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Welcome
The webinar will begin momentarily
Peter Brown
Publisher
Automotive News
Jens Diehlmann
Partner – IBM Global Business Services
IBM
Daniel Delos
Partner – Strategy & Transformation
IBM
IBM Global Business Services



Captive Finance:
The core enabler of the next automotive growth model

Jens Diehlmann & Daniel Delos
                                         Let‘s build a smarter planet
May   24th,   2011




                                                          © 2011 IBM Corporation
IBM Global Business Services


Who is Jens Diehlmann?




                               Jens Diehlmann is a Partner at IBM Global Business Services
                               in Germany leading the Captive Automotive Banking Team.
                               In addition, he is a leading Subject Matter Expert and is globally
                               responsible for the IBM‘s Consulting Business across all
                               captive finance companies.


                               Mr. Diehlmann has over 15 years of experience in Banking &
                               Financial Services and has worked for over 10 years as a
                               Strategy Consultant for captive finance companies.
                               During his career, he advised clients on Business and
                               Operations Strategy, Leasing & Finance and Bank set-up.

                               Mr. Diehlmann is a co-author of the book “Automotive
                               Management – Navigating the next decade of auto industry
                               transformation“ which was released in June 2010.




                                                                                        © 2011 IBM Corporation
IBM Global Business Services


Who is Dan Delos?



                               Daniel Delos is an IBM Strategy & Transformation Partner with
                               IBM Global Business Services leading the Innovation & Growth
                               services area within the Industrial sector, managing the IBM
                               relationship with multiple Automotive clients and heading the
                               Americas Captive Finance competency.


                               Mr. Delos is responsible for thought leadership, offering
                               development and staff productivity across the Business
                               Strategy, Technical Strategy and Market & Customer
                               Management Strategy domains. This practice area leverages
                               IBM assets, services and Smarter Planet offerings to help
                               companies transform in the areas of M&A, Shared Services,
                               Market Entry Strategies, Sales Transformation, Service
                               Transformation, Captive Finance, Marketing Analytics and
                               Smarter Commerce.




                                                                                       © 2011 IBM Corporation
IBM Global Business Services


Agenda




 1 Key Market Trends and Issues Challenging Captive Finance Executives


 2 Key Findings of IBM‗s 2010 Global Advance Mobility Study


 3 Navigating through the Complexity of Advanced Mobility




                                                                         © 2011 IBM Corporation
IBM Global Business Services


Captive finance organizations are manufacturer-affiliated financial services
providers offering original and derivative financial solutions


                 Profile of
        captive finance companies


  Tasks:
   Acting as OEM‘s sustainable growth                   Captive finance companies                   Non-captive finance companies
   driver and sales support to:
    - stabilize corporate results
    - promote vehicle sales
    - increase customer loyalty

  Product/service portfolio is directly
   or indirectly related to vehicles:
    - leasing and loan for passenger cars
      and commercial vehicles
    - wholesale finance

  Unique role and strength:
   Serving as OEM‘s
   point of sale integrator




Source: Automotive Management – Navigating the next decade of auto industry transformation, December 2010
                                                                                                                       © 2011 IBM Corporation
IBM Global Business Services


In mature markets, captive finance companies are increasingly
advancing towards the automotive banking approach



                         Diverse approaches for captive finance companies to pursue business




Source: Diehlmann / Häcker: Automotive Management – Navigating the next decade of auto industry transformation, December 2010
                                                                                                                                © 2011 IBM Corporation
IBM Global Business Services


Status quo for automotive finance

    After the economic downturn in 2008 and 2009, the entire car industry has
     bounced back at full speed.

    Booming car sales in China have positively influenced the results of global manufacturers.

    The entire industry has had a peak year with 61.7 million car sales in 2010
     which is about to continue to 20111).

    Leasing and Financing is growing in emerging markets where a growing middle class is
     gaining more prosperity and thus, demanding more services.

    Captive Finance organizations follow their manufacturer in growth markets
     to establish own operations.

    More and more focus is placed on innovative mobility concepts as stricter CO2 emission
     regulations force manufacturers to develop new business models and consumers to rethink
     their mobility demand.

