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1. Executive summary
 The UK has been a committed investor in Spain over time (since 1993). The UK has
consistently ranked within the top six gross investors in Spain each year, on seven
occasions ranking as the number one investor.
Ranking of UK and other investors in inward FDI into Spain,
ultimate country basis, excluding ETVE
Source: Afi, Registro de Inversiones Exteriores de la Secretaria de Estado de Comercio
 In cumulative terms, over the period 1993-2014, the flow of gross UK investment in
Spain was €63bn (21% of total FDI in Spain).
4
 UK net investment flows (gross – disinvestment) have been positive in every year
except for 2001 and 2005.
Net FDI by the UK in Spain broken down by gross FDI and disinvestment,
intermediate country basis (€ bn)
Source: Afi, Registro de Inversiones Exteriores de la Secretaria de Estado de Comercio
 UK investment in Spain is primarily productive investment. Less than 5% of UK FDI in
Spain relates to entities holding financial securities or ETVE (average from 1993).
 The UK accounted for 10% of the total stock of FDI in Spain in 2013 (final investor
basis, excluding entities holding financial securities).
 Despite positive net inflows, the UK’s stock of FDI is falling (from €46bn in 2008 to
€30bn in 2012). This may be due to depreciation, exchange rate effects and
reclassifications (FDI to portfolio).
 Tobacco (€6.6bn), telecoms (€6.3bn) and financial services (€1.9bn) are the principal
sectors of UK FDI. Over the last five years, financial services and transport and
storage have been the main sectors to receive a significant increase in UK net FDI.
 Madrid and Cataluña dominate UK FDI in Spain. Together with País Vasco,
Andalucía and Valencia. However, Madrid has lost some weight in flows of
investment over the last five years with increases in FDI flows to País Vasco and
Cataluña.
5
 UK FDI supports nearly 214,000 jobs (direct and indirect) in Spain, representing
nearly 1.2% of total employment in Spain as of 2013.
Breakdown of UK FDI-related employment by region, final investor basis, excluding ETVE
Source: Afi, Registro de Inversiones Exteriores de la Secretaria de Estado de Comercio
 The estimated tax contribution of the direct income generated by UK FDI in Spain is
around €3.6 billion. Moreover, the Spanish Social Insurance Authority collects over
€2.7 billion in terms of Payroll Tax Employer.
 A necessary condition for ongoing growth in UK FDI into Spain, which would have
positive repercussions in terms of economic growth and employment, is that the
socio-economic context for doing business in Spain continues to improve. In relation
to this, it is relevant to note that British firms in Spain consider that the business
climate has improved over the last few years:
o Main strengths are found in (i) quality of life, especially lifestyle and quality of
educational and health services, (ii) internet penetration and its use among
households and corporations, and (iii) the fact that Spain is seen as an
excellent platform for access to Latin America markets.
6
o Among the weaknesses identified by British firms, which could put a brake on
the flow of FDI into Spain, we find (i) relations with public administrations,
especially excessive bureaucratic burdens (red tape) and the limited market
unity within different regions in Spain; (ii) funding conditions, and specifically
the lack of development in alternative financing sources and limited support
from regional governments. Finally, British firms also point out the
permanence of certain rigidities in labour market regulation which, in their
opinion, would require the implementation of further reforms.
 Besides an improved business climate, British firms affirm that their “British nature”
implies advantages for doing business in Spain. The perception is that products and
services rendered by British firms have differential quality and security /
trustworthiness, two attributes that could have a positive impact on turnover and,
through this, on their capacity and willingness to further invest in Spain.
 British firms expect to increase their turnover in Spain during 2015. This would
constitute their main source of funding for increased investment, and the means to
make a profit on existing investment.
 Overall, more than half of surveyed British firms plan to increase their investment in
Spain. Besides confirming a continuation of the jump in investment already
experienced in 2014, it would portend a clear message of compromise towards the
Spanish economy and reinforce their presence and positive impact on activity and
jobs.
7
o Increasing existing business lines and labour productivity are the main goals of
future investment by British firms in Spain. This determines that, on a sector
basis, investment will continue to be concentrated in activities for which British
presence is already large or very large (manufacturing, professional activities,
both scientific and technical; finance and insurance, commerce and repair).
Breakdown of UK gross FDI in Spain by sector (final investor basis, excluding ETVEs), 2012
Source: Afi, Registro de Inversiones Exteriores de la Secretaria de Estado de Comercio
Main sector of planned investment (% total), 2015
Source: Afi, “Survey of British investment in Spain”
38.4%
21.0%
13.3%
7.4%
3.6% 2.9% 2.7% 2.6% 2.2% 2.1%
3.8%
16%
13% 13%
11%
7% 7%
4% 4% 4% 4%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
Professionalactivities
Wholesaleandretailtrade
Financialactivities
Manufacturing
Hospitality
ICT
Agriculture
Realestate
Administrativeactivities
Healthandsocialservices
8
o Two-thirds of British firms plan to increase investment, and to do so in the short
term (2015-2016).
Timeline for realisation of investment plans (% total), 2015
Source: Afi, “Survey of British investment in Spain”
o There is no expectation for a change in the historic regional pattern of FDI flows:
Madrid and Cataluña as main destinations, followed by Valencia.
Within the
next 6
months,9%
Between 6
months and 1
year, 20%
Between 1
and 2 years,
36%
Over 2 years,
36%
9

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Executive summary. Barometer on climate and outlook for British investment in Spain

  • 1.
