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News Release
Aviva plc  
Interim management statement for the nine months to 30 September 2013 
07 November 2013  

Aviva plc Third Quarter 2013
Interim Management Statement

Mark Wilson, Group Chief Executive Officer, said:

“Progress is in line with our expectations and we remain focused on delivering cash flow plus growth. In the first nine months
of 2013 our key measure of growth, value of new business, increased by 14%. We had strong performances from France and
our growth markets of Turkey, Poland and Asia. Conversely, value of new business remains depressed in our turnaround
businesses of Italy and Spain, and this is being addressed.
“Capital generation in the period was stable at £1.3 billion and our economic capital surplus now stands at £8 billion. We
continue to make satisfactory progress on cost reduction, with operating expenses 10% below the 2011 baseline.
“Aviva remains in the early stages of turnaround. Whilst we have resolved a key issue in the disposal of our US business and
have made progress in a number of areas, there remains much work to be done.”
Cash flow

Operating capital generation stable at £1.3 billion1 (9M12: £1.3 billion)
Continued focus on improving remittance ratios
Full update on cash remittances to be provided at the year end

Expenses

Operating expenses of £2,277 million, 10% lower than our 2011 baseline

Value of new business

Value of new business up 14% to £571 million2 (9M12: £503 million)
Increase driven by France (+33%) and our growth markets of Turkey (+40%), Poland
(+48%) and Asia (+43%)
Growth markets contributed 22% of value of new business (9M12: 18%)

Combined operating ratio

Combined operating ratio stable at 96.9% (9M12: 96.7%)

Balance sheet

Pro forma3 economic capital4 surplus at £8.0 billion (HY13: £7.6 billion)
IFRS net asset value per share 273p (HY13: 281p)
MCEV5 net asset value per share 437p (HY13: 441p)
Completed sale of US business for US$2.6 billion6 (£1.6 billion) in October

1
2 
3
4

On a continuing basis. All numbers are continuing unless otherwise stated.
On a continuing basis excluding Malaysia and Sri Lanka.
The pro forma economic capital surplus includes the impact of the US Life transaction and an increase in the risk allowance for staff pension schemes from five to ten years of stressed contributions.
The economic capital surplus represents an estimated position. The capital requirement is based on Aviva’s own internal assessment and capital management policies. The term ‘economic capital’ does not imply
capital as required by regulators or other third parties.
5 In preparing the MCEV information, the directors have done so in accordance with the European Insurance CFO Forum MCEV Principles with the exception of stating held for sale operations at their expected fair
value, as represented by expected sale proceeds, less cost to sell.
6  Transactional proceeds include repayment of an external loan of US$290 million.

 
2
Aviva plc
Interim Management Statement
07 November 2013

Key financial metrics

Operating Capital Generation
9 months
2013
£bn

9 months
2012
£bn

United Kingdom & Ireland life
United Kingdom & Ireland general insurance & health
Europe
Canada
Asia & Other

0.4
0.3
0.5
0.1
—

0.5
0.3
0.4
0.1
—

Total

1.3

1.3

9 months
2013
£m

9 months
2012
£m

Sterling%
change

Operating expenses
Integration & restructuring costs

2,277
198

2,449
252

(7)%
(21)%

Total expenses

2,475

2,701

(8)%

Continuing operations

9 months
2013
£m

9 months
2012
£m

United Kingdom
Ireland
France
Poland
Italy
Spain
Turkey
Other
Asia1

302
2
112
34
7
19
28
1
66

288
(11)
84
23
19
32
20
2
46

Value of new business – ongoing basis

571

503

14%

1

8

(88)%

572

511

12%

Continuing operations

9 months
2013

9 months
2012

United Kingdom
Ireland
France
Italy
Other Europe
Europe
Canada

95.5%
98.3%
97.4%
95.9%
109.2%
98.3%
95.2%

97.0%
105.3%
94.9%
100.9%
119.8%
99.5%
92.6%

(1.5)pp
(7.0)pp
2.5pp
(5.0)pp
(10.6)pp
(1.2)pp
2.6pp

96.9%

96.7%

0.2pp

30
September
2013
£bn

30 June
2013
£bn

7.4
4.0
273p
437p

7.1
4.2
281p
441p

Continuing Operations

Expenses
Continuing operations

Value of new business

Effect of disposals (Malaysia & Sri Lanka)
Value of new business

Sterling %
change

5%
–
33%
48%
(63)%
(41)%
40%
(50)%
43%

General insurance combined operating ratio

General insurance combined operating ratio

Change

Capital position
Pro forma3
30
September
2013
£bn

Estimated economic capital surplus2
Estimated IGD solvency surplus
IFRS net asset value per share
MCEV4 net asset value per share
1
2
3
4

8.0
3.7

Pro forma3
30 June
2013
£bn

7.6
3.7

Excluding Malaysia and Sri Lanka.
The economic capital surplus represents an estimated position. The capital requirement is based on Aviva’s own internal assessment and capital management policies. The term ‘economic capital’ does not imply capital as required by
regulators or other third parties.
The pro forma economic capital and IGD surpluses include the impact of the US Life transaction and, for economic capital only, an increase in pension scheme risk allowance from five to ten years of stressed contributions.
In preparing the MCEV information, the directors have done so in accordance with the European Insurance CFO Forum MCEV Principles with the exception of stating held for sale operations at their expected fair value, as represented
by expected sale proceeds, less cost to sell.
3
Aviva plc
Interim Management Statement
07 November 2013

Overview

Group Chief Executive Officer’s report

Performance in the first nine months of 2013 has been satisfactory. In line with our investment thesis
of `cash flow plus growth’, operating capital generation was stable and we have increased the value of
new business. We are on track with our cost cutting programme and the combined operating ratio
of our general insurance business was broadly unchanged at 96.9% (9M12: 96.7%).
On the 2nd October we completed the sale of the US business which is an important step in simplifying
Aviva. We also made a number of senior management changes recently to ensure we have the right
team to take Aviva forward.

Operating Capital
Generation
Operating capital
generation stable
at £1.3 billion

Expenses
Operating expenses
of £2,277 million
10% lower than
2011 baseline

Value of new business
Value of new
business up 14%
to £571 million7
Increase driven by
France and our
growth markets
of Poland, Turkey
and Asia

In March we set out Aviva’s investment thesis, `cash flow plus growth’ and our focus is on improving
dividends paid by our business units to Group. Operating capital generation (OCG) is a precursor to
cash remitted to Group and in the first nine months, OCG was stable at £1.3 billion (9M12: £1.3
billion). Lower capital generation due to floods in Canada was more than offset by expense
reductions across Aviva and lower new business strain. Historically the remittance ratios from OCG
to dividends have been materially lower than our peers, and improving this ratio remains an
absolute priority.

Reducing our expense base is essential to the transformation of Aviva and improving cash flows. We
have made further progress in this area, and operating expenses are 10% below the 2011 baseline
expense level and 7% lower year-on-year. We are on track to deliver a cost-base in 2014 which is
£400 million lower than 2011, regardless of the impact of inflation.
Integration and restructuring costs at Aviva have been historically high and an impediment to cash
remitted to Group. In the first nine months of 2013 restructuring costs fell 21% to £198 million. In line
with our previous indications, we expect restructuring costs for 2013 to be lower than the 2012 level of
£461 million and materially lower in 2014.

Value of new business (VNB) is our key measure of growth. Over the first nine months of the year VNB
improved 14% to £571 million7 (9M12: £503 million). In line with our previous guidance we expect
overall growth of VNB to moderate in the final quarter of the year primarily due to a strong 4Q 2012.
Our two major life cash-generators, UK and France, increased VNB by 5% and 33% respectively. In the
UK deliberate actions to improve margin led to an increase in VNB and lower volumes, both in line with
our expectations.
In France, VNB increased 33%. This was mainly driven by outperformance from our AFER network and a
shift in Aviva’s business mix towards higher margin unit linked and protection products across all
channels.
In the first nine months of 2013, our growth markets of Poland, Turkey and Asia7 increased VNB by
48%, 40% and 43% respectively. Collectively, these businesses grew by 44% and contributed 22% of
Group VNB (9M12: 18%).
In Spain and Italy – two of our turnaround businesses – the value of new business fell to £19 million and
£7 million respectively (9M12: £32 million, £19 million). Actions are underway to improve performance
in both of these businesses including focusing more on protection and unit-linked products and
potentially exiting unprofitable distribution agreements.

Combined
operating ratio
COR stable at
96.9%

In general insurance the combined operating ratio (COR) remained stable at 96.9% (9M12: 96.7%)
reflecting the benefit of our geographic diversification. In the UK COR was 95.5%, as a result of lower
expenses and favourable weather conditions. We expect the losses from the UK storms in October to be
in the region of £10 million. In Canada COR was 95.2% despite the impact of two 1:100 year floods.
Across our general insurance businesses in Europe, the COR was 98.3% (9M12: 99.5%) with improved
profitability in Italy and Poland offsetting a deterioration in France mainly due to adverse weather.
Net written premiums in our general insurance and health business were 2% lower at £6,604 million
(9M12: £6,735 million). Growth in Canada was more than offset by a 6% reduction in UK GI volumes
due to a combination of the softening personal lines rate environment and a shift in business mix in UK
motor.

