This presentation by Martin Tadoum,the Deputy Executive Secretary of COMIFAC describes the current situation of REDD in the Congo Basin, the methodological issues encountered, what the congobiom model has to do with that and what the next steps are.
2. Background
• Congo Basin: 2nd largest
tropical rainforest, low
deforestation rate
• Strong interest for REDD+
expressed by COMIFAC
countries
• Different stages of the
development of REDD in
the region
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Commission des Forêts d’Afrique Centrale
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3. Partial NFMS
Fullyoperational
NFMS
Current situation on REDD
Capacity
Development
Democratic Republic of
Congo
Gabon
Republic of
Congo
Equatorial Guinea
Chad
Burundi
Rwanda
Sao Tome & Principe
Central African
Republic
Cameroon
Phase 1
Readiness
Phase 2
Demonstration
activities
Phase 3
Positive incentives
for verified
performance
4. REDD Methodological issues
One of the current challenges of
REDD+ focus on the abilities of
countries to define the reference
leval and establish a consensual and
sustainable MRV system
The adoption of a specific
methodology to estimate the
Reference level involves important
technical ramifications
Launch a study on modeling impact
of development trajectories by 2030
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Commission des Forêts d’Afrique Centrale
5. Annual deforestation/forest degradation rates
1990-2000 and 2000-2005
Interest of the study
0.17
0.18
0.16
0.14
0.12
0.1
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
0
0.09
0.09
0.05
Net annual
Deforestation
1990-2000
2000-2005
Net annual
degradation
Source: Authors, derived from de Wasseige et al. , 2012
National forest cover
Forest transition curve
Congo Basin
HFLD profile
Congo Basin countries may be entering the second stage, with
accelerated forest losses.
South Amazon Basin
Europe
North America
South East Asia
North East Asia
South Asia
West Africa
Atlantic forest
Oceania
Time
Stage 1: undisturbed/
little disturbed forests
Stage 2: forest frontiers
(high deforestation)
Stage 3: forest mosaic
with stabilized cover
(low deforestation)
Stage 4: increasing forest cover
through afforestation and
reforestation
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Commission des Forêts d’Afrique Centrale
6. Development of Congobiom
model and its application
Congobiom is an economic model for the Congo
Basin, derived from GLOBIOM developed by IIASA
This modelling tool can strengthen the better
understanding of the potentiel future trends of
deforestation in the Congo Bassin by
Providing a depth analysis of the major drivers of
deforestation for the next decades in the countries of
the Congo Basin by analyzing internal pressures
(population growth, development needs, etc…) but
also external pressures (commodity prices for
example)
Commission des Forêts d’Afrique Centrale
7. Development of Congobiom
model and its applications (cont.)
providing the countries and
their decision makers with
scientifically sound analytical
tools that can help them better
understand how the
development of economic
sectors can affect the forest
cover and how the impact of
policy choices made by
governments can affect forest
cover and income that could be
generated through REDD +
Modelling could be a support
planning decision tool
Commission des Forêts d’Afrique Centrale
8. Current phase of the Project and
next steps in the Congo Basin
• Congobiom is now extended to
all 10 countries of COMIFAC
and should then be refined
• Training of national experts from
the pilot countries for REDDPAC project is ongoing
• The development of a national
model in each pilot countries by
the end of December is one of
the resolution set at the regional
worshop for the REDD-PAC
project in October.
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Commission des Forêts d’Afrique Centrale
9. COMMISSION DES FORETS D’AFRIQUE CENTRALE
Une dimension régionale pour la conservation
et la gestion durable des écosystèmes
forestiers
Tél : (+237) 22 21 35 11 (+237) 22 21 35 12 Fax: (+237) 22 20 48 03 BP. 20818 Yaoundé Cameroun
Email : comifac@comifac.org - comifac2005@yahoo.fr Site web : www.comifac.org
Hinweis der Redaktion
Figure 7. Status of countries in the REDD+ phases and the M&MRV key phases.
However deforestation in the Congo Basin has accelerated in recent years and annual rates of both degradation and deforestation have almost doubled from 1990-2000 period to 2000-2005. And there are a myriad of signals in the Congo Basin that convergingly indicate an acceleration of forest loss. Based on the Forest transition theory, the Congo Basin may well be entering the second stage, with accelerated forest losses. So far, deforestation and forest degradation have been largely associated with expansion of subsistence activities (agriculture and energy) and concentrated around densely populated areas. Local and regional development, population increases and global demand for commodities are likely to increase deforestation and forest degradation in the Congo Basin.