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LIVING PLANET REPORT 2008
CONTENTS

Foreword                                            1   WWF                                 EDITOR IN CHIEF         WWF INTERNATIONAL
                                                        (also known as World Wildlife       Chris Hails             Avenue du Mont-Blanc
                                                        Fund in the USA and Canada) is                              CH-1196 Gland
INTRODUCTION                                        2   one of the world’s largest and      EDITORS                 Switzerland
Biodiversity, ecosystem services, humanity’s            most experienced independent        Sarah Humphrey          www.panda.org
                                                        conservation organizations, with    Jonathan Loh
   footprint                                        4   almost 5 million supporters and     Steven Goldfinger       INSTITUTE OF ZOOLOGY
                                                        a global network active in over                             Zoological Society of London
                                                        100 countries. WWF’s mission is     CONTRIBUTORS            Regent’s Park
EVIDENCE                                            6
                                                        to stop the degradation of the      WWF                     London NW1 4RY, UK
Global Living Planet Index                          6   planet’s natural environment and    Sarah Humphrey          www.zoo.cam.ac.uk/ioz/projects/
   Systems and biomes                               8   to build a future in which humans   Ashok Chapagain         indicators_livingplanet.htm
                                                        live in harmony with nature.        Greg Bourne
   Biogeographic realms                            10                                                               GLOBAL FOOTPRINT NETWORK
                                                                                            Richard Mott
   Taxa                                            12                                       Judy Oglethorpe         312 Clay Street, Suite 300
Ecological Footprint of nations                    14   ZOOLOGICAL SOCIETY                  Aimee Gonzales          Oakland, California 94607
                                                        OF LONDON                           Martin Atkin            USA
Biocapacity                                        16   Founded in 1826, the Zoological                             www.footprintnetwork.org
Water footprint of consumption                     18   Society of London (ZSL) is          ZSL
                                                        an international scientific,        Jonathan Loh            TWENTE WATER CENTRE
Water footprint of production                      20                                       Ben Collen
                                                        conservation and educational                                University of Twente
                                                        organization. Its mission is to     Louise McRae            7500 AE Enschede
                                                        achieve and promote the             Tharsila T. Carranza    The Netherlands
TURNING THE TIDE                                   22
                                                        worldwide conservation of           Fiona A. Pamplin        www.water.utwente.nl
Towards sustainability                             22   animals and their habitats.         Rajan Amin
The energy challenge                               24   ZSL runs ZSL London Zoo             Jonathan E.M. Baillie
                                                        and ZSL Whipsnade Zoo,
Population and consumption                         26                                       GFN
                                                        carries out scientific research
Global trade                                       28   in the Institute of Zoology and     Steven Goldfinger
                                                        is actively involved in field       Mathis Wackernagel
Managing biocapacity: An ecosystem approach        30                                       Meredith Stechbart
                                                        conservation worldwide.
                                                                                            Sarah Rizk
                                                                                            Anders Reed
DATA AND TABLES                                    32
                                                                                            Justin Kitzes
                                                        GLOBAL FOOTPRINT
The Ecological Footprint, biocapacity and                                                   Audrey Peller
                                                        NETWORK
    water footprint                                32                                       Shiva Niazi
                                                        promotes a sustainable economy
                                                                                            Brad Ewing
The Living Planet Index, Ecological Footprint,          by advancing the Ecological
                                                                                            Alessandro Galli
                                                        Footprint, a tool that makes
    biocapacity and water footprint through time   40                                       Yoshihiko Wada
                                                        sustainability measurable.
                                                                                            Dan Moran
The Living Planet Index: Numbers of species        40   Together with its partners, the
                                                                                            Robert Williams
                                                        network coordinates research,
Living Planet Index: Technical notes               41                                       Willy De Backer
                                                        develops methodological
Ecological Footprint: Frequently asked questions   42   standards, and provides decision    TWENTE
                                                        makers with robust resource         Arjen Y. Hoekstra
                                                        accounts to help the human          Mesfin Mekonnen
References and further reading                     44   economy operate within the
Acknowledgements                                   45   Earth’s ecological limits.
FOREWORD

      he recent downturn in the global economy is a stark

T
                                                                    surging demand for food, feed and biofuels, and, in some               demand for global energy services in 2050 while achieving
      reminder of the consequences of living beyond our             places, dwindling water supplies. For the first time in recorded       significant reductions in global greenhouse gas emissions.
      means. But the possibility of financial recession pales in    history, this past summer the Arctic ice cap was surrounded by         Crucially, this model highlights the need to take immediate
comparison to the looming ecological credit crunch.                 open water – literally disappearing under the impact of our            action to curb dangerous climate change.
                                                                    carbon footprint.
Whether we live on the edge of the forest or in the heart of the                                                                           As we act to reduce our footprint – our impact on the Earth’s
city, our livelihoods and indeed our lives depend on the services   The ecological credit crunch is a global challenge. The Living         services – we must also get better at managing the ecosystems
provided by the Earth’s natural systems. The Living Planet          Planet Report 2008 tells us that more than three quarters of           that provide those services. Success requires that we manage
Report 2008 tells us that we are consuming the resources that       the world’s people live in nations that are ecological debtors         resources on nature’s terms and at nature’s scale. This means
underpin those services much too fast – faster than they can be     – their national consumption has outstripped their country’s           that decisions in each sector, such as agriculture or fisheries,
replenished. Just as reckless spending is causing recession, so     biocapacity. Thus, most of us are propping up our current              must be taken with an eye to broader ecological consequences.
reckless consumption is depleting the world’s natural capital to    lifestyles, and our economic growth, by drawing (and                   It also means that we must find ways to manage across our own
a point where we are endangering our future prosperity. The         increasingly overdrawing) upon the ecological capital of other         boundaries – across property lines and political borders – to
Living Planet Index shows that over the past 35 years alone the     parts of the world.                                                    take care of the ecosystem as a whole.
Earth’s wildlife populations have declined by a third.
                                                                    The good news is that we have the means to reverse the                 It is nearly four decades since the Apollo 8 astronauts
Yet our demands continue to escalate, driven by the relentless      ecological credit crunch – it is not too late to prevent an            photographed the famous “Earth Rise”, providing the first ever
growth in human population and in individual consumption.           irreversible ecological recession setting in. This report identifies   view of Planet Earth. In the two generations since, the world
Our global footprint now exceeds the world’s capacity to            the key areas where we need to transform our lifestyles and            has moved from ecological credit to ecological deficit. The
regenerate by about 30 per cent. If our demands on the planet       economies to put us on a more sustainable trajectory.                  human species has a remarkable track record of ingenuity and
continue at the same rate, by the mid-2030s we will need the                                                                               problem solving. The same spirit that took man to the moon
equivalent of two planets to maintain our lifestyles. And           The scale of the challenge at times seems overwhelming, which          must now be harnessed to free future generations from crippling
this year’s report captures, for the first time, the impact of      is why we have introduced the concept of “sustainability               ecological debt.
our consumption on the Earth’s water resources and our              wedges” to tackle ecological overshoot across different sectors
vulnerability to water scarcity in many areas.                      and drivers. This wedge analysis enables us to break down the
                                                                    various contributing factors of overshoot and propose different
These overall trends have very concrete consequences, and           solutions for each. For the single most important challenge, the
we have seen them this year in daily headlines. Global prices       WWF Climate Solutions Model uses a wedge analysis to                                                              James P. Leape
for many crops have hit record highs, in large part due to          illustrate how it is possible to meet the projected growth in                                  Director-General, WWF International




                                                                                                                                                                              LIVING PLANET REPORT 2008 1
INTRODUCTION

  We have only one planet. Its capacity              biodiversity, as measured by populations of           exceeds the planet’s regenerative capacity                     both geographically and through time.
  to support a thriving diversity of species,        1,686 vertebrate species across all regions           by about 30 per cent (Figure 2). This global                   Around 50 countries are currently facing
  humans included, is large but fundamentally        of the world, has declined by nearly 30 per           overshoot is growing and, as a consequence,                    moderate or severe water stress and the
  limited. When human demand on this                 cent over just the past 35 years (Figure 1).          ecosystems are being run down and waste                        number of people suffering from year-round
  capacity exceeds what is available –               For the first time in this report, the volume of      is accumulating in the air, land and water.                    or seasonal water shortages is expected to
  when we surpass ecological limits – we             data in the Living Planet Index has allowed           The resulting deforestation, water shortages,                  increase as a result of climate change. This
  erode the health of the Earth’s living             species population trends to be analysed by           declining biodiversity and climate change are                  has profound implications for ecosystem
  systems. Ultimately, this loss threatens           biogeographic realm and taxonomic group               putting the well-being and development of                      health, food production and human
  human well-being.                                  as well as by biome. While biodiversity loss          all nations at increasing risk.                                well-being.
     This report uses complementary                  has levelled off in some temperate areas, the             Water shortages are of growing concern                        Humanity’s demand on the planet has
  measures to explore the changing state             overall Living Planet Index continues to show         in many countries and regions. Therefore,                      more than doubled over the past 45 years as
  of global biodiversity and of human                a decline. It appears increasingly unlikely           this report includes a third measure, the                      a result of population growth and increasing
  consumption. The Living Planet Index               that even the modest goal of the Convention           water footprint, which captures the demand                     individual consumption. In 1961, almost all
  reflects the state of the planet’s ecosystems      on Biological Diversity, to reduce by 2010            placed on national, regional or global water                   countries in the world had more than enough
  while the Ecological Footprint shows the           the rate at which global biodiversity is being        resources as a result of consumption of                        capacity to meet their own demand; by 2005,
  extent and type of human demand being              lost, will be met.                                    goods and services. Although water is not                      the situation had changed radically, with
  placed on these systems.                              Humanity’s demand on the planet’s living           considered a scarce resource globally, its                     many countries able to meet their needs only
     The Living Planet Index of global               resources, its Ecological Footprint, now              distribution and availability are very uneven,                 by importing resources from other nations




  Fig. 1: LIVING PLANET INDEX, 1970–2005                                                                Fig. 2: HUMANITY’S ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT, 1961-2005
                     1.8                                                                                                          1.8

                     1.6                                                                                                          1.6

                     1.4                                                                                                          1.4


                                                                                                        Number of planet Earths
                     1.2                                                                                                          1.2
  Index (1970=1.0)




                                                                                                                                               World biocapacity
                     1.0                                                                                                          1.0

                     0.8                                                                                                          0.8

                     0.6                                                                                                          0.6

                     0.4                                                                                                          0.4

                     0.2                                                                                                          0.2

                      0                                                                                                            0
                           1960   1970            1980               1990               2000       05                                   1960          1970         1980                 1990              2000      05



2 LIVING PLANET REPORT 2008
and by using the global atmosphere as a           report uses a “wedge” approach to illustrate               The Ecological Footprint – representing          Figure 1: Living Planet Index. The global