7 On a continuing basis excluding Malaysia and Sri Lanka.
4
Aviva plc
Interim Management Statement
07 November 2013

Balance sheet
IFRS net asset value
per share 273p
Pro forma economic
capital at £8.0
billion
Completed sale of
US business for
US$2.6 billion8

Group Chief Executive Officer’s report continued

The IFRS net asset value per share decreased by 3% to 273p. Profits in the period and additional
proceeds from the sale of the US were offset by foreign exchange movements and a reduction in the
accounting surplus on the Aviva staff pension scheme on an IAS19 basis.
Maintaining a healthy capital position is an important priority and the pro forma economic capital surplus
was £8.0 billion, a coverage ratio of 178%.
In October we completed the sale of Aviva USA, which is an important development for the company.
Transaction proceeds were higher than previously announced at US$2.6 billion8 (£1.6 billion), further
strengthening the Group’s capital position.
Net asset value9

IFRS

Opening NAV per share at 30 June 2013
US disposal
Pension fund
Foreign exchange
Profit and other movements
Closing NAV per share at 30 September 2013

281p
8p
(11)p
(8)p
3p
273p

MCEV

441p
8p
(11)p
(11)p
10p
437p

The balance of our inter-company loan remains unchanged from our last reporting date at £5.1 billion.
We continue to see a substantial reduction in the loan over the next couple of years as one of our key
priorities and remain in active dialogue with our regulator about the ultimate level and the options for
achieving it.
The Polish government’s review of the Pillar II pension system continues. Our current expectation is that
the potential legislative change would reduce our Poland pensions’ value in force (VIF) by between
£150 million and £400 million, in line with our previous guidance. This reduction has not been reflected
in these results due to the continuing significant level of uncertainty.

Management

One of the priorities this year has been to strengthen the senior management team. It is critical that we
have the best possible leadership team so that Aviva can achieve its potential. We have made two
important appointments recently. In September Maurice Tulloch was appointed Chief Executive Officer
of our UK & Ireland general insurance business, and in October Greg Somerville became Chief Executive
of Aviva Canada. Both Maurice and Greg have long track records of success at Aviva. Their
appointments build on the changes that have been made to the senior management team in the first
half of the year.

Outlook

In summary, overall operating performance continues to be satisfactory and Aviva is where I thought it
would be at this point in its transformation. Although the macroeconomic environment is showing signs
of improvement, our plans do not require this. The turnaround at Aviva is still in its infancy; we have
made progress this year and whilst there is room for optimism there remains much to do.

8 Transactional proceeds include repayment of an external loan of US$290 million.
9 Net of tax and non-controlling interests.

 
5
Aviva plc
Interim Management Statement
07 November 2013

Notes to editors

Notes to editors
All comparators are for the nine months to 30 September 2012
unless otherwise stated.
Income and expenses of foreign entities are translated at
average exchange rates while their assets and liabilities are
translated at the closing rates on 30 September 2013. The
average rates employed in this announcement are 1 euro = £0.85
(9 months to 30 September 2012: 1 euro = £0.81) and US$1 =
£0.65 (9 months to 30 September 2012: US$1 = £0.63).
Growth rates in the press release have been provided
in sterling terms unless stated otherwise. The following
supplement presents this information on both a sterling and
local currency basis.
Cautionary statements:

This should be read in conjunction with the documents filed by
Aviva plc (the “Company” or “Aviva”) with the United States
Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). This
announcement contains, and we may make verbal statements
containing, “forward-looking statements” with respect to certain
of Aviva’s plans and current goals and expectations relating to
future financial condition, performance, results, strategic
initiatives and objectives. Statements containing the words
“believes”, “intends”, “expects”, “plans”, “will,” “seeks”,
“aims”, “may”, “could”, “outlook”, “estimates” and
“anticipates”, and words of similar meaning, are forwardlooking. By their nature, all forward-looking statements involve
risk and uncertainty. Accordingly, there are or will be important
factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from
those indicated in these statements. Aviva believes factors that
could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated
in forward-looking statements in the presentation include, but
are not limited to: the impact of ongoing difficult conditions in
the global financial markets and the economy generally; the
impact of various local political, regulatory and economic
conditions; market developments and government actions
regarding the sovereign debt crisis in Europe; the effect of credit
spread volatility on the net unrealised value of the investment
portfolio; the effect of losses due to defaults by counterparties,
including potential sovereign debt defaults or restructurings, on
the value of our investments; changes in interest rates that may
cause policyholders to surrender their contracts, reduce the value
of our portfolio and impact our asset and liability matching; the
impact of changes in equity or property prices on our investment
portfolio; fluctuations in currency exchange rates; the effect of
market fluctuations on the value of options and guarantees
embedded in some of our life insurance products and the value
of the assets backing their reserves; the amount of allowances
and impairments taken on our investments; the effect of adverse
capital and credit market conditions on our ability to meet
liquidity needs and our access to capital; a cyclical downturn of
the insurance industry; changes in or inaccuracy of assumptions

in pricing and reserving for insurance business (particularly with
regard to mortality and morbidity trends, lapse rates and policy
renewal rates), longevity and endowments; the impact of
catastrophic events on our business activities and results of
operations; the inability of reinsurers to meet obligations or
unavailability of reinsurance coverage; increased competition in
the UK and in other countries where we have significant
operations; the effect of the European Union’s “Solvency II” rules
on our regulatory capital requirements; the impact of actual
experience differing from estimates used in valuing and
amortising deferred acquisition costs (“DAC”) and acquired value
of in-force business (“AVIF”); the impact of recognising an
impairment of our goodwill or intangibles with indefinite lives;
changes in valuation methodologies, estimates and assumptions
used in the valuation of investment securities; the effect of legal
proceedings and regulatory investigations; the impact of
operational risks, including inadequate or failed internal and
external processes, systems and human error or from external
events; risks associated with arrangements with third parties,
including joint ventures; funding risks associated with our
participation in defined benefit staff pension schemes; the failure
to attract or retain the necessary key personnel; the effect of
systems errors or regulatory changes on the calculation of unit
prices or deduction of charges for our unit-linked products that
may require retrospective compensation to our customers; the
effect of a decline in any of our ratings by rating agencies on our
standing among customers, broker-dealers, agents, wholesalers
and other distributors of our products and services; changes to
our brand and reputation; changes in government regulations or
tax laws in jurisdictions where we conduct business; the inability
to protect our intellectual property; the effect of undisclosed
liabilities, integration issues and other risks associated with our
acquisitions; and the timing impact and other uncertainties
relating to acquisitions and disposals and relating to other future
acquisitions, combinations or disposals within relevant industries.
For a more detailed description of these risks, uncertainties and
other factors, please see Item 3d, “Risk Factors”, and Item 5,
“Operating and Financial Review and Prospects” in Aviva’s
Annual Report Form 20-F as filed with the SEC on 25 March
2013. Aviva undertakes no obligation to update the forward
looking statements in this announcement or any other forwardlooking statements we may make. Forward-looking statements
in this presentation are current only as of the date on which such
statements are made.

Aviva plc is a company registered in England No. 2468686.
Registered office
St Helen's
1 Undershaft
London
EC3P 3DQ

Contacts
Investor contacts

Media contacts

Timings

Colin Simpson
+44 (0)20 7662 8115

Nigel Prideaux
+44 (0)20 7662 0215

Real time media conference call: 07:30 hrs GMT

David Elliot
+44 (0)207 662 8048

Andrew Reid
+44 (0)20 7662 3131
Sarah Swailes
+44 (0)20 7662 6700

Analyst conference call: 08:30 hrs GMT
Tel: +44 (0)20 3427 1917
Conference ID: 8270708
6
Aviva plc
Interim Management Statement
07 November 2013

Statistical Supplement

1. Trend analysis of VNB (continuing operations) – cumulative
2. Trend analysis of VNB (continuing operations) – discrete
3. Trend analysis of PVNBP (continuing operations) – cumulative
4. Trend analysis of PVNBP (continuing operations) – discrete
5. Trend analysis of PVNBP by product (continuing operations) – cumulative
6. Trend analysis of PVNBP by product (continuing operations) – discrete
7. Geographical analysis of regular and single premiums – life and pensions sales (continuing operations)
8. Trend analysis of Investment sales (continuing operations) – cumulative
9. Trend analysis of Investment sales (continuing operations) – discrete
10. Trend analysis of general insurance and health net written premiums – cumulative
11. Trend analysis of general insurance and health net written premiums – discrete
7
Aviva plc
Interim Management Statement
07 November 2013

Statistical Supplement continued

1 – Trend analysis of VNB (continuing operations1) – cumulative
Growth on
3Q12 YTD
Gross of tax and non-controlling interests

United Kingdom
Ireland
United Kingdom & Ireland
France
Poland
Italy
Spain
Turkey
Other Europe
Europe
Asia – excluding Malaysia & Sri Lanka
Value of new business – ongoing basis
Effect of disposals (Malaysia & Sri Lanka)
Total value of new business

1Q12 YTD
£m

2Q12 YTD
£m

3Q12 YTD
£m

4Q12 YTD
£m

1Q13 YTD
£m

2Q13 YTD
£m

3Q13 YTD
£m

Sterling
%

5%
118%
10%
33%
48%
(63)%
(41)%
40%
(50)%
12%
43%

Local
currency %

81
(2)
79
35
10
9
14
6
—
74
14

182
(6)
176
62
18
14
21
13
2
130
29

288
(11)
277
84
23
19
32
20
2
180
46

420
(8)
412
119
35
29
56
30
2
271
55

108
(1)
107
39
10
4
5
10
1
69
19

211
1
212
86
21
6
13
20
1
147
41

302
2
304
112
34
7
19
28
1
201
66

5%
118%
10%
27%
42%
(65)%
(44)%
47%
(50)%
7%
38%

167

335

503

738

195

400

571

14%

12%

2

8

8

8

1

1

1

(88)%

(88)%

169

343

511

746

196

401

572

12%

10%

1 Following the announced disposal of US Life in Q4 2012, it was no longer managed on a MCEV basis and it was no longer included in covered business. The sale of US Life was completed on 2 October 2013.

