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The


                            Effect
            Ari S. Heckman
      Cayuga Capital Management
Housing
for
Hipsters



           Obama’s victory celebration,
           Bedford Avenue, Williamsburg,
           2008
Key Themes

• The L-train as a transit corridor spine
• Neighborhood identification and evolution
  around subway lines
• The evolution of pricing and gentrification
• How to appeal to a specific target
  demographic
• A brief critique of who wins and who loses
Place

• Northwest Brooklyn, across the East River from
  Manhattan
• Medium density attached housing with retail
  corridors and activated corners
• Late 19th/early 20th century housing stock
• Decommissioned industrial buildings
• Located along the L-train (MTA)
• Bisected by the Brooklyn Queens Expressway (BQE)
Map
L




      L
          L   L
                  L


                      L   L
History
•   1820-1900: German/Polish Jewish immigrants
•   1870-1940: Manufacturing and commercial activity post bridge construction
     – Williamsburg as manufacturing center
         • Pfizer, Havemeyer (Domino Sugar,) Standard Oil
     • Bushwick as Brewery Capital
•   1928: L-train opens
•   1970s: Riots in Bushwick
•   1980s: Pedestrian improvements along Bedford Avenue
•   1996: Improved L-train frequency
•   1990s: NYU, SVA, Parsons and Pratt students, along with artists, begin to settle
    in semi-abandoned industrial buildings
•   Late 1990s: Williamsburg reaches critical mass in late 1990
•   Early 2000s: Retail rents increase, loft condo conversions
•   2004: Northside Williamsburg rezoned from industrial to mixed-use
•   2005-2008: Thousands of new construction units created
•   2006: Life Café (of RENT fame) opens in Bushwick
•   2008: Rents on Bedford Avenue hit $150 PSF
•   2009: 44 Berry and 38 Wilson open
Transit
• L-train is a crosstown train that runs across 14th Street in
  Manhattan, stopping at 8th Ave, 6th Ave, Union Square, 3rd Ave and
  1st Ave

• First stop in Brooklyn is Bedford (Williamsburg)

• East Williamsburg = Lorimer, Graham, Grand, Montrose
• Bushwick = Morgan, Jefferson, Dekalb

• Runs 24 hours a day, 7 days a week

• 1994: 16.9MM annual riders. 2005: 30.5MM annual riders. 2009?

• New cars, cleaner than average, on time trip notification
Hipster Demographics
• Difficult to quantify due to speed of
  transformation

• Tens of thousands of post-collegiate, transient,
  hipper than average people

• Williamsburg retains sizeable Polish population
  although now mostly “hipstergrants” and under
  30

