,                                                                                                                                                                                                                     120.0
                                                                                                           200.0
      including newly released 2011 totals.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     115.0
                                                                                                           180.0




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Index: 2001 = 100.0
     Franklin County accounts for 70% of total regional                                                                                                                                                                                                                      110.0




                                                                                     Index: 2001 = 100.0
                                                                                                           160.0                                                                                                                                                          105.0
      employment, down from 74% in 2001. However, the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        100.0
      county reversed a near-steady 11-year decline, adding                                                140.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  95.0
      9,910 jobs (1.5%).                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        90.0
                                                                                                           120.0
     Columbus Region employment rose 1.7% in 2011 (15,399)                                                                                                                                                                                                                       85.0
                                                                                                           100.0
      vs. U.S. growth of 1.2%.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  80.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      75.0
     Delaware County employment increased 4.9% in 2010 to                                                  80.0




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 2011
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           2004




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               2006
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     2005




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2007
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                2011
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                                                                                                                                                                        2005




                                                                                                                                                                                          2007
      75,663. This is double its 2001 level.
     Licking and Madison also enjoyed better-than-average                                                                                                Delaware                         Region                           U.S.                                                                                        Fairfield                        Region                           U.S.
      gains, up 2.9% and 2.8%, respectively.




REGIONAL SHARE OF EMPLOYMENT BY COUNTY,                                              FRANKLIN COUNTY                                                                                                                                          KNOX COUNTY
2011
                                                                                                                                  120.0                                                                                                                                               120.0
                               Other                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   115.0
                                                                                                                                  115.0
                             counties in
                       Marion Region




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Index: 2001 = 100.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       110.0
                                                                                                            Index: 2001 = 100.0




                                                                                                                                  110.0
                         3%     7%
                     Union                                                                                                        105.0                                                                                                                                               105.0
                      3%                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              100.0
                                                                                                                                  100.0
                Fairfield
                                                                                                                                  95.0                                                                                                                                                 95.0
                  4%
              Licking                                                                                                             90.0                                                                                                                                                 90.0
                5%                                                                                                                85.0                                                                                                                                                 85.0
             Delaware                                                                                                             80.0                                                                                                                                                 80.0
                8%                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     75.0
                                                                                                                                   75.0




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      2008




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     2011
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              2004




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  2006




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2002

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    2003




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            2007
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2005
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       2011
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              2010
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                                                                                                                                                                               2005




                                                                                                                                                                                                 2007




                                                                                                                                                                                                                   2009
                                                                                                                                          2001




                                                                                                                                                                                                          2008
                                                                                                                                                                                        2006
                                                                                                                                                            2003

                                                                                                                                                                      2004




                                                          Franklin
                                                            70%

                                                                                                                                                                   Franklin                      Region                            U.S.                                                                                    Knox                          Region                               U.S.


Source: Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.   Source: Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     4
2012 Q2 Report
2012 Q2 Report
2012 Q2 Report
2012 Q2 Report
2012 Q2 Report
2012 Q2 Report
2012 Q2 Report
2012 Q2 Report
2012 Q2 Report
2012 Q2 Report
2012 Q2 Report

