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U.S.	
  Immigrants:	
  Friends	
  or	
  Fiends?	
  
www.theevansgroupllc.com	
  
	
  
Chip	
  Evans,	
  Ph.D.,	
  Sola	
  Lamikanra,	
  Ph.D.,	
  Robert	
  Klemyk	
  and	
  Dziko	
  Thunde,	
  MBA	
  
	
  
U.S. Immigrants: Friends or Fiends?
The	
  average	
  American	
  is	
  familiar	
  with	
  the	
  phrase	
  “we	
  are	
  a	
  nation	
  of	
  immigrants.”	
  	
  There	
  is	
  also	
  
common	
  agreement	
  that	
  the	
  unique	
  opportunity	
  for	
  the	
  United	
  States’	
  rapid	
  industrialization	
  
and	
  economic	
  development,	
  which	
  resulted	
  in	
  its	
  rise	
  to	
  becoming	
  the	
  preeminent	
  global	
  
superpower,	
  lies	
  in	
  the	
  collective	
  advantage	
  that	
  immigrants	
  provided	
  the	
  country.	
  	
  	
  The	
  value	
  
of	
  immigrants	
  to	
  prosperity	
  of	
  the	
  nation	
  was	
  acknowledged	
  for	
  the	
  first	
  time	
  during	
  Abraham	
  
Lincoln’s	
  administration	
  in	
  an	
  1868	
  Congressional	
  report	
  which	
  stated	
  that	
  “the	
  rapid	
  growth	
  
and	
  prosperity	
  of	
  the	
  country	
  greatly	
  depends	
  upon	
  foreign	
  emigration”	
  and	
  that	
  immigrants	
  
would	
  aid	
  the	
  American	
  dream	
  of	
  “making	
  this	
  republic	
  the	
  freest	
  and	
  the	
  most	
  powerful	
  
empire	
  of	
  the	
  world)”1.	
  	
  The	
  debate	
  over	
  the	
  value	
  of	
  immigrants	
  and	
  their	
  impact	
  on	
  the	
  socio-­‐
economic	
  wellbeing	
  of	
  the	
  U.S.	
  and	
  the	
  number	
  of	
  immigrants	
  that	
  should	
  be	
  allowed	
  into	
  the	
  
country	
  has,	
  however,	
  taken	
  different	
  turns	
  over	
  the	
  years	
  by	
  the	
  “new	
  natives”	
  who	
  
sometimes	
  see	
  immigration	
  as	
  threatening	
  to	
  their	
  prosperity	
  and	
  to	
  the	
  American	
  dream.	
  	
  For	
  
several	
  years,	
  different	
  formulas	
  have	
  been	
  used	
  to	
  determine	
  the	
  number	
  of	
  immigrants	
  from	
  
each	
  region	
  of	
  the	
  world	
  that	
  should	
  be	
  allowed	
  to	
  come	
  to	
  the	
  U.S.	
  	
  While	
  most	
  people	
  would	
  
agree	
  that	
  some	
  level	
  of	
  immigration	
  should	
  be	
  allowed,	
  there	
  continues	
  to	
  be	
  disagreement	
  on	
  
the	
  number	
  and	
  types	
  of	
  people	
  to	
  allow	
  into	
  the	
  country.	
  	
  	
  
	
  
Immigration	
  phobia	
  is	
  often	
  driven	
  by	
  political	
  concerns	
  and	
  posturing	
  that	
  play	
  on	
  concerns	
  of	
  
some	
  Americans	
  that	
  immigrants	
  will	
  overwhelm	
  public	
  assistance	
  programs,	
  “steal”	
  jobs	
  from	
  
Americans,	
  cause	
  major	
  demographic	
  shifts	
  and	
  increase	
  the	
  crime	
  rate.	
  	
  It	
  is	
  also	
  common	
  to	
  
ascribe	
  some	
  of	
  the	
  blame	
  of	
  the	
  most	
  recent	
  worst	
  recession	
  since	
  the	
  Great	
  Depression	
  to	
  the	
  
influx	
  of	
  migrants	
  that	
  have	
  decreased	
  demand	
  to	
  hire	
  Americans.	
  	
  	
  Facts	
  are	
  often	
  ignored	
  
and/or	
  manipulated	
  in	
  emotionally	
  charged	
  arguments	
  on	
  the	
  topic.	
  	
  Influx	
  of	
  over	
  11	
  million	
  
undocumented	
  immigrants	
  over	
  a	
  number	
  of	
  years	
  has	
  further	
  elevated	
  the	
  stakes	
  on	
  how	
  
Americans	
  view	
  the	
  newer	
  migrants,	
  their	
  value	
  to	
  society,	
  and	
  what	
  to	
  do	
  with	
  them	
  and	
  with	
  
children	
  of	
  illegal	
  immigrants.	
  States	
  with	
  the	
  highest	
  illegal	
  immigrant	
  populations	
  are	
  believed	
  
to	
  be	
  California,	
  Texas,	
  Florida,	
  Illinois	
  and	
  New	
  York2.	
  	
  The	
  difficulty	
  in	
  passing	
  a	
  bill	
  that	
  in	
  
effect	
  acknowledges	
  the	
  inevitable	
  fact	
  that	
  these	
  immigrants	
  are	
  already	
  well	
  entrenched	
  
within	
  the	
  socio-­‐economic	
  fabric	
  of	
  the	
  U.S.	
  underscores	
  the	
  assertion	
  that	
  politics	
  and	
  fear	
  of	
  
losing	
  power	
  sometimes	
  prevails	
  over	
  what	
  is	
  best	
  for	
  the	
  country.	
  	
  Estimate	
  of	
  taxes	
  paid	
  by	
  
undocumented	
  immigrants	
  in	
  2010	
  was	
  $11.2	
  billion.	
  	
  This	
  includes	
  $1.2	
  billion	
  in	
  income	
  taxes,	
  
$1.6	
  billion	
  in	
  property	
  taxes,	
  and	
  $8.4 billion	
  in	
  sales	
  taxes3.	
  	
  Although	
  illegal	
  immigrants	
  were	
  
initially	
  concentrated	
  in	
  agriculture,	
  by	
  2006	
  they	
  appeared	
  to	
  represent	
  24%	
  of	
  all	
  workers	
  
employed	
  in farming	
  occupations,	
  17%	
  in	
  cleaning,	
  14%	
  in	
  construction	
  and	
  12%	
  in	
  food	
  
preparation4.	
  	
  Most	
  Americans,	
  across	
  all	
  demographic	
  and	
  political	
  groups	
  already	
  support	
  
establishing	
  a	
  pathway	
  for	
  illegal	
  immigrants	
  already	
  in	
  the	
  country	
  to	
  stay	
  and	
  ultimately	
  

1
2
3
4

	
  http://voices.yahoo.com/the-contributions-immigrants-united-states-88831.html?cat=37	
  
	
  http://cis.org/node/3877#illegal

http://www.immigrationpolicy.org/just-facts/unauthorized-immigrants-pay-taxes-too
http://knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/article/the-immigration-debate-its-impact-on-workers-wages-and-employers/

	
  
Chip	
  Evans,	
  Ph.D.	
  	
  	
  

www.theevansgroupllc.com	
  

	
  
U.S. Immigrants: Friends or Fiends?
acquire	
  citizenship5.	
  	
  Redistricting	
  that	
  occurred	
  after	
  the	
  2010	
  elections	
  resulted	
  in	
  House	
  
members	
  representing	
  narrower,	
  more	
  homogenous	
  districts	
  than	
  the	
  senators	
  who	
  run	
  
statewide.	
  	
  The	
  lack	
  of	
  consequence	
  for	
  not	
  working	
  across	
  party	
  lines	
  and	
  the	
  need	
  by	
  the	
  
legislators	
  to	
  win	
  the	
  next	
  election,	
  particularly	
  in	
  very	
  conservative	
  districts,	
  further	
  
complicates	
  the	
  immigration	
  debate.	
  
