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Investing in our Energy Future



                  Secretary Steven Chu
             U.S. Department of Energy
                      Washington, D.C.
                   September 21, 2009
Recovery Act is making a down payment
     on a clean energy economy

                 Creating jobs immediately
                     Investing in our energy
                    infrastructure to provide
                          lasting value
“The nation that leads the world in creating a new
  clean energy economy will be the nation that
     leads the 21st century global economy.”
                              -- President Obama
“We'll fund a better, smarter electricity
                  grid and train workers to build it -- a grid
                  that will help us ship wind and solar
                  power from one end of this country to
                  another.”
                  “Think about it. The grid that powers the
                  tools of modern life -- computers,
                  appliances, even BlackBerrys -- looks
                  largely the same as it did half a century
                  ago.”
                                    President Barack Obama

To meet the energy challenge and create a 21st century
 energy economy, we need a 21st century electric grid
Recovery Act will double
                                 non-hydroelectric
                               renewable generation
Billions of kilowatt hours




                             Source: EIA -- An Updated Annual Energy Outlook 2009 Reference Case
Recovery Act will set the stage for
widespread deployment of plug-in
     hybrid electric vehicles


               Recently made $2.4 billion
                 investment in advanced
              batteries – the largest battery
               investment in world history

                 Today, 99 percent of
                batteries for hybrids are
                     made in Japan
The Recovery Act invests in
           grid modernization
                      Grid Modernization-
                      $4.5 billion including
                           Smart Grid
                       Investment Grants
                      and Demonstrations

  $750 million for   WAPA and BPA – total
transmission loan       of $6.5 billion in
    guarantees        borrowing authority
Today, we are announcing:

              The availability of $100 million
                To train a new generation of
                        utility workers


 $44.2 million in awards to State Public
          Utility Commissions
 To hire and retrain PUC staff as utilities
      ramp up Smart Grid activities
The Smart Grid: What is it?


• Dynamic optimization of grid operations
  and resources
• Incorporation of demand response and
  consumer participation


Measurement     Visualization    Automation
Smart Grid is a key enabler to
    Grid Modernization
Renewable Integration – Addressing variability
and intermittence of large-scale wind generation

Energy Storage – Providing regulation and load shaping



Load Management – Making consumer demand
an active tool in reducing the peak


System Transparency – Seeing and operating the grid as a
national system in real-time


Cyber Security and Physical Security –Securing the physical
infrastructure and two-way communication and data exchange
Solar energy sources are highly variable


                                    Output from
                                     an 8MW
                                     solar PV
            81 % drop in             panel in
             5 minutes              Colorado on
                                      9/4/08

                                       High
                                    variability
                                      due to
                                     clouds

     Xcel Energy – Alamosa System
                                                  11
Wind requires substantial balancing reserves
                                                                                                 Jan. 5-25, 2009
 10000


     9000


     8000


     7000


     6000
MW




     5000


     4000

                                                                                                                                 BPA TOTAL WIND GENERATION
     3000


     2000                                                                                                                        BPA BALANCING AUTHORITY AREA LOAD

     1000


       0
            1/5/09

                     1/6/09

                              1/7/09

                                       1/8/09

                                                1/9/09

                                                         1/10/09

                                                                   1/11/09

                                                                             1/12/09

                                                                                       1/13/09

                                                                                                  1/14/09

                                                                                                            1/15/09

                                                                                                                      1/16/09

                                                                                                                                1/17/09

                                                                                                                                          1/18/09

                                                                                                                                                    1/19/09

                                                                                                                                                              1/20/09

                                                                                                                                                                        1/21/09

                                                                                                                                                                                  1/22/09

                                                                                                                                                                                            1/23/09

                                                                                                                                                                                                      1/24/09

                                                                                                                                                                                                                1/25/09
                                                                                  Date/Time (5-min increments)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                          12
BPA is installing 14 anemometers for next-hour wind forecasts to adjust generation
   and make more efficient use of combined wind, hydro and other resources.