2 – Trend analysis of VNB (continuing operations1) – discrete
Growth on
3Q12

Gross of tax and non-controlling interests

United Kingdom
Ireland
United Kingdom & Ireland
France
Poland
Italy
Spain
Turkey
Other Europe
Europe
Asia – excluding Malaysia & Sri Lanka
Value of new business – ongoing basis
Effect of disposals (Malaysia & Sri Lanka)
Total value of new business

1Q12
Discrete
£m

2Q12
Discrete
£m

3Q12
Discrete
£m

4Q12
Discrete
£m

1Q13
Discrete
£m

2Q13
Discrete
£m

3Q13
Discrete
£m

Sterling %

Local
currency %

81
(2)
79
35
10
9
14
6
—
74
14

101
(4)
97
27
8
5
7
7
2
56
15

106
(5)
101
22
5
5
11
7
—
50
17

132
3
135
35
12
10
24
10
—
91
9

108
(1)
107
39
10
4
5
10
1
69
19

103
2
105
47
11
2
8
10
—
78
22

91
1
92
26
13
1
6
8
—
54
25

(14)%
(120)%
(9)%
18%
160%
(80)%
(45)%
14%
—
8%
47%

(14)%
(119)%
(9)%
14%
145%
(81)%
(48)%
16%
—
4%
43%

167

168

168

235

195

205

171

2%

1%

2

6

—

—

1

—

—

—

—

169

174

168

235

196

205

171

2%

1%

1 Following the announced disposal of US Life in Q4 2012, it was no longer managed on a MCEV basis and it was no longer included in covered business. The sale of US Life was completed on 2 October 2013.
8
Aviva plc
Interim Management Statement
07 November 2013

Statistical Supplement continued

3 – Trend analysis of PVNBP (continuing operations1) – cumulative
Growth on
3Q12 YTD
1Q12 YTD
£m

2Q12 YTD
£m

3Q12 YTD
£m

4Q12 YTD
£m

1Q13 YTD
£m

2Q13 YTD
£m

3Q13 YTD
£m

Life and pensions business
United Kingdom
Ireland
United Kingdom & Ireland
France
Poland
Italy
Spain
Turkey
Other Europe
Europe
Asia – excluding Malaysia & Sri Lanka
Other business3

2,430
199
2,629
1,092
107
673
402
68
56
2,398
418
13

5,387
342
5,729
1,944
201
1,259
705
141
108
4,358
854
30

8,002
469
8,471
2,671
274
1,603
934
212
132
5,826
1,287
79

10,410
632
11,042
3,638
373
1,971
1,295
312
158
7,747
1,673
92

2,336
117
2,453
1,245
123
614
375
135
20
2,512
472
4

4,441
225
4,666
2,373
227
1,305
641
253
20
4,819
845
7

6,657
338
6,995
3,382
358
1,751
813
341
20
6,665
1,243
28

Total life and pensions – ongoing basis

5,458

10,971

15,663

20,554

5,441

10,337

14,931

(5)%

(6)%

24

59

80

92

16

16

16

(80)%

(80)%

5,482

11,030

15,743

20,646

5,457

10,353

14,947

(5)%

(7)%

949

1,934

3,400

4,586

1,134

2,498

3,718

9%

7%

6,431

12,964

19,143

25,232

6,591

12,851

18,665

(2)%

(4)%

Present value of new business premiums 2

Effect of disposals (Malaysia & Sri Lanka)
Total life and pensions
Investment sales4
Total long-term savings sales
1
2
3
4

Sterling %

(17)%
(28)%
(17)%
27%
31%
9%
(13)%
61%
(85)%
14%
(3)%
(65)%

Local
currency %

(17)%
(31)%
(18)%
21%
24%
5%
(16)%
64%
(85)%
10%
(6)%
(65)%

Following the announced disposal of US Life in Q4 2012, it was no longer managed on a MCEV basis and it was no longer included in covered business. The sale of US Life was completed on 2 October 2013.
Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.
Other business represents the results of Aviva Investors Pooled Pensions.
Investment sales are calculated as new single premiums plus the annualised value of new regular premiums.

4 – Trend analysis of PVNBP (continuing operations1) – discrete
Growth on
3Q12
1Q12
Discrete
£m

2Q12
Discrete
£m

3Q12
Discrete
£m

4Q12
Discrete
£m

1Q13
Discrete
£m

2Q13
Discrete
£m

3Q13
Discrete
£m

Life and pensions business
United Kingdom
Ireland
United Kingdom & Ireland
France
Poland
Italy
Spain
Turkey
Other Europe
Europe
Asia – excluding Malaysia & Sri Lanka
Other business3

2,430
199
2,629
1,092
107
673
402
68
56
2,398
418
13

2,957
143
3,100
852
94
586
303
73
52
1,960
436
17

2,615
127
2,742
727
73
344
229
71
24
1,468
433
49

2,408
163
2,571
967
99
368
361
100
26
1,921
386
13

2,336
117
2,453
1,245
123
614
375
135
20
2,512
472
4

2,105
108
2,213
1,128
104
691
266
118
—
2,307
373
3

2,216
113
2,329
1,009
131
446
172
88
—
1,846
398
21

Total life and pensions – ongoing basis

5,458

5,513

4,692

4,891

5,441

4,896

4,594

(2)%

(4)%

24

35

21

12

16

—

—

(100)%

(100)%

5,482

5,548

4,713

4,903

5,457

4,896

4,594

(3)%

(4)%

949

985

1,466

1,186

1,134

1,364

1,220

(17)%

(19)%

6,431

6,533

6,179

6,089

6,591

6,260

5,814

(6)%

(8)%

Present value of new business premiums 2

Effect of disposals (Malaysia & Sri Lanka)
Total life and pensions
Investment sales4
Total long-term savings sales
1
2
3
4

Sterling %

(15)%
(11)%
(15)%
39%
79%
30%
(25)%
24%
(100)%
26%
(8)%
(57)%

Following the announced disposal of US Life in Q4 2012, it was no longer managed on a MCEV basis and it was no longer included in covered business. The sale of US Life was completed on 2 October 2013.
Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.
Other business represents the results of Aviva Investors Pooled Pensions.
Investment sales are calculated as new single premium plus the annualised value of new regular premiums.

Local
currency %

(15)%
(14)%
(15)%
33%
70%
24%
(28)%
26%
(100)%
21%
(11)%
(57)%
9
Aviva plc
Interim Management Statement
07 November 2013

Statistical Supplement continued

5 –Trend analysis of PVNBP by product (continuing operations1) – cumulative
Growth on
3Q12 YTD
1Q12 YTD
£m

2Q12 YTD
£m

3Q12 YTD
£m

4Q12 YTD
£m

1Q13 YTD
£m

2Q13 YTD
£m

3Q13 YTD
£m

Life and pensions business
Pensions
Annuities
Bonds
Protection
Equity release

1,251
662
128
300
89

2,762
1,555
253
608
209

3,963
2,459
322
920
338

5,158
3,211
379
1,228
434

1,322
630
33
253
98

2,479
1,217
59
504
182

3,818
1,664
97
781
297

(4)%
(32)%
(70)%
(15)%
(12)%

(4)%
(32)%
(70)%
(15)%
(12)%

United Kingdom
Ireland

2,430
199

5,387
342

8,002
469

10,410
632

2,336
117

4,441
225

6,657
338

(17)%
(28)%

(17)%
(31)%

Present value of new business premiums2

Sterling %

Local
currency %

United Kingdom & Ireland

2,629

5,729

8,471

11,042

2,453

4,666

6,995

(17)%

(18)%

Savings
Protection

1,038
54

1,842
102

2,541
130

3,462
176

1,169
76

2,235
138

3,206
176

26%
35%

21%
30%

France

1,092

1,944

2,671

3,638

1,245

2,373

3,382

27%

21%

180
994
11
121

311
1,836
18
249

430
2,337
25
363

672
2,888
39
510

246
882
11
128

409
1,770
17
250

577
2,353
20
333

34%
1%
(20)%
(8)%

32%
(3)%
(23)%
(11)%

Poland, Italy, Spain & Other Europe

1,306

2,414

3,155

4,109

1,267

2,446

3,283

4%

—

Europe

2,398

4,358

5,826

7,747

2,512

4,819

6,665

14%

10%

418

854

1,287

1,673

472

845

1,243

(3)%

(6)%

13

30

79

92

4

7

28

(65)%

(65)%

5,458

10,971

15,663

20,554

5,441

10,337

14,931

(5)%

(6)%

24

59

80

92

16

16

16

(80)%

(80)%

5,482

11,030

15,743

20,646

5,457

10,353

14,947

(5)%

(7)%

Pensions
Savings
Annuities
Protection

Asia (excluding Malaysia & Sri Lanka)
Other business3
Total life and pensions sales – ongoing basis
Effect of disposals (Malaysia & Sri Lanka)
Total life and pensions

1 Following the announced disposal of US Life in Q4 2012, it was no longer managed on a MCEV basis and it was no longer included in covered business. The sale of US Life was completed on 2 October 2013.
2 Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.
3 Other business represents the results of Aviva Investors Pooled Pensions.

