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MANAGING RISK IN INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS
The Three Steps to Effective International Risk Management ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Political Risk ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Modern Tools of Financial Decision Making ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Shortcomings of Traditional Techniques ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The New Framework Overcomes These Shortcomings ,[object Object],[object Object]
Generating the Data:  Four Steps ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Important New Decision Making Parameters ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Assessing  Country Specific Financial Risk ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
New Parameters: Examples ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
A Big Question DOES IT WORK?
CLARK  vs  .     EUROMONEY The Forecast 1988 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
CLARK vs. EUROMONEY The Result 1993
Estimating Systematic Risk ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Performance Measurement INTERNATIONAL PORTFOLIOS
Money Market Portfolios 1982-1991
Long Term Government Bond Portfolios 1982-1991
Equity Portfolios 1982-1991
Excess Return to Risk for Selected Portfolios 1982-1991
Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Bec doms ppt on managing risk in international business

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. 1) International business risk is a wide ranging concept. Examples: - for the exporter it can mean currency risk on export transactions, or the imposition of tariffs, and quotas; - for the direct investment, merger or an acquisition it can mean losses or reduced profits due to macroeconomic mismanagement, exchange controls, expropriation or other types of government intervention; - for the lender it can mean payment delays and default; - for the portfolio investor it can mean market volatility, currency fluctuations, transaction costs such as brokerage fees, stamp duties, taxation and other regulations. The possibilities are limitless. 2) The international economic and financial consultant should be aware of what the risks are and how they can be assessed and managed. Examples: - in a foreign acquisition, the cost of possible losses due to government intervention or the volatility of cash flows caused by currency fluctuations should be factored into the evaluation process; - legal counseling is most effective when it anticipates potential conflicts and and advises on how they can be avoided or their effects minimized.
  2. 1. To answer this question I constructed mean variance optimized ex ante portfolios using the World Index over the period 1982-1991 for three types of assets: - money market instruments - long term government bonds - equity indexes. The universe included 60 countries. 2. I compared the results of the optimized portfolios with the performance of other diversification strategies (equal weights, GDP weights, Japan-Germany-Switzerland)