During the Bayer CropScience Annual Press Conference on September 17 2014, CEO Liam Condon provided journalists from all over the world with a perspective on global trends in the agricultural markets, and reported on the company’s business and financial performance.
4. Growing productivity gap in wheat
Projected demand and wheat yield trends under several scenarios
Water, nutrient
and energy
scarcity
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Source: CIMMYT 2014
World-wide average yield (tons ha)
Year
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
• Annual Press Conference 2014 • Liam Condon • Page 4 September 17, 2014
Projected demand
by 2050 (FAO)
Linear extrapolations
of current trends
Potential effect of
climate-change-induced
heat stress
on today’s cultivars
(intermediate CO2
emission scenario)
Diseases
Climate
change
Agronomy Breeding
Need for production increase
estimated at ~60% until 2050*
• Challenges: New pests and
diseases, water and nutrient
scarcity, climate change
• Way forward: Sustainable
intensification through investment
in yield and yield stability; locally
adapted, stress-tolerant, high-yielding
varieties; improved
agronomic practices and storage
*Source: FAO
5. Bayer CropScience investing EUR 1.5 billion
in new solutions in wheat from 2010 to 2020
7 wheat breeding stations across main wheat-growing areas now operating
*Semi-operational
• Annual Press Conference 2014 • Liam Condon • Page 5 September 17, 2014
Major alliances with
world-class players
in wheat breeding
& technology
• Driving R&D for novel chemical and biological crop protection
• 2010 strategic decision to build global wheat seeds & traits business
• 2015 first wheat seeds launch planned
• >2020 hybrid seed varieties, locally-adapted with higher yield potential
• Increasing crop efficiency
Horsham,
Australia
Fargo,
USA*
Saskatoon,
Canada*
Mironovka,
Ukraine
Milly-la-Forêt,
France
Lincoln,
USA*
Innovation Center
in Ghent, Belgium
Gatersleben,
Germany
7. Protecting rice production with hybrid rice varieties
Salinity-tolerant hybrid rice variety in pipeline
Twice as salinity-tolerant as current most-tolerant
varieties
Qualities of three wild rice varieties combined
with modern molecular breeding techniques
Launch 2016 in India, Bangladesh, Vietnam*
Supports global leadership in hybrid rice**
*All subject to regulatory approval
**Excluding China Le Van Ut Hau, rice farmer Kien Giang province, Vietnam
• Annual Press Conference 2014 • Liam Condon • Page 7 September 17, 2014
9. Yellow Dragon Disease ravaging U.S. citrus groves
• Annual Press Conference 2014 • Liam Condon • Page 9 September 17, 2014
*Source: University of Florida
2003
200 million boxes 2013
100 million boxes
US second-largest producer
of oranges and orange juice
Asian Citrus Psyllid
“Yellow Dragon Disease” kills
orange trees within 3 to 5 years
High need for integrated solutions
Losses estimated at USD 4.5 billion
for Florida since outbreak 2005*
Citrus industry in Florida at risk
10. Integrated portfolio approach to control the
Yellow Dragon Disease and other pests in Florida
Need for continuous innovation to address new challenges
Psyllids, aphids,
nematodes, mites etc.
Psyllids, aphids,
nematodes, mites etc.
• Annual Press Conference 2014 • Liam Condon • Page 10 September 17, 2014
Psyllids, mites
Mites
Coming soon…*
Psyllids, aphids and thrips
*Subject to regulatory approval Dec.–Feb. Feb.–Mar. Mar.–Apr. May–June July–Aug. Sept.–Nov.