	
  
	
  
A	
  very	
  interesting	
  aspect	
  of	
  this	
  debate	
  is	
  that	
  the	
  far	
  right	
  conservatives	
  often	
  tend	
  to	
  be	
  the	
  
most	
  resistant	
  group	
  to	
  immigration	
  reform.	
  	
  This,	
  in	
  fact,	
  is	
  a	
  shift	
  from	
  their	
  doctrine,	
  as	
  there	
  
is	
  a	
  preponderance	
  of	
  evidence	
  that	
  immigration,	
  in	
  several	
  ways,	
  helps	
  to	
  maintain	
  American	
  
global	
  superiority	
  and	
  its	
  status	
  as	
  a	
  global	
  superpower.	
  	
  This	
  group	
  interestingly	
  sees	
  their	
  
“brand”	
  as	
  being	
  defined	
  by	
  better	
  ownership	
  of	
  the	
  concept	
  of	
  American	
  exceptionalism.	
  	
  Of	
  
the	
  three	
  planks	
  that	
  guide	
  conservative	
  philosophy:	
  preservation	
  of	
  traditional	
  
institutions/beliefs,	
  distrust	
  of	
  government	
  activism,	
  and	
  opposition	
  to	
  sudden	
  change,	
  the	
  
latter	
  seems	
  to	
  be	
  the	
  only	
  one	
  that	
  could	
  be	
  used	
  to	
  explain	
  their	
  heightened	
  resistance	
  to	
  
immigration	
  reform.	
  	
  The	
  change	
  in	
  demography	
  of	
  	
  U.S.	
  residents	
  has,	
  however,	
  not	
  been	
  
sudden,	
  as	
  the	
  trend	
  over	
  several	
  years	
  indicates	
  that	
  the	
  country	
  progressively	
  gets	
  larger	
  with	
  
an	
  aging	
  population,	
  and	
  more	
  racially	
  and	
  ethnically	
  diverse6.	
  	
  Ethnic	
  minorities	
  are	
  the	
  main	
  
victims	
  of	
  anti-­‐immigrant	
  bias,	
  which	
  often	
  includes	
  a	
  perception	
  by	
  the	
  far	
  right	
  that	
  these	
  are	
  
uneducated	
  lower	
  class	
  individuals	
  “invading”	
  the	
  country.	
  	
  The	
  shift	
  in	
  status	
  quo	
  and	
  fear	
  of	
  
the	
  potential	
  weakening	
  of	
  power	
  previously	
  held	
  by	
  a	
  sector	
  of	
  the	
  population	
  that	
  would	
  
result	
  from	
  the	
  inevitable	
  demographic	
  trend	
  seems	
  to	
  be	
  of	
  more	
  concern	
  than	
  benefits	
  from	
  
immigration	
  that	
  far	
  outweigh	
  any	
  possible	
  downside.	
  	
  Technology	
  is	
  making	
  the	
  world	
  smaller	
  
and	
  factors	
  that	
  impact	
  strong	
  leadership	
  in	
  the	
  global	
  economy	
  are	
  rapidly	
  changing.	
  	
  Failure	
  
to	
  embrace	
  a	
  comprehensive	
  immigration	
  agenda	
  could	
  weaken	
  what	
  is	
  arguably	
  the	
  country’s	
  
uniqueness	
  and	
  strongest	
  competitive	
  advantage.	
  
The	
  critical	
  importance	
  of	
  small	
  businesses	
  to	
  the	
  American	
  economy	
  and	
  its	
  stability	
  is	
  quite	
  
evident.	
  	
  They	
  are	
  by	
  far	
  the	
  stimulus	
  for	
  entrepreneurship	
  and	
  creativity,	
  and	
  account	
  for	
  over	
  
60%	
  of	
  all	
  private	
  non-­‐farm	
  jobs.	
  	
  The	
  U.S.	
  has	
  over	
  twenty	
  seven	
  million	
  small	
  businesses	
  
generating	
  about	
  50%	
  of	
  the	
  gross	
  domestic	
  product	
  (GDP).	
  	
  	
  The	
  millions	
  of	
  individuals	
  that	
  
started	
  small	
  businesses	
  in	
  the	
  U.	
  S.	
  helped	
  shape	
  the	
  business	
  world	
  to	
  make	
  it	
  what	
  it	
  is	
  
today7.	
  	
  Small	
  businesses	
  considerably	
  impact	
  the	
  economy	
  through	
  job	
  creation	
  and	
  
innovation.	
  	
  The	
  share	
  of	
  U.S.	
  small	
  businesses	
  owned	
  by	
  immigrants	
  grew	
  by	
  50%	
  since	
  1990,	
  
with	
  a	
  fifth	
  of	
  the	
  small	
  business	
  owners	
  born	
  outside	
  the	
  country.	
  	
  Immigrants	
  create	
  
businesses	
  at	
  higher	
  rates	
  than	
  American	
  born	
  workers,	
  particularly	
  in	
  the	
  high-­‐tech	
  sector.	
  	
  	
  	
  
They	
  were	
  key	
  founders	
  in	
  one-­‐quarter	
  of	
  all	
  U.S.	
  high-­‐tech	
  startups	
  between	
  1995	
  and	
  2005,	
  
including	
  over	
  half	
  of	
  high-­‐tech	
  start-­‐ups	
  in	
  the	
  Silicon	
  Valley	
  during	
  that	
  period.	
  	
  Small	
  
5

http://www.people-press.org/2013/03/28/most-say-illegal-immigrants-should-be-allowed-to-stay-but-citizenship-ismore-divisive/
6
Shrestha, B.L and Heisler, E.J. The Changing Demographic Profile of the United States. CRS Report for Congress
March 31, 2011	
  
7

	
  http://www.sba.gov/content/small-business-economy-2010

	
  
Chip	
  Evans,	
  Ph.D.	
  	
  	
  

www.theevansgroupllc.com	
  

	
  
U.S. Immigrants: Friends or Fiends?
businesses	
  owned	
  by	
  immigrants	
  employed	
  an	
  estimated	
  4.7	
  million	
  people	
  in	
  2007,	
  and	
  have	
  
generated	
  more	
  than	
  $776	
  billion	
  annually8.	
  	
  	
  Immigrants	
  started	
  25	
  percent	
  of	
  public	
  U.S.	
  
companies	
  that	
  were	
  backed	
  by	
  venture	
  capital	
  investors.	
  This	
  list	
  includes	
  Google,	
  eBay,	
  
Yahoo!	
  Sun	
  Microsystems,	
  and	
  Intel9.	
  	
  A	
  very	
  recent	
  and	
  remarkable	
  American	
  story	
  is	
  the	
  $19	
  
billion	
  purchase	
  of	
  WhatsAPP	
  from	
  Jan	
  Koum	
  and	
  Brian	
  Acton	
  by	
  Facebook.	
  	
  Koum,	
  who	
  
migrated	
  at	
  the	
  age	
  of	
  16	
  from	
  Kiev,	
  Ukraine	
  right	
  after	
  the	
  break	
  up	
  of	
  the	
  Soviet	
  Union,	
  and	
  
later	
  a	
  college	
  dropout,	
  once	
  lived	
  on	
  food	
  stamps	
  for	
  a	
  number	
  of	
  years	
  with	
  his	
  single	
  mother.	
  	
  
He	
  ended	
  up	
  co-­‐founding	
  WhatsAPP	
  in	
  2009.	
  	
  The	
  level	
  of	
  innovation	
  and	
  creativity	
  is	
  evidenced	
  
by	
  the	
  fact	
  that	
  with	
  only	
  55	
  employees,	
  WhatsAPP	
  generates	
  an	
  estimated	
  	
  $1	
  billion	
  in	
  annual	
  
sales.	
  	
  	
  	
  
In	
  spite	
  of	
  the	
  widely	
  held	
  belief	
  that	
  immigrants	
  and	
  offshoring	
  are	
  reducing	
  job	
  opportunities	
  
of	
  American-­‐born	
  workers,	
  studies	
  indicate	
  that	
  sectors	
  with	
  a	
  larger	
  increase	
  in	
  global	
  
exposure	
  (through	
  offshoring	
  and	
  immigration)	
  fared	
  better	
  than	
  those	
  with	
  less	
  exposure	
  in	
  
terms	
  of	
  native	
  employment	
  growth10.	
  	