                                                                                                                                                                                                                   INTRODUCTION
dumping ground for carbon dioxide and             how moving to clean energy generation and               human demand on nature – and the Living             index shows that vertebrate species
other greenhouse gases (Figure 3). In an          efficiency based on current technologies                Planet Index – measuring nature’s overall           populations declined by nearly 30 per cent
overexploited world, ecological debtor            could allow us to meet the projected 2050               health – serve as clear and robust guideposts       during the period 1970 to 2005.
nations are particularly at risk from local and   demand for energy services with major                   to what needs to be done. If humanity has
global overshoot, and from the associated         reductions in associated carbon emissions.              the will, it has the way to live within the         Figure 2: Humanity’s Ecological Footprint.
decline in ecosystem services, the life              Technology transfer and support for                  means of the planet, while securing human           Human demand on the biosphere more than
support system on which humanity depends.         local innovation can help emerging                      well-being and the ecosystems on which              doubled during the period 1961 to 2005.
   If we continue with business as usual, by      economies maximize their well-being while               this depends.
the early 2030s we will need two planets          leapfrogging resource-intensive phases of                                                                   Figure 3: Ecological debtor and creditor
to keep up with humanity’s demand for             industrialization. Cities, which now house                                                                  countries. Debtor countries have an
goods and services. But there are many            more than half the human population, can                                                                    Ecological Footprint greater than their
effective ways to change course. While            be designed to support desirable lifestyles                                                                 own biocapacity; creditor countries have
technological developments will continue to       while simultaneously minimizing demand                                                                      an Ecological Footprint smaller than their
play an important role in addressing the          on both local and global ecosystems.                                                                        own biocapacity.
sustainability challenge, much of what needs      Empowerment of women, education and
to be done is already known, and solutions        access to voluntary family planning can
are available today. As an example, this          slow or even reverse population growth.




Fig. 3: ECOLOGICAL DEBTOR AND                             Eco-debt: Footprint relative to biocapacity      more than 150% greater   100-150% greater      50-100% greater   0-50%greater
                                                                                                                                                                                               Insufficient data
CREDITOR COUNTRIES, 1961 and 2005                         Eco-credit: Biocapacity relative to footprint     0-50%greater     50-100% greater   100-150% greater      more than 150% greater




1961                                                                                                      2005
(2005 country
boundaries)




                                                                                                                                                                                 LIVING PLANET REPORT 2008 3
B I O D I V E R S I T Y, E C O S Y S T E M S E R V I C E S , H U M A N I T Y ’ S F O O T P R I N T

  The Living Planet Index shows that wild         capacity of the population. It has been the      impacts are difficult to predict at local scales,     production of food, freshwater, materials
  species and natural ecosystems are under        dominant threat to marine biodiversity, and      but any ecosystem may be susceptible to               or fuel
  pressure across all biomes and regions of       overfishing has devastated many commercial       changing temperature or weather patterns.           ■ regulating services including climate and
  the world. The direct, anthropogenic threats    fish stocks. However, overexploitation is also       Clearly, all of these threats or pressures        flood regulation, water purification,
  to biodiversity are often grouped under five    a serious threat to many terrestrial species,    are the effect of more distant, indirect drivers.     pollination and pest control
  headings:                                       particularly tropical forest mammals hunted      These drivers of biodiversity loss stem from        ■ cultural (including aesthetic, spiritual,
  ■ habitat loss, fragmentation or change,        for meat. Overharvesting of timber and           the human demands for food, water, energy             educational and recreational) services.
      especially due to agriculture               fuelwood has also led to loss of forests and     and materials. They can be considered in
  ■ overexploitation of species, especially       their associated plant and animal populations.   terms of the production and consumption of          Each of these services derives ultimately
      due to fishing and hunting                     Invasive species, introduced either           agricultural crops, meat and dairy products,        from living organisms. However, it is not
  ■ pollution                                     deliberately or inadvertently to one part        fish and seafood, timber and paper, water,          biodiversity per se that underpins ecosystem
  ■ the spread of invasive species or genes       of the world from another, and which             energy, transport and land for towns, cities        services, but the abundance of particular
  ■ climate change.                               become competitors, predators or                 and infrastructure. As the world population         species that are critical in maintaining habitat
                                                  parasites of indigenous species, are             and economy grow, so do the pressures on            stability and providing those services. Decline
  All five of these threats stem ultimately       responsible for declines in many native          biodiversity. As technology and resource            in a critical species at a local scale will have
  from human demands on the biosphere –           species populations. This is especially          efficiency improve, so the pressure could           an adverse impact on ecosystem services,
  the production and consumption of natural       important on islands and in freshwater           be alleviated. The Ecological Footprint is          even if that species is not threatened globally.
  resources for food and drink, energy or         ecosystems, where they are thought to be         an aggregate measure of the demands that                The MA reported that biodiversity loss
  materials, and the disposal of associated       the main threat to endemic species.              resource consumption places on ecosystems           contributes to food and energy insecurity,
  waste products – or the displacement of            Pollution is another important cause          and species. Understanding the interactions         increased vulnerability to natural disasters
  natural ecosystems by towns, cities and         of biodiversity loss, particularly in aquatic    between biodiversity, the drivers of                such as floods or tropical storms, poorer
  infrastructure (see Figure 4). Further, the     ecosystems. Excess nutrient loading as a         biodiversity loss and humanity’s footprint          health, reduced availability and quality of
  massive flows of goods and people around        result of the increasing use of nitrogen         is fundamental to slowing, halting and              water, and the erosion of cultural heritage.
  the world have become a vector for the          and phosphorous fertilizers in agriculture       reversing the ongoing declines in natural               Most supporting, regulating and cultural
  spread of alien species and diseases.           causes eutrophication and oxygen depletion.      ecosystems and populations of wild species.         ecosystem services are not bought and
      Natural habitat is lost, altered or         Toxic chemical pollution often arises from                                                           sold commercially, so have no market value.
  fragmented through its conversion for           pesticide use in farming or aquaculture,         ECOSYSTEM SERVICES                                  Their decline sends no warning signal to the
  cultivation, grazing, aquaculture, and          from industry and from mining wastes. The        Humanity depends on healthy ecosystems:             local or global economy. Markets lead to
  industrial or urban use. River systems          increasing carbon dioxide concentration in       they support or improve our quality of life,        decisions about resource use that maximize
  are dammed and altered for irrigation,          the atmosphere is causing acidification of the   and without them, the Earth would be                benefits to individual producers and
  hydropower or flow regulation. Even             oceans, which is likely to have widespread       uninhabitable. The Millennium Ecosystem             consumers, but often undermine the
  marine ecosystems, particularly the seabed,     effects, particularly on shell- and reef-        Assessment (MA) describes four categories           biodiversity and ecosystem services on
  are physically degraded by trawling,            building organisms.                              of ecosystem services, starting with the            which the production and consumption
  construction and extractive industries.            Potentially the greatest threat to            most fundamental:                                   ultimately depend. The value of biodiversity
      Overexploitation of wild species            biodiversity over the coming decades is          ■ supporting services such as nutrient              to human well-being, while not readily
  populations is the result of harvesting or      climate change. Early impacts have been felt         cycling, soil formation and primary             quantifiable in monetary terms, could be the
  killing animals or plants for food, materials   in polar and montane as well as coastal and          production                                      difference between a planet that can support
  or medicine, at a rate above the reproductive   marine ecosystems, such as coral reefs. Future   ■ provisioning services such as the                 its human population and one which cannot.


4 LIVING PLANET REPORT 2008
Fig. 4: BIODIVERSITY LOSS, HUMAN PRESSURE AND THE ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT, cause-and-effect relationships




                                                                                                                                                                                   INTRODUCTION
 ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT/                       INDIRECT DRIVERS OF BIODIVERSITY                                                                                     THREATS
 CONSUMPTION SECTORS                              LOSS/HUMAN ACTIVITIES                         DIRECT PRESSURES ON BIODIVERSITY                             or PRESSURES

  Timber, paper and fibre                     Timber, pulp and paper production
                                                                                               Forest, woodland and mangrove loss and
  Fuelwood                                    Fuelwood collection
                                                                                               fragmentation
  Food crops, oil crops,                      Conversion to cropland
                                                                                               Grassland and savannah loss and degradation
  fibre crops                                 Conversion to grazing land
                                              Conversion to aquaculture
                                                                                                                                                              HABITAT LOSS
  Meat, dairy, eggs, skins                                                                     River fragmentation and regulation
  Farmed fish and seafood
                                              Conversion to urban land and                     Coral reef and coastal habitat destruction
  Construction, cement                        road building
                                              Dam building                                     Benthic habitat destruction
  Mining and metals

                                              Net fishing (including trawling)
                                                                                               Overfishing
  Wild meat, fish and                         Line fishing
                                                                                               Bycatch                                                   OVEREXPLOITATION
  seafood
                                              Bushmeat hunting
                                                                                               Overharvesting terrestrial and aquatic species
                                              Wildlife trade


                                                                                               Nutrient loading/eutrophication and toxic blooms

                                              Nitrogen and sulphur emissions                   Acid rain
  Domestic water                              Organic waste                                                                                                     POLLUTION
  Industrial processing                       Agrochemical use                                 Pesticides and toxic chemicals
                                              Mining waste and contamination                   Oil spills

                                                                                               Ocean acidification


                                                                                               Marine invasive species
                                              Shipping
  Transport                                                                                                                                                 INVASIVE ALIEN
  Trade                                                                                        Freshwater invasive species                                         SPECIES
                                              Deliberate or inadvertent
  Tourism                                     introduction of alien species                    Terrestrial invasive species, esp. on small islands


                                                                                               Degradation of arctic and alpine environments

                                                                                               Loss of polar sea ice

  Energy use                                  Carbon dioxide, methane and                      Coral reef bleaching and die-off                                    CLIMATE
  Fossil fuel combustion                      other greenhouse gas emissions                                                                                       CHANGE
                                                                                               Alteration of seasonal cycles