 They are also working on Dynamic Transfer to reliably let a power plant in one
       balancing authority supply reserves to another balancing authority.




                                                                                     13
Variable Generation Affects Grid Operations
          No wind          11% renewables




      23% renewables       35% renewables




                                              14
Smart Grid is a key enabler to
    Grid Modernization
Renewable Integration – Addressing variability and
intermittence of large-scale wind generation


Energy Storage – Providing regulation and load
shaping

Load Management – Making consumer demand
an active tool in reducing the peak


System Transparency – Seeing and operating the grid as a
national system in real-time


Cyber Security and Physical Security –Securing the physical
infrastructure and two-way communication and data exchange
                                                           15
Energy Storage is critical to grid operations




                                                16
Energy Storage is Critical to Grid Operations




                                                17
Pumped Storage
                       Pumped Storage can provide:
                         Rapid response in “pump-up” and
                       generating modes to offset wind
                       generation variability
                         Store wind energy during lower
                       value periods
                         Prevent wind curtailment and
                       avoid new transmission investments
Grand Coulee Dam

       Additional capital and operating costs have to
    be compared to the cost of spinning reserves
       Energy losses (~20%) related to storage

                                                        18
Smart Grid is a key enabler to
    Grid Modernization
Renewable Integration – Addressing variability and
intermittence of large-scale wind generation


Energy Storage – Providing regulation and load shaping


Load Management – Making consumer demand
an active tool in reducing the peak

System Transparency – Seeing and operating the
grid as a national system in real-time


Cyber Security and Physical Security –Securing
the physical infrastructure and two-way
communication and data exchange                          19
Peak Reduction is Paramount

   Hourly Loads as Fraction of Peak, Sorted from Highest to Lowest

                              100%
                                          90%              generation
                              80%
    L o a d F a c to r (% )




                                          75%            Generation

                              60%
                                                         Distribution
                              40%
                                            5% = ~440 hrs/yr   distribution
                              20%

                               0%
                                     0%      20%       40%        60%         80%        100%
                                                                                    (8,760 hrs)

                                                     Percentage of Year
>25% of distribution and >10% of generation assets are needed
  less than 5% of the time ($100s of billions of investments)
Achieving peak demand reduction
                            requires a Smart Grid and dynamic pricing
                                                                                                         25%
                             Other DR
                             Interruptible Tariffs                                        188 GW,                                  Light blue:
                                                                                        20% of peak
                      200    DLC
                                                                                                         20%
                                                                                                                                   reductions
                             Pricing w/o Tech
Peak Reduction (GW)




                                                                                                                                     through




                                                                                                                % of Peak Demand
                             Pricing w/Tech
                                                                        138 GW,
                      150                                             14% of peak                                                   dynamic
                                                                                                         15%
                                                                                                                                      pricing
                                                      82 GW,
                      100                            9% of peak                                          10%
                                                                                                                                   Dark blue:
                              38 GW,
                      50     4% of peak                                                                  5%
                                                                                                                                   reductions
                                                                                                                                     through
                                                                                                                                   Smart Grid
                       0                                                                                 0%
                                                Universal All Demand
                                                                                                                                   technology
                       Business as  Expanded
                                                advanced Response tools
                          usual    current best
                                                metering (e.g. direct load
                                    practices
                                                   and     control) fully
                                                 dynamic    deployed
                                                  pricing
                                                                  Source: FERC, June 2009 National Assessment of Demand Response Potential
Changing Consumer Behavior

                         Empower consumers
                           through better
                             information

                          Give consumers the
                         tools and incentives to
                          manage their energy
                           use and eliminate
                                 waste


Demand response programmability must
 be as easy and automatic as possible.
Automated Demand Response Saves
           Capacity and Energy
Electric load profile for PG&E participants on 8/30/2007
Is the grid ready
        for
Plug-In Hybrids?