  A	
  comprehensive	
  study	
  by	
  the	
  Centre	
  for	
  Economic	
  
Research	
  of	
  the	
  London	
  School	
  of	
  Economics	
  and	
  Political	
  Science	
  for	
  example,	
  recently	
  
reported	
  results	
  of	
  tested	
  predictions	
  of	
  a	
  model	
  on	
  U.S.	
  data	
  from	
  58	
  manufacturing	
  industries	
  
over	
  the	
  years	
  2000-­‐2007.	
  Their	
  results	
  indicate	
  a	
  positive	
  productivity	
  effect	
  and	
  increased	
  
native	
  employment	
  as	
  a	
  result	
  of	
  immigration.	
  	
  Their	
  results	
  are	
  consistent	
  with	
  the	
  fact	
  that	
  
less	
  educated	
  immigrants	
  are	
  employed	
  in	
  the	
  more	
  manual-­‐routine	
  tasks	
  and	
  on	
  average	
  do	
  
not	
  compete	
  within	
  the	
  occupations	
  in	
  which	
  the	
  bulk	
  of	
  native	
  workers	
  are	
  employed,	
  which	
  
tend	
  to	
  be	
  more	
  non-­‐routine	
  and	
  cognitive	
  intensive.	
  Immigrants,	
  they	
  found,	
  compete	
  more	
  
with	
  offshore	
  workers.	
  This	
  indicates	
  that	
  increased	
  immigration	
  would	
  induce	
  firms	
  to	
  move	
  
production	
  from	
  offshore	
  workers	
  to	
  immigrants.	
  At	
  the	
  same	
  time,	
  immigration	
  seems	
  to	
  be	
  
associated	
  with	
  cost-­‐savings	
  and	
  a	
  corresponding	
  increase	
  in	
  productivity	
  so	
  that	
  its	
  aggregate	
  
effect	
  on	
  the	
  level	
  of	
  employment	
  of	
  low-­‐skilled	
  native	
  American-­‐born	
  workers	
  is	
  positive.	
  	
  The	
  
research	
  also	
  found	
  increased	
  offshoring	
  reduces	
  the	
  share	
  of	
  American-­‐born	
  workers’	
  
employment	
  in	
  a	
  sector.	
  However,	
  it	
  also	
  stimulates	
  overall	
  sector	
  employment	
  so	
  that	
  it	
  has	
  no	
  
overall	
  impact	
  on	
  the	
  level	
  of	
  native	
  American	
  employment.	
  	
  	
  	
  
The	
  effect	
  of	
  immigration	
  over	
  a	
  period	
  from	
  1990	
  to	
  2006	
  was	
  a	
  small	
  positive	
  effect	
  on	
  the	
  
wages	
  of	
  American-­‐born	
  workers	
  with	
  no	
  high	
  school	
  degree	
  (between	
  0.6%	
  and	
  +1.7%),	
  and	
  
the	
  average	
  American	
  wages	
  (+0.6%).	
  	
  Immigration,	
  however,	
  had	
  a	
  substantial	
  negative	
  effect	
  
on	
  wages	
  (-­‐6.7%)	
  of	
  previous	
  immigrants11.	
  	
  Less	
  educated	
  foreign-­‐born	
  workers	
  specialize	
  in	
  
occupations	
  intensive	
  in	
  manual-­‐physical	
  labor	
  skills,	
  while	
  American-­‐born	
  workers	
  pursue	
  jobs	
  
more	
  intensive	
  in	
  communication-­‐language	
  tasks.	
  The	
  complementary	
  nature	
  of	
  skills	
  can	
  
explain	
  why	
  economic	
  analyses	
  find	
  only	
  modest	
  wage	
  consequences	
  of	
  immigration	
  for	
  less	
  

8

http://www.fiscalpolicy.org/immigrant-small-business-owners-FPI-20120614.pdf
http://www.nvca.org/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=254:american-made-the-impact-ofimmigrant-entrepreneurs-and-professionals-on-us-competitiveness&catid=40:research
10
http://cep.lse.ac.uk/pubs/download/dp1147.pdf	
  
9

11

Gianmarco, I. Ottaviano, P. and Giovanni, P. Rethinking the effect of Immigration on Wages. Journal of the
European Economic Association, Volume 10, Issue 1, pages 152–197, February 2012

	
  
Chip	
  Evans,	
  Ph.D.	
  	
  	
  

www.theevansgroupllc.com	
  

	
  
U.S. Immigrants: Friends or Fiends?
educated	
  American-­‐born	
  workers12.	
  	
  In	
  urban	
  areas,	
  for	
  example,	
  economic	
  growth	
  has	
  a	
  direct	
  
correlation	
  with	
  increases	
  in	
  an	
  immigrant’s	
  share	
  of	
  the	
  work	
  force13.	
  	
  Most	
  people	
  are	
  more	
  
tolerant	
  of	
  allowing	
  highly	
  skilled	
  immigrants	
  into	
  the	
  country	
  because	
  of	
  the	
  belief	
  that	
  they	
  
contribute	
  to	
  economic	
  growth,	
  unlike	
  low-­‐skilled	
  workers	
  that	
  are	
  perceived	
  to	
  be	
  a	
  burden	
  on	
  
public	
  services	
  and	
  a	
  drag	
  to	
  the	
  economy.	
  	
  The	
  fastest	
  economic	
  growth	
  between	
  1990	
  and	
  
2008,	
  however,	
  were	
  not	
  in	
  cities	
  that	
  primarily	
  attracted	
  high-­‐wage	
  foreigners.	
  	
  	
  They	
  occurred	
  
in	
  places	
  like	
  Atlanta,	
  Denver	
  and	
  Phoenix	
  that	
  attracted	
  large	
  influxes	
  of	
  immigrants	
  with	
  a	
  mix	
  
of	
  occupations,	
  including	
  low-­‐wage	
  and	
  blue-­‐collar	
  workers.	
  	
  In	
  Denver,	
  where	
  the	
  economy	
  
doubled	
  between	
  1990	
  and	
  2008,	
  63%	
  of	
  immigrants	
  worked	
  in	
  jobs	
  on	
  the	
  lower	
  end	
  of	
  the	
  
pay	
  scale.	
  In	
  light	
  of	
  this,	
  it	
  seems	
  logical	
  for	
  Congress	
  to	
  examine	
  the	
  level	
  of	
  priority	
  given	
  to	
  
high-­‐skilled,	
  high-­‐earning	
  immigrants	
  and	
  narrower	
  channels	
  for	
  low-­‐wage	
  workers.	
  	
  
Research	
  conducted	
  at	
  UCLA	
  also	
  shows	
  that	
  legalizing	
  our	
  nation’s	
  undocumented	
  immigrant	
  
population	
  and	
  reforming	
  our	
  legal	
  immigration	
  system	
  would	
  add	
  a	
  cumulative	
  $1.5	
  trillion	
  to	
  
U.S.	
  GDP	
  over	
  a	
  decade14.	
  	
  The	
  Center	
  for	
  American	
  Progress	
  report	
  indicates	
  that	
  
comprehensive	
  immigration	
  reform	
  would	
  help	
  to	
  create	
  up	
  to	
  900,000	
  new	
  jobs	
  within	
  three	
  
years	
  of	
  reform	
  from	
  increased	
  consumer	
  spending.	
  	
  An	
  interesting	
  trend	
  that	
  is	
  worth	
  
mentioning	
  is	
  the	
  potential	
  impact	
  of	
  the	
  rising	
  wages	
  in	
  China.	
  	
  According	
  to	
  Bloomberg	
  
BusinessWeek,	
  adjusted	
  wages	
  for	
  Mexico’s	
  superior	
  worker	
  productivity	
  are	
  likely	
  to	
  be	
  30%	
  
lower	
  than	
  in	
  China	
  by	
  201515.	
  	