6 – Trend analysis of PVNBP by product (continuing operations1) – discrete
Growth on
3Q12
1Q12
Discrete
£m

2Q12
Discrete
£m

3Q12
Discrete
£m

4Q12
Discrete
£m

1Q13
Discrete
£m

2Q13
Discrete
£m

3Q13
Discrete
£m

Life and pensions business
Pensions
Annuities
Bonds
Protection
Equity release

1,251
662
128
300
89

1,511
893
125
308
120

1,201
904
69
312
129

1,195
752
57
308
96

1,322
630
33
253
98

1,157
587
26
251
84

1,339
447
38
277
115

11%
(51)%
(45)%
(11)%
(11)%

11%
(51)%
(45)%
(11)%
(11)%

United Kingdom
Ireland

2,430
199

2,957
143

2,615
127

2,408
163

2,336
117

2,105
108

2,216
113

(15)%
(11)%

(15)%
(14)%

United Kingdom & Ireland

2,629

3,100

2,742

2,571

2,453

2,213

2,329

(15)%

(15)%

Savings
Protection

1,038
54

804
48

699
28

921
46

1,169
76

1,066
62

971
38

39%
36%

33%
30%

France

1,092

852

727

967

1,245

1,128

1,009

39%

33%

180
994
11
121

131
842
7
128

119
501
7
114

242
551
14
147

246
882
11
128

163
888
6
122

168
583
3
83

41%
16%
(57)%
(27)%

40%
12%
(59)%
(29)%

Poland, Italy, Spain & Other Europe

1,306

1,108

741

954

1,267

1,179

837

13%

9%

Europe

2,398

1,960

1,468

1,921

2,512

2,307

1,846

26%

21%

418

436

433

386

472

373

398

(8)%

(11)%

13

17

49

13

4

3

21

(57)%

(57)%

5,458

5,513

4,692

4,891

5,441

4,896

4,594

(2)%

(4)%

24

35

21

12

16

—

—

(100)%

(100)%

5,482

5,548

4,713

4,903

5,457

4,896

4,594

(3)%

(4)%

Present value of new business premiums2

Pensions
Savings
Annuities
Protection

Asia (excluding Malaysia & Sri Lanka)
Other business3
Total life and pensions sales – ongoing basis
Effect of disposals (Malaysia & Sri Lanka)
Total life and pensions sales

Sterling %

1 Following the announced disposal of US Life in Q4 2012, it was no longer managed on a MCEV basis and it was no longer included in covered business. The sale of US Life was completed on 2 October 2013.
2 Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business.
3 Other business represents the results of Aviva Investors Pooled Pensions.

Local
currency %
10
Aviva plc
Interim Management Statement
07 November 2013

Statistical Supplement continued

7 – Geographical analysis of regular and single premiums – life and pensions sales (continuing operations1)
Regular premiums
9 months
2013 £m

Single premiums

WACF

Local
currency
growth

Present
value £m

9 months
2012 £m

WACF

Present value
£m

9 months
2013 £m

9 months
2012 £m

Local
currency
growth

United Kingdom
Ireland
United Kingdom & Ireland
France
Poland
Italy
Spain
Turkey
Other Europe
Europe
Asia – excluding Malaysia & Sri Lanka
Other

538
18
556
65
36
42
39
73
4
259
217
—

(6)%
(28)%
(7)%
18%
38%
(9)%
(19)%
83%
(79)%
11%
3%
—

4.8
4.6
4.8
8.3
7.4
5.8
5.7
4.1
1.5
6.1
5.4
—

2,608
83
2,691
538
268
243
222
299
6
1,576
1,164
—

572
25
597
53
25
44
46
41
19
228
205
—

5.2
3.9
5.1
6.9
7.6
5.5
5.8
4.2
5.1
5.9
5.2
—

2,968
98
3,066
367
189
244
266
173
96
1,335
1,073
—

4,049
255
4,304
2,844
90
1,508
591
42
14
5,089
79
28

5,034
371
5,405
2,304
85
1,359
668
39
36
4,491
214
79

(20)%
(34)%
(21)%
18%
1%
6%
(15)%
11%
(61)%
9%
(64)%
(65)%

Total life and pensions – ongoing
basis

1,032

(1)%

5.3

5,431

1,030

5.3

5,474

9,500

10,189

(9)%

2

(88)%

4.0

8

17

3.6

61

8

19

(58)%

1,034

(2)%

5.3

5,439

1,047

5.3

5,535

9,508

10,208

(9)%

Effect of disposals (Malaysia &
Sri Lanka)
Total life and pensions sales

1. Following the announced disposal of US Life in Q4 2012, it was no longer managed on a MCEV basis and it was no longer included in covered business. The sale of US Life was completed on 2 October 2013.

8 – Trend analysis of Investment sales (continuing operations) – cumulative
Growth on
3Q12 YTD
1Q12 YTD
£m

2Q12 YTD
£m

3Q12 YTD
£m

4Q12 YTD
£m

1Q13 YTD
£m

2Q13 YTD
£m

3Q13 YTD
£m

Sterling %

United Kingdom & Ireland
Aviva Investors
Asia

432
479
38

823
1,043
68

1,269
2,038
93

1,730
2,727
129

305
787
42

841
1,563
94

1,494
2,100
124

18%
3%
33%

18%
(1)%
31%

Total investment sales

949

1,934

3,400

4,586

1,134

2,498

3,718

9%

7%

Investment sales1

Local
currency %

1 Investment sales are calculated as new single premiums plus the annualised value of new regular premiums.

9 – Trend analysis of Investment sales (continuing operations) – discrete
Growth on
3Q12
1Q12
Discrete
£m

2Q12
Discrete
£m

3Q12
Discrete
£m

4Q12
Discrete
£m

1Q13
Discrete
£m

2Q13
Discrete
£m

3Q13
Discrete
£m

United Kingdom & Ireland
Aviva Investors
Asia

432
479
38

391
564
30

446
995
25

461
689
36

305
787
42

536
776
52

653
537
30

46%
(46)%
20%

46%
(48)%
17%

Total investment sales

949

985

1,466

1,186

1,134

1,364

1,220

(17)%

(19)%

Investment sales1

1 Investment sales are calculated as new single premiums plus the annualised value of new regular premiums.

Sterling %

Local
currency %
11
Aviva plc
Interim Management Statement
07 November 2013

Statistical Supplement continued

10 – Trend analysis of general insurance and health net written premiums – cumulative
Growth on
3Q12 YTD
1Q12 YTD
£m

Health insurance
United Kingdom
Ireland
United Kingdom & Ireland
Europe
Asia

3Q12 YTD
£m

4Q12 YTD
£m

1Q13 YTD
£m

2Q13 YTD
£m

3Q13 YTD
£m

974
82
1,056
410
454
6
40

2,087
174
2,261
726
1,081
11
51

3,091
252
3,343
982
1,635
17
53

4,062
326
4,388
1,295
2,176
22
67

923
71
994
435
470
3
20

1,963
146
2,109
764
1,126
7
20

2,904
215
3,119
1,033
1,718
11
21

(6)%
(15)%
(7)%
5%
5%
(35)%
(60)%

(6)%
(18)%
(7)%
1%
5%
(36)%
(60)%

1,966

General insurance
United Kingdom
Ireland
United Kingdom & Ireland
Europe
Canada
Asia
Other

2Q12 YTD
£m

4,130

6,030

7,948

1,922

4,026

5,902

(2)%

(3)%

120
40
160
83
27

255
57
312
123
50

389
76
465
161
79

528
102
630
218
98

138
36
174
89
35

289
52
341
135
47

383
71
454
179
69

(2)%
(7)%
(2)%
11%
(13)%

(2)%
(10)%
(3)%
7%
(13)%

Sterling %

Local
currency %

270
Total

485

705

946

298

523

702

—

(2)%

2,236

4,615

6,735

8,894

2,220

4,549

6,604

(2)%

(3)%

11 – Trend analysis of general insurance and health net written premiums – discrete
Growth on
3Q12
1Q12
Discrete
£m

Health insurance
United Kingdom
Ireland
United Kingdom & Ireland
Europe
Asia

3Q12
Discrete
£m

4Q12
Discrete
£m

1Q13
Discrete
£m

2Q13
Discrete
£m

3Q13
Discrete
£m

974
82
1,056
410
454
6
40

1,113
92
1,205
316
627
5
11

1,004
78
1,082
256
554
6
2

971
74
1,045
313
541
5
14

923
71
994
435
470
3
20

1,040
75
1,115
329
656
4
—

941
69
1,010
269
592
4
1

(6)%
(12)%
(7)%
5%
7%
(33)%
(50)%

(6)%
(16)%
(7)%
1%
7%
(34)%
(50)%

1,966

General insurance
United Kingdom
Ireland
United Kingdom & Ireland
Europe
Canada
Asia
Other