11. Continued investments in R&D to foster innovation
779
33%
64% 64%
• Annual Press Conference 2014 • Liam Condon • Page 11 September 17, 2014
Environmental Science
Seeds & Traits
Crop Protection
4%
32%
64%
858
~950
~1,000
33%
2012* 2013* 2014E 2015E
fx 2013
*2012 and 2013 figures restated
3%
3% • Soybean and wheat breeding centers
• Integrated R&D site for biological
crop protection and vegetable seeds
• Weed Resistance Competence Center
• Life Cycle Management
Planned spend on R&D in EUR million
12. Expanding production capacity for future growth
Fargo
Lincoln
Kansas City
Research Triangle Park
Mobile
Mato Grosso
Parana
Tucuman
Memphis
• Annual Press Conference 2014 • Liam Condon • Page 12 September 17, 2014
Knapsack
Porto Nacional
Cristalina
Cascaval
Goiania
Gatersleben
Muttenz
Frankfurt
Dormagen
Mironovka
Milly-la-Foret
West
Sacramento
Ghent
Muskegon
Nunhem
Chacabuco
Tlaxcala
Barranquilla
Belford Roxo
Rio Verde
Lubbock
*CAPEX planned 2013-2016
Vapi
Hangzhou
Horsham
USA
EUR ~0.7 bn* EUROPE
EUR ~1.3 bn*
LATAM + APAC
EUR ~0.4 bn*
Production
Breeding
R&D sites
13. Market outlook: We expect Ag-Input Market to grow
to EUR 100 billion by 2020
Estimation for Ag-Input Market in EUR bn
~50
~100
2008 2020
• Annual Press Conference 2014 • Liam Condon • September 17, 2014
Further growth despite increasing volatility
Ag market fundamentals:
Demand increase for food, feed, fuel, and fiber
Climate change
Professionalization in emerging markets
Need for innovative solutions to support
sustainable intensification
Source: Bayer CropScience forecast, April 2014
Page 13
14. Strong first half year 2014,
with double-digit growth in the Americas
CropScience HY 2014 sales
In EUR million; Δ% yoy; ( ) Δ% yoy fxp*
CropScience: +4% (+11%)
5,156
357
735
5,370
363
766
ES
(+8%)
Seeds
(+13%)
CP (+11%)
4,064 4,241
HY 2013 HY 2014
*fxp/fx = foreign exchange and portfolio adjusted/foreign exchange adjusted
HY = first half year
• Annual Press Conference 2014 • Liam Condon • Page 14 September 17, 2014
HY 2014 sales in the regions In EUR million; ( ) Δ% yoy fx*
32%
North America
Sales: 1,702 (+10%)
Sales HY 2014:
5,370 (+11%)
39%
Europe
Sales: 2,126 (+10%)
16% 13%
LATAM/Africa/
Middle East
Sales: 842 (+21%)
Asia Pacific
Sales: 700 (+8%)
15. Strong demand for new Crop Protection products
Sales from new Crop Protection products
launched since 2006 Helicoverpa armigera
In EUR billion; Δ% year-on-year
~1.8
~2.6
+33% 1.5
1.1
1.2
HY
• Annual Press Conference 2014 • Liam Condon • Page 15 September 17, 2014
Invasive pest in Latin America
2012 2013 2014E 2016E
Estimated global annual damage
USD >5 bn*
Broad-spectrum lepidoptera
insecticide with fast, long-lasting
action
* Source: CropLife Latin America
HY = first half year
16. Innovation driving strong competitive growth
Bayer CropScience sales track record and aspiration 2010–2016
Sales
as reported
(m EUR)
• Annual Press Conference 2014 • Liam Condon • Page 16 September 17, 2014
1Forecast for 2016 as issued in March 2014
CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate
6,830
7,255
8,383
8,819
2010 2011 2012 2013 Aspiration 20161
17. New dialogue formats for more transparency
and mutual understanding
• Annual Press Conference 2014 • Liam Condon • Page 17 September 17, 2014
www.ag-education.bayer.com
www.FarmingsFutureDialogues.com
18. Outlook: Our commitment to modern agriculture
Driving innovation to address agriculture’s major challenges
Expanding production capacity to fulfill growing demand for integrated solutions
Contributing to sustainable intensification – for healthy, high-quality food for all
• Annual Press Conference 2014 • Liam Condon • Page 18 September 17, 2014