  Currently,	
  the	
  main	
  concern	
  is	
  that	
  Mexico	
  poses	
  a	
  high	
  illegal	
  
migration	
  problem	
  to	
  the	
  U.S.	
  because	
  of	
  its	
  close	
  proximity	
  and	
  poverty	
  in	
  the	
  country.	
  	
  The	
  
lower	
  wages	
  in	
  Mexico	
  relative	
  to	
  China	
  and	
  a	
  number	
  of	
  other	
  considerations,	
  including	
  its	
  
proximity	
  to	
  the	
  U.S.,	
  will	
  soon	
  make	
  the	
  country	
  more	
  attractive	
  for	
  outsourcing	
  than	
  China.	
  	
  
The	
  U.S.,	
  instead	
  of	
  fighting	
  illegal	
  immigration	
  from	
  Mexico,	
  will	
  now	
  be	
  buying	
  from	
  the	
  
country	
  as	
  an	
  outsourcing	
  nation.	
  	
  
	
  
The	
  shift	
  in	
  U.S.	
  employment	
  patterns	
  appears	
  to	
  be	
  more	
  related	
  to	
  deregulation	
  of	
  major	
  
sectors	
  of	
  the	
  economy	
  and	
  reductions	
  in	
  social	
  spending	
  started	
  by	
  President	
  Reagan	
  than	
  
immigration16.	
  	
  	
  It	
  is	
  no	
  coincidence	
  that	
  the	
  rise	
  in	
  the	
  Chinese	
  economy	
  began	
  during	
  the	
  
Reagan	
  presidency.	
  	
  Implementation	
  of	
  these	
  policies	
  by	
  Reagan	
  and	
  his	
  successors	
  were	
  
accompanied	
  by	
  deindustrialization,	
  plant	
  closures	
  and	
  outsourcing,	
  as	
  U.S.	
  companies	
  took	
  
advantage	
  of	
  opportunities	
  for	
  cheaper	
  products	
  manufactured	
  outside	
  the	
  USA.	
  	
  High	
  paying	
  
manufacturing	
  jobs	
  were	
  lost	
  and	
  low-­‐paying	
  service	
  sector	
  jobs	
  increased.	
  The	
  North	
  American	
  
Free	
  Trade	
  Agreement	
  (NAFTA),	
  for	
  example,	
  was	
  packaged	
  as	
  a	
  treaty	
  that	
  would	
  help	
  create	
  
good-­‐paying	
  American	
  jobs.	
  	
  President	
  Clinton,	
  who	
  signed	
  the	
  bill	
  negotiated	
  by	
  George	
  H.W.	
  
Bush,	
  predicted	
  that	
  it	
  would	
  increase	
  the	
  trade	
  surplus	
  with	
  Mexico.	
  	
  NAFTA,	
  in	
  effect,	
  
12

Peri, Giovanni, and Chad Sparber. 2009. "Task Specialization, Immigration, and Wages." American Economic
Journal: Applied Economics, 1(3): 135-69.
13
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/04/16/us/16skilled.html?pagewanted=1&_r=0
14
http://www.americanprogress.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/09/immigrationeconreport3.pdf	
  
15
	
  http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2013-06-27/four-reasons-mexico-is-becoming-a-global-manufacturingpower
16
http://www.beacon.org/client/PDFs/4156_excerpt.pdf

	
  
Chip	
  Evans,	
  Ph.D.	
  	
  	
  

www.theevansgroupllc.com	
  

	
  
U.S. Immigrants: Friends or Fiends?
provided	
  new	
  privileges	
  and	
  protections	
  for	
  foreign	
  investors	
  that	
  encouraged	
  offshoring	
  
through	
  elimination	
  of	
  risks	
  previously	
  encountered	
  when	
  locating	
  manufacturing	
  in	
  low-­‐wage	
  
countries.	
  	
  The	
  result	
  of	
  this	
  has	
  been	
  the	
  conversion	
  of	
  an	
  otherwise	
  trade	
  surplus	
  of	
  $181	
  
billion	
  into	
  a	
  U.S.	
  trade	
  deficit	
  with	
  NAFTA	
  partners	
  Mexico	
  and	
  Canada,	
  one	
  million	
  net	
  U.S.	
  
jobs	
  lost	
  because	
  of	
  NAFTA	
  and	
  a	
  doubling	
  of	
  immigration	
  from	
  Mexico17.	
  American	
  companies	
  
and	
  consumers,	
  with	
  help	
  from	
  government	
  policies,	
  thus	
  created	
  an	
  unsustainable	
  high	
  profit-­‐
cheap	
  product	
  model.	
  It	
  has,	
  however,	
  also	
  been	
  suggested	
  that	
  automation	
  might	
  have	
  a	
  
greater	
  impact	
  on	
  loss	
  of	
  manufacturing	
  jobs	
  in	
  the	
  U.S.	
  than	
  offshoring,	
  and	
  that	
  increasingly	
  
sophisticated	
  machines	
  will	
  ultimately	
  displace	
  low-­‐skilled	
  foreign	
  labor	
  as	
  well18.	
  
	
  
The	
  main	
  advantage	
  that	
  the	
  United	
  States	
  has	
  over	
  all	
  other	
  countries	
  in	
  the	
  midst	
  of	
  the	
  
rapidly	
  changing	
  global	
  economy	
  is	
  its	
  unmatched	
  ability	
  to	
  innovate.	
  	
  For	
  this	
  reason,	
  the	
  most	
  
innovative	
  companies	
  have	
  become	
  activists	
  in	
  the	
  effort	
  to	
  encourage	
  increased	
  legal	
  
immigration.	
  	
  Our	
  most	
  respected	
  innovators	
  and	
  entrepreneurs,	
  including	
  the	
  late	
  Steve	
  Jobs	
  
argue	
  in	
  favor	
  of	
  attracting	
  and	
  retaining	
  the	
  brightest	
  foreign-­‐born	
  scientists	
  and	
  engineers	
  
and	
  that	
  the	
  low	
  levels	
  of	
  H-­‐1B	
  visas	
  issued,	
  particularly	
  for	
  highly	
  talented	
  individuals	
  trained	
  in	
  
the	
  U.S.,	
  constitutes	
  an	
  immigrant	
  exodus	
  that	
  is	
  a	
  reverse	
  brain	
  drain.	
  	
  These	
  U.S.	
  trained	
  
talents	
  when	
  sent	
  back	
  will	
  end	
  up	
  competing	
  against	
  the	
  United	
  States	
  from	
  their	
  respective	
  
countries	
  earning	
  lower	
  and	
  more	
  competitive	
  wages.	
  	
  A	
  recent	
  study	
  shows	
  that	
  a	
  percentage	
  
of	
  U.S.	
  companies	
  funded	
  by	
  immigrants	
  declined	
  from	
  25.3%	
  to	
  24.3%	
  since	
  2005,	
  and	
  the	
  
proportion	
  of	
  immigrant-­‐founded	
  start-­‐ups	
  in	
  the	
  Silicon	
  Valley	
  fell	
  from	
  52.4%	
  to	
  43.9%	
  over	
  
the	
  same	
  period	
  of	
  time19.	
  	
  This	
  is	
  a	
  trend	
  that	
  must	
  not	
  be	
  allowed	
  to	
  continue.	
  	
  Mark	
  
Zuckerberg	
  correctly	
  noted	
  that	
  the	
  U.S.	
  has	
  a	
  strange	
  immigration	
  policy	
  for	
  a	
  nation	
  of	
  
immigrants,	
  and	
  that	
  it	
  is	
  “unfit	
  for	
  today’s	
  world”20.	
  	
  The	
  joint	
  effort	
  by	
  Zuckerberg,	
  top	
  
executives	
  and	
  founders	
  from	
  Google,	
  Yahoo,	
  LinkedIn,	
  and	
  several	
  top	
  venture	
  capitalists	
  to	
  
influence	
  the	
  U.S.	
  immigration	
  policy,	
  is	
  an	
  indication	
  of	
  the	
  urgent	
  need	
  to	
  leverage	
  top	
  talents	
  
globally	
  that	
  would	
  help	
  retain	
  the	
  American	
  entrepreneurial	
  leadership	
  in	
  this	
  rapidly	
  changing	
  
global	
  economy.	
  