    Electric vehicles are gaining ground and most OEMs have models on the market or to be
     launched soon. However, it will still take some time until this trend will take off.

    The entire automotive industry and its financing business has survived the economic crisis
     well and has established itself again as one of the strongest and profitable industries at all.

1) German Association of the Automotive Industry (VAD), January 2011
                                                                                          © 2011 IBM Corporation
IBM Global Business Services


After the economic downturn,
new challenges are awaiting captive finance companies


                                                   Stagnating
                                                   car sales in
                                                  mature markets
                           Residual value
                           management and                                 Booming
                         increasing used car                         car sales in growth
                              inventory                             and emerging markets



                              Rising                                   Sophisticated
                        operating costs                               consumers are
                       due to decentralized                             increasingly
                         and outdated IT                             demanding new
                          infrastructure                               mobility and
                                                  Blind spots
                                               in meeting today‘s   ownership models
                                                consumers ever-
                                                 evolving needs



                                                                                           © 2011 IBM Corporation
IBM Global Business Services


Battlegrounds in the passenger car market is further shifting away from
Triad markets

                 Sales and production of passenger cars by region, 2000 – 20251) (m units)

                         Sales                                                               Production

         57                    69            114                                  57             69       114             (CAGR %)
                                                              (CAGR %)
                                                                                   5                       8
          11                                   11     Other (2.8)                                 9               Other (2.8)
                               14                                                  6
                                                                                   3              11
           6                                                                                               15     China (6.7)
           3                   11              14
                                                      China (6.8)
                                                                                                  21
                               22
                                               31     BRI 2) (12.4)                                        32     BRI 2) (12.8)

                                                                                   86
          80

                                                                                                  59
                               53
                                               44     Triad   3) (0.4)                                     44     Triad 3) (0.2)




         2000              2010              2025                                2000            2010     2025

 1) 2025 Figures are estimations                                         Source: Roland Berger
 2) BRI countries include Brazil, Russia, India, China
 3) Triad markets are North America, Western Europe and Japan
                                                                                                                 © 2011 IBM Corporation
IBM Global Business Services


IBM is the only global consulting company
with a team dedicated and spezialized in captive finance



                    IBM‟s global                              The IBM Automotive Banking team has
    automotive banking and mobility engagements                discussed and worked globally with CEOs
                                                               to identify and develop new mobility
                                                               business models

                                                              IBM has developed an in-depth
                                                               understanding in supporting clients along
                                                               the automotive value chain in mature and
                                                               growth markets

                                                              IBM acts as strategic relationship partner
                                                               and incubator for materializing new mobility
                                                               concepts in the context of its Smarter
                                                               Planet Campaign




   Cooperations with diverse stakeholders of the globally extended automotive ecosystem allows
   IBM‗s Automotive Banking Team to make valuable contributions to advance sustainable road
   mobility.                                                                           © 2011 IBM Corporation
IBM Global Business Services


The IBM Automotive Banking services portfolio is well-equipped
to support captive finance executives in paving the future avenue to growth


                                           Captive Finance Strategy

                                            New business opportunities
 Operating Model &                          Business model innovation
                                                                                   Market Entry
 Process Optimization                       Business transformation outsourcing
                                            Target operating model                 Strategy development & implementation
 Process optimization & harmonization
                                                                                    Feasibility study
 Shared service centers
                                                                                    Reference process maps for business
                                                                                     operations and system evaluation



 Information Technology                           Automotive Banking
                                                                                    New Intelligence
 Target IT architecture                                                                     Automotive
 Document management                                                                 Residual value & used car management
                                                                                                Banking
 Auto finance software vendor selection   New Mobility Services                    Captive finance performance analysis
 Application management                                                            Data management & business analytics
                                            New mobility concepts
                                            Smarter transportation
                                            Financing options for alternative
                                             vehicles

                                                                                                           © 2011 IBM Corporation
IBM Global Business Services


 We have entered the age of the empowered customer

    Customers now have         Social networking and    Customer                  This is changing
    unlimited access to        mobile commerce          expectations of           the entire way
    information and can        have dramatically        service, price and        products are sourced,
    instantly share it with    changed the dynamic      delivery is soaring.      manufactured and
    the world                  between buyer and                                  distributed—and
                               seller.                                            making business
                                                                                  more complex
                                                                                  than ever.