                                                                                               Drought-induced forest die-off and desertification

                                                                                               Loss of seasonal wetlands



                                                                                                                                                     LIVING PLANET REPORT 2008 5
LIVING PLANET INDEX: GLOBAL

  The Living Planet Index is an indicator                    temperate indices, the overall trends in                            little overall change over the same period                              from 1970 to 2005 in 4,642 populations of
  designed to monitor the state of the world’s               terrestrial, freshwater and marine species                          (Figures 6 and 7).                                                      1,686 species*. Temperate and tropical
  biodiversity. Specifically, it tracks trends in a          are also each given equal weight.                                        This marked contrast in trends between                             average trends were given equal weight.
  large number of populations of species in                     The tropical index consists of terrestrial                       temperate and tropical populations is
  much the same way that a stock market index                and freshwater species populations found in                         apparent in terrestrial, freshwater and marine                          Figure 6: Temperate Living Planet Index.
  tracks the value of a set of shares or a retail            the Afrotropical, Indo-Pacific and Neotropical                      species. It does not necessarily imply,                                 The index shows a +6 per cent average trend
  price index tracks the cost of a basket of                 realms as well as marine species populations                        however, that tropical biodiversity is in a far                         between 1970 and 2005 in 3,309 populations
  consumer goods. The Living Planet Index is                 from the zone between the Tropics of Cancer                         worse state than temperate biodiversity. If                             of 1,235 species*. Terrestrial, freshwater and
  based on trends in nearly 5,000 populations                and Capricorn.                                                      the index were to extend back centuries                                 marine species’ average trends were given
  of 1,686 species of mammal, bird, reptile,                    The temperate index includes terrestrial                         rather than decades, it might well show a                               equal weight.
  amphibian and fish from around the globe.                  and freshwater species populations from the                         decline of equal or greater magnitude among
  The changes in the population of each species              Palearctic and Nearctic realms as well as                           temperate species populations. Whether or                               Figure 7: Tropical Living Planet Index.
  are then averaged and shown relative to 1970,              marine species populations north or south of                        not this is the case, the index shows that                              The index shows a -51 per cent overall trend
  which is given a value of 1.0.                             the tropics (see Figure 8).                                         there is a severe and ongoing loss of                                   from 1970 to 2005 in 1,333 populations of
      The global Living Planet Index is the                     The global index shows an overall decline                        biodiversity in tropical ecosystems.                                    585 species*. Terrestrial, freshwater and
  aggregate of two indices – temperate (which                from 1970 to 2005 of nearly 30 per cent                                                                                                     marine species’ average trends were given
  includes polar) and tropical – each of which               (Figure 5). The tropical index fell by about                        Figure 5: Global Living Planet Index.                                   equal weight.
  is given equal weight. In the tropical and                 50 per cent while the temperate index showed                        This shows an average trend of -28 per cent                             * Note: Some species occur in temperate and tropical regions.




  Fig. 5: GLOBAL LIVING PLANET INDEX,                                        Fig. 6: TEMPERATE LIVING PLANET INDEX,                                                 Fig. 7: TROPICAL LIVING PLANET INDEX,
  1970–2005                                                                  1970–2005                                                                              1970–2005
                     1.8                                                                        1.8                                                                                    1.8

                     1.6                                                                        1.6                                                                                    1.6

                     1.4                                                                        1.4                                                                                    1.4

                     1.2                                                                        1.2                                                                                    1.2
  Index (1970=1.0)




                                                                             Index (1970=1.0)




                                                                                                                                                                    Index (1970=1.0)
                     1.0                                                                        1.0                                                                                    1.0

                     0.8                                                                        0.8                                                                                    0.8

                     0.6                                                                        0.6                                                                                    0.6
                                  Global index                                                               Temperate index                                                                        Tropical index
                     0.4                                                                        0.4                                                                                    0.4
                                  Confidence limits                                                          Confidence limits                                                                      Confidence limits
                     0.2                                                                        0.2                                                                                    0.2

                      0                                                                          0                                                                                      0
                           1970              1980     1990      2000    05                            1970              1980         1990             2000     05                            1970               1980                 1990                  2000          05



6 LIVING PLANET REPORT 2008
Palearctic
                   Nearctic




Tropic of Cancer
                                                                                                                                                             Oceanic




                                                                                                                                                                              EVIDENCE
                         Oceanic
                                                                                                                            Indomalayan



Tropic of Capricorn

                                                                  Neotropical                                Afrotropical
                                                                                                                                          Australasian




                                                                                          Antarctic




Fig. 8: TERRESTRIAL BIOGEOGRAPHIC REALMS AND BIOMES
  Tropical and subtropical moist broadleaf forests                                    Flooded grasslands and savannahs
  Tropical and subtropical dry broadleaf forests                                      Montane grasslands and shrublands
  Tropical and subtropical coniferous forests                                         Tundra
  Temperate broadleaf and mixed forests                                               Mediterranean forests, woodlands and scrub
  Temperate coniferous forests                                                        Deserts and xeric shrublands
  Boreal forests/taiga                                                                Mangroves
  Tropical and subtropical grasslands, savannahs and shrublands                       Water bodies
  Temperate grasslands, savannahs and shrublands                                      Rock and ice



                                                                                                                                                LIVING PLANET REPORT 2008 7
LIVING PLANET INDEX: SYSTEMS AND BIOMES

  The terrestrial, freshwater and marine                        The marine index shows an average                                  example, decline in coral abundance                                     Figure 9: Terrestrial Living Planet Index.
  indices are each calculated as the average                 overall decline of 14 per cent between                                due to bleaching and disease, driven by                                 This index shows an average -33 per cent
  of two indices which separately measure                    1970 and 2005 (Figure 10). Rising sea                                 increasing sea surface temperatures, is of                              trend between 1970 and 2005 in 2,007
  trends in tropical and temperate vertebrate                temperatures, destructive fishing methods                             growing concern.                                                        populations of 887 terrestrial species.
  populations.                                               and pollution are responsible for some of the                            Inland waters are home to an enormous
     The terrestrial index has declined                      decline in marine life. A recent study shows                          diversity of species and also provide                                   Figure 10: Marine Living Planet Index.
  consistently since the mid-1970s (Figure 9),               that 40 per cent of the world’s oceans are                            resources and ecological services that are                              The marine species index shows an
  and shows an average 33 per cent decline in                severely affected by human activities.                                essential to human well-being. The                                      average -14 per cent trend over 35 years in
  terrestrial vertebrate populations between                    Overfishing is the major driver of                                 freshwater index shows that populations                                 1,175 populations of 341 marine species.
  1970 and 2005. Most of this change took                    this change, with most of the world’s                                 of species in inland waters decreased on
  place in the tropics; there was little overall             commercial marine fisheries believed to be                            average by 35 per cent from 1970 to 2005                                Figure 11: Freshwater Living Planet Index.
  change in species populations in temperate                 fully exploited or overexploited. Oceans                              (Figure 11). It is estimated that wetland areas                         The freshwater index shows an average
  regions. In the tropics, a combination of                  provide vital resources and ecosystem                                 decreased in extent by 50 per cent during the                           -35 per cent trend from 1970 to 2005 in
  deforestation and other habitat destruction,               services upon which all life depends;                                 20th century as a result of a number of                                 1,463 populations of 458 species.
  driven by agricultural conversion and                      however, marine protected areas currently                             different threats. Loss and degradation of
  overexploitation from logging and hunting,                 cover less than 1 per cent of the world’s seas.                       wetlands is caused by overfishing, invasive
  are among the major causes of species                      Recent assessments show that population                               species, pollution, creation of dams and
  population declines.                                       declines extend beyond vertebrates. For                               water diversion.




  Fig. 9: TERRESTRIAL LIVING PLANET INDEX,                                     Fig. 10: MARINE LIVING PLANET INDEX,                                                   Fig. 11: FRESHWATER LIVING PLANET INDEX,
  1970–2005                                                                    1970–2005                                                                              1970–2005
                     1.8                                                                          1.8                                                                                    1.8

                     1.6                                                                          1.6                                                                                    1.6

                     1.4                                                                          1.4                                                                                    1.4

                     1.2                                                                          1.2                                                                                    1.2
  Index (1970=1.0)




                                                                               Index (1970=1.0)




                                                                                                                                                                      Index (1970=1.0)
                     1.0                                                                          1.0                                                                                    1.0

                     0.8                                                                          0.8                                                                                    0.8

                     0.6                                                                          0.6                                                                                    0.6
                                  Terrestrial index                                                            Marine index                                                                           Freshwater index
                     0.4                                                                          0.4                                                                                    0.4
                                  Confidence limits                                                            Confidence limits                                                                      Confidence limits
                     0.2                                                                          0.2                                                                                    0.2

                      0                                                                            0                                                                                      0
                           1970              1980     1990       2000     05                            1970              1980         1990             2000     05                            1970              1980          1990            2000      05



8 LIVING PLANET REPORT 2008
The indices below highlight species                            2000 to 2005. This is reflected in the tropical                      of biodiversity. An estimated 20 per cent of                           balance of influences which can be easily
population declines in three groups of biomes                  forest index, which reveals a decline of                             dryland areas now suffer soil degradation.                             disrupted, leading to the acceleration of
that are subject to intense local and global                   more than 60 per cent in animal populations                             Grasslands, found on all continents other                           processes such as desertification.
pressures. If degradation continues at current                 (Figure 12).                                                         than Antarctica, have declined in quality and
rates, the loss of ecosystem services such as                     Species populations in dryland systems                            extent over past decades with high rates of                            Figure 12: Tropical Forest Living Planet
water purification and climate regulation will                 have declined by about 44 per cent since 1970                        conversion to agriculture. Humans are reliant                          Index. The index shows an average -62 per
have serious repercussions for both human                      (Figure 13). Drylands make up more than                              on grasslands both directly for food and                               cent trend between 1970 and 2005 in 503
well-being and biodiversity.                                   40 per cent of the Earth’s terrestrial system,                       indirectly through ecosystem services such                             populations of 186 species.
    Tropical forests support a wide diversity                  including such diverse ecosystems as deserts,                        as nutrient cycling. Grasslands also support a
of species and provide globally and locally                    savannah and tropical dry woodlands.                                 wide range of natural diversity, from endemic                          Figure 13: Dryland Living Planet Index.
important ecosystem services. This habitat                     Drylands are also home to over 2 billion                             plant species to grazing mammals such as                               This shows an average -44 per cent trend
and its species are under threat from pressures                people whose livelihoods often depend                                antelopes, populations of which are vital for                          between 1970 and 2005 in 476 populations
such as deforestation, illegal logging, forest                 directly on local ecosystem goods and                                sustaining many top predator species. There                            of 149 species.




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            EVIDENCE
fire and climate change. Deforestation                         services. While the addition of water points                         has been a 36 per cent decline in grassland
continues in the tropics, with primary forest                  to dryland systems has permitted increased                           vertebrate populations since 1970 (Figure 14).                         Figure 14: Grassland Living Planet Index.
disappearing at the rate of almost 3.5 million                 numbers of livestock for the short-term                              Grasslands are maintained by processes                                 This shows an average -36 per cent trend
hectares per year in Brazil and 1.5 million                    benefit of humans, this has had a negative                           such as artificial and natural fires, grazing,                         between 1970 and 2005 in 703 populations
hectares per year in Indonesia over the period                 impact on fragile systems, to the detriment                          droughts and rainfall. This creates a delicate                         of 309 species.