Plug-in Hybrid Vehicles:
2009    Fisker Karma S
2010    Toyota Plug-in Prius                                  Battery Electric Vehicles:
2010(?) BMW Mini E                                            2010         Chevy Volt EREV
2010    Saturn VUE                                            2010         Chrysler EV
2011    BYD F3DM                                              2010         Miles EV
2012    Ford                                                  2010         Mitsubishi iMiEV BEV
2012    Volvo                                                 2010         Nissan BEV
                                                              2010         Ford Battery Electric Van
                                                              2010         Tesla Roadster Sport EV

Source: Electric Drive Transportation Association (Updated June 1, 2009)
Typical Charging Scenarios

                                                                                           Filling the Valley
                                                                                                                  =
                                                                                                                                           ???




Source: Lemoine, Kammen, and Farrell 2008. An Innovation and Policy Agenda for Commercially Competitive Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicles
Smart Grid is a key enabler to
    Grid Modernization
Renewable Integration – Addressing variability and intermittence
of large-scale wind generation


Energy Storage – Providing regulation and load shaping



Load Management – Making consumer demand
an active tool in reducing the peak


System Transparency – Seeing and operating
the grid as a national system in real-time

Cyber Security and Physical Security –Securing the
physical infrastructure and two-way communication and
data exchange
Phasors could have prevented
                             the 2003 blackout


                                                         Phasors would
                                                         have given grid
                                                         operators 30-40
                                                        minutes warning
                                                          that problems
                                                        were developing
                                                        in Northern Ohio


Source: www.nerc.com
Angles are based on data from blackout analysis.
Angle reference is Browns Ferry.




               Estimates of 2003 blackout’s cost: $6 – 10 billion
Goal: sensor-based operations and
        dynamic modeling
      Frequency and            Grid stress -
 response to system events   Angle separation
Smart Grid is a key enabler to
    Grid Modernization
Renewable Integration – Addressing variability and intermittence
of large-scale wind generation


Energy Storage – Providing regulation and load shaping



Load Management – Making consumer demand
an active tool in reducing the peak

System Transparency – Seeing and operating the grid as a
national system in real-time


Cyber Security and Physical Security –
Securing the physical infrastructure and two-way
communication and data exchange
Control systems for critical applications must
  be designed, operated and maintained to
survive and intentional assault with no loss of
               critical function

 Advanced Tools/Technology
   Encryption
   Authentication
   Diagnostics
   Monitoring
   Forensic Analysis
Challenges

• Data Sharing/Data Ownership
• Standards
• Transmission Planning
We’re making progress on Smart Grid
      Interoperability standards

We’ve hosted two Smart           $10 million in
  Grid Interoperability      Recovery Act funding
 Standards workshops          transferred to NIST




Secretary Locke will have more to say on Thursday
Seven Percent of the U.S. Population
   Inhabits the Top Ten States for Wind




Blue - high wind potential,
Red - large demand centers, and
                                                  NERC, April 2009
Green - little wind and smaller demand centers.
                                                                     33
Reduce congestion – another
         priority