2Q12
Discrete
£m

2,164

1,900

1,918

1,922

2,104

1,876

(1)%

(2)%

120
40
160
83
27

135
17
152
40
23

134
19
153
38
29

139
26
165
57
19

138
36
174
89
35

151
16
167
46
12

94
19
113
44
22

(30)%
—
(26)%
16%
(24)%

(30)%
(4)%
(27)%
11%
(25)%

Sterling %

Local
currency %

270
Total

215

220

241

298

225

179

(19)%

(20)%

2,236

2,379

2,120

2,159

2,220

2,329

2,055

(3)%

(4)%

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Aviva plc third quarter 2013 interim management statement

  • 1. News Release Aviva plc   Interim management statement for the nine months to 30 September 2013  07 November 2013   Aviva plc Third Quarter 2013 Interim Management Statement Mark Wilson, Group Chief Executive Officer, said: “Progress is in line with our expectations and we remain focused on delivering cash flow plus growth. In the first nine months of 2013 our key measure of growth, value of new business, increased by 14%. We had strong performances from France and our growth markets of Turkey, Poland and Asia. Conversely, value of new business remains depressed in our turnaround businesses of Italy and Spain, and this is being addressed. “Capital generation in the period was stable at £1.3 billion and our economic capital surplus now stands at £8 billion. We continue to make satisfactory progress on cost reduction, with operating expenses 10% below the 2011 baseline. “Aviva remains in the early stages of turnaround. Whilst we have resolved a key issue in the disposal of our US business and have made progress in a number of areas, there remains much work to be done.” Cash flow Operating capital generation stable at £1.3 billion1 (9M12: £1.3 billion) Continued focus on improving remittance ratios Full update on cash remittances to be provided at the year end Expenses Operating expenses of £2,277 million, 10% lower than our 2011 baseline Value of new business Value of new business up 14% to £571 million2 (9M12: £503 million) Increase driven by France (+33%) and our growth markets of Turkey (+40%), Poland (+48%) and Asia (+43%) Growth markets contributed 22% of value of new business (9M12: 18%) Combined operating ratio Combined operating ratio stable at 96.9% (9M12: 96.7%) Balance sheet Pro forma3 economic capital4 surplus at £8.0 billion (HY13: £7.6 billion) IFRS net asset value per share 273p (HY13: 281p) MCEV5 net asset value per share 437p (HY13: 441p) Completed sale of US business for US$2.6 billion6 (£1.6 billion) in October 1 2  3 4 On a continuing basis. All numbers are continuing unless otherwise stated. On a continuing basis excluding Malaysia and Sri Lanka. The pro forma economic capital surplus includes the impact of the US Life transaction and an increase in the risk allowance for staff pension schemes from five to ten years of stressed contributions. The economic capital surplus represents an estimated position. The capital requirement is based on Aviva’s own internal assessment and capital management policies. The term ‘economic capital’ does not imply capital as required by regulators or other third parties. 5 In preparing the MCEV information, the directors have done so in accordance with the European Insurance CFO Forum MCEV Principles with the exception of stating held for sale operations at their expected fair value, as represented by expected sale proceeds, less cost to sell. 6  Transactional proceeds include repayment of an external loan of US$290 million.  
  • 2. 2 Aviva plc Interim Management Statement 07 November 2013 Key financial metrics Operating Capital Generation 9 months 2013 £bn 9 months 2012 £bn United Kingdom & Ireland life United Kingdom & Ireland general insurance & health Europe Canada Asia & Other 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.1 — 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.1 — Total 1.3 1.3 9 months 2013 £m 9 months 2012 £m Sterling% change Operating expenses Integration & restructuring costs 2,277 198 2,449 252 (7)% (21)% Total expenses 2,475 2,701 (8)% Continuing operations 9 months 2013 £m 9 months 2012 £m United Kingdom Ireland France Poland Italy Spain Turkey Other Asia1 302 2 112 34 7 19 28 1 66 288 (11) 84 23 19 32 20 2 46 Value of new business – ongoing basis 571 503 14% 1 8 (88)% 572 511 12% Continuing operations 9 months 2013 9 months 2012 United Kingdom Ireland France Italy Other Europe Europe Canada 95.5% 98.3% 97.4% 95.9% 109.2% 98.3% 95.2% 97.0% 105.3% 94.9% 100.9% 119.8% 99.5% 92.6% (1.5)pp (7.0)pp 2.5pp (5.0)pp (10.6)pp (1.2)pp 2.6pp 96.9% 96.7% 0.2pp 30 September 2013 £bn 30 June 2013 £bn 7.4 4.0 273p 437p 7.1 4.2 281p 441p Continuing Operations Expenses Continuing operations Value of new business Effect of disposals (Malaysia & Sri Lanka) Value of new business Sterling % change 5% – 33% 48% (63)% (41)% 40% (50)% 43% General insurance combined operating ratio General insurance combined operating ratio Change Capital position Pro forma3 30 September 2013 £bn Estimated economic capital surplus2 Estimated IGD solvency surplus IFRS net asset value per share MCEV4 net asset value per share 1 2 3 4 8.0 3.7 Pro forma3 30 June 2013 £bn 7.6 3.7 Excluding Malaysia and Sri Lanka. The economic capital surplus represents an estimated position. The capital requirement is based on Aviva’s own internal assessment and capital management policies. The term ‘economic capital’ does not imply capital as required by regulators or other third parties. The pro forma economic capital and IGD surpluses include the impact of the US Life transaction and, for economic capital only, an increase in pension scheme risk allowance from five to ten years of stressed contributions. In preparing the MCEV information, the directors have done so in accordance with the European Insurance CFO Forum MCEV Principles with the exception of stating held for sale operations at their expected fair value, as represented by expected sale proceeds, less cost to sell.
  • 3. 3 Aviva plc Interim Management Statement 07 November 2013 Overview Group Chief Executive Officer’s report Performance in the first nine months of 2013 has been satisfactory. In line with our investment thesis of `cash flow plus growth’, operating capital generation was stable and we have increased the value of new business. We are on track with our cost cutting programme and the combined operating ratio of our general insurance business was broadly unchanged at 96.9% (9M12: 96.7%). On the 2nd October we completed the sale of the US business which is an important step in simplifying Aviva. We also made a number of senior management changes recently to ensure we have the right team to take Aviva forward. Operating Capital Generation Operating capital generation stable at £1.3 billion Expenses Operating expenses of £2,277 million 10% lower than 2011 baseline Value of new business Value of new business up 14% to £571 million7 Increase driven by France and our growth markets of Poland, Turkey and Asia In March we set out Aviva’s investment thesis, `cash flow plus growth’ and our focus is on improving dividends paid by our business units to Group. Operating capital generation (OCG) is a precursor to cash remitted to Group and in the first nine months, OCG was stable at £1.3 billion (9M12: £1.3 billion). Lower capital generation due to floods in Canada was more than offset by expense reductions across Aviva and lower new business strain. Historically the remittance ratios from OCG to dividends have been materially lower than our peers, and improving this ratio remains an absolute priority. Reducing our expense base is essential to the transformation of Aviva and improving cash flows. We have made further progress in this area, and operating expenses are 10% below the 2011 baseline expense level and 7% lower year-on-year. We are on track to deliver a cost-base in 2014 which is £400 million lower than 2011, regardless of the impact of inflation. Integration and restructuring costs at Aviva have been historically high and an impediment to cash remitted to Group. In the first nine months of 2013 restructuring costs fell 21% to £198 million. In line with our previous indications, we expect restructuring costs for 2013 to be lower than the 2012 level of £461 million and materially lower in 2014. Value of new business (VNB) is our key measure of growth. Over the first nine months of the year VNB improved 14% to £571 million7 (9M12: £503 million). In line with our previous guidance we expect overall growth of VNB to moderate in the final quarter of the year primarily due to a strong 4Q 2012. Our two major life cash-generators, UK and France, increased VNB by 5% and 33% respectively. In the UK deliberate actions to improve margin led to an increase in VNB and lower volumes, both in line with our expectations. In France, VNB increased 33%. This was mainly driven by outperformance from our AFER network and a shift in