Fig. 12: TROPICAL FOREST LIVING PLANET INDEX,                                   Fig. 13: DRYLAND LIVING PLANET INDEX,                                                 Fig. 14: GRASSLAND LIVING PLANET INDEX,
1970–2005                                                                       1970–2005                                                                             1970–2005
                   1.8                                                                             1.8                                                                                   1.8

                   1.6                                                                             1.6                                                                                   1.6

                   1.4                                                                             1.4                                                                                   1.4

                   1.2                                                                             1.2                                                                                   1.2
Index (1970=1.0)




                                                                                Index (1970=1.0)




                                                                                                                                                                      Index (1970=1.0)
                   1.0                                                                             1.0                                                                                   1.0

                   0.8                                                                             0.8                                                                                   0.8

                   0.6                                                                             0.6                                                                                   0.6
                                Tropical forest index                                                           Dryland index                                                                         Grassland index
                   0.4                                                                             0.4                                                                                   0.4
                                Confidence limits                                                               Confidence limits                                                                     Confidence limits
                   0.2                                                                             0.2                                                                                   0.2

                    0                                                                               0                                                                                     0
                         1970              1980         1990      2000     05                            1970              1980         1990            2000     05                            1970              1980          1990            2000    05



                                                                                                                                                                                                                            LIVING PLANET REPORT 2008 9
LIVING PLANET INDEX: BIOGEOGRAPHIC REALMS

   The Earth’s land surface can be divided into               small relative to the other realms. As a                             in abundance from 1970 to 2005 increased                               plummeted due to hunting pressure over the
   regions or realms characterized by distinct                consequence, the magnitude of the trend is                           (Figure 17). Most of the population data                               last 40 years (see opposite).
   assemblages of animals and plants (Figure 8).              largely driven by catastrophic declines in a                         available are from Western Europe, the part                               The Afrotropical index shows an average
   Trends in species populations are different                number of amphibian species such as the                              of the world most affected by human activities                         decline of 19 per cent over the 35-year period
   in each realm according to the intensity and               golden toad (Bufo periglenes) from Costa                             over the past 300 years. More than 50 per cent                         (Figure 18). Recent positive trends in the
   history of the threats to their biodiversity. The          Rica, which is now thought to be extinct.                            of the land has been converted for agricultural                        index could reflect some of the conservation
   following figures show trends in terrestrial and           Decreases in abundance are also apparent in                          use, so many species declines are likely to                            efforts on species such as the white rhino
   freshwater species populations in each realm.              other Neotropical species, but not at such a                         have occurred before 1970. The positive trend                          (Ceratotherium simum). However, the
       Species in the Nearctic realm have been                rapid rate.                                                          for the Palearctic realm since 1970 may, in                            northern subspecies has been extirpated
   extensively monitored, providing a large                      The Neotropics contain 40 per cent of all                         part, reflect conservation successes resulting                         from most of its historical range and is now
   amount of population trend data. Species                   plant and animal species on the planet, the                          from habitat protection, reduction of pollution                        on the brink of extinction (see opposite).
   population abundance from 1970 to 2005                     most biodiverse of all the biogeographic                             or other environmental improvements.                                   This shows that although progress is being
   shows no overall change (Figure 15).                       realms. These species are under threat mainly                           However, with globalization, pressure on                            made towards recovery and protection of
       By contrast, the Neotropical index shows               from habitat loss. For example, between 2000                         the environment has shifted to the tropics and                         certain species in the Afrotropical realm,
   a large decline from 1970 to 2004 (Figure 16).             and 2005 the net loss of forests in South                            other regions. Trends in the Eastern Palearctic                        conservation action in the region is still
   Whilst this index combines data from all                   America was about 4.3 million hectares per                           are less certain as fewer data are available.                          essential for reducing the rate of decline.
   vertebrate classes, the amount of population               year, exceeding that of all other regions.                           One species of concern is the saiga antelope                              The Indo-Pacific index combines
   data available for the Neotropical index is                   In the Palearctic realm, the average trend                        (Saiga tatarica), populations of which have                            species population data from three realms:




   Fig. 15: NEARCTIC LIVING PLANET INDEX,                                      Fig. 16: NEOTROPICAL LIVING PLANET INDEX,                                             Fig. 17: PALEARCTIC LIVING PLANET INDEX,
   1970–2005                                                                   1970–2004                                                                             1970–2005
                      1.8                                                                         1.8                                                                                   1.8

                      1.6                                                                         1.6                                                                                   1.6

                      1.4                                                                         1.4                                                                                   1.4

                      1.2                                                                         1.2                                                                                   1.2
   Index (1970=1.0)




                                                                               Index (1970=1.0)




                                                                                                                                                                     Index (1970=1.0)
                      1.0                                                                         1.0                                                                                   1.0

                      0.8                                                                         0.8                                                                                   0.8

                      0.6                                                                         0.6                                                                                   0.6
                                   Nearctic index                                                              Neotropical index                                                                     Palearctic index
                      0.4                                                                         0.4                                                                                   0.4
                                   Confidence limits                                                           Confidence limits                                                                     Confidence limits
                      0.2                                                                         0.2                                                                                   0.2

                       0                                                                           0                                                                                     0
                            1970              1980     1990      2000     05                            1970              1980         1990            2000     05                            1970              1980           1990            2000    05



10 LIVING PLANET REPORT 2008
Indomalaya, Australasia and Oceania, as there               trend over 34 years in 202 populations of
are insufficient data to produce individual                 144 Neotropical species.                                              SAIGA ANTELOPE                                   NORTHERN WHITE RHINO
realm results. The index reveals an average                                                                                       The saiga (Saiga tatarica) is an antelope        The northern white rhino (Ceratotherium
decline of about 35 per cent from 1970 to                   Figure 17: Palearctic Living Planet Index.                            of the semi-arid grasslands of Central Asia      simum cottoni) was once abundant across
2005, with a constant downward trend since                  This shows an overall +30 per cent trend                              that has been hunted for its meat, horn and      North-Central Africa. Now the only known
the late 1970s (Figure 19). Tropical forest loss            over 35 years in 1,167 populations of 363                             hide for many centuries. In recent times, its    population is in the Democratic Republic
has been most severe in the Indo-Pacific                    Palearctic species.                                                   decline has been compounded by the use           of Congo, where numbers have dropped
realm, where much of the original forest has                                                                                      of its horns in Chinese traditional medicine.    from 500 to 4. Small numbers, restricted
been cleared for agriculture or plantations,                Figure 18: Afrotropical Living Planet Index.                          Although hunting is now regulated in saiga       geographic distribution and poaching
driven by the international demand for                      This shows an average -19 per cent trend                              range states (and no international trade is      pressure make this subspecies Critically
products such as palm oil.                                  over 35 years in 552 populations of 201                               allowed), lack of funding and management         Endangered. Recent surveys have failed to
                                                            Afrotropical species.                                                 infrastructure, combined with a weakened         locate the last recorded individuals. Their
Figure 15: Nearctic Living Planet Index.                                                                                          rural economy, has led to widespread             closest relatives, the southern white rhinos




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            EVIDENCE
This shows no overall change in 1,117                       Figure 19: Indo-Pacific Living Planet Index.                          poaching. This is the most likely explanation    (Ceratotherium simum simum), are increas-
populations of 588 Nearctic species.                        This includes the Indomalayan, Australasian                           for the severe and ongoing decline of recent     ing, and there has been significant pro-
                                                            and Oceanic realms, and shows an average                              years, as witnessed by the large quantities of   gress towards conservation of the Critically
Figure 16: Neotropical Living Planet Index.                 -35 per cent trend over 35 years in 441                               saiga meat on sale in Kazakhstan markets.        Endangered black rhino (Diceros bicornis).
The index shows an average -76 per cent                     populations of 155 species.




Fig. 18: AFROTROPICAL LIVING PLANET INDEX,                                   Fig. 19: INDO-PACIFIC LIVING PLANET INDEX,                                                                                                 1




                                                                                                                                                                                                             No. of individuals (million)
1970–2005                                                                    1970–2005
                   1.8                                                                          1.8

                   1.6                                                                          1.6

                   1.4                                                                          1.4

                   1.2                                                                          1.2                                                                                                                     0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            1965                  2000
Index (1970=1.0)




                                                                             Index (1970=1.0)




                                                                                                                                                                                      Saiga antelope (Saiga tatarica)
                   1.0                                                                          1.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                             5




                                                                                                                                                                                                     No. of individuals (hundred)
                   0.8                                                                          0.8

                   0.6                                                                          0.6
                                Afrotropical index                                                           Indo-Pacific index
                   0.4                                                                          0.4
                                Confidence limits                                                            Confidence limits
                   0.2                                                                          0.2
                                                                                                                                                                                                             0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    1970                         2005
                    0                                                                            0
                         1970              1980      1990      2000     05                            1970              1980        1990            2000     05             Northern white rhino (Ceratotherium simum cottoni)



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             LIVING PLANET REPORT 2008 11
L I V I N G P L A N E T I N D E X : TA X A

   While broad trends across ecosystems provide               been described, of which 20 per cent are                             representing a regrettable loss in terms
   an overview of changes in population                       classified as threatened by the IUCN Red                             of global biodiversity, this trend has        TRENDS IN SAMPLE POPULATIONS
   numbers, they do not show the relative                     List of Threatened Species. The mammal                               implications for human well-being. Humans     OF SELECTED SPECIES
   impacts of human pressures across different                index has decreased by about 20 per cent                             depend on healthy ecosystems and thriving     The opposite page reveals population
   species and taxonomic groups.                              over the last decade (Figure 21), with the                           species populations to ensure the continued   trends for 12 terrestrial, marine and fresh-
      There are almost 10,000 species of bird                 most serious declines in the tropical realms.                        provision of ecological services.             water species, illustrating the kinds of
   inhabiting a diverse range of habitats. Their              Overexploitation is one of the principal                                                                           data that are used to calculate the Living
   widespread distribution, plus the fact that                threats to this group, extensively targeted                          Figure 20: Bird Living Planet Index.          Planet Index. The examples shown give
   extensive information has been collected on                by the bushmeat trade, notably in Africa                             This shows an average -20 per cent trend      an insight into trends in animal popula-
   them, has enabled a robust indicator of bird               and Southeast Asia.                                                  between 1970 and 2005 in 2,185 populations    tions from different locations but do not
   trends to be produced. The decline of 20 per                  While populations of species are                                  of 895 species. Temperate and tropical        necessarily represent the picture for the
   cent in the bird index (Figure 20) masks                   increasing and decreasing in different                               species have equal weighting to compensate    entire species.
   a more serious decline of 50 per cent                      areas of the globe (see opposite), and the                           for the much larger temperate data set.
   experienced by surveyed populations of                     threats resulting from humanity’s growing                                                                          A positive sign is that some populations
   tropical and marine birds. Major threats                   footprint do not impact all species equally,                         Figure 21: Mammal Living Planet Index.        are either stable or increasing and these
   include habitat loss, invasive alien species,              the overwhelming picture that is seen from                           This shows an average -19 per cent trend      represent conservation successes from
   overexploitation and pollution.                            averaging these trends is one of global                              from 1970 to 2005 in 1,161 populations of     which we can learn, such as the reintro-
      More than 5,400 mammal species have                     decline in species abundance. Apart from                             355 species.                                  duction of the Mauritius kestrel.