The	
  most	
  important	
  value	
  of	
  many	
  immigrants	
  to	
  the	
  U.S.	
  economy	
  appears	
  to	
  be	
  in	
  
innovation.	
  Despite	
  making	
  up	
  only	
  16	
  percent	
  of	
  the	
  resident	
  population	
  holding	
  a	
  bachelor’s	
  
degree	
  or	
  higher,	
  immigrants	
  represent	
  33	
  percent	
  of	
  engineers,	
  27	
  percent	
  of	
  mathematicians,	
  
statisticians,	
  and	
  computer	
  scientists,	
  and	
  24	
  percent	
  of	
  physical	
  scientists21.	
  Additionally,	
  in	
  
2011,	
  foreign-­‐born	
  inventors	
  were	
  credited	
  with	
  contributing	
  to	
  more	
  than	
  75	
  percent	
  of	
  
patents	
  issued	
  to	
  the	
  top	
  10	
  patent-­‐producing	
  universities22.	
  	
  This	
  in	
  turn	
  has	
  been	
  shown	
  to	
  

17
18

19
20
21
22

http://www.citizen.org/documents/NAFTA-at-20.pdf
http://www.cnn.com/2012/07/23/opinion/salam-economy-woe/	
  

	
  http://business.time.com/2012/10/11/vivek-wadhwa-stop-the-u-s-highly-skilled-immigrant-exodus-now/

http://business.time.com/2013/04/12/why-mark-zuckerberg-is-pushing-in-immigration-reform/#ixzz2tnqKLGc2
http://www.census.gov/prod/2013pubs/acs-24.pdf
http://fiscalpolicy.org/immigrant-small-business-owners-a-significant-and-growing-part-of-the-economy

	
  
Chip	
  Evans,	
  Ph.D.	
  	
  	
  

www.theevansgroupllc.com	
  

	
  
U.S. Immigrants: Friends or Fiends?
help	
  increase	
  the	
  innovation	
  rate	
  among	
  American	
  born	
  workers,	
  boosting	
  overall	
  patent	
  
activity,	
  attracting	
  additional	
  resources	
  and	
  increased	
  areas	
  of	
  specialization23.	
  	
  	
  
Rather	
  than	
  blame	
  job	
  losses	
  on	
  immigration	
  for	
  which	
  there	
  is	
  no	
  evidence,	
  and	
  real	
  data	
  
indicates	
  otherwise,	
  we	
  should	
  focus	
  on	
  the	
  real	
  causes	
  of	
  the	
  downturn	
  in	
  the	
  economy	
  and	
  
consequent	
  loss	
  of	
  jobs.	
  	
  Two	
  unfunded	
  wars	
  in	
  Iraq	
  and	
  Afghanistan	
  were	
  significant	
  
contributors	
  to	
  the	
  economic	
  down	
  turn.	
  	
  In	
  addition	
  to	
  the	
  actual	
  expenditures	
  that	
  would	
  end	
  
up,	
  according	
  to	
  Harvard	
  University’s	
  Kennedy	
  School	
  of	
  Government,	
  to	
  be	
  as	
  much	
  as	
  $6	
  
trillion24,	
  war	
  drains	
  resources	
  from	
  productive	
  use,	
  which	
  in	
  turn	
  reduces	
  productive	
  capacity	
  
of	
  the	
  economy.	
  	
  	
  Increased	
  military	
  spending	
  that	
  occurred	
  also	
  caused	
  contributed	
  to	
  a	
  large	
  
trade	
  deficit,	
  with	
  potential	
  trade	
  deficits	
  of	
  almost	
  $90	
  billion	
  after	
  ten	
  years,	
  over	
  $130	
  billion	
  
after	
  twenty	
  years,	
  and	
  more	
  than	
  $2	
  trillion	
  to	
  the	
  U.S.	
  foreign	
  indebtedness	
  over	
  a	
  twenty	
  
year	
  period25.	
  	
  According	
  to	
  the	
  Institute	
  for	
  Economics	
  and	
  Peace26,	
  the	
  recent	
  U.S.	
  wars,	
  
which	
  were	
  entirely	
  financed	
  by	
  debt,	
  unlike	
  other	
  wars	
  they	
  studied,	
  are	
  “having	
  severe	
  
unsustainable	
  structural	
  imbalances	
  in	
  its	
  government	
  finances."	
  	
  The	
  biggest	
  contributor	
  to	
  the	
  
recession	
  and	
  massive	
  shedding	
  of	
  jobs,	
  however,	
  is	
  the	
  collapse	
  of	
  the	
  housing	
  bubble	
  that	
  
rapidly	
  destroyed	
  almost	
  $2.6	
  trillion	
  in	
  housing	
  bubble	
  wealth	
  in	
  the	
  country.	
  	
  Prior	
  to	
  these	
  
events,	
  government	
  policies	
  such	
  as	
  those	
  focused	
  on	
  deregulation	
  and	
  NAFTA,	
  and	
  consumer	
  
demand	
  for	
  cheap	
  products,	
  started	
  the	
  trend	
  that	
  finally	
  succumbed	
  to	
  the	
  effects	
  of	
  the	
  wars	
  
fought	
  on	
  “credit	
  card”	
  and	
  the	
  collapse	
  of	
  the	
  housing	
  bubble.	
  	
  	
  
	
  
Conclusions	
  from	
  the	
  foregoing	
  lead	
  to	
  the	
  fact	
  that	
  a	
  common	
  sense	
  immigration	
  strategy	
  
would	
  be	
  beneficial	
  for	
  the	
  U.S.	
  and	
  Americans.	
  	
  While	
  all	
  countries	
  should	
  have	
  adequate	
  
control	
  of	
  their	
  borders	
  and	
  who	
  they	
  allow	
  into	
  the	
  country,	
  a	
  system	
  and	
  process	
  that	
  works	
  
best	
  for	
  the	
  country	
  through	
  leveraging	
  local	
  and	
  global	
  talents	
  and	
  resources	
  need	
  to	
  be	
  
adopted.	
  The	
  world	
  is	
  getting	
  much	
  smaller,	
  moving	
  much	
  faster	
  and	
  talents	
  are	
  presenting	
  
themselves	
  through	
  various,	
  sometimes-­‐unexpected,	
  avenues.	
  	
  No	
  one	
  seeing	
  Jan	
  Koum,	
  a	
  16	
  
year	
  old	
  immigrant	
  with	
  a	
  single	
  mother	
  from	
  Ukraine	
  on	
  public	
  assistance	
  would	
  have	
  
imagined	
  that	
  he	
  would	
  be	
  founding	
  a	
  company	
  that	
  would	
  sell	
  for	
  $19	
  billion	
  20	
  years	
  later.	
  
We	
  submit	
  that	
  the	
  U.S.,	
  with	
  its	
  current	
  immigration	
  policy,	
  is	
  not	
  adequately	
  positioning	
  itself	
  
for	
  sustained	
  superiority	
  in	
  the	
  global	
  economy	
  beyond	
  the	
  21st	
  century.	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
	
  

23

http://www.aei.org/speech/society-and-culture/immigration/immigration-and-its-contribution-to-our-economicstrength/	
  
24

	
  http://www.hks.harvard.edu/news-­‐events/news/articles/bilmes-­‐iraq-­‐afghan-­‐war-­‐cost-­‐wp	
  

25
26

The Recession and the War in Iraq CEPR Fact Sheet, The Cost of War
http://economicsandpeace.org/

	
  
Chip	
  Evans,	
  Ph.D.	
  	