Aviva’s business mix towards higher margin unit linked and protection products across all channels. In the first nine months of 2013, our growth markets of Poland, Turkey and Asia7 increased VNB by 48%, 40% and 43% respectively. Collectively, these businesses grew by 44% and contributed 22% of Group VNB (9M12: 18%). In Spain and Italy – two of our turnaround businesses – the value of new business fell to £19 million and £7 million respectively (9M12: £32 million, £19 million). Actions are underway to improve performance in both of these businesses including focusing more on protection and unit-linked products and potentially exiting unprofitable distribution agreements. Combined operating ratio COR stable at 96.9% In general insurance the combined operating ratio (COR) remained stable at 96.9% (9M12: 96.7%) reflecting the benefit of our geographic diversification. In the UK COR was 95.5%, as a result of lower expenses and favourable weather conditions. We expect the losses from the UK storms in October to be in the region of £10 million. In Canada COR was 95.2% despite the impact of two 1:100 year floods. Across our general insurance businesses in Europe, the COR was 98.3% (9M12: 99.5%) with improved profitability in Italy and Poland offsetting a deterioration in France mainly due to adverse weather. Net written premiums in our general insurance and health business were 2% lower at £6,604 million (9M12: £6,735 million). Growth in Canada was more than offset by a 6% reduction in UK GI volumes due to a combination of the softening personal lines rate environment and a shift in business mix in UK motor. 7 On a continuing basis excluding Malaysia and Sri Lanka.
  • 4. 4 Aviva plc Interim Management Statement 07 November 2013 Balance sheet IFRS net asset value per share 273p Pro forma economic capital at £8.0 billion Completed sale of US business for US$2.6 billion8 Group Chief Executive Officer’s report continued The IFRS net asset value per share decreased by 3% to 273p. Profits in the period and additional proceeds from the sale of the US were offset by foreign exchange movements and a reduction in the accounting surplus on the Aviva staff pension scheme on an IAS19 basis. Maintaining a healthy capital position is an important priority and the pro forma economic capital surplus was £8.0 billion, a coverage ratio of 178%. In October we completed the sale of Aviva USA, which is an important development for the company. Transaction proceeds were higher than previously announced at US$2.6 billion8 (£1.6 billion), further strengthening the Group’s capital position. Net asset value9 IFRS Opening NAV per share at 30 June 2013 US disposal Pension fund Foreign exchange Profit and other movements Closing NAV per share at 30 September 2013 281p 8p (11)p (8)p 3p 273p MCEV 441p 8p (11)p (11)p 10p 437p The balance of our inter-company loan remains unchanged from our last reporting date at £5.1 billion. We continue to see a substantial reduction in the loan over the next couple of years as one of our key priorities and remain in active dialogue with our regulator about the ultimate level and the options for achieving it. The Polish government’s review of the Pillar II pension system continues. Our current expectation is that the potential legislative change would reduce our Poland pensions’ value in force (VIF) by between £150 million and £400 million, in line with our previous guidance. This reduction has not been reflected in these results due to the continuing significant level of uncertainty. Management One of the priorities this year has been to strengthen the senior management team. It is critical that we have the best possible leadership team so that Aviva can achieve its potential. We have made two important appointments recently. In September Maurice Tulloch was appointed Chief Executive Officer of our UK & Ireland general insurance business, and in October Greg Somerville became Chief Executive of Aviva Canada. Both Maurice and Greg have long track records of success at Aviva. Their appointments build on the changes that have been made to the senior management team in the first half of the year. Outlook In summary, overall operating performance continues to be satisfactory and Aviva is where I thought it would be at this point in its transformation. Although the macroeconomic environment is showing signs of improvement, our plans do not require this. The turnaround at Aviva is still in its infancy; we have made progress this year and whilst there is room for optimism there remains much to do. 8 Transactional proceeds include repayment of an external loan of US$290 million. 9 Net of tax and non-controlling interests.  
  • 5. 5 Aviva plc Interim Management Statement 07 November 2013 Notes to editors Notes to editors All comparators are for the nine months to 30 September 2012 unless otherwise stated. Income and expenses of foreign entities are translated at average exchange rates while their assets and liabilities are translated at the closing rates on 30 September 2013. The average rates employed in this announcement are 1 euro = £0.85 (9 months to 30 September 2012: 1 euro = £0.81) and US$1 = £0.65 (9 months to 30 September 2012: US$1 = £0.63). Growth rates in the press release have been provided in sterling terms unless stated otherwise. The following supplement presents this information on both a sterling and local currency basis. Cautionary statements: This should be read in conjunction with the documents filed by Aviva plc (the “Company” or “Aviva”) with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). This announcement contains, and we may make verbal statements containing, “forward-looking statements” with respect to certain of Aviva’s plans and current goals and expectations relating to future financial condition, performance, results, strategic initiatives and objectives. Statements containing the words “believes”, “intends”, “expects”, “plans”, “will,” “seeks”, “aims”, “may”, “could”, “outlook”, “estimates” and “anticipates”, and words of similar meaning, are forwardlooking. By their nature, all forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty. Accordingly, there are or will be important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated in these statements. Aviva believes factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated in forward-looking statements in the presentation include, but are not limited to: the impact of ongoing difficult conditions in the global financial markets and the economy generally; the impact of various local political, regulatory and economic conditions; market developments and government actions regarding the sovereign debt crisis in Europe; the effect of credit spread volatility on the net unrealised value of the investment portfolio; the effect of losses due to defaults by counterparties, including potential sovereign debt defaults or restructurings, on the value of our investments; changes in interest rates that may cause policyholders to surrender their contracts, reduce the value of our portfolio and impact our asset and liability matching; the impact of changes in equity or property prices on our investment portfolio; fluctuations in currency exchange rates; the effect of market fluctuations on the value of options and guarantees embedded in some of our life insurance products and the value of the assets backing their reserves; the amount of allowances and impairments taken on our investments; the effect of adverse capital and credit market conditions on our ability to meet liquidity needs and our access to capital; a cyclical downturn of the insurance industry; changes in or inaccuracy of assumptions in pricing and reserving for insurance business (particularly with regard to mortality and morbidity trends, lapse rates and policy renewal rates), longevity and endowments; the impact of catastrophic events on our business activities and results of operations; the inability of reinsurers to meet obligations or unavailability of reinsurance coverage; increased competition in the UK and in other countries where we have significant operations; the effect of the European Union’s “Solvency II” rules on our regulatory capital requirements; the impact of actual experience differing from estimates used in valuing and amortising deferred acquisition costs (“DAC”) and acquired value of in-force business (“AVIF”); the impact of recognising an impairment of our goodwill or intangibles with indefinite lives; changes in valuation methodologies, estimates and assumptions used in the valuation of investment securities; the effect of legal proceedings and regulatory investigations; the impact of operational risks, including inadequate or failed internal and external processes, systems and human error or from external events; risks associated with arrangements with third