                                                                                                                                                                                 Unfortunately the number of declining
                                                                                                                                                                                 trends among these populations highlights
   Fig. 20: BIRD LIVING PLANET INDEX,                                          Fig. 21: MAMMAL LIVING PLANET INDEX,                                                              key issues that still need to be addressed.
   1970–2005                                                                   1970–2005                                                                                         One of the main threats impacting some of
                      1.8                                                                         1.8                                                                            the sample populations is habitat deg-
                                                                                                                                                                                 radation, as illustrated by the decline in
                      1.6                                                                         1.6
                                                                                                                                                                                 the black-winged stilt. Another threat is the
                      1.4                                                                         1.4                                                                            overexploitation of species either directly
                                                                                                                                                                                 – through current hunting as in the case
                      1.2                                                                         1.2
   Index (1970=1.0)




                                                                               Index (1970=1.0)




                                                                                                                                                                                 of the hippopotamus in the Democratic
                      1.0                                                                         1.0                                                                            Republic of Congo or historical hunting in
                                                                                                                                                                                 the case of the diamondback terrapin –
                      0.8                                                                         0.8
                                                                                                                                                                                 or indirectly as the bycatch of certain
                      0.6                                                                         0.6                                                                            fishing practices. Examples of the latter
                                   Bird index                                                                  Mammal index                                                      include the wandering albatross and the
                      0.4                                                                         0.4
                                   Confidence limits                                                           Confidence limits                                                 loggerhead turtle.
                      0.2                                                                         0.2
                                                                                                                                                                                 Note: the baseline on all sample species graphs
                                                                                                                                                                                 is zero.
                       0                                                                           0
                            1970                1980   1990      2000     05                            1970              1980         1990           2000     05



12 LIVING PLANET REPORT 2008
160                                                                                 160                                                                     60,000




                                  Min. population size




                                                                                                                                                                                                     Counts of birds
                                                                                                             Cow/calf pairs
                                                             1970   2005                                                                         1970     2005                                                           1970                  2005
                Mauritius kestrel (Falco punctatus)                               Southern right whale (Eubalaena australis), Indian Ocean                            Black winged stilt (Himantopus himantopus), eastern Australia
                            Mauritius                                                         (southern coast of South Africa)

                                                              350                                                                                 2,000                                                                   5,000




                                                                                                             No. of breeding pairs
                                  No. of individuals




                                                                                                                                                                                                    No. of fish




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          EVIDENCE
                                                             1970   2005                                                                         1970     2005                                                           1970                  2005
             Red howler monkey (Alouatta seniculus)                           Wandering albatross (Diomedea exulans), South Atlantic Ocean                                 Coho salmon (Oncorhynchus kisutch), Yukon River,
            Hato Masaguaral, Guarico state, Venezuela                                          (Bird Island, South Georgia)                                                        Alaska, United States of America

                                                              10                                                                                  800                                                                     400
                                  Population abundance




                                                                                                                                                                                                    No. of individuals
                                                             1970   2005                                     No. of nests                        1970     2005                                                           1970                  2005
          Elegant fat-tailed opossum (Thylamys elegans)                           Loggerhead turtle (Caretta caretta), South Pacific Ocean                              Diamondback terrapin (Malaclemys terrapin), Kiawa River,
          Las Chinchillas National Reserve, Auco, Chile                                          (Wreck Island, Australia)                                                    South Carolina, United States of America

                                                              5                                                                                   2                                                                       30,000
                                                                                                             No. of individuals (unit efforts)
                                  Relative abundance index




                                                                                                                                                                                                     No.of individuals
                                                             1970   2005                                                                         1970     2005                                                           1970                  2005
Grey treefrog (Hyla versicolor), Wisconsin, United States of America       Whale shark (Rhincodon typus), Indian Ocean (Andaman Sea, Thailand)                   Hippopotamus (Hippopotamus amphibius), Democratic Republic of Congo



                                                                                                                                                                                                                           LIVING PLANET REPORT 2008 13
Living Planet Report 2008
Living Planet Report 2008
Living Planet Report 2008
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Living Planet Report 2008
Living Planet Report 2008
Living Planet Report 2008
Living Planet Report 2008
Living Planet Report 2008
Living Planet Report 2008
Living Planet Report 2008
Living Planet Report 2008
Living Planet Report 2008
Living Planet Report 2008
Living Planet Report 2008
Living Planet Report 2008
Living Planet Report 2008
Living Planet Report 2008
Living Planet Report 2008
Living Planet Report 2008
Living Planet Report 2008
Living Planet Report 2008
Living Planet Report 2008
Living Planet Report 2008
Living Planet Report 2008
Living Planet Report 2008
Living Planet Report 2008
Living Planet Report 2008
Living Planet Report 2008
Living Planet Report 2008