                    Aug 2006 DOE
                    Congestion Study




                                       34
Does the U.S. require an Extra High
          Voltage Grid?




          Predominantly DC Path

          Predominantly AC Path

          Station



                                      35
Questions?

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Secretary Chu Grid Week

  • 1. Investing in our Energy Future Secretary Steven Chu U.S. Department of Energy Washington, D.C. September 21, 2009
  • 2. Recovery Act is making a down payment on a clean energy economy Creating jobs immediately Investing in our energy infrastructure to provide lasting value “The nation that leads the world in creating a new clean energy economy will be the nation that leads the 21st century global economy.” -- President Obama
  • 3. “We'll fund a better, smarter electricity grid and train workers to build it -- a grid that will help us ship wind and solar power from one end of this country to another.” “Think about it. The grid that powers the tools of modern life -- computers, appliances, even BlackBerrys -- looks largely the same as it did half a century ago.” President Barack Obama To meet the energy challenge and create a 21st century energy economy, we need a 21st century electric grid
  • 4.
  • 5. Recovery Act will double non-hydroelectric renewable generation Billions of kilowatt hours Source: EIA -- An Updated Annual Energy Outlook 2009 Reference Case
  • 6. Recovery Act will set the stage for widespread deployment of plug-in hybrid electric vehicles Recently made $2.4 billion investment in advanced batteries – the largest battery investment in world history Today, 99 percent of batteries for hybrids are made in Japan
  • 7. The Recovery Act invests in grid modernization Grid Modernization- $4.5 billion including Smart Grid Investment Grants and Demonstrations $750 million for WAPA and BPA – total transmission loan of $6.5 billion in guarantees borrowing authority
  • 8. Today, we are announcing: The availability of $100 million To train a new generation of utility workers $44.2 million in awards to State Public Utility Commissions To hire and retrain PUC staff as utilities ramp up Smart Grid activities
  • 9. The Smart Grid: What is it? • Dynamic optimization of grid operations and resources • Incorporation of demand response and consumer participation Measurement Visualization Automation
  • 10. Smart Grid is a key enabler to Grid Modernization Renewable Integration – Addressing variability and intermittence of large-scale wind generation Energy Storage – Providing regulation and load shaping Load Management – Making consumer demand an active tool in reducing the peak System Transparency – Seeing and operating the grid as a national system in real-time Cyber Security and Physical Security –Securing the physical infrastructure and two-way communication and data exchange
  • 11. Solar energy sources are highly variable Output from an 8MW solar PV 81 % drop in panel in 5 minutes Colorado on 9/4/08 High variability due to clouds Xcel Energy – Alamosa System 11
  • 12. Wind requires substantial balancing reserves Jan. 5-25, 2009 10000 9000 8000 7000 6000 MW 5000 4000 BPA TOTAL WIND GENERATION 3000 2000 BPA BALANCING AUTHORITY AREA LOAD 1000 0 1/5/09 1/6/09 1/7/09 1/8/09 1/9/09 1/10/09 1/11/09 1/12/09 1/13/09 1/14/09 1/15/09 1/16/09 1/17/09 1/18/09 1/19/09 1/20/09 1/21/09 1/22/09 1/23/09 1/24/09 1/25/09 Date/Time (5-min increments) 12
  • 13. BPA is installing 14 anemometers for next-hour wind forecasts to adjust generation and make more efficient use of combined wind, hydro and other resources. They are also working on Dynamic Transfer to reliably let a power plant in one balancing authority supply reserves to another balancing authority. 13
  • 14. Variable Generation Affects Grid Operations No wind 11% renewables 23% renewables 35% renewables 14
  • 15. Smart Grid is a key enabler to Grid Modernization Renewable Integration – Addressing variability and intermittence of large-scale wind generation Energy Storage – Providing regulation and load shaping Load Management – Making consumer demand an active tool in reducing the peak System Transparency – Seeing and operating the grid as a national system in real-time Cyber Security and Physical Security –Securing the physical infrastructure and two-way communication and data exchange 15
  • 16. Energy Storage is critical to grid operations 16
  • 17. Energy Storage is Critical to Grid Operations 17
  • 18. Pumped Storage Pumped Storage can provide: Rapid response in “pump-up” and generating modes to offset wind generation variability Store wind energy during lower value periods Prevent wind curtailment and avoid new transmission investments Grand Coulee Dam Additional capital and operating costs have to be compared to the cost of spinning reserves Energy losses (~20%) related to storage 18