• Bushwick is a heavily Latino with smaller hipster
  population
The Hipster
•   Under 30
•   College educated
•   Culturally aware
•   Liberal or apolitical
•   Green-friendly
•   Gay-friendly
•   Drug-friendly
•   Fashion sensitive
•   Parentally supported
     – Generally graduates of top 50 schools
     – Sizeable Ivy League/Seven Sisters/art school population
     – Seen as the opposite of the “Murray Hill/Midtown East Set”
     – Tastemakers, creative class, artists, casually employed, parentally
       supported
     – Less affected by recession
What Does a Hipster Look Like?
•   Hair (head and facial)
•   Fashion
•   Art
•   Sexuality
    – Relative androgeny
    – Loose sexual mores or definitions
•   Music
•   Body image
•   Humor
•   Body art
The Housing for Hipsters strategy
• Play the gradient
   – Williamsburg = $1000 per head
   – E. Williamsburg =$800-850 per head
   – Bushwick = $650-700 per head
• Heads on Beds
   – All rent is priced on a per head basis
• Reinforce with retail
   – Create ancillary retail that attracts tenants
• Youth housing created by (relative) youth
   – Know what your customer likes
   – Follow design trends
• Walk to subway
   – No more than .5 miles from L train stop
Williamsburg
• Nationwide hipster epicenter
• Bedford Avenue is central corridor
• Divided into two sections: Northside (traditionally
  Polish,) Southside (traditionally Latino and Hasidic Jew)
• Great “natural” boundaries
• Famous hipster landmarks
• Hipsters are being pushed out along L-train due to
  influx of “square” Manhattanites, Toll Brothers, etc.
• Condo prices leveling out at $650-800 PSF (compare
  Manhattan at $1000)
East Williamsburg + Bushwick
• Rapidly emerging
• Recipient of Williamsburg emigrants (collectives)
• Centered on Maria Hernandez Park
• Underground art, music and film scene
• More “hardcore” than Williamsburg
• Was know as most dangerous neighborhood in NY in
  1970s
• Suffered from riots, fire, blight
    – 40% abandoned in 1978!
• Ongoing crime, property condition, foreclosure
  issues
• New retail
Housing for Hipsters (rental)
• 44 Berry Street
  – Conversion of 1919 New York Chemical and Quinine
    Works Building (55,000 SF)
  – 42 loft apartments
  – 15,000 ground floor retail
  – Lofts are 650-800 SF, designed with flexible layouts for
    sharing, mezzanines, temporary walls, etc.
  – Finishes are old New York meets minimalist art gallery
  – Lobby design
  – Amenities
Berry Floor plan
Housing for Hipsters (condo)
• 38 Wilson
   – 15 affordable condominiums
   – Parking on site (as required by DOB)
   – Street-friendly
   – Industrial metal skin, Ipe wood and white stone facade
   – All 1-beds with potential for 2-bed conversion
   – Simple, elegant, modern finishes (not $)
   – Roof decks
   – 3 blocks from Morgan L stop
   – Priced from $259-325k
   – FHA/HUD approved for 96.5% financing (little cash in with stimulus tax
     credit)
   – Marketing began May 2009, 5 in contract
Wilson Floor plan
Wilson Images
What Hipsters Want…
Layouts/Design
•   Flexible plan
•   New partitions/bedrooms
•   Small private social spaces
•   Large public social spaces
•   Unique or odd spaces
•   Translucent pocket doors
•   Malleable palate
Finishes
•   OLD
•   Preserve original details wherever possible
•   Subway tile
•   Historic/evocative              Lesson: $ on
•   Raw                             finishes ≠
•   Contextual                      absorption!
•   NEW
•   Minimalism—don’t over-embellish
•   Showers not tubs
•   Metal, glass, wood
•   Industrial finishes and materials
Amenities
• Roof decks
• Retail/bars/restaurants in roll-out-of-bed
  distance
• 24 hour markets
• Well designed lobbies and common spaces
• Odd balls: bocce, games, video screenings, art
  galleries
• Parks, bike lanes, flea markets
Marketing to Hipsters
•   Keep Calm and Carry on
•   Ditch Your Landlord
•   Matchbooks
•   Business cards
•   Neighborhood blogs
•   Model apartments cum art galleries
•   Don’t try too hard—try for the opposite of
    development marketing
    – Authenticity
The Market Today
• Rental market remains robust
    – Rents down 10%
    – Volume remains high
•   Sales volume off 80%
•   Sales pricing off 15-20%
•   Shadow condo market
•   Manhattanization of Williamsburg
•   Bushwick migration
$$$
•   Rent
•   Financing
•   Construction costs
•   Cost per bed
Unique New York
•   Rent stabilization
•   Loft law
•   421a + J51
•   The Speed of Sound
    – Everything happens faster
    – Neighborhood transformation in 2-5 years (rather
      than 5-20 observed elsewhere)
• 24 hour transit
• The art of compromise (size, PTAC, etc.)
Retail For Hipsters
22 Wyckoff
• Conversion of 10,000 SF auto parts storage to
  24-hour grocery store, wine shop and bar
  restaurant
• Uphill battle with zoning and DOB
  – Fight to eliminate loading berth
• Metal skin
Winners and Losers
•   Two sides to every story
•   Gentrification
•   The “problem” of self-bias
•   What we (CNU) KNOW
     – And our audience…
• Are we missing the big picture?
     – Latino population growth vs. college graduate growth
     – City vs. Suburbs
• The next out-migration?
The Future?
• Opportunity to redefine the American Dream
• Proselytize, lobby, penetrate sub-cultures
  – Immigrant outreach
  – Natural tendencies towards urbanism
• Big broken windows
  – Fix urban schools
  – Clean streets and parks
  – Jobs
  – Transit options
  – Reverse urban disinvestment (esp in recession!)
• Stop simply preaching to the choir!
Conclusions
• Urbanism is naturally attractive to the “next”
  generation
• Opportunity to keep new Americans in urban
  neighborhoods
• Suburbs seem ancient/passé/stifling
• Increased opportunities to make money in
  urban real estate
• Opportunity to make urban living the default
  again
Ari S. Heckman
Cayuga Capital Management
ASH Co. Design/Build
HM Ventures