     155 million                      75%                                $93 billion
     Number of tweets sent            Percentage of people who           Amount in sales missed due
     via Twitter each day             believe companies don’t tell       to out of stock inventory
                                      the truth in advertisements
                                                                                          © 2011 IBM Corporation
IBM Global Business Services


Power has shifted to the customer — compressing margins and
changing paradigms

 In this new era, businesses need to:

     Understand and            Adapt sourcing and    Market, sell and      Service
    anticipate                 procurement based                           customers
                                                     fulfill the right
    customer                   on customer                                 flawlessly,
                                                     product and service   predict and
    behavior and               demand and
                                                     at the right price,   drive customer
    needs based on             optimize supplier
                                                     time and place        loyalty
    customer                   interactions across
    insights across            extended value
    all channels               chains




                                                                                 © 2011 IBM Corporation
IBM Global Business Services



Smarter Commerce focuses on three dimensions centered around
the customer
                                                           Customer Value Strategy
           Customer Insight
                                                           In turn, you must re-think how
                                                               your customers define
         In today‘s world of instant
                                                            value, and the changes you
         business, you need deep                              must make to your value
      insights, in real-time that you                          chain so you can deliver
     can turn into immediate action                         exactly what your customers
                                                                    want - profitably




Customer & Partner Engagement           Customer

    You need an approach that
   allows you to more effectively
  connect, collaborate, conduct                …increasing the value companies generate
      commerce and create a                    for their customers and partners in a
       differentiated customer                 rapidly changing digital world
              experience


                                                                               © 2011 IBM Corporation
IBM Global Business Services



Businesses are rapidly adopting Social Media to ―be in touch‖ with
their customers, but customers often engage for different reasons

       Percentage of Companies with a Profile or                                                  Key reasons cited for engaging in social
           Presence on a Type of Social Site                                                        media relationship with a business


                                                                                             Company          Avoid being perceived as ―out
                                                                                                               of touch‖
                                                                                                              Attract top employees
                                                                                                              Missed sales opportunity
                                                                                                              Competition being more
                                                                                                               successful in reaching
                                                                                                               customers
                                                                                                  Vs.

                                                                                             Customer         Promotions, coupons, savings
                                                                                                               or some other form of benefit
                                                                                                              Positive brand association
                                                                                                              Lifestyle choice and simplicity




Source: From Social Media to Social CRM, IBM Institute for Business Value Analysis, 2011. n=339
                             IBM Confidential                                                                                      © 2011 IBM Corporation
IBM Global Business Services

IBM has developed a Smarter Commerce Multi-Channel Business Value
Assessment to help clients answer the following question…

―Are your Marketing and Sales organizations effectively and efficiently delivering the right
products, services and experiences to the right customers across preferred channels?‖



Customer / Account Segmentation                                                                Channel
Identification of key areas of marketing and sales opportunities through the                  Assessment
assessment of customer behaviors, products and channel preferences.

Marketing Process Optimization
Analysis of current marketing operational capabilities, including analytics,
campaign effectiveness management and channel capabilities.
                                                                                                                 Establish
Sales & Channel Process Optimization                                            Realization                      The Vision
Evaluation of the current state of sales execution effectiveness and             Roadmap
efficiency through cost-to-serve model.

Customer Experience Assessment
Evaluation of the cross-channel user experiences using proven cross-industry
practices and innovations. Evaluation of your digital presence including web,
                                                                                              Capabilities
mobile and social leveraging our assessment tool that features an extensive
                                                                                              Framework
database of online capabilities and leading practices.                                        Evaluation



                                                                                                             © 2011 IBM Corporation
IBM Global Business Services


Besides our operating business, IBM is aggressively investing in
further developing intellectual property and shaping the development of
future-oriented mobility services

         New mobility concepts            Intellectual property            Strategy and education

           “Electric taxis in                                          „Global CEO Strategy Workshops
          China‟s mega-cities”                                            for new mobility solutions“
                                       “Advancing
                                         Mobility
                                       Study 2010”