  • 19. Smart Grid is a key enabler to Grid Modernization Renewable Integration – Addressing variability and intermittence of large-scale wind generation Energy Storage – Providing regulation and load shaping Load Management – Making consumer demand an active tool in reducing the peak System Transparency – Seeing and operating the grid as a national system in real-time Cyber Security and Physical Security –Securing the physical infrastructure and two-way communication and data exchange 19
  • 20. Peak Reduction is Paramount Hourly Loads as Fraction of Peak, Sorted from Highest to Lowest 100% 90% generation 80% L o a d F a c to r (% ) 75% Generation 60% Distribution 40% 5% = ~440 hrs/yr distribution 20% 0% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% (8,760 hrs) Percentage of Year >25% of distribution and >10% of generation assets are needed less than 5% of the time ($100s of billions of investments)
  • 21. Achieving peak demand reduction requires a Smart Grid and dynamic pricing 25% Other DR Interruptible Tariffs 188 GW, Light blue: 20% of peak 200 DLC 20% reductions Pricing w/o Tech Peak Reduction (GW) through % of Peak Demand Pricing w/Tech 138 GW, 150 14% of peak dynamic 15% pricing 82 GW, 100 9% of peak 10% Dark blue: 38 GW, 50 4% of peak 5% reductions through Smart Grid 0 0% Universal All Demand technology Business as Expanded advanced Response tools usual current best metering (e.g. direct load practices and control) fully dynamic deployed pricing Source: FERC, June 2009 National Assessment of Demand Response Potential
  • 22. Changing Consumer Behavior Empower consumers through better information Give consumers the tools and incentives to manage their energy use and eliminate waste Demand response programmability must be as easy and automatic as possible.
  • 23. Automated Demand Response Saves Capacity and Energy Electric load profile for PG&E participants on 8/30/2007
  • 24. Is the grid ready for Plug-In Hybrids? Plug-in Hybrid Vehicles: 2009 Fisker Karma S 2010 Toyota Plug-in Prius Battery Electric Vehicles: 2010(?) BMW Mini E 2010 Chevy Volt EREV 2010 Saturn VUE 2010 Chrysler EV 2011 BYD F3DM 2010 Miles EV 2012 Ford 2010 Mitsubishi iMiEV BEV 2012 Volvo 2010 Nissan BEV 2010 Ford Battery Electric Van 2010 Tesla Roadster Sport EV Source: Electric Drive Transportation Association (Updated June 1, 2009)
  • 25. Typical Charging Scenarios Filling the Valley = ??? Source: Lemoine, Kammen, and Farrell 2008. An Innovation and Policy Agenda for Commercially Competitive Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicles
  • 26. Smart Grid is a key enabler to Grid Modernization Renewable Integration – Addressing variability and intermittence of large-scale wind generation Energy Storage – Providing regulation and load shaping Load Management – Making consumer demand an active tool in reducing the peak System Transparency – Seeing and operating the grid as a national system in real-time Cyber Security and Physical Security –Securing the physical infrastructure and two-way communication and data exchange
  • 27. Phasors could have prevented the 2003 blackout Phasors would have given grid operators 30-40 minutes warning that problems were developing in Northern Ohio Source: www.nerc.com Angles are based on data from blackout analysis. Angle reference is Browns Ferry. Estimates of 2003 blackout’s cost: $6 – 10 billion
  • 28. Goal: sensor-based operations and dynamic modeling Frequency and Grid stress - response to system events Angle separation
  • 29. Smart Grid is a key enabler to Grid Modernization Renewable Integration – Addressing variability and intermittence of large-scale wind generation Energy Storage – Providing regulation and load shaping Load Management – Making consumer demand an active tool in reducing the peak System Transparency – Seeing and operating the grid as a national system in real-time Cyber Security and Physical Security – Securing the physical infrastructure and two-way communication and data exchange
  • 30. Control systems for critical applications must be designed, operated and maintained to survive and intentional assault with no loss of critical function Advanced Tools/Technology Encryption Authentication Diagnostics Monitoring Forensic Analysis
  • 31. Challenges • Data Sharing/Data Ownership • Standards • Transmission Planning
  • 32. We’re making progress on Smart Grid Interoperability standards We’ve hosted two Smart $10 million in Grid Interoperability Recovery Act funding Standards workshops transferred to NIST Secretary Locke will have more to say on Thursday
  • 33. Seven Percent of the U.S. Population Inhabits the Top Ten States for Wind Blue - high wind potential, Red - large demand centers, and NERC, April 2009 Green - little wind and smaller demand centers. 33
  • 34. Reduce congestion – another priority Aug 2006 DOE Congestion Study 34
  • 35. Does the U.S. require an Extra High Voltage Grid? Predominantly DC Path Predominantly AC Path Station 35