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 Log prices in BC are lower than in other
 jurisdictions as a direct result of government
 intervention.
 Low log prices have a significant negative
 impact on the management of BC forest
 land.
 Is   this really „good‟ public policy?
LOG EXPORT
RESTRICTIONS ENABLE
DOMESTIC LOG BUYERS
 TO FULLY CONTROL &
MANIPULATE THE PRICE
OF OUR FINAL PRODUCT.
   Subsidy?
Domestic Price / m3    Difference
                       Washington
 Species      BC Coast                 $         %
                           State


                   $58         $94         $36   61.4%
Douglas Fir


                   $43         $81         $38   87.9%
 Hemlock


Red Alder          $45         $75         $30   66.7%

                             Second Growth January 2011
   Viability of operations
   Jobs & Communities
   Reduced Government Revenues
   Undercut of AAC
   Lurch management
   Reduced profits, grim prospects
   Limited management options……
   Reduced confidence
   Reduced investment
   Reduced recruitment & training
   Loss of skilled workers to other sectors


…Just imagine how increased log
values could impact forest
management.…
Log Export Myth:
“Workers and communities don‟t benefit”
                                                Timber harvesting &
Facts:                                          haulage
                                                Forest protection & forest
                                                management
                                                Replanting & silviculture

                                                Dumping, sorting, towing,
                                                scaling etc
                                                Property taxes

                                                "stumpage" to owner*
 Where the money from log sales goes

 *(includes cost of land, ownership costs, insurance, overhead, interest)
Region           Market        $ / m3
                                  Standing
Washington State
                 Domestic USA           $24.20
     DNR

BC Coast Private
                      Asia              $23.00
     Land

BC Coast Private
                   Domestic BC            $0.00
     Land
                         Second Growth January 2011
   1. Reduces competition for fibre. (Tenure system)

   2. Low stumpage rates for Crown timber.

   3. Isolation from meaningful competition. (Log
    Export Restrictions)


= Artificially           Low Log Prices
•   Have not protected mills (60? closures since 2001)
•   Massive public land undercut (> 30mm m3 / year)
•   Domestic log market manipulated, artificially low and
    dysfunctional (why are international prices higher?)
•   No-bid BCTS sales (domestic market lower than
    logging costs)
•   Community, First Nations, Woodlot agreements
    floundering (lack of viable markets)
•   Depressed revenue from public forests (MoFR
    ministry costs exceed public land revenue)
Provincial Land Base

                                            Crown
                                            Private




Crown land:             Private Land:
91 million ha.          4 million ha.
95% of BC forest land   5% of BC forest land
90% harvest             10% of BC timber harvest
 Domestic   markets unviable, or have disappeared
 Landowners invest decades to grow trees. Better
  prices allow for greater reinvestment in land and
  environment
 Like any business, we need to diversify markets and
  get best price for products
 Thousands of forestry jobs depend on ability to
  export
   • some forest stands only become economical to
     harvest if there is the ability to sell some logs for a
     price premium from international sales
   Private log exports unrestricted in other provinces
But in BC Notice 102 applies:
 Logs   must be advertized, offered domestically
 Logs   may be purchased at (lower) domestic prices
 Only   if there is no BC buyer can logs be exported
 Delays      & process add cost, lower value, deter
    buyers.
Private forestry operations:
 Unable to diversify markets, provide consistent
 supply to customers, get best prices home or abroad
 Forced   to sell logs to domestic mills below value
 Logs must be scaled for the domestic market and left
 in the water for weeks while the N. 102 process is
 followed; the wood is susceptible to damage

Customers
 Deterred   from buying logs from BC
 Discount   accordingly
UNDERCUT
     =
LOG SURPLUS
“BC mills close because there is a shortage
 of timber”
Facts:
  • Huge surplus of timber in BC
  • BC is consistently in an undercut position in terms of
   what it is allowed to harvest on public lands
  • Since 1998, the coastal undercut has accumulated
   to over 3 year‟s worth of AAC
  • BC undercut by >30 million m3 in 2009
  • Competitive sawmills survive.
Private Log Exports vs. BC Public Land AAC




                                  85
                  2

           Timber
          exported          BC public
        from private        land AAC
         forest land

        (in millions of cubic metres, 2008)
“Exporting a log is exporting a job”
 Facts:

  • Competitive log processors survive
  • Log exports keep tree planters, nurseries, forest
    management crews, loggers, truckers and log handlers
    working
  • Most stable jobs on the BC coast over the past ten years
    have been on private land
  • Domestic log market has collapsed - export opportunities
    are a lifeline to operations
  • Without export log markets many stands would be
    uneconomical to log
Log Export Myth:
“Export restrictions will force customers to buy
lumber, not logs ”
                             0.4%         USA
Facts:      14.4%
                                          RUSSIA
                              36.2%
   15.7%                                  NEW
                                          ZEALAND




              33.3%




Japan Log Imports 2008, by Source
   Coal, Wheat, Oil – Canada
   Logs – Russia, Europe, USA, New Zealand
   Rice - Vietnam

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Can BC Afford Cheap Logs?