parties, including joint ventures; funding risks associated with our participation in defined benefit staff pension schemes; the failure to attract or retain the necessary key personnel; the effect of systems errors or regulatory changes on the calculation of unit prices or deduction of charges for our unit-linked products that may require retrospective compensation to our customers; the effect of a decline in any of our ratings by rating agencies on our standing among customers, broker-dealers, agents, wholesalers and other distributors of our products and services; changes to our brand and reputation; changes in government regulations or tax laws in jurisdictions where we conduct business; the inability to protect our intellectual property; the effect of undisclosed liabilities, integration issues and other risks associated with our acquisitions; and the timing impact and other uncertainties relating to acquisitions and disposals and relating to other future acquisitions, combinations or disposals within relevant industries. For a more detailed description of these risks, uncertainties and other factors, please see Item 3d, “Risk Factors”, and Item 5, “Operating and Financial Review and Prospects” in Aviva’s Annual Report Form 20-F as filed with the SEC on 25 March 2013. Aviva undertakes no obligation to update the forward looking statements in this announcement or any other forwardlooking statements we may make. Forward-looking statements in this presentation are current only as of the date on which such statements are made. Aviva plc is a company registered in England No. 2468686. Registered office St Helen's 1 Undershaft London EC3P 3DQ Contacts Investor contacts Media contacts Timings Colin Simpson +44 (0)20 7662 8115 Nigel Prideaux +44 (0)20 7662 0215 Real time media conference call: 07:30 hrs GMT David Elliot +44 (0)207 662 8048 Andrew Reid +44 (0)20 7662 3131 Sarah Swailes +44 (0)20 7662 6700 Analyst conference call: 08:30 hrs GMT Tel: +44 (0)20 3427 1917 Conference ID: 8270708
  • 6. 6 Aviva plc Interim Management Statement 07 November 2013 Statistical Supplement 1. Trend analysis of VNB (continuing operations) – cumulative 2. Trend analysis of VNB (continuing operations) – discrete 3. Trend analysis of PVNBP (continuing operations) – cumulative 4. Trend analysis of PVNBP (continuing operations) – discrete 5. Trend analysis of PVNBP by product (continuing operations) – cumulative 6. Trend analysis of PVNBP by product (continuing operations) – discrete 7. Geographical analysis of regular and single premiums – life and pensions sales (continuing operations) 8. Trend analysis of Investment sales (continuing operations) – cumulative 9. Trend analysis of Investment sales (continuing operations) – discrete 10. Trend analysis of general insurance and health net written premiums – cumulative 11. Trend analysis of general insurance and health net written premiums – discrete
  • 7. 7 Aviva plc Interim Management Statement 07 November 2013 Statistical Supplement continued 1 – Trend analysis of VNB (continuing operations1) – cumulative Growth on 3Q12 YTD Gross of tax and non-controlling interests United Kingdom Ireland United Kingdom & Ireland France Poland Italy Spain Turkey Other Europe Europe Asia – excluding Malaysia & Sri Lanka Value of new business – ongoing basis Effect of disposals (Malaysia & Sri Lanka) Total value of new business 1Q12 YTD £m 2Q12 YTD £m 3Q12 YTD £m 4Q12 YTD £m 1Q13 YTD £m 2Q13 YTD £m 3Q13 YTD £m Sterling % 5% 118% 10% 33% 48% (63)% (41)% 40% (50)% 12% 43% Local currency % 81 (2) 79 35 10 9 14 6 — 74 14 182 (6) 176 62 18 14 21 13 2 130 29 288 (11) 277 84 23 19 32 20 2 180 46 420 (8) 412 119 35 29 56 30 2 271 55 108 (1) 107 39 10 4 5 10 1 69 19 211 1 212 86 21 6 13 20 1 147 41 302 2 304 112 34 7 19 28 1 201 66 5% 118% 10% 27% 42% (65)% (44)% 47% (50)% 7% 38% 167 335 503 738 195 400 571 14% 12% 2 8 8 8 1 1 1 (88)% (88)% 169 343 511 746 196 401 572 12% 10% 1 Following the announced disposal of US Life in Q4 2012, it was no longer managed on a MCEV basis and it was no longer included in covered business. The sale of US Life was completed on 2 October 2013. 2 – Trend analysis of VNB (continuing operations1) – discrete Growth on 3Q12 Gross of tax and non-controlling interests United Kingdom Ireland United Kingdom & Ireland France Poland Italy Spain Turkey Other Europe Europe Asia – excluding Malaysia & Sri Lanka Value of new business – ongoing basis Effect of disposals (Malaysia & Sri Lanka) Total value of new business 1Q12 Discrete £m 2Q12 Discrete £m 3Q12 Discrete £m 4Q12 Discrete £m 1Q13 Discrete £m 2Q13 Discrete £m 3Q13 Discrete £m Sterling % Local currency % 81 (2) 79 35 10 9 14 6 — 74 14 101 (4) 97 27 8 5 7 7 2 56 15 106 (5) 101 22 5 5 11 7 — 50 17 132 3 135 35 12 10 24 10 — 91 9 108 (1) 107 39 10 4 5 10 1 69 19 103 2 105 47 11 2 8 10 — 78 22 91 1 92 26 13 1 6 8 — 54 25 (14)% (120)% (9)% 18% 160% (80)% (45)% 14% — 8% 47% (14)% (119)% (9)% 14% 145% (81)% (48)% 16% — 4% 43% 167 168 168 235 195 205 171 2% 1% 2 6 — — 1 — — — — 169 174 168 235 196 205 171 2% 1% 1 Following the announced disposal of US Life in Q4 2012, it was no longer managed on a MCEV basis and it was no longer included in covered business. The sale of US Life was completed on 2 October 2013.
  • 8. 8 Aviva plc Interim Management Statement 07 November 2013 Statistical Supplement continued 3 – Trend analysis of PVNBP (continuing operations1) – cumulative Growth on 3Q12 YTD 1Q12 YTD £m 2Q12 YTD £m 3Q12 YTD £m 4Q12 YTD £m 1Q13 YTD £m 2Q13 YTD £m 3Q13 YTD £m Life and pensions business United Kingdom Ireland United Kingdom & Ireland France Poland Italy Spain Turkey Other Europe Europe Asia – excluding Malaysia & Sri Lanka Other business3 2,430 199 2,629 1,092 107 673 402 68 56 2,398 418 13 5,387 342 5,729 1,944 201 1,259 705 141 108 4,358 854 30 8,002 469 8,471 2,671 274 1,603 934 212 132 5,826 1,287 79 10,410 632 11,042 3,638 373 1,971 1,295 312 158 7,747 1,673 92 2,336 117 2,453 1,245 123 614 375 135 20 2,512 472 4 4,441 225 4,666 2,373 227 1,305 641 253 20 4,819 845 7 6,657 338 6,995 3,382 358 1,751 813 341 20 6,665 1,243 28 Total life and pensions – ongoing basis 5,458 10,971 15,663 20,554 5,441 10,337 14,931 (5)% (6)% 24 59 80 92 16 16 16 (80)% (80)% 5,482 11,030 15,743 20,646 5,457 10,353 14,947 (5)% (7)% 949 1,934 3,400 4,586 1,134 2,498 3,718 9% 7% 6,431 12,964 19,143 25,232 6,591 12,851 18,665 (2)% (4)% Present value of new business premiums 2 Effect of disposals (Malaysia & Sri Lanka) Total life and pensions Investment sales4 Total long-term savings sales 1 2 3 4 Sterling % (17)% (28)% (17)% 27% 31% 9% (13)% 61% (85)% 14% (3)% (65)% Local currency % (17)% (31)% (18)% 21% 24% 5% (16)% 64% (85)% 10% (6)% (65)% Following the announced disposal of US Life in Q4 2012, it was no longer managed on a MCEV basis and it was no longer included in covered business. The sale of US Life was completed on 2 October 2013. Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business. Other business represents the results of Aviva Investors Pooled Pensions. Investment sales are calculated as new single premiums plus the annualised value of new regular premiums. 4 – Trend analysis of PVNBP (continuing operations1) – discrete Growth on 3Q12 1Q12 Discrete £m 2Q12 Discrete £m 3Q12 Discrete £m 4Q12 Discrete £m 1Q13 Discrete £m 2Q13 Discrete £m 3Q13 Discrete £m Life and pensions business United Kingdom Ireland United Kingdom & Ireland France Poland Italy Spain Turkey Other Europe Europe Asia – excluding Malaysia & Sri Lanka Other business3 2,430 199 2,629 1,092 107 673 402 68 56 2,398 418 13 2,957 143 3,100 852 94 586 303 73 52 1,960 436 17 2,615 127 2,742 727 73 344 229 71 24 1,468 433 49 2,408 163 2,571 967 99 368 361 100 26 1,921 386 13 2,336 117 2,453 1,245 123 614 375 135 20 2,512 472 4 2,105 108 2,213 1,128 104 691 266 118 — 2,307 373 3 2,216 113 2,329 1,009 131 446 172 88 — 1,846 398 21 Total life and pensions – ongoing basis 5,458 5,513 4,692 4,891 5,441 4,896 4,594 (2)% (4)% 24 35 21 12 16 — — (100)% (100)% 5,482 5,548 4,713 4,903 5,457 4,896 4,594 (3)% (4)% 949 985 1,466 1,186 1,134 1,364 1,220 (17)% (19)% 6,431 6,533 6,179 6,089 6,591 6,260 5,814 (6)% (8)% Present value of new business premiums 2 Effect of disposals (Malaysia & Sri Lanka) Total life and pensions Investment sales4 Total long-term savings sales 1 2 3 4 Sterling % (15)% (11)% (15)% 39% 79% 30% (25)% 24% (100)% 26% (8)% (57)% Following the announced disposal of US Life in Q4 2012, it was no longer managed on a MCEV basis and it was no longer included in covered business. The sale of US Life was completed on 2 October 2013. Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business. Other business represents the results of Aviva Investors Pooled Pensions. Investment sales are calculated as new single premium plus the annualised value of new regular premiums. Local currency % (15)% (14)% (15)% 33% 70% 24% (28)% 26% (100)% 21% (11)% (57)%