                            ari.heckman@gmail.com
                            227 West 11th Street, Suite 4
                            New York, NY 10014

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Heckman - Developing Authentic Places, the Hipster Effect

  • 1. The Effect Ari S. Heckman Cayuga Capital Management
  • 2. Housing for Hipsters Obama’s victory celebration, Bedford Avenue, Williamsburg, 2008
  • 3. Key Themes • The L-train as a transit corridor spine • Neighborhood identification and evolution around subway lines • The evolution of pricing and gentrification • How to appeal to a specific target demographic • A brief critique of who wins and who loses
  • 4. Place • Northwest Brooklyn, across the East River from Manhattan • Medium density attached housing with retail corridors and activated corners • Late 19th/early 20th century housing stock • Decommissioned industrial buildings • Located along the L-train (MTA) • Bisected by the Brooklyn Queens Expressway (BQE)
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  • 7. History • 1820-1900: German/Polish Jewish immigrants • 1870-1940: Manufacturing and commercial activity post bridge construction – Williamsburg as manufacturing center • Pfizer, Havemeyer (Domino Sugar,) Standard Oil • Bushwick as Brewery Capital • 1928: L-train opens • 1970s: Riots in Bushwick • 1980s: Pedestrian improvements along Bedford Avenue • 1996: Improved L-train frequency • 1990s: NYU, SVA, Parsons and Pratt students, along with artists, begin to settle in semi-abandoned industrial buildings • Late 1990s: Williamsburg reaches critical mass in late 1990 • Early 2000s: Retail rents increase, loft condo conversions • 2004: Northside Williamsburg rezoned from industrial to mixed-use • 2005-2008: Thousands of new construction units created • 2006: Life Café (of RENT fame) opens in Bushwick • 2008: Rents on Bedford Avenue hit $150 PSF • 2009: 44 Berry and 38 Wilson open
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  • 9. Transit • L-train is a crosstown train that runs across 14th Street in Manhattan, stopping at 8th Ave, 6th Ave, Union Square, 3rd Ave and 1st Ave • First stop in Brooklyn is Bedford (Williamsburg) • East Williamsburg = Lorimer, Graham, Grand, Montrose • Bushwick = Morgan, Jefferson, Dekalb • Runs 24 hours a day, 7 days a week • 1994: 16.9MM annual riders. 2005: 30.5MM annual riders. 2009? • New cars, cleaner than average, on time trip notification
  • 10. Hipster Demographics • Difficult to quantify due to speed of transformation • Tens of thousands of post-collegiate, transient, hipper than average people • Williamsburg retains sizeable Polish population although now mostly “hipstergrants” and under 30 • Bushwick is a heavily Latino with smaller hipster population
  • 11. The Hipster • Under 30 • College educated • Culturally aware • Liberal or apolitical • Green-friendly • Gay-friendly • Drug-friendly • Fashion sensitive • Parentally supported – Generally graduates of top 50 schools – Sizeable Ivy League/Seven Sisters/art school population – Seen as the opposite of the “Murray Hill/Midtown East Set” – Tastemakers, creative class, artists, casually employed, parentally supported – Less affected by recession
  • 12. What Does a Hipster Look Like? • Hair (head and facial) • Fashion • Art • Sexuality – Relative androgeny – Loose sexual mores or definitions • Music • Body image • Humor • Body art
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  • 19. The Housing for Hipsters strategy • Play the gradient – Williamsburg = $1000 per head – E. Williamsburg =$800-850 per head – Bushwick = $650-700 per head • Heads on Beds – All rent is priced on a per head basis • Reinforce with retail – Create ancillary retail that attracts tenants • Youth housing created by (relative) youth – Know what your customer likes – Follow design trends • Walk to subway – No more than .5 miles from L train stop
  • 20. Williamsburg • Nationwide hipster epicenter • Bedford Avenue is central corridor • Divided into two sections: Northside (traditionally Polish,) Southside (traditionally Latino and Hasidic Jew) • Great “natural” boundaries • Famous hipster landmarks • Hipsters are being pushed out along L-train due to influx of “square” Manhattanites, Toll Brothers, etc. • Condo prices leveling out at $650-800 PSF (compare Manhattan at $1000)