  • 2. 2
  • 3. 3 1. Executive summary  The UK has been a committed investor in Spain over time (since 1993). The UK has consistently ranked within the top six gross investors in Spain each year, on seven occasions ranking as the number one investor. Ranking of UK and other investors in inward FDI into Spain, ultimate country basis, excluding ETVE Source: Afi, Registro de Inversiones Exteriores de la Secretaria de Estado de Comercio  In cumulative terms, over the period 1993-2014, the flow of gross UK investment in Spain was €63bn (21% of total FDI in Spain).
  • 4. 4  UK net investment flows (gross – disinvestment) have been positive in every year except for 2001 and 2005. Net FDI by the UK in Spain broken down by gross FDI and disinvestment, intermediate country basis (€ bn) Source: Afi, Registro de Inversiones Exteriores de la Secretaria de Estado de Comercio  UK investment in Spain is primarily productive investment. Less than 5% of UK FDI in Spain relates to entities holding financial securities or ETVE (average from 1993).  The UK accounted for 10% of the total stock of FDI in Spain in 2013 (final investor basis, excluding entities holding financial securities).  Despite positive net inflows, the UK’s stock of FDI is falling (from €46bn in 2008 to €30bn in 2012). This may be due to depreciation, exchange rate effects and reclassifications (FDI to portfolio).  Tobacco (€6.6bn), telecoms (€6.3bn) and financial services (€1.9bn) are the principal sectors of UK FDI. Over the last five years, financial services and transport and storage have been the main sectors to receive a significant increase in UK net FDI.  Madrid and Cataluña dominate UK FDI in Spain. Together with País Vasco, Andalucía and Valencia. However, Madrid has lost some weight in flows of investment over the last five years with increases in FDI flows to País Vasco and Cataluña.
  • 5. 5  UK FDI supports nearly 214,000 jobs (direct and indirect) in Spain, representing nearly 1.2% of total employment in Spain as of 2013. Breakdown of UK FDI-related employment by region, final investor basis, excluding ETVE Source: Afi, Registro de Inversiones Exteriores de la Secretaria de Estado de Comercio  The estimated tax contribution of the direct income generated by UK FDI in Spain is around €3.6 billion. Moreover, the Spanish Social Insurance Authority collects over €2.7 billion in terms of Payroll Tax Employer.  A necessary condition for ongoing growth in UK FDI into Spain, which would have positive repercussions in terms of economic growth and employment, is that the socio-economic context for doing business in Spain continues to improve. In relation to this, it is relevant to note that British firms in Spain consider that the business climate has improved over the last few years: o Main strengths are found in (i) quality of life, especially lifestyle and quality of educational and health services, (ii) internet penetration and its use among households and corporations, and (iii) the fact that Spain is seen as an excellent platform for access to Latin America markets.
  • 6. 6 o Among the weaknesses identified by British firms, which could put a brake on the flow of FDI into Spain, we find (i) relations with public administrations, especially excessive bureaucratic burdens (red tape) and the limited market unity within different regions in Spain; (ii) funding conditions, and specifically the lack of development in alternative financing sources and limited support from regional governments. Finally, British firms also point out the permanence of certain rigidities in labour market regulation which, in their opinion, would require the implementation of further reforms.  Besides an improved business climate, British firms affirm that their “British nature” implies advantages for doing business in Spain. The perception is that products and services rendered by British firms have differential quality and security / trustworthiness, two attributes that could have a positive impact on turnover and, through this, on their capacity and willingness to further invest in Spain.  British firms expect to increase their turnover in Spain during 2015. This would constitute their main source of funding for increased investment, and the means to make a profit on existing investment.  Overall, more than half of surveyed British firms plan to increase their investment in Spain. Besides confirming a continuation of the jump in investment already experienced in 2014, it would portend a clear message of compromise towards the Spanish economy and reinforce their presence and positive impact on activity and jobs.
  • 7. 7 o Increasing existing business lines and labour productivity are the main goals of future investment by British firms in Spain. This determines that, on a sector basis, investment will continue to be concentrated in activities for which British presence is already large or very large (manufacturing, professional activities, both scientific and technical; finance and insurance, commerce and repair). Breakdown of UK gross FDI in Spain by sector (final investor basis, excluding ETVEs), 2012 Source: Afi, Registro de Inversiones Exteriores de la Secretaria de Estado de Comercio Main sector of planned investment (% total), 2015 Source: Afi, “Survey of British investment in Spain” 38.4% 21.0% 13.3% 7.4% 3.6% 2.9% 2.7% 2.6% 2.2% 2.1% 3.8% 16% 13% 13% 11% 7% 7% 4% 4% 4% 4% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% Professionalactivities Wholesaleandretailtrade Financialactivities Manufacturing Hospitality ICT Agriculture Realestate Administrativeactivities Healthandsocialservices
  • 8. 8 o Two-thirds of British firms plan to increase investment, and to do so in the short term (2015-2016). Timeline for realisation of investment plans (% total), 2015 Source: Afi, “Survey of British investment in Spain” o There is no expectation for a change in the historic regional pattern of FDI flows: Madrid and Cataluña as main destinations, followed by Valencia. Within the next 6 months,9% Between 6 months and 1 year, 20% Between 1 and 2 years, 36% Over 2 years, 36%
  • 9. 9