  • 9. 9 Aviva plc Interim Management Statement 07 November 2013 Statistical Supplement continued 5 –Trend analysis of PVNBP by product (continuing operations1) – cumulative Growth on 3Q12 YTD 1Q12 YTD £m 2Q12 YTD £m 3Q12 YTD £m 4Q12 YTD £m 1Q13 YTD £m 2Q13 YTD £m 3Q13 YTD £m Life and pensions business Pensions Annuities Bonds Protection Equity release 1,251 662 128 300 89 2,762 1,555 253 608 209 3,963 2,459 322 920 338 5,158 3,211 379 1,228 434 1,322 630 33 253 98 2,479 1,217 59 504 182 3,818 1,664 97 781 297 (4)% (32)% (70)% (15)% (12)% (4)% (32)% (70)% (15)% (12)% United Kingdom Ireland 2,430 199 5,387 342 8,002 469 10,410 632 2,336 117 4,441 225 6,657 338 (17)% (28)% (17)% (31)% Present value of new business premiums2 Sterling % Local currency % United Kingdom & Ireland 2,629 5,729 8,471 11,042 2,453 4,666 6,995 (17)% (18)% Savings Protection 1,038 54 1,842 102 2,541 130 3,462 176 1,169 76 2,235 138 3,206 176 26% 35% 21% 30% France 1,092 1,944 2,671 3,638 1,245 2,373 3,382 27% 21% 180 994 11 121 311 1,836 18 249 430 2,337 25 363 672 2,888 39 510 246 882 11 128 409 1,770 17 250 577 2,353 20 333 34% 1% (20)% (8)% 32% (3)% (23)% (11)% Poland, Italy, Spain & Other Europe 1,306 2,414 3,155 4,109 1,267 2,446 3,283 4% — Europe 2,398 4,358 5,826 7,747 2,512 4,819 6,665 14% 10% 418 854 1,287 1,673 472 845 1,243 (3)% (6)% 13 30 79 92 4 7 28 (65)% (65)% 5,458 10,971 15,663 20,554 5,441 10,337 14,931 (5)% (6)% 24 59 80 92 16 16 16 (80)% (80)% 5,482 11,030 15,743 20,646 5,457 10,353 14,947 (5)% (7)% Pensions Savings Annuities Protection Asia (excluding Malaysia & Sri Lanka) Other business3 Total life and pensions sales – ongoing basis Effect of disposals (Malaysia & Sri Lanka) Total life and pensions 1 Following the announced disposal of US Life in Q4 2012, it was no longer managed on a MCEV basis and it was no longer included in covered business. The sale of US Life was completed on 2 October 2013. 2 Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business. 3 Other business represents the results of Aviva Investors Pooled Pensions. 6 – Trend analysis of PVNBP by product (continuing operations1) – discrete Growth on 3Q12 1Q12 Discrete £m 2Q12 Discrete £m 3Q12 Discrete £m 4Q12 Discrete £m 1Q13 Discrete £m 2Q13 Discrete £m 3Q13 Discrete £m Life and pensions business Pensions Annuities Bonds Protection Equity release 1,251 662 128 300 89 1,511 893 125 308 120 1,201 904 69 312 129 1,195 752 57 308 96 1,322 630 33 253 98 1,157 587 26 251 84 1,339 447 38 277 115 11% (51)% (45)% (11)% (11)% 11% (51)% (45)% (11)% (11)% United Kingdom Ireland 2,430 199 2,957 143 2,615 127 2,408 163 2,336 117 2,105 108 2,216 113 (15)% (11)% (15)% (14)% United Kingdom & Ireland 2,629 3,100 2,742 2,571 2,453 2,213 2,329 (15)% (15)% Savings Protection 1,038 54 804 48 699 28 921 46 1,169 76 1,066 62 971 38 39% 36% 33% 30% France 1,092 852 727 967 1,245 1,128 1,009 39% 33% 180 994 11 121 131 842 7 128 119 501 7 114 242 551 14 147 246 882 11 128 163 888 6 122 168 583 3 83 41% 16% (57)% (27)% 40% 12% (59)% (29)% Poland, Italy, Spain & Other Europe 1,306 1,108 741 954 1,267 1,179 837 13% 9% Europe 2,398 1,960 1,468 1,921 2,512 2,307 1,846 26% 21% 418 436 433 386 472 373 398 (8)% (11)% 13 17 49 13 4 3 21 (57)% (57)% 5,458 5,513 4,692 4,891 5,441 4,896 4,594 (2)% (4)% 24 35 21 12 16 — — (100)% (100)% 5,482 5,548 4,713 4,903 5,457 4,896 4,594 (3)% (4)% Present value of new business premiums2 Pensions Savings Annuities Protection Asia (excluding Malaysia & Sri Lanka) Other business3 Total life and pensions sales – ongoing basis Effect of disposals (Malaysia & Sri Lanka) Total life and pensions sales Sterling % 1 Following the announced disposal of US Life in Q4 2012, it was no longer managed on a MCEV basis and it was no longer included in covered business. The sale of US Life was completed on 2 October 2013. 2 Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single premiums, calculated using assumptions consistent with those used to determine the value of new business. 3 Other business represents the results of Aviva Investors Pooled Pensions. Local currency %
  • 10. 10 Aviva plc Interim Management Statement 07 November 2013 Statistical Supplement continued 7 – Geographical analysis of regular and single premiums – life and pensions sales (continuing operations1) Regular premiums 9 months 2013 £m Single premiums WACF Local currency growth Present value £m 9 months 2012 £m WACF Present value £m 9 months 2013 £m 9 months 2012 £m Local currency growth United Kingdom Ireland United Kingdom & Ireland France Poland Italy Spain Turkey Other Europe Europe Asia – excluding Malaysia & Sri Lanka Other 538 18 556 65 36 42 39 73 4 259 217 — (6)% (28)% (7)% 18% 38% (9)% (19)% 83% (79)% 11% 3% — 4.8 4.6 4.8 8.3 7.4 5.8 5.7 4.1 1.5 6.1 5.4 — 2,608 83 2,691 538 268 243 222 299 6 1,576 1,164 — 572 25 597 53 25 44 46 41 19 228 205 — 5.2 3.9 5.1 6.9 7.6 5.5 5.8 4.2 5.1 5.9 5.2 — 2,968 98 3,066 367 189 244 266 173 96 1,335 1,073 — 4,049 255 4,304 2,844 90 1,508 591 42 14 5,089 79 28 5,034 371 5,405 2,304 85 1,359 668 39 36 4,491 214 79 (20)% (34)% (21)% 18% 1% 6% (15)% 11% (61)% 9% (64)% (65)% Total life and pensions – ongoing basis 1,032 (1)% 5.3 5,431 1,030 5.3 5,474 9,500 10,189 (9)% 2 (88)% 4.0 8 17 3.6 61 8 19 (58)% 1,034 (2)% 5.3 5,439 1,047 5.3 5,535 9,508 10,208 (9)% Effect of disposals (Malaysia & Sri Lanka) Total life and pensions sales 1. Following the announced disposal of US Life in Q4 2012, it was no longer managed on a MCEV basis and it was no longer included in covered business. The sale of US Life was completed on 2 October 2013. 8 – Trend analysis of Investment sales (continuing operations) – cumulative Growth on 3Q12 YTD 1Q12 YTD £m 2Q12 YTD £m 3Q12 YTD £m 4Q12 YTD £m 1Q13 YTD £m 2Q13 YTD £m 3Q13 YTD £m Sterling % United Kingdom & Ireland Aviva Investors Asia 432 479 38 823 1,043 68 1,269 2,038 93 1,730 2,727 129 305 787 42 841 1,563 94 1,494 2,100 124 18% 3% 33% 18% (1)% 31% Total investment sales 949 1,934 3,400 4,586 1,134 2,498 3,718 9% 7% Investment sales1 Local currency % 1 Investment sales are calculated as new single premiums plus the annualised value of new regular premiums. 9 – Trend analysis of Investment sales (continuing operations) – discrete Growth on 3Q12 1Q12 Discrete £m 2Q12 Discrete £m 3Q12 Discrete £m 4Q12 Discrete £m 1Q13 Discrete £m 2Q13 Discrete £m 3Q13 Discrete £m United Kingdom & Ireland Aviva Investors Asia 432 479 38 391 564 30 446 995 25 461 689 36 305 787 42 536 776 52 653 537 30 46% (46)% 20% 46% (48)% 17% Total investment sales 949 985 1,466 1,186 1,134 1,364 1,220 (17)% (19)% Investment sales1 1 Investment sales are calculated as new single premiums plus the annualised value of new regular premiums. Sterling % Local currency %
  • 11. 11 Aviva plc Interim Management Statement 07 November 2013 Statistical Supplement continued 10 – Trend analysis of general insurance and health net written premiums – cumulative Growth on 3Q12 YTD 1Q12 YTD £m Health insurance United Kingdom Ireland United Kingdom & Ireland Europe Asia 3Q12 YTD £m 4Q12 YTD £m 1Q13 YTD £m 2Q13 YTD £m 3Q13 YTD £m 974 82 1,056 410 454 6 40 2,087 174 2,261 726 1,081 11 51 3,091 252 3,343 982 1,635 17 53 4,062 326 4,388 1,295 2,176 22 67 923 71 994 435 470 3 20 1,963 146 2,109 764 1,126 7 20 2,904 215 3,119 1,033 1,718 11 21 (6)% (15)% (7)% 5% 5% (35)% (60)% (6)% (18)% (7)% 1% 5% (36)% (60)% 1,966 General insurance United Kingdom Ireland United Kingdom & Ireland Europe Canada Asia Other 2Q12 YTD £m 4,130 6,030 7,948 1,922 4,026 5,902 (2)% (3)% 120 40 160 83 27 255 57 312 123 50 389 76 465 161 79 528 102 630 218 98 138 36 174 89 35 289 52 341 135 47 383 71 454 179 69 (2)% (7)% (2)% 11% (13)% (2)% (10)% (3)% 7% (13)% Sterling % Local currency % 270 Total 485 705 946 298 523 702 — (2)% 2,236 4,615 6,735 8,894 2,220 4,549 6,604 (2)% (3)% 11 – Trend analysis of general insurance and health net written premiums – discrete Growth on 3Q12 1Q12 Discrete £m Health insurance United Kingdom Ireland United Kingdom & Ireland Europe Asia 3Q12 Discrete £m 4Q12 Discrete £m 1Q13 Discrete £m 2Q13 Discrete £m 3Q13 Discrete £m 974 82 1,056 410 454 6 40 1,113 92 1,205 316 627 5 11 1,004 78 1,082 256 554 6 2 971 74 1,045 313 541 5 14 923 71 994 435 470 3 20 1,040 75 1,115 329 656 4 — 941 69 1,010 269 592 4 1 (6)% (12)% (7)% 5% 7% (33)% (50)% (6)% (16)% (7)% 1% 7% (34)% (50)% 1,966 General insurance United Kingdom Ireland United Kingdom & Ireland Europe Canada Asia Other 2Q12 Discrete £m 2,164 1,900 1,918 1,922 2,104 1,876 (1)% (2)% 120 40 160 83 27 135 17 152 40 23 134 19 153 38 29 139 26 165 57 19 138 36 174 89 35 151 16 167 46 12 94 19 113 44 22 (30)% — (26)% 16% (24)% (30)% (4)% (27)% 11% (25)% Sterling % Local currency % 270 Total 215 220 241 298 225 179 (19)% (20)% 2,236 2,379 2,120 2,159 2,220 2,329 2,055 (3)% (4)%