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Living Planet Report 2008

  • 2. CONTENTS Foreword 1 WWF EDITOR IN CHIEF WWF INTERNATIONAL (also known as World Wildlife Chris Hails Avenue du Mont-Blanc Fund in the USA and Canada) is CH-1196 Gland INTRODUCTION 2 one of the world’s largest and EDITORS Switzerland Biodiversity, ecosystem services, humanity’s most experienced independent Sarah Humphrey www.panda.org conservation organizations, with Jonathan Loh footprint 4 almost 5 million supporters and Steven Goldfinger INSTITUTE OF ZOOLOGY a global network active in over Zoological Society of London 100 countries. WWF’s mission is CONTRIBUTORS Regent’s Park EVIDENCE 6 to stop the degradation of the WWF London NW1 4RY, UK Global Living Planet Index 6 planet’s natural environment and Sarah Humphrey www.zoo.cam.ac.uk/ioz/projects/ Systems and biomes 8 to build a future in which humans Ashok Chapagain indicators_livingplanet.htm live in harmony with nature. Greg Bourne Biogeographic realms 10 GLOBAL FOOTPRINT NETWORK Richard Mott Taxa 12 Judy Oglethorpe 312 Clay Street, Suite 300 Ecological Footprint of nations 14 ZOOLOGICAL SOCIETY Aimee Gonzales Oakland, California 94607 OF LONDON Martin Atkin USA Biocapacity 16 Founded in 1826, the Zoological www.footprintnetwork.org Water footprint of consumption 18 Society of London (ZSL) is ZSL an international scientific, Jonathan Loh TWENTE WATER CENTRE Water footprint of production 20 Ben Collen conservation and educational University of Twente organization. Its mission is to Louise McRae 7500 AE Enschede achieve and promote the Tharsila T. Carranza The Netherlands TURNING THE TIDE 22 worldwide conservation of Fiona A. Pamplin www.water.utwente.nl Towards sustainability 22 animals and their habitats. Rajan Amin The energy challenge 24 ZSL runs ZSL London Zoo Jonathan E.M. Baillie and ZSL Whipsnade Zoo, Population and consumption 26 GFN carries out scientific research Global trade 28 in the Institute of Zoology and Steven Goldfinger is actively involved in field Mathis Wackernagel Managing biocapacity: An ecosystem approach 30 Meredith Stechbart conservation worldwide. Sarah Rizk Anders Reed DATA AND TABLES 32 Justin Kitzes GLOBAL FOOTPRINT The Ecological Footprint, biocapacity and Audrey Peller NETWORK water footprint 32 Shiva Niazi promotes a sustainable economy Brad Ewing The Living Planet Index, Ecological Footprint, by advancing the Ecological Alessandro Galli Footprint, a tool that makes biocapacity and water footprint through time 40 Yoshihiko Wada sustainability measurable. Dan Moran The Living Planet Index: Numbers of species 40 Together with its partners, the Robert Williams network coordinates research, Living Planet Index: Technical notes 41 Willy De Backer develops methodological Ecological Footprint: Frequently asked questions 42 standards, and provides decision TWENTE makers with robust resource Arjen Y. Hoekstra accounts to help the human Mesfin Mekonnen References and further reading 44 economy operate within the Acknowledgements 45 Earth’s ecological limits.
  • 3. FOREWORD he recent downturn in the global economy is a stark T surging demand for food, feed and biofuels, and, in some demand for global energy services in 2050 while achieving reminder of the consequences of living beyond our places, dwindling water supplies. For the first time in recorded significant reductions in global greenhouse gas emissions. means. But the possibility of financial recession pales in history, this past summer the Arctic ice cap was surrounded by Crucially, this model highlights the need to take immediate comparison to the looming ecological credit crunch. open water – literally disappearing under the impact of our action to curb dangerous climate change. carbon footprint. Whether we live on the edge of the forest or in the heart of the As we act to reduce our footprint – our impact on the Earth’s city, our livelihoods and indeed our lives depend on the services The ecological credit crunch is a global challenge. The Living services – we must also get better at managing the ecosystems provided by the Earth’s natural systems. The Living Planet Planet Report 2008 tells us that more than three quarters of that provide those services. Success requires that we manage Report 2008 tells us that we are consuming the resources that the world’s people live in nations that are ecological debtors resources on nature’s terms and at nature’s scale. This means underpin those services much too fast – faster than they can be – their national consumption has outstripped their country’s that decisions in each sector, such as agriculture or fisheries, replenished. Just as reckless spending is causing recession, so biocapacity. Thus, most of us are propping up our current must be taken with an eye to broader ecological consequences. reckless consumption is depleting the world’s natural capital to lifestyles, and our economic growth, by drawing (and It also means that we must find ways to manage across our own a point where we are endangering our future prosperity. The increasingly overdrawing) upon the ecological capital of other boundaries – across property lines and political borders – to Living Planet Index shows that over the past 35 years alone the parts of the world. take care of the ecosystem as a whole. Earth’s wildlife populations have declined by a third. The good news is that we have the means to reverse the It is nearly four decades since the Apollo 8 astronauts Yet our demands continue to escalate, driven by the relentless ecological credit crunch – it is not too late to prevent an photographed the famous “Earth Rise”, providing the first ever growth in human population and in individual consumption. irreversible ecological recession setting in. This report identifies view of Planet Earth. In the two generations since, the world Our global footprint now exceeds the world’s capacity to the key areas where we need to transform our lifestyles and has moved from ecological credit to ecological deficit. The regenerate by about 30 per cent. If our demands on the planet economies to put us on a more sustainable trajectory. human species has a remarkable track record of ingenuity and continue at the same rate, by the mid-2030s we will need the problem solving. The same spirit that took man to the moon equivalent of two planets to maintain our lifestyles. And The scale of the challenge at times seems overwhelming, which must now be harnessed to free future generations from crippling this year’s report captures, for the first time, the impact of is why we have introduced the concept of “sustainability ecological debt. our consumption on the Earth’s water resources and our wedges” to tackle ecological overshoot across different sectors vulnerability to water scarcity in many areas. and drivers. This wedge analysis enables us to break down the various contributing factors of overshoot and propose different These overall trends have very concrete consequences, and solutions for each. For the single most important challenge, the we have seen them this year in daily headlines. Global prices WWF Climate Solutions Model uses a wedge analysis to James P. Leape for many crops have hit record highs, in large part due to illustrate how it is possible to meet the projected growth in Director-General, WWF International LIVING PLANET REPORT 2008 1
  • 4. INTRODUCTION We have only one planet. Its capacity biodiversity, as measured by populations of exceeds the planet’s regenerative capacity both geographically and through time. to support a thriving diversity of species, 1,686 vertebrate species across all regions by about 30 per cent (Figure 2). This global Around 50 countries are currently facing humans included, is large but fundamentally of the world, has declined by nearly 30 per overshoot is growing and, as a consequence, moderate or severe water stress and the limited. When human demand on this cent over just the past 35 years (Figure 1). ecosystems are being run down and waste number of people suffering from year-round capacity exceeds what is available – For the first time in this report, the volume of is accumulating in the air, land and water. or seasonal water shortages is expected to when we surpass ecological limits – we data in the Living Planet Index has allowed The resulting deforestation, water shortages, increase as a result of climate change. This erode the health of the Earth’s living species population trends to be analysed by declining biodiversity and climate change are has profound implications for ecosystem systems. Ultimately, this loss threatens biogeographic realm and taxonomic group putting the well-being and development of health, food production and human human well-being. as well as by biome. While biodiversity loss all nations at increasing risk. well-being. This report uses complementary has levelled off in some temperate areas, the Water shortages are of growing concern Humanity’s demand on the planet has measures to explore the changing state overall Living Planet Index continues to show in many countries and regions. Therefore, more than doubled over the past 45 years as of global biodiversity and of human a decline. It appears increasingly unlikely this report includes a third measure, the a result of population growth and increasing consumption. The Living Planet Index that even the modest goal of the Convention water footprint, which captures the demand individual consumption. In 1961, almost all reflects the state of the planet’s ecosystems on Biological Diversity, to reduce by 2010 placed on national, regional or global water countries in the world had more than enough while the Ecological Footprint shows the the rate at which global biodiversity is being resources as a result of consumption of capacity to meet their own demand; by 2005, extent and type of human demand being lost, will be met. goods and services. Although water is not the situation had changed radically, with placed on these systems. Humanity’s demand on the planet’s living considered a scarce resource globally, its many countries able to meet their needs only The Living Planet Index of global resources, its Ecological Footprint, now distribution and availability are very uneven, by importing resources from other nations Fig. 1: LIVING PLANET INDEX, 1970–2005 Fig. 2: HUMANITY’S ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT, 1961-2005 1.8 1.8 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.4 Number of planet Earths 1.2 1.2 Index (1970=1.0) World biocapacity 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0 0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 05 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 05 2 LIVING PLANET REPORT 2008
  • 5. and by using the global atmosphere as a report uses a “wedge” approach to illustrate The Ecological Footprint – representing Figure 1: Living Planet Index. The global INTRODUCTION dumping ground for carbon dioxide and how moving to clean energy generation and human demand on nature – and the Living index shows that vertebrate species other greenhouse gases (Figure 3). In an efficiency based on current technologies Planet Index – measuring nature’s overall populations declined by nearly 30 per cent overexploited world, ecological debtor could allow us to meet the projected 2050 health – serve as clear and robust guideposts during the period 1970 to 2005. nations are particularly at risk from local and demand for energy services with major to what needs to be done. If humanity has global overshoot, and from the associated reductions in associated carbon emissions. the will, it has the way to live within the Figure 2: Humanity’s Ecological Footprint. decline in ecosystem services, the life Technology transfer and support for means of the planet, while securing human Human demand on the biosphere more than support system on which humanity depends. local innovation can help emerging well-being and the ecosystems on which doubled during the period 1961 to 2005. If we continue with business as usual, by economies maximize their well-being while this depends. the early 2030s we will need two planets leapfrogging resource-intensive phases of Figure 3: Ecological debtor and creditor to keep up with humanity’s demand for industrialization. Cities, which now house countries. Debtor countries have an goods and services. But there are many more than half the human population, can Ecological Footprint greater than their effective ways to change course. While be designed to support desirable lifestyles own biocapacity; creditor countries have technological developments will continue to while simultaneously minimizing demand an Ecological Footprint smaller than their play an important role in addressing the on both local and global ecosystems. own biocapacity. sustainability challenge, much of what needs Empowerment of women, education and to be done is already known, and solutions access to voluntary family planning can are available today. As an example, this slow or even reverse population growth. Fig. 3: ECOLOGICAL DEBTOR AND Eco-debt: Footprint relative to biocapacity more than 150% greater 100-150% greater 50-100% greater 0-50%greater Insufficient data CREDITOR COUNTRIES, 1961 and 2005 Eco-credit: Biocapacity relative to footprint 0-50%greater 50-100% greater 100-150% greater more than 150% greater 1961 2005 (2005 country boundaries) LIVING PLANET REPORT 2008 3