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2012 Q2 Report

  • 2. Th e QUARTERLY ECONOMIC UPDATE | Q2 2012 EMPLOYMENT, LABOR FORCE, UNEMPLOYMENT RATES TOTAL PAYROLL EMPLOYMENT COLUMBUS REGION UNEMPLOYMENT  Columbus metro area employment rose faster than RATE that of Ohio and U.S.: Columbus MSA employment rose 7,600 (0.8%) in the second quarter, compared to 12% 102.0 Ohio growth of 0.7% and U.S. growth of 0.2%. 100.0 10% Index: 1/08 = 100.0 Employment growth in the first half was 17,700 (1.9%) 98.0 8% for the MSA, 1.6% for Ohio, and 0.7% for the U.S. 96.0 6%  Columbus Region unemployment rate down to 94.0 4% 6.3%: The 11- - 92.0 adjusted unemployment rate fell to 6.3% in June, 90.0 2% compared to a 7.2% Ohio rate and an 8.2% U.S. rate. 88.0 0% 4/08 7/08 10/08 4/09 7/09 7/10 10/10 4/11 10/09 1/08 1/09 4/10 7/11 4/12 1/10 1/12 10/11 1/11 10/09 4/08 4/10 1/09 7/08 4/09 7/10 10/10 1/12 10/08 1/10 4/11 7/11 10/11 1/08 7/09 1/11 4/12  The number of employed residents increased while the number of active local job-seekers remained essentially Columbus MSA Ohio US Columbus Region Ohio U.S. constant, leading to the decline in the unemployment rate. Source: Current Employment Statistics, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Source: Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Bureau of Labor Stats. Seasonal adjustment of MSA employment by Regionomics LLC. Seasonal adjustment of regional rate by Regionomics LLC.  Gap remains between normal and actual labor force growth: The difference between reported labor force and the level assuming normal growth continues to widen, indicating a growing overhang of discouraged COLUMBUS REGION LABOR FORCE workers. 1,120 1,070 Thousands 1,020 970 920 4/09 4/10 7/10 4/11 4/08 7/08 10/08 7/09 10/09 1/08 10/10 1/09 1/10 4/12 7/11 10/11 1/12 1/11 Labor force Labor force, normal growth Resident employment Source: Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Bureau of Labor Stats. Seasonal adjustment of regional rate by Regionomics LLC. 1
  • 3. QUARTERLY ECONOMIC UPDATE | Q2 2012 EMPLOYMENT BY INDUSTRY MSA SHARE OF EMPLOYMENT BY INDUSTRY, LOGISTICS: TRANSPORTATION, MANUFACTURING JUNE 2012 WAREHOUSING & WHOLESALE 110.0 110.0 Logistics 10% 105.0 105.0 Index: 1/08 = 100.0 Index: 1/08 = 100.0 Manufacturing 100.0 Retail 100.0 trade 7% 95.0 12% 95.0 90.0 Government 18% 85.0 Professional & 90.0 business svcs 80.0 18% 85.0 75.0 Leisure & hospitality 80.0 70.0 Computer 10/10 7/08 4/08 10/08 4/12 4/09 4/11 7/09 10/09 1/10 4/10 1/08 1/09 10/11 7/10 1/11 7/11 1/12 10/08 4/09 4/08 7/09 4/10 4/11 10/09 1/08 7/10 4/12 1/09 10/10 1/11 7/08 7/11 10/11 1/10 1/12 11% design & related svcs Healthcare & Finance & 3% social insurance assistance 7% Columbus MSA Ohio US Columbus MSA Ohio US 14% PROFESSIONAL & BUSINESS SERVICES COMPUTER DESIGN & RELATED SERVICES FINANCE & INSURANCE 110.0 150.0 110.0 105.0 140.0 105.0 Index: 1/08 = 100.0 Index: 1/08 = 100.0 Index: 1/08 = 100.0 130.0 100.0 100.0 120.0 95.0 95.0 110.0 90.0 90.0 100.0 85.0 85.0 90.0 80.0 80.0 80.0 4/08 4/09 4/12 7/11 7/08 10/08 7/09 10/09 10/10 4/11 1/09 1/10 1/08 4/10 7/10 10/11 1/11 1/12 4/08 4/09 4/08 4/09 4/12 4/12 4/10 7/08 10/08 10/09 7/10 4/11 7/08 10/08 10/09 10/11 1/08 1/09 7/09 10/11 1/08 1/09 7/09 4/10 7/10 10/10 1/10 4/11 10/10 1/12 7/11 1/11 7/11 1/10 1/11 1/12 Columbus MSA Ohio US Columbus MSA Ohio US Columbus MSA Ohio US Source: Current Employment Statistics, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Seasonal adjustment of MSA employment by Regionomics LLC. 2