  	
  

www.theevansgroupllc.com	
  

	
  

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US Immigrants - Friends or Fiends

  • 1. U.S.  Immigrants:  Friends  or  Fiends?   www.theevansgroupllc.com     Chip  Evans,  Ph.D.,  Sola  Lamikanra,  Ph.D.,  Robert  Klemyk  and  Dziko  Thunde,  MBA    
  • 2. U.S. Immigrants: Friends or Fiends? The  average  American  is  familiar  with  the  phrase  “we  are  a  nation  of  immigrants.”    There  is  also   common  agreement  that  the  unique  opportunity  for  the  United  States’  rapid  industrialization   and  economic  development,  which  resulted  in  its  rise  to  becoming  the  preeminent  global   superpower,  lies  in  the  collective  advantage  that  immigrants  provided  the  country.      The  value   of  immigrants  to  prosperity  of  the  nation  was  acknowledged  for  the  first  time  during  Abraham   Lincoln’s  administration  in  an  1868  Congressional  report  which  stated  that  “the  rapid  growth   and  prosperity  of  the  country  greatly  depends  upon  foreign  emigration”  and  that  immigrants   would  aid  the  American  dream  of  “making  this  republic  the  freest  and  the  most  powerful   empire  of  the  world)”1.    The  debate  over  the  value  of  immigrants  and  their  impact  on  the  socio-­‐ economic  wellbeing  of  the  U.S.  and  the  number  of  immigrants  that  should  be  allowed  into  the   country  has,  however,  taken  different  turns  over  the  years  by  the  “new  natives”  who   sometimes  see  immigration  as  threatening  to  their  prosperity  and  to  the  American  dream.    For   several  years,  different  formulas  have  been  used  to  determine  the  number  of  immigrants  from   each  region  of  the  world  that  should  be  allowed  to  come  to  the  U.S.    While  most  people  would   agree  that  some  level  of  immigration  should  be  allowed,  there  continues  to  be  disagreement  on   the  number  and  types  of  people  to  allow  into  the  country.         Immigration  phobia  is  often  driven  by  political  concerns  and  posturing  that  play  on  concerns  of   some  Americans  that  immigrants  will  overwhelm  public  assistance  programs,  “steal”  jobs  from   Americans,  cause  major  demographic  shifts  and  increase  the  crime  rate.    It  is  also  common  to   ascribe  some  of  the  blame  of  the  most  recent  worst  recession  since  the  Great  Depression  to  the   influx  of  migrants  that  have  decreased  demand  to  hire  Americans.      Facts  are  often  ignored   and/or  manipulated  in  emotionally  charged  arguments  on  the  topic.    Influx  of  over  11  million   undocumented  immigrants  over  a  number  of  years  has  further  elevated  the  stakes  on  how   Americans  view  the  newer  migrants,  their  value  to  society,  and  what  to  do  with  them  and  with   children  of  illegal  immigrants.  States  with  the  highest  illegal  immigrant  populations  are  believed   to  be  California,  Texas,  Florida,  Illinois  and  New  York2.    The  difficulty  in  passing  a  bill  that  in   effect  acknowledges  the  inevitable  fact  that  these  immigrants  are  already  well  entrenched   within  the  socio-­‐economic  fabric  of  the  U.S.  underscores  the  assertion  that  politics  and  fear  of   losing  power  sometimes  prevails  over  what  is  best  for  the  country.    Estimate  of  taxes  paid  by   undocumented  immigrants  in  2010  was  $11.2  billion.    This  includes  $1.2  billion  in  income  taxes,   $1.6  billion  in  property  taxes,  and  $8.4 billion  in  sales  taxes3.    Although  illegal  immigrants  were   initially  concentrated  in  agriculture,  by  2006  they  appeared  to  represent  24%  of  all  workers   employed  in farming  occupations,  17%  in  cleaning,  14%  in  construction  and  12%  in  food   preparation4.    Most  Americans,  across  all  demographic  and  political  groups  already  support   establishing  a  pathway  for  illegal  immigrants  already  in  the  country  to  stay  and  ultimately   1 2 3 4  http://voices.yahoo.com/the-contributions-immigrants-united-states-88831.html?cat=37    http://cis.org/node/3877#illegal http://www.immigrationpolicy.org/just-facts/unauthorized-immigrants-pay-taxes-too http://knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/article/the-immigration-debate-its-impact-on-workers-wages-and-employers/   Chip  Evans,  Ph.D.       www.theevansgroupllc.com    
  • 3. U.S. Immigrants: Friends or Fiends? acquire  citizenship5.    Redistricting  that  occurred  after  the  2010  elections  resulted  in  House   members  representing  narrower,  more  homogenous  districts  than  the  senators  who  run   statewide.    The  lack  of  consequence  for  not  working  across  party  lines  and  the  need  by  the   legislators  to  win  the  next  election,  particularly  in  very  conservative  districts,  further   complicates  the  immigration  debate.       A  very  interesting  aspect  of  this  debate  is  that  the  far  right  conservatives  often  tend  to  be  the   most  resistant  group  to  immigration  reform.    This,  in  fact,  is  a  shift  from  their  doctrine,  as  there   is  a  preponderance  of  evidence  that  immigration,  in  several  ways,  helps  to  maintain  American   global  superiority  and  its  status  as  a  global  superpower.    This  group  interestingly  sees  their   “brand”  as  being  defined  by  better  ownership  of  the  concept  of  American  exceptionalism.    Of   the  three  planks  that  guide  conservative  philosophy:  preservation  of  traditional   institutions/beliefs,  distrust  of  government  activism,  and  opposition  to  sudden  change,  the   latter  seems  to  be  the  only  one  that  could  be  used  to  explain  their  heightened  resistance  to   immigration  reform.    The  change  in  demography  of    U.S.  residents  has,  however,  not  been   sudden,  as  the  trend  over  several  years  indicates  that  the  country  progressively  gets  larger  with   an  aging  population,  and  more  racially  and  ethnically  diverse6.    Ethnic  minorities  are  the  main   victims  of  anti-­‐immigrant  bias,  which  often  includes  a  perception  by  the  far  right  that  these  are   uneducated  lower  class  individuals  “invading”  the  country.    The  shift  in  status  quo  and  fear  of   the  potential  weakening  of  power  previously  held  by  a  sector  of  the  population  that  would   result  from  the  inevitable  demographic  trend  seems  to  be  of  more  concern  than  benefits  from   immigration  that  far  outweigh  any  possible  downside.    Technology  is  making  the  world  smaller   and  factors  that  impact  strong  leadership  in  the  global  economy  are  rapidly  changing.    Failure   to  embrace  a  comprehensive  immigration  agenda  could  weaken  what  is  arguably  the  country’s   uniqueness  and  strongest  competitive  advantage.   The  critical  importance  of  small  businesses  to  the  American  economy  and  its  stability  is  quite   evident.    They  are  by  far  the  stimulus  for  entrepreneurship  and  creativity,  and  account  for  over   60%  of  all  private  non-­‐farm  jobs.    The  U.S.  has  over  twenty  seven  million  small  businesses   generating  about  50%  of  the  gross  domestic  product  (GDP).      The  millions  of  individuals  that   started  small  businesses  in  the  U.  S.  helped  shape  the  business  world  to  make  it  what  it  is   today7.    Small  businesses  considerably  impact  the  economy  through  job  creation  and   innovation.    The  share  of  U.S.  small  businesses  owned  by  immigrants  grew  by  50%  since  1990,   with  a  fifth  of  the  small  business  owners  born  outside  the  country.    Immigrants  create   businesses  at  higher  rates  than  American  born  workers,  particularly  in  the  high-­‐tech  sector.         They  were  key  founders  in  one-­‐quarter  of  all  U.S.  high-­‐tech  startups  between  1995  and  2005,   including  over  half  of  high-­‐tech  start-­‐ups  in  the  Silicon  Valley  during  that  period.    Small   5 http://www.people-press.org/2013/03/28/most-say-illegal-immigrants-should-be-allowed-to-stay-but-citizenship-ismore-divisive/ 6 Shrestha, B.L and Heisler, E.J. The Changing Demographic Profile of the United States. CRS Report for Congress March 31, 2011   7  http://www.sba.gov/content/small-business-economy-2010   Chip  Evans,  Ph.D.       www.theevansgroupllc.com    