  • 6. B I O D I V E R S I T Y, E C O S Y S T E M S E R V I C E S , H U M A N I T Y ’ S F O O T P R I N T The Living Planet Index shows that wild capacity of the population. It has been the impacts are difficult to predict at local scales, production of food, freshwater, materials species and natural ecosystems are under dominant threat to marine biodiversity, and but any ecosystem may be susceptible to or fuel pressure across all biomes and regions of overfishing has devastated many commercial changing temperature or weather patterns. ■ regulating services including climate and the world. The direct, anthropogenic threats fish stocks. However, overexploitation is also Clearly, all of these threats or pressures flood regulation, water purification, to biodiversity are often grouped under five a serious threat to many terrestrial species, are the effect of more distant, indirect drivers. pollination and pest control headings: particularly tropical forest mammals hunted These drivers of biodiversity loss stem from ■ cultural (including aesthetic, spiritual, ■ habitat loss, fragmentation or change, for meat. Overharvesting of timber and the human demands for food, water, energy educational and recreational) services. especially due to agriculture fuelwood has also led to loss of forests and and materials. They can be considered in ■ overexploitation of species, especially their associated plant and animal populations. terms of the production and consumption of Each of these services derives ultimately due to fishing and hunting Invasive species, introduced either agricultural crops, meat and dairy products, from living organisms. However, it is not ■ pollution deliberately or inadvertently to one part fish and seafood, timber and paper, water, biodiversity per se that underpins ecosystem ■ the spread of invasive species or genes of the world from another, and which energy, transport and land for towns, cities services, but the abundance of particular ■ climate change. become competitors, predators or and infrastructure. As the world population species that are critical in maintaining habitat parasites of indigenous species, are and economy grow, so do the pressures on stability and providing those services. Decline All five of these threats stem ultimately responsible for declines in many native biodiversity. As technology and resource in a critical species at a local scale will have from human demands on the biosphere – species populations. This is especially efficiency improve, so the pressure could an adverse impact on ecosystem services, the production and consumption of natural important on islands and in freshwater be alleviated. The Ecological Footprint is even if that species is not threatened globally. resources for food and drink, energy or ecosystems, where they are thought to be an aggregate measure of the demands that The MA reported that biodiversity loss materials, and the disposal of associated the main threat to endemic species. resource consumption places on ecosystems contributes to food and energy insecurity, waste products – or the displacement of Pollution is another important cause and species. Understanding the interactions increased vulnerability to natural disasters natural ecosystems by towns, cities and of biodiversity loss, particularly in aquatic between biodiversity, the drivers of such as floods or tropical storms, poorer infrastructure (see Figure 4). Further, the ecosystems. Excess nutrient loading as a biodiversity loss and humanity’s footprint health, reduced availability and quality of massive flows of goods and people around result of the increasing use of nitrogen is fundamental to slowing, halting and water, and the erosion of cultural heritage. the world have become a vector for the and phosphorous fertilizers in agriculture reversing the ongoing declines in natural Most supporting, regulating and cultural spread of alien species and diseases. causes eutrophication and oxygen depletion. ecosystems and populations of wild species. ecosystem services are not bought and Natural habitat is lost, altered or Toxic chemical pollution often arises from sold commercially, so have no market value. fragmented through its conversion for pesticide use in farming or aquaculture, ECOSYSTEM SERVICES Their decline sends no warning signal to the cultivation, grazing, aquaculture, and from industry and from mining wastes. The Humanity depends on healthy ecosystems: local or global economy. Markets lead to industrial or urban use. River systems increasing carbon dioxide concentration in they support or improve our quality of life, decisions about resource use that maximize are dammed and altered for irrigation, the atmosphere is causing acidification of the and without them, the Earth would be benefits to individual producers and hydropower or flow regulation. Even oceans, which is likely to have widespread uninhabitable. The Millennium Ecosystem consumers, but often undermine the marine ecosystems, particularly the seabed, effects, particularly on shell- and reef- Assessment (MA) describes four categories biodiversity and ecosystem services on are physically degraded by trawling, building organisms. of ecosystem services, starting with the which the production and consumption construction and extractive industries. Potentially the greatest threat to most fundamental: ultimately depend. The value of biodiversity Overexploitation of wild species biodiversity over the coming decades is ■ supporting services such as nutrient to human well-being, while not readily populations is the result of harvesting or climate change. Early impacts have been felt cycling, soil formation and primary quantifiable in monetary terms, could be the killing animals or plants for food, materials in polar and montane as well as coastal and production difference between a planet that can support or medicine, at a rate above the reproductive marine ecosystems, such as coral reefs. Future ■ provisioning services such as the its human population and one which cannot. 4 LIVING PLANET REPORT 2008
  • 7. Fig. 4: BIODIVERSITY LOSS, HUMAN PRESSURE AND THE ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT, cause-and-effect relationships INTRODUCTION ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT/ INDIRECT DRIVERS OF BIODIVERSITY THREATS CONSUMPTION SECTORS LOSS/HUMAN ACTIVITIES DIRECT PRESSURES ON BIODIVERSITY or PRESSURES Timber, paper and fibre Timber, pulp and paper production Forest, woodland and mangrove loss and Fuelwood Fuelwood collection fragmentation Food crops, oil crops, Conversion to cropland Grassland and savannah loss and degradation fibre crops Conversion to grazing land Conversion to aquaculture HABITAT LOSS Meat, dairy, eggs, skins River fragmentation and regulation Farmed fish and seafood Conversion to urban land and Coral reef and coastal habitat destruction Construction, cement road building Dam building Benthic habitat destruction Mining and metals Net fishing (including trawling) Overfishing Wild meat, fish and Line fishing Bycatch OVEREXPLOITATION seafood Bushmeat hunting Overharvesting terrestrial and aquatic species Wildlife trade Nutrient loading/eutrophication and toxic blooms Nitrogen and sulphur emissions Acid rain Domestic water Organic waste POLLUTION Industrial processing Agrochemical use Pesticides and toxic chemicals Mining waste and contamination Oil spills Ocean acidification Marine invasive species Shipping Transport INVASIVE ALIEN Trade Freshwater invasive species SPECIES Deliberate or inadvertent Tourism introduction of alien species Terrestrial invasive species, esp. on small islands Degradation of arctic and alpine environments Loss of polar sea ice Energy use Carbon dioxide, methane and Coral reef bleaching and die-off CLIMATE Fossil fuel combustion other greenhouse gas emissions CHANGE Alteration of seasonal cycles Drought-induced forest die-off and desertification Loss of seasonal wetlands LIVING PLANET REPORT 2008 5
  • 8. LIVING PLANET INDEX: GLOBAL The Living Planet Index is an indicator temperate indices, the overall trends in little overall change over the same period from 1970 to 2005 in 4,642 populations of designed to monitor the state of the world’s terrestrial, freshwater and marine species (Figures 6 and 7). 1,686 species*. Temperate and tropical biodiversity. Specifically, it tracks trends in a are also each given equal weight. This marked contrast in trends between average trends were given equal weight. large number of populations of species in The tropical index consists of terrestrial temperate and tropical populations is much the same way that a stock market index and freshwater species populations found in apparent in terrestrial, freshwater and marine Figure 6: Temperate Living Planet Index. tracks the value of a set of shares or a retail the Afrotropical, Indo-Pacific and Neotropical species. It does not necessarily imply, The index shows a +6 per cent average trend price index tracks the cost of a basket of realms as well as marine species populations however, that tropical biodiversity is in a far between 1970 and 2005 in 3,309 populations consumer goods. The Living Planet Index is from the zone between the Tropics of Cancer worse state than temperate biodiversity. If of 1,235 species*. Terrestrial, freshwater and based on trends in nearly 5,000 populations and Capricorn. the index were to extend back centuries marine species’ average trends were given of 1,686 species of mammal, bird, reptile, The temperate index includes terrestrial rather than decades, it might well show a equal weight. amphibian and fish from around the globe. and freshwater species populations from the decline of equal or greater magnitude among The changes in the population of each species Palearctic and Nearctic realms as well as temperate species populations. Whether or Figure 7: Tropical Living Planet Index. are then averaged and shown relative to 1970, marine species populations north or south of not this is the case, the index shows that The index shows a -51 per cent overall trend which is given a value of 1.0. the tropics (see Figure 8). there is a severe and ongoing loss of from 1970 to 2005 in 1,333 populations of The global Living Planet Index is the The global index shows an overall decline biodiversity in tropical ecosystems. 585 species*. Terrestrial, freshwater and aggregate of two indices – temperate (which from 1970 to 2005 of nearly 30 per cent marine species’ average trends were given includes polar) and tropical – each of which (Figure 5). The tropical index fell by about Figure 5: Global Living Planet Index. equal weight. is given equal weight. In the tropical and 50 per cent while the temperate index showed This shows an average trend of -28 per cent * Note: Some species occur in temperate and tropical regions. Fig. 5: GLOBAL LIVING PLANET INDEX, Fig. 6: TEMPERATE LIVING PLANET INDEX, Fig. 7: TROPICAL LIVING PLANET INDEX, 1970–2005 1970–2005 1970–2005 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.2 Index (1970=1.0) Index (1970=1.0) Index (1970=1.0) 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 Global index Temperate index Tropical index 0.4 0.4 0.4 Confidence limits Confidence limits Confidence limits 0.2 0.2 0.2 0 0 0 1970 1980 1990 2000 05 1970 1980 1990 2000 05 1970 1980 1990 2000 05 6 LIVING PLANET REPORT 2008
  • 9. Palearctic Nearctic Tropic of Cancer Oceanic EVIDENCE Oceanic Indomalayan Tropic of Capricorn Neotropical Afrotropical Australasian Antarctic Fig. 8: TERRESTRIAL BIOGEOGRAPHIC REALMS AND BIOMES Tropical and subtropical moist broadleaf forests Flooded grasslands and savannahs Tropical and subtropical dry broadleaf forests Montane grasslands and shrublands Tropical and subtropical coniferous forests Tundra Temperate broadleaf and mixed forests Mediterranean forests, woodlands and scrub Temperate coniferous forests Deserts and xeric shrublands Boreal forests/taiga Mangroves Tropical and subtropical grasslands, savannahs and shrublands Water bodies Temperate grasslands, savannahs and shrublands Rock and ice LIVING PLANET REPORT 2008 7
  • 10. LIVING PLANET INDEX: SYSTEMS AND BIOMES The terrestrial, freshwater and marine The marine index shows an average example, decline in coral abundance Figure 9: Terrestrial Living Planet Index. indices are each calculated as the average overall decline of 14 per cent between due to bleaching and disease, driven by This index shows an average -33 per cent of two indices which separately measure 1970 and 2005 (Figure 10). Rising sea increasing sea surface temperatures, is of trend between 1970 and 2005 in 2,007 trends in tropical and temperate vertebrate temperatures, destructive fishing methods growing concern. populations of 887 terrestrial species. populations. and pollution are responsible for some of the Inland waters are home to an enormous The terrestrial index has declined decline in marine life. A recent study shows diversity of species and also provide Figure 10: Marine Living Planet Index. consistently since the mid-1970s (Figure 9), that 40 per cent of the world’s oceans are resources and ecological services that are The marine species index shows an and shows an average 33 per cent decline in severely affected by human activities. essential to human well-being. The average -14 per cent trend over 35 years in terrestrial vertebrate populations between Overfishing is the major driver of freshwater index shows that populations 1,175 populations of 341 marine species. 1970 and 2005. Most of this change took this change, with most of the world’s of species in inland waters decreased on place in the tropics; there was little overall commercial marine fisheries believed to be average by 35 per cent from 1970 to 2005 Figure 11: Freshwater Living Planet Index. change in species populations in temperate fully exploited or overexploited. Oceans (Figure 11). It is estimated that wetland areas The freshwater index shows an average regions. In the tropics, a combination of provide vital resources and ecosystem decreased in extent by 50 per cent during the -35 per cent trend from 1970 to 2005 in deforestation and other habitat destruction, services upon which all life depends; 20th century as a result of a number of 1,463 populations of 458 species. driven by agricultural conversion and however, marine protected areas currently different threats. Loss and degradation of overexploitation from logging and hunting, cover less than 1 per cent of the world’s seas. wetlands is caused by overfishing, invasive are among the major causes of species Recent assessments show that population species, pollution, creation of dams and population declines. declines extend beyond vertebrates. For water diversion. Fig. 9: TERRESTRIAL LIVING PLANET INDEX, Fig. 10: MARINE LIVING PLANET INDEX, Fig. 11: FRESHWATER LIVING PLANET INDEX, 1970–2005 1970–2005 1970–2005 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.2 Index (1970=1.0) Index (1970=1.0) Index (1970=1.0) 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 Terrestrial index Marine index Freshwater index 0.4 0.4 0.4 Confidence limits Confidence limits Confidence limits 0.2 0.2 0.2 0 0 0 1970 1980 1990 2000 05 1970 1980 1990 2000 05 1970 1980 1990 2000 05 8 LIVING PLANET REPORT 2008