  • 4. QUARTERLY ECONOMIC UPDATE | Q2 2012 EMPLOYMENT BY INDUSTRY (continued)  Charts on pages 2 and 3 show that the Columbus HEALTHCARE & SOCIAL ASSISTANCE LEISURE & HOSPITALITY metro area experienced employment gains in logistics, healthcare, leisure & hospitality, and retail, above Ohio 130.0 110.0 125.0 and U.S. rates. The MSA underperformed in business 105.0 Index: 1/08 = 100.0 Index: 1/08 = 100.0 120.0 services and saw losses in finance and government. 115.0 100.0  Manufacturing gained 400 jobs (0.6%), partly 110.0 105.0 95.0 offsetting a 4,600-job loss over the previous eight 100.0 95.0 90.0 months. 90.0  Leisure & hospitality employment surged 4,200 jobs 85.0 85.0 (4.8%). 80.0 80.0 4/08 4/09 10/08 4/11 7/11 10/11 1/08 4/12 7/08 7/09 10/09 4/10 10/10 1/09 1/10 7/10 1/11 1/12 10/10 4/08 7/08 10/08 4/09 4/11 4/12 7/09 10/09 10/11 1/08 1/09 1/10 4/10 7/11 1/12 1/11 7/10  Retail continued its strong growth with a gain of 2,100 jobs (2.2%). Ohio gained 0.5% and the U.S. gained 0.1%. Columbus MSA Ohio US Columbus MSA Ohio US The second quarter gain brings total growth since February 2010 to 6,400 (6.7%). Industry MSA empl. chg. OH US No. % % % GOVERNMENT RETAIL Logistics +900 +1.2 -0.5 0.5 110.0 Manufacturing +400 +0.6 1.1 0.3 110.0 Business services +100 +0.1 1.0 0.7 105.0 105.0 Index: 1/08 = 100.0 Index: 1/08 = 100.0 Computer-related +200 +0.7 -1.6 1.2 100.0 100.0 Finance & insurance -100 -0.2 0.4 0.2 95.0 95.0 Healthcare & social assistance +1,000 +0.9 +0.4 +0.4 90.0 90.0 Leisure & hospitality +4,200 +4.8 +1.1 0.0 85.0 85.0 Government -2,400 -1.6 +0.1 -0.2 80.0 80.0 Retail +2,100 +2.2 +0.5 +0.1 10/08 10/09 1/08 4/08 4/09 7/09 4/12 1/09 4/10 7/10 7/11 10/11 7/08 1/11 4/11 10/10 1/10 1/12 10/10 4/08 7/08 1/10 10/08 4/09 7/09 10/09 4/10 4/11 1/09 1/08 1/11 10/11 4/12 1/12 7/11 7/10 Columbus MSA Ohio US Columbus MSA Ohio US 3
  • 5. QUARTERLY ECONOMIC UPDATE | Q2 2012 EMPLOYMENT BY COUNTY DELAWARE COUNTY FAIRFIELD COUNTY  Charts on pages 4 and 5 show 11-year trends of Columbus Region employment at the county level, 120.0 200.0 including newly released 2011 totals. 115.0 180.0 Index: 2001 = 100.0  Franklin County accounts for 70% of total regional 110.0 Index: 2001 = 100.0 160.0 105.0 employment, down from 74% in 2001. However, the 100.0 county reversed a near-steady 11-year decline, adding 140.0 95.0 9,910 jobs (1.5%). 90.0 120.0  Columbus Region employment rose 1.7% in 2011 (15,399) 85.0 100.0 vs. U.S. growth of 1.2%. 80.0 75.0  Delaware County employment increased 4.9% in 2010 to 80.0 2011 2010 2008 2009 2004 2006 2001 2002 2005 2007 2003 2011 2010 2003 2004 2008 2002 2006 2009 2001 2005 2007 75,663. This is double its 2001 level.  Licking and Madison also enjoyed better-than-average Delaware Region U.S. Fairfield Region U.S. gains, up 2.9% and 2.8%, respectively. REGIONAL SHARE OF EMPLOYMENT BY COUNTY, FRANKLIN COUNTY KNOX COUNTY 2011 120.0 120.0 Other 115.0 115.0 counties in Marion Region Index: 2001 = 100.0 110.0 Index: 2001 = 100.0 110.0 3% 7% Union 105.0 105.0 3% 100.0 100.0 Fairfield 95.0 95.0 4% Licking 90.0 90.0 5% 85.0 85.0 Delaware 80.0 80.0 8% 75.0 75.0 2010 2008 2011 2004 2006 2009 2002 2003 2007 2001 2005 2011 2010 2002 2005 2007 2009 2001 2008 2006 2003 2004 Franklin 70% Franklin Region U.S. Knox Region U.S. Source: Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Source: Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. 4