  • 4. U.S. Immigrants: Friends or Fiends? businesses  owned  by  immigrants  employed  an  estimated  4.7  million  people  in  2007,  and  have   generated  more  than  $776  billion  annually8.      Immigrants  started  25  percent  of  public  U.S.   companies  that  were  backed  by  venture  capital  investors.  This  list  includes  Google,  eBay,   Yahoo!  Sun  Microsystems,  and  Intel9.    A  very  recent  and  remarkable  American  story  is  the  $19   billion  purchase  of  WhatsAPP  from  Jan  Koum  and  Brian  Acton  by  Facebook.    Koum,  who   migrated  at  the  age  of  16  from  Kiev,  Ukraine  right  after  the  break  up  of  the  Soviet  Union,  and   later  a  college  dropout,  once  lived  on  food  stamps  for  a  number  of  years  with  his  single  mother.     He  ended  up  co-­‐founding  WhatsAPP  in  2009.    The  level  of  innovation  and  creativity  is  evidenced   by  the  fact  that  with  only  55  employees,  WhatsAPP  generates  an  estimated    $1  billion  in  annual   sales.         In  spite  of  the  widely  held  belief  that  immigrants  and  offshoring  are  reducing  job  opportunities   of  American-­‐born  workers,  studies  indicate  that  sectors  with  a  larger  increase  in  global   exposure  (through  offshoring  and  immigration)  fared  better  than  those  with  less  exposure  in   terms  of  native  employment  growth10.    A  comprehensive  study  by  the  Centre  for  Economic   Research  of  the  London  School  of  Economics  and  Political  Science  for  example,  recently   reported  results  of  tested  predictions  of  a  model  on  U.S.  data  from  58  manufacturing  industries   over  the  years  2000-­‐2007.  Their  results  indicate  a  positive  productivity  effect  and  increased   native  employment  as  a  result  of  immigration.    Their  results  are  consistent  with  the  fact  that   less  educated  immigrants  are  employed  in  the  more  manual-­‐routine  tasks  and  on  average  do   not  compete  within  the  occupations  in  which  the  bulk  of  native  workers  are  employed,  which   tend  to  be  more  non-­‐routine  and  cognitive  intensive.  Immigrants,  they  found,  compete  more   with  offshore  workers.  This  indicates  that  increased  immigration  would  induce  firms  to  move   production  from  offshore  workers  to  immigrants.  At  the  same  time,  immigration  seems  to  be   associated  with  cost-­‐savings  and  a  corresponding  increase  in  productivity  so  that  its  aggregate   effect  on  the  level  of  employment  of  low-­‐skilled  native  American-­‐born  workers  is  positive.    The   research  also  found  increased  offshoring  reduces  the  share  of  American-­‐born  workers’   employment  in  a  sector.  However,  it  also  stimulates  overall  sector  employment  so  that  it  has  no   overall  impact  on  the  level  of  native  American  employment.         The  effect  of  immigration  over  a  period  from  1990  to  2006  was  a  small  positive  effect  on  the   wages  of  American-­‐born  workers  with  no  high  school  degree  (between  0.6%  and  +1.7%),  and   the  average  American  wages  (+0.6%).    Immigration,  however,  had  a  substantial  negative  effect   on  wages  (-­‐6.7%)  of  previous  immigrants11.    Less  educated  foreign-­‐born  workers  specialize  in   occupations  intensive  in  manual-­‐physical  labor  skills,  while  American-­‐born  workers  pursue  jobs   more  intensive  in  communication-­‐language  tasks.  The  complementary  nature  of  skills  can   explain  why  economic  analyses  find  only  modest  wage  consequences  of  immigration  for  less   8 http://www.fiscalpolicy.org/immigrant-small-business-owners-FPI-20120614.pdf http://www.nvca.org/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=254:american-made-the-impact-ofimmigrant-entrepreneurs-and-professionals-on-us-competitiveness&catid=40:research 10 http://cep.lse.ac.uk/pubs/download/dp1147.pdf   9 11 Gianmarco, I. Ottaviano, P. and Giovanni, P. Rethinking the effect of Immigration on Wages. Journal of the European Economic Association, Volume 10, Issue 1, pages 152–197, February 2012   Chip  Evans,  Ph.D.       www.theevansgroupllc.com    
  • 5. U.S. Immigrants: Friends or Fiends? educated  American-­‐born  workers12.    In  urban  areas,  for  example,  economic  growth  has  a  direct   correlation  with  increases  in  an  immigrant’s  share  of  the  work  force13.    Most  people  are  more   tolerant  of  allowing  highly  skilled  immigrants  into  the  country  because  of  the  belief  that  they   contribute  to  economic  growth,  unlike  low-­‐skilled  workers  that  are  perceived  to  be  a  burden  on   public  services  and  a  drag  to  the  economy.    The  fastest  economic  growth  between  1990  and   2008,  however,  were  not  in  cities  that  primarily  attracted  high-­‐wage  foreigners.      They  occurred   in  places  like  Atlanta,  Denver  and  Phoenix  that  attracted  large  influxes  of  immigrants  with  a  mix   of  occupations,  including  low-­‐wage  and  blue-­‐collar  workers.    In  Denver,  where  the  economy   doubled  between  1990  and  2008,  63%  of  immigrants  worked  in  jobs  on  the  lower  end  of  the   pay  scale.  In  light  of  this,  it  seems  logical  for  Congress  to  examine  the  level  of  priority  given  to   high-­‐skilled,  high-­‐earning  immigrants  and  narrower  channels  for  low-­‐wage  workers.     Research  conducted  at  UCLA  also  shows  that  legalizing  our  nation’s  undocumented  immigrant   population  and  reforming  our  legal  immigration  system  would  add  a  cumulative  $1.5  trillion  to   U.S.  GDP  over  a  decade14.    The  Center  for  American  Progress  report  indicates  that   comprehensive  immigration  reform  would  help  to  create  up  to  900,000  new  jobs  within  three   years  of  reform  from  increased  consumer  spending.    An  interesting  trend  that  is  worth   mentioning  is  the  potential  impact  of  the  rising  wages  in  China.    According  to  Bloomberg   BusinessWeek,  adjusted  wages  for  Mexico’s  superior  worker  productivity  are  likely  to  be  30%   lower  than  in  China  by  201515.    Currently,  the  main  concern  is  that  Mexico  poses  a  high  illegal   migration  problem  to  the  U.S.  because  of  its  close  proximity  and  poverty  in  the  country.    The   lower  wages  in  Mexico  relative  to  China  and  a  number  of  other  considerations,  including  its   proximity  to  the  U.S.,  will  soon  make  the  country  more  attractive  for  outsourcing  than  China.     The  U.S.,  instead  of  fighting  illegal  immigration  from  Mexico,  will  now  be  buying  from  the   country  as  an  outsourcing  nation.       The  shift  in  U.S.  employment  patterns  appears  to  be  more  related  to  deregulation  of  major   sectors  of  the  economy  and  reductions  in  social  spending  started  by  President  Reagan  than   immigration16.      It  is  no  coincidence  that  the  rise  in  the  Chinese  economy  began  during  the   Reagan  presidency.    Implementation  of  these  policies  by  Reagan  and  his  successors  were   accompanied  by  deindustrialization,  plant  closures  and  outsourcing,  as  U.S.  companies  took   advantage  of  opportunities  for  cheaper  products  manufactured  outside  the  USA.    High  paying   manufacturing  jobs  were  lost  and  low-­‐paying  service  sector  jobs  increased.  The  North  American   Free  Trade  Agreement  (NAFTA),  for  example,  was  packaged  as  a  treaty  that  would  help  create   good-­‐paying  American  jobs.    President  Clinton,  who  signed  the  bill  negotiated  by  George  H.W.   Bush,  predicted  that  it  would  increase  the  trade  surplus  with  Mexico.    NAFTA,  in  effect,   12 Peri, Giovanni, and Chad Sparber. 2009. "Task Specialization, Immigration, and Wages." American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 1(3): 135-69. 13 http://www.nytimes.com/2010/04/16/us/16skilled.html?pagewanted=1&_r=0 14 http://www.americanprogress.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/09/immigrationeconreport3.pdf   15  http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2013-06-27/four-reasons-mexico-is-becoming-a-global-manufacturingpower 16 http://www.beacon.org/client/PDFs/4156_excerpt.pdf   Chip  Evans,  Ph.D.       www.theevansgroupllc.com    