  • 1.
  • 2.  Log prices in BC are lower than in other jurisdictions as a direct result of government intervention.  Low log prices have a significant negative impact on the management of BC forest land.  Is this really „good‟ public policy?
  • 3. LOG EXPORT RESTRICTIONS ENABLE DOMESTIC LOG BUYERS TO FULLY CONTROL & MANIPULATE THE PRICE OF OUR FINAL PRODUCT.
  • 4. Subsidy?
  • 5. Domestic Price / m3 Difference Washington Species BC Coast $ % State $58 $94 $36 61.4% Douglas Fir $43 $81 $38 87.9% Hemlock Red Alder $45 $75 $30 66.7% Second Growth January 2011
  • 6. Viability of operations  Jobs & Communities  Reduced Government Revenues  Undercut of AAC  Lurch management  Reduced profits, grim prospects  Limited management options……
  • 7. Reduced confidence  Reduced investment  Reduced recruitment & training  Loss of skilled workers to other sectors …Just imagine how increased log values could impact forest management.…
  • 8. Log Export Myth: “Workers and communities don‟t benefit” Timber harvesting & Facts: haulage Forest protection & forest management Replanting & silviculture Dumping, sorting, towing, scaling etc Property taxes "stumpage" to owner* Where the money from log sales goes *(includes cost of land, ownership costs, insurance, overhead, interest)
  • 9. Region Market $ / m3 Standing Washington State Domestic USA $24.20 DNR BC Coast Private Asia $23.00 Land BC Coast Private Domestic BC $0.00 Land Second Growth January 2011
  • 10. 1. Reduces competition for fibre. (Tenure system)  2. Low stumpage rates for Crown timber.  3. Isolation from meaningful competition. (Log Export Restrictions) = Artificially Low Log Prices
  • 11. Have not protected mills (60? closures since 2001) • Massive public land undercut (> 30mm m3 / year) • Domestic log market manipulated, artificially low and dysfunctional (why are international prices higher?) • No-bid BCTS sales (domestic market lower than logging costs) • Community, First Nations, Woodlot agreements floundering (lack of viable markets) • Depressed revenue from public forests (MoFR ministry costs exceed public land revenue)
  • 12. Provincial Land Base Crown Private Crown land: Private Land: 91 million ha. 4 million ha. 95% of BC forest land 5% of BC forest land 90% harvest 10% of BC timber harvest
  • 13.  Domestic markets unviable, or have disappeared  Landowners invest decades to grow trees. Better prices allow for greater reinvestment in land and environment  Like any business, we need to diversify markets and get best price for products  Thousands of forestry jobs depend on ability to export • some forest stands only become economical to harvest if there is the ability to sell some logs for a price premium from international sales
  • 14. Private log exports unrestricted in other provinces But in BC Notice 102 applies:  Logs must be advertized, offered domestically  Logs may be purchased at (lower) domestic prices  Only if there is no BC buyer can logs be exported  Delays & process add cost, lower value, deter buyers.
  • 15. Private forestry operations:  Unable to diversify markets, provide consistent supply to customers, get best prices home or abroad  Forced to sell logs to domestic mills below value  Logs must be scaled for the domestic market and left in the water for weeks while the N. 102 process is followed; the wood is susceptible to damage Customers  Deterred from buying logs from BC  Discount accordingly
  • 16. UNDERCUT = LOG SURPLUS
  • 17. “BC mills close because there is a shortage of timber” Facts: • Huge surplus of timber in BC • BC is consistently in an undercut position in terms of what it is allowed to harvest on public lands • Since 1998, the coastal undercut has accumulated to over 3 year‟s worth of AAC • BC undercut by >30 million m3 in 2009 • Competitive sawmills survive.
  • 18. Private Log Exports vs. BC Public Land AAC 85 2 Timber exported BC public from private land AAC forest land (in millions of cubic metres, 2008)
  • 19. “Exporting a log is exporting a job”  Facts: • Competitive log processors survive • Log exports keep tree planters, nurseries, forest management crews, loggers, truckers and log handlers working • Most stable jobs on the BC coast over the past ten years have been on private land • Domestic log market has collapsed - export opportunities are a lifeline to operations • Without export log markets many stands would be uneconomical to log
  • 20. Log Export Myth: “Export restrictions will force customers to buy lumber, not logs ” 0.4% USA Facts: 14.4% RUSSIA 36.2% 15.7% NEW ZEALAND 33.3% Japan Log Imports 2008, by Source
  • 21. Coal, Wheat, Oil – Canada  Logs – Russia, Europe, USA, New Zealand  Rice - Vietnam