  • 11. The indices below highlight species 2000 to 2005. This is reflected in the tropical of biodiversity. An estimated 20 per cent of balance of influences which can be easily population declines in three groups of biomes forest index, which reveals a decline of dryland areas now suffer soil degradation. disrupted, leading to the acceleration of that are subject to intense local and global more than 60 per cent in animal populations Grasslands, found on all continents other processes such as desertification. pressures. If degradation continues at current (Figure 12). than Antarctica, have declined in quality and rates, the loss of ecosystem services such as Species populations in dryland systems extent over past decades with high rates of Figure 12: Tropical Forest Living Planet water purification and climate regulation will have declined by about 44 per cent since 1970 conversion to agriculture. Humans are reliant Index. The index shows an average -62 per have serious repercussions for both human (Figure 13). Drylands make up more than on grasslands both directly for food and cent trend between 1970 and 2005 in 503 well-being and biodiversity. 40 per cent of the Earth’s terrestrial system, indirectly through ecosystem services such populations of 186 species. Tropical forests support a wide diversity including such diverse ecosystems as deserts, as nutrient cycling. Grasslands also support a of species and provide globally and locally savannah and tropical dry woodlands. wide range of natural diversity, from endemic Figure 13: Dryland Living Planet Index. important ecosystem services. This habitat Drylands are also home to over 2 billion plant species to grazing mammals such as This shows an average -44 per cent trend and its species are under threat from pressures people whose livelihoods often depend antelopes, populations of which are vital for between 1970 and 2005 in 476 populations such as deforestation, illegal logging, forest directly on local ecosystem goods and sustaining many top predator species. There of 149 species. EVIDENCE fire and climate change. Deforestation services. While the addition of water points has been a 36 per cent decline in grassland continues in the tropics, with primary forest to dryland systems has permitted increased vertebrate populations since 1970 (Figure 14). Figure 14: Grassland Living Planet Index. disappearing at the rate of almost 3.5 million numbers of livestock for the short-term Grasslands are maintained by processes This shows an average -36 per cent trend hectares per year in Brazil and 1.5 million benefit of humans, this has had a negative such as artificial and natural fires, grazing, between 1970 and 2005 in 703 populations hectares per year in Indonesia over the period impact on fragile systems, to the detriment droughts and rainfall. This creates a delicate of 309 species. Fig. 12: TROPICAL FOREST LIVING PLANET INDEX, Fig. 13: DRYLAND LIVING PLANET INDEX, Fig. 14: GRASSLAND LIVING PLANET INDEX, 1970–2005 1970–2005 1970–2005 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.2 Index (1970=1.0) Index (1970=1.0) Index (1970=1.0) 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 Tropical forest index Dryland index Grassland index 0.4 0.4 0.4 Confidence limits Confidence limits Confidence limits 0.2 0.2 0.2 0 0 0 1970 1980 1990 2000 05 1970 1980 1990 2000 05 1970 1980 1990 2000 05 LIVING PLANET REPORT 2008 9
  • 12. LIVING PLANET INDEX: BIOGEOGRAPHIC REALMS The Earth’s land surface can be divided into small relative to the other realms. As a in abundance from 1970 to 2005 increased plummeted due to hunting pressure over the regions or realms characterized by distinct consequence, the magnitude of the trend is (Figure 17). Most of the population data last 40 years (see opposite). assemblages of animals and plants (Figure 8). largely driven by catastrophic declines in a available are from Western Europe, the part The Afrotropical index shows an average Trends in species populations are different number of amphibian species such as the of the world most affected by human activities decline of 19 per cent over the 35-year period in each realm according to the intensity and golden toad (Bufo periglenes) from Costa over the past 300 years. More than 50 per cent (Figure 18). Recent positive trends in the history of the threats to their biodiversity. The Rica, which is now thought to be extinct. of the land has been converted for agricultural index could reflect some of the conservation following figures show trends in terrestrial and Decreases in abundance are also apparent in use, so many species declines are likely to efforts on species such as the white rhino freshwater species populations in each realm. other Neotropical species, but not at such a have occurred before 1970. The positive trend (Ceratotherium simum). However, the Species in the Nearctic realm have been rapid rate. for the Palearctic realm since 1970 may, in northern subspecies has been extirpated extensively monitored, providing a large The Neotropics contain 40 per cent of all part, reflect conservation successes resulting from most of its historical range and is now amount of population trend data. Species plant and animal species on the planet, the from habitat protection, reduction of pollution on the brink of extinction (see opposite). population abundance from 1970 to 2005 most biodiverse of all the biogeographic or other environmental improvements. This shows that although progress is being shows no overall change (Figure 15). realms. These species are under threat mainly However, with globalization, pressure on made towards recovery and protection of By contrast, the Neotropical index shows from habitat loss. For example, between 2000 the environment has shifted to the tropics and certain species in the Afrotropical realm, a large decline from 1970 to 2004 (Figure 16). and 2005 the net loss of forests in South other regions. Trends in the Eastern Palearctic conservation action in the region is still Whilst this index combines data from all America was about 4.3 million hectares per are less certain as fewer data are available. essential for reducing the rate of decline. vertebrate classes, the amount of population year, exceeding that of all other regions. One species of concern is the saiga antelope The Indo-Pacific index combines data available for the Neotropical index is In the Palearctic realm, the average trend (Saiga tatarica), populations of which have species population data from three realms: Fig. 15: NEARCTIC LIVING PLANET INDEX, Fig. 16: NEOTROPICAL LIVING PLANET INDEX, Fig. 17: PALEARCTIC LIVING PLANET INDEX, 1970–2005 1970–2004 1970–2005 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.2 Index (1970=1.0) Index (1970=1.0) Index (1970=1.0) 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 Nearctic index Neotropical index Palearctic index 0.4 0.4 0.4 Confidence limits Confidence limits Confidence limits 0.2 0.2 0.2 0 0 0 1970 1980 1990 2000 05 1970 1980 1990 2000 05 1970 1980 1990 2000 05 10 LIVING PLANET REPORT 2008
  • 13. Indomalaya, Australasia and Oceania, as there trend over 34 years in 202 populations of are insufficient data to produce individual 144 Neotropical species. SAIGA ANTELOPE NORTHERN WHITE RHINO realm results. The index reveals an average The saiga (Saiga tatarica) is an antelope The northern white rhino (Ceratotherium decline of about 35 per cent from 1970 to Figure 17: Palearctic Living Planet Index. of the semi-arid grasslands of Central Asia simum cottoni) was once abundant across 2005, with a constant downward trend since This shows an overall +30 per cent trend that has been hunted for its meat, horn and North-Central Africa. Now the only known the late 1970s (Figure 19). Tropical forest loss over 35 years in 1,167 populations of 363 hide for many centuries. In recent times, its population is in the Democratic Republic has been most severe in the Indo-Pacific Palearctic species. decline has been compounded by the use of Congo, where numbers have dropped realm, where much of the original forest has of its horns in Chinese traditional medicine. from 500 to 4. Small numbers, restricted been cleared for agriculture or plantations, Figure 18: Afrotropical Living Planet Index. Although hunting is now regulated in saiga geographic distribution and poaching driven by the international demand for This shows an average -19 per cent trend range states (and no international trade is pressure make this subspecies Critically products such as palm oil. over 35 years in 552 populations of 201 allowed), lack of funding and management Endangered. Recent surveys have failed to Afrotropical species. infrastructure, combined with a weakened locate the last recorded individuals. Their Figure 15: Nearctic Living Planet Index. rural economy, has led to widespread closest relatives, the southern white rhinos EVIDENCE This shows no overall change in 1,117 Figure 19: Indo-Pacific Living Planet Index. poaching. This is the most likely explanation (Ceratotherium simum simum), are increas- populations of 588 Nearctic species. This includes the Indomalayan, Australasian for the severe and ongoing decline of recent ing, and there has been significant pro- and Oceanic realms, and shows an average years, as witnessed by the large quantities of gress towards conservation of the Critically Figure 16: Neotropical Living Planet Index. -35 per cent trend over 35 years in 441 saiga meat on sale in Kazakhstan markets. Endangered black rhino (Diceros bicornis). The index shows an average -76 per cent populations of 155 species. Fig. 18: AFROTROPICAL LIVING PLANET INDEX, Fig. 19: INDO-PACIFIC LIVING PLANET INDEX, 1 No. of individuals (million) 1970–2005 1970–2005 1.8 1.8 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.2 0 1965 2000 Index (1970=1.0) Index (1970=1.0) Saiga antelope (Saiga tatarica) 1.0 1.0 5 No. of individuals (hundred) 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 Afrotropical index Indo-Pacific index 0.4 0.4 Confidence limits Confidence limits 0.2 0.2 0 1970 2005 0 0 1970 1980 1990 2000 05 1970 1980 1990 2000 05 Northern white rhino (Ceratotherium simum cottoni) LIVING PLANET REPORT 2008 11
  • 14. L I V I N G P L A N E T I N D E X : TA X A While broad trends across ecosystems provide been described, of which 20 per cent are representing a regrettable loss in terms an overview of changes in population classified as threatened by the IUCN Red of global biodiversity, this trend has TRENDS IN SAMPLE POPULATIONS numbers, they do not show the relative List of Threatened Species. The mammal implications for human well-being. Humans OF SELECTED SPECIES impacts of human pressures across different index has decreased by about 20 per cent depend on healthy ecosystems and thriving The opposite page reveals population species and taxonomic groups. over the last decade (Figure 21), with the species populations to ensure the continued trends for 12 terrestrial, marine and fresh- There are almost 10,000 species of bird most serious declines in the tropical realms. provision of ecological services. water species, illustrating the kinds of inhabiting a diverse range of habitats. Their Overexploitation is one of the principal data that are used to calculate the Living widespread distribution, plus the fact that threats to this group, extensively targeted Figure 20: Bird Living Planet Index. Planet Index. The examples shown give extensive information has been collected on by the bushmeat trade, notably in Africa This shows an average -20 per cent trend an insight into trends in animal popula- them, has enabled a robust indicator of bird and Southeast Asia. between 1970 and 2005 in 2,185 populations tions from different locations but do not trends to be produced. The decline of 20 per While populations of species are of 895 species. Temperate and tropical necessarily represent the picture for the cent in the bird index (Figure 20) masks increasing and decreasing in different species have equal weighting to compensate entire species. a more serious decline of 50 per cent areas of the globe (see opposite), and the for the much larger temperate data set. experienced by surveyed populations of threats resulting from humanity’s growing A positive sign is that some populations tropical and marine birds. Major threats footprint do not impact all species equally, Figure 21: Mammal Living Planet Index. are either stable or increasing and these include habitat loss, invasive alien species, the overwhelming picture that is seen from This shows an average -19 per cent trend represent conservation successes from overexploitation and pollution. averaging these trends is one of global from 1970 to 2005 in 1,161 populations of which we can learn, such as the reintro- More than 5,400 mammal species have decline in species abundance. Apart from 355 species. duction of the Mauritius kestrel. Unfortunately the number of declining trends among these populations highlights Fig. 20: BIRD LIVING PLANET INDEX, Fig. 21: MAMMAL LIVING PLANET INDEX, key issues that still need to be addressed. 1970–2005 1970–2005 One of the main threats impacting some of 1.8 1.8 the sample populations is habitat deg- radation, as illustrated by the decline in 1.6 1.6 the black-winged stilt. Another threat is the 1.4 1.4 overexploitation of species either directly – through current hunting as in the case 1.2 1.2 Index (1970=1.0) Index (1970=1.0) of the hippopotamus in the Democratic 1.0 1.0 Republic of Congo or historical hunting in the case of the diamondback terrapin – 0.8 0.8 or indirectly as the bycatch of certain 0.6 0.6 fishing practices. Examples of the latter Bird index Mammal index include the wandering albatross and the 0.4 0.4 Confidence limits Confidence limits loggerhead turtle. 0.2 0.2 Note: the baseline on all sample species graphs is zero. 0 0 1970 1980 1990 2000 05 1970 1980 1990 2000 05 12 LIVING PLANET REPORT 2008
  • 15. 160 160 60,000 Min. population size Counts of birds Cow/calf pairs 1970 2005 1970 2005 1970 2005 Mauritius kestrel (Falco punctatus) Southern right whale (Eubalaena australis), Indian Ocean Black winged stilt (Himantopus himantopus), eastern Australia Mauritius (southern coast of South Africa) 350 2,000 5,000 No. of breeding pairs No. of individuals No. of fish EVIDENCE 1970 2005 1970 2005 1970 2005 Red howler monkey (Alouatta seniculus) Wandering albatross (Diomedea exulans), South Atlantic Ocean Coho salmon (Oncorhynchus kisutch), Yukon River, Hato Masaguaral, Guarico state, Venezuela (Bird Island, South Georgia) Alaska, United States of America 10 800 400 Population abundance No. of individuals 1970 2005 No. of nests 1970 2005 1970 2005 Elegant fat-tailed opossum (Thylamys elegans) Loggerhead turtle (Caretta caretta), South Pacific Ocean Diamondback terrapin (Malaclemys terrapin), Kiawa River, Las Chinchillas National Reserve, Auco, Chile (Wreck Island, Australia) South Carolina, United States of America 5 2 30,000 No. of individuals (unit efforts) Relative abundance index No.of individuals 1970 2005 1970 2005 1970 2005 Grey treefrog (Hyla versicolor), Wisconsin, United States of America Whale shark (Rhincodon typus), Indian Ocean (Andaman Sea, Thailand) Hippopotamus (Hippopotamus amphibius), Democratic Republic of Congo LIVING PLANET REPORT 2008 13