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  • 23. East Williamsburg + Bushwick • Rapidly emerging • Recipient of Williamsburg emigrants (collectives) • Centered on Maria Hernandez Park • Underground art, music and film scene • More “hardcore” than Williamsburg • Was know as most dangerous neighborhood in NY in 1970s • Suffered from riots, fire, blight – 40% abandoned in 1978! • Ongoing crime, property condition, foreclosure issues • New retail
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  • 25. Housing for Hipsters (rental) • 44 Berry Street – Conversion of 1919 New York Chemical and Quinine Works Building (55,000 SF) – 42 loft apartments – 15,000 ground floor retail – Lofts are 650-800 SF, designed with flexible layouts for sharing, mezzanines, temporary walls, etc. – Finishes are old New York meets minimalist art gallery – Lobby design – Amenities
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  • 29. Housing for Hipsters (condo) • 38 Wilson – 15 affordable condominiums – Parking on site (as required by DOB) – Street-friendly – Industrial metal skin, Ipe wood and white stone facade – All 1-beds with potential for 2-bed conversion – Simple, elegant, modern finishes (not $) – Roof decks – 3 blocks from Morgan L stop – Priced from $259-325k – FHA/HUD approved for 96.5% financing (little cash in with stimulus tax credit) – Marketing began May 2009, 5 in contract
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  • 35. Layouts/Design • Flexible plan • New partitions/bedrooms • Small private social spaces • Large public social spaces • Unique or odd spaces • Translucent pocket doors • Malleable palate
  • 36. Finishes • OLD • Preserve original details wherever possible • Subway tile • Historic/evocative Lesson: $ on • Raw finishes ≠ • Contextual absorption! • NEW • Minimalism—don’t over-embellish • Showers not tubs • Metal, glass, wood • Industrial finishes and materials
  • 37. Amenities • Roof decks • Retail/bars/restaurants in roll-out-of-bed distance • 24 hour markets • Well designed lobbies and common spaces • Odd balls: bocce, games, video screenings, art galleries • Parks, bike lanes, flea markets
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  • 39. Marketing to Hipsters • Keep Calm and Carry on • Ditch Your Landlord • Matchbooks • Business cards • Neighborhood blogs • Model apartments cum art galleries • Don’t try too hard—try for the opposite of development marketing – Authenticity
  • 40. The Market Today • Rental market remains robust – Rents down 10% – Volume remains high • Sales volume off 80% • Sales pricing off 15-20% • Shadow condo market • Manhattanization of Williamsburg • Bushwick migration
  • 41. $$$ • Rent • Financing • Construction costs • Cost per bed
  • 42. Unique New York • Rent stabilization • Loft law • 421a + J51 • The Speed of Sound – Everything happens faster – Neighborhood transformation in 2-5 years (rather than 5-20 observed elsewhere) • 24 hour transit • The art of compromise (size, PTAC, etc.)
  • 44. 22 Wyckoff • Conversion of 10,000 SF auto parts storage to 24-hour grocery store, wine shop and bar restaurant • Uphill battle with zoning and DOB – Fight to eliminate loading berth • Metal skin
  • 45. Winners and Losers • Two sides to every story • Gentrification • The “problem” of self-bias • What we (CNU) KNOW – And our audience… • Are we missing the big picture? – Latino population growth vs. college graduate growth – City vs. Suburbs • The next out-migration?
  • 46. The Future? • Opportunity to redefine the American Dream • Proselytize, lobby, penetrate sub-cultures – Immigrant outreach – Natural tendencies towards urbanism • Big broken windows – Fix urban schools – Clean streets and parks – Jobs – Transit options – Reverse urban disinvestment (esp in recession!) • Stop simply preaching to the choir!
  • 47. Conclusions • Urbanism is naturally attractive to the “next” generation • Opportunity to keep new Americans in urban neighborhoods • Suburbs seem ancient/passé/stifling • Increased opportunities to make money in urban real estate • Opportunity to make urban living the default again
  • 48. Ari S. Heckman Cayuga Capital Management ASH Co. Design/Build HM Ventures ari.heckman@gmail.com 227 West 11th Street, Suite 4 New York, NY 10014