  • 6. U.S. Immigrants: Friends or Fiends? provided  new  privileges  and  protections  for  foreign  investors  that  encouraged  offshoring   through  elimination  of  risks  previously  encountered  when  locating  manufacturing  in  low-­‐wage   countries.    The  result  of  this  has  been  the  conversion  of  an  otherwise  trade  surplus  of  $181   billion  into  a  U.S.  trade  deficit  with  NAFTA  partners  Mexico  and  Canada,  one  million  net  U.S.   jobs  lost  because  of  NAFTA  and  a  doubling  of  immigration  from  Mexico17.  American  companies   and  consumers,  with  help  from  government  policies,  thus  created  an  unsustainable  high  profit-­‐ cheap  product  model.  It  has,  however,  also  been  suggested  that  automation  might  have  a   greater  impact  on  loss  of  manufacturing  jobs  in  the  U.S.  than  offshoring,  and  that  increasingly   sophisticated  machines  will  ultimately  displace  low-­‐skilled  foreign  labor  as  well18.     The  main  advantage  that  the  United  States  has  over  all  other  countries  in  the  midst  of  the   rapidly  changing  global  economy  is  its  unmatched  ability  to  innovate.    For  this  reason,  the  most   innovative  companies  have  become  activists  in  the  effort  to  encourage  increased  legal   immigration.    Our  most  respected  innovators  and  entrepreneurs,  including  the  late  Steve  Jobs   argue  in  favor  of  attracting  and  retaining  the  brightest  foreign-­‐born  scientists  and  engineers   and  that  the  low  levels  of  H-­‐1B  visas  issued,  particularly  for  highly  talented  individuals  trained  in   the  U.S.,  constitutes  an  immigrant  exodus  that  is  a  reverse  brain  drain.    These  U.S.  trained   talents  when  sent  back  will  end  up  competing  against  the  United  States  from  their  respective   countries  earning  lower  and  more  competitive  wages.    A  recent  study  shows  that  a  percentage   of  U.S.  companies  funded  by  immigrants  declined  from  25.3%  to  24.3%  since  2005,  and  the   proportion  of  immigrant-­‐founded  start-­‐ups  in  the  Silicon  Valley  fell  from  52.4%  to  43.9%  over   the  same  period  of  time19.    This  is  a  trend  that  must  not  be  allowed  to  continue.    Mark   Zuckerberg  correctly  noted  that  the  U.S.  has  a  strange  immigration  policy  for  a  nation  of   immigrants,  and  that  it  is  “unfit  for  today’s  world”20.    The  joint  effort  by  Zuckerberg,  top   executives  and  founders  from  Google,  Yahoo,  LinkedIn,  and  several  top  venture  capitalists  to   influence  the  U.S.  immigration  policy,  is  an  indication  of  the  urgent  need  to  leverage  top  talents   globally  that  would  help  retain  the  American  entrepreneurial  leadership  in  this  rapidly  changing   global  economy.   The  most  important  value  of  many  immigrants  to  the  U.S.  economy  appears  to  be  in   innovation.  Despite  making  up  only  16  percent  of  the  resident  population  holding  a  bachelor’s   degree  or  higher,  immigrants  represent  33  percent  of  engineers,  27  percent  of  mathematicians,   statisticians,  and  computer  scientists,  and  24  percent  of  physical  scientists21.  Additionally,  in   2011,  foreign-­‐born  inventors  were  credited  with  contributing  to  more  than  75  percent  of   patents  issued  to  the  top  10  patent-­‐producing  universities22.    This  in  turn  has  been  shown  to   17 18 19 20 21 22 http://www.citizen.org/documents/NAFTA-at-20.pdf http://www.cnn.com/2012/07/23/opinion/salam-economy-woe/    http://business.time.com/2012/10/11/vivek-wadhwa-stop-the-u-s-highly-skilled-immigrant-exodus-now/ http://business.time.com/2013/04/12/why-mark-zuckerberg-is-pushing-in-immigration-reform/#ixzz2tnqKLGc2 http://www.census.gov/prod/2013pubs/acs-24.pdf http://fiscalpolicy.org/immigrant-small-business-owners-a-significant-and-growing-part-of-the-economy   Chip  Evans,  Ph.D.       www.theevansgroupllc.com    
  • 7. U.S. Immigrants: Friends or Fiends? help  increase  the  innovation  rate  among  American  born  workers,  boosting  overall  patent   activity,  attracting  additional  resources  and  increased  areas  of  specialization23.       Rather  than  blame  job  losses  on  immigration  for  which  there  is  no  evidence,  and  real  data   indicates  otherwise,  we  should  focus  on  the  real  causes  of  the  downturn  in  the  economy  and   consequent  loss  of  jobs.    Two  unfunded  wars  in  Iraq  and  Afghanistan  were  significant   contributors  to  the  economic  down  turn.    In  addition  to  the  actual  expenditures  that  would  end   up,  according  to  Harvard  University’s  Kennedy  School  of  Government,  to  be  as  much  as  $6   trillion24,  war  drains  resources  from  productive  use,  which  in  turn  reduces  productive  capacity   of  the  economy.      Increased  military  spending  that  occurred  also  caused  contributed  to  a  large   trade  deficit,  with  potential  trade  deficits  of  almost  $90  billion  after  ten  years,  over  $130  billion   after  twenty  years,  and  more  than  $2  trillion  to  the  U.S.  foreign  indebtedness  over  a  twenty   year  period25.    According  to  the  Institute  for  Economics  and  Peace26,  the  recent  U.S.  wars,   which  were  entirely  financed  by  debt,  unlike  other  wars  they  studied,  are  “having  severe   unsustainable  structural  imbalances  in  its  government  finances."    The  biggest  contributor  to  the   recession  and  massive  shedding  of  jobs,  however,  is  the  collapse  of  the  housing  bubble  that   rapidly  destroyed  almost  $2.6  trillion  in  housing  bubble  wealth  in  the  country.    Prior  to  these   events,  government  policies  such  as  those  focused  on  deregulation  and  NAFTA,  and  consumer   demand  for  cheap  products,  started  the  trend  that  finally  succumbed  to  the  effects  of  the  wars   fought  on  “credit  card”  and  the  collapse  of  the  housing  bubble.         Conclusions  from  the  foregoing  lead  to  the  fact  that  a  common  sense  immigration  strategy   would  be  beneficial  for  the  U.S.  and  Americans.    While  all  countries  should  have  adequate   control  of  their  borders  and  who  they  allow  into  the  country,  a  system  and  process  that  works   best  for  the  country  through  leveraging  local  and  global  talents  and  resources  need  to  be   adopted.  The  world  is  getting  much  smaller,  moving  much  faster  and  talents  are  presenting   themselves  through  various,  sometimes-­‐unexpected,  avenues.    No  one  seeing  Jan  Koum,  a  16   year  old  immigrant  with  a  single  mother  from  Ukraine  on  public  assistance  would  have   imagined  that  he  would  be  founding  a  company  that  would  sell  for  $19  billion  20  years  later.   We  submit  that  the  U.S.,  with  its  current  immigration  policy,  is  not  adequately  positioning  itself   for  sustained  superiority  in  the  global  economy  beyond  the  21st  century.                 23 http://www.aei.org/speech/society-and-culture/immigration/immigration-and-its-contribution-to-our-economicstrength/   24  http://www.hks.harvard.edu/news-­‐events/news/articles/bilmes-­‐iraq-­‐afghan-­‐war-­‐cost-­‐wp   25 26 The Recession and the War in Iraq CEPR Fact Sheet, The Cost of War http://economicsandpeace.org/   Chip  Evans,  Ph.D.       www.theevansgroupllc.com