   IBM
                                      E-Mobility and the impact on     “Automotive Management”
                                      Captive Finance Companies        Navigating the
          “Project Edison”                                             next decade of
  European research project for the                                    automotive
                                                         Thesis
    set-up of intelligent e-vehicle                                    Industry
                                                                       transformation
            infrastructure


                                                                                „CEO Study 2010“
                                                         “Truck 2020
                               IBM                       Study 2009”




                                                                                         © 2011 IBM Corporation
IBM Global Business Services


Agenda




 1 Key Market Trends and Issues Challenging Captive Finance Executives


 2 Key Findings of IBM„s 2010 Global Advance Mobility Study


 3 Navigating through the Complexity of Advanced Mobility




                                                                         © 2011 IBM Corporation
IBM Global Business Services


Together with IBM Institute for Business Value (IBV),
the Automotive Banking Team launched a global study on future-oriented
mobility by looking outside the traditional automotive value chain

                                                                 Interviews by Industry Segment

                                                                                         3%
                                                                            7%        Ind. Groups
                                                                      Government
                                                                                                        27%
                                                                   12%                                 OEMs
                                                                  Others

                                                                  7%
                                                                Energy
                                                                   3%
                                                               Car Share
                                                                       5%                               17%
                                                                    EV Mfg                             Captive
                                                                                10%                    Finance
    123 executive interviews                                              Telematics      10%
    18 countries                                                                        Suppliers
    Others (outside of OEM) include: academia,
     government, service integrators, venture capitalists,
     mobility consultants and fleet operators                Traditional Auto           New Mobility          Influencers


                                                                                                          © 2011 IBM Corporation
IBM Global Business Services


The most important findings can be summarized as follows:



                               Transforming how people move about is among the most complex
        Rethinking mobility    struggles for cities, businesses and citizens. The economic, social and
                               environmental concerns of mobility are forcing new ideas on providers.

                               Although automotive companies will need to develop mobility solutions,
    Auto companies make
                               they cannot lose sight of the need to develop technology-packed,
                vehicles       intelligent vehicles at competitive prices.

                               New packages need to be developed for all major customer segments
      Thinking outside the
                               that establish automakers‘ stake in providing mobility solutions.
                   vehicle     Automakers have assets that can be leveraged to protect their interests.


                               Who are partners and who are competitors? More often these will be
     Partners, competitors
                               the same. The partners needed to assemble innovative solutions will
             and alliances     also be positioning themselves to control customers and their wallet.


                               Mobility solutions require that finance companies become the core
     Finance becomes the
                               enabler to simplifying the way that consumers want to move. The
                new core       integrating feature across partnerships will be homogenous transactions.



                                                                                              © 2011 IBM Corporation
IBM Global Business Services


Automakers will have to reinvent their business models to cater to a
new market segment of consumers who are not tied to individual vehicles

     How many consumers would be willing to give
                    up their personal vehicles?
    provided sufficient subscription mobility services exist

            More than 50%                                          14%   It is expected that future customers will
                                                                         demanding more flexible mobility solutions
                                                                         Subscription mobility could provide that
                   About 25%                                       50%   flexibility:
                                                                           –Consumer may give up vehicles altogether
                                                                           –They could choose to have less vehicles as
                      Very few                                     36%      they pursue an ownership model based on
                                                                            their everyday needs

           Not an attractive
           business model                                          0%

                                                 “The most important step is to enable consumers to move from
                                                ownership of vehicles to selling a subscription to them as needed”
                                                                                                 –European Auto OEM
Source: Advance Mobility Global Interviews (n=42), IBV Analysis,


                                                                                                          © 2011 IBM Corporation
IBM Global Business Services


People across age groups are finding it difficult to own a car and choosing
to drive less for a number of reasons, with ‗Millennials‘ topping the list

                            In today‘s economy, it                  In the past year, I have   With access to social   I want to protect the
                            can be difficult to own                 consciously reduced        networking sites, I     environment, so I drive
                            a car because of the                    how much I drive, and      choose to spend time    less.
                            high cost of gas,                       instead took alternative   online with friends
                            parking and                             transportation             instead of driving to
                            maintenance                                                        meet them



 18-34 years old 35%                                 80%           16%                 45%     23%           54%       16%              45%

 35-44 years old                                     71%                               40%                   46%                        39%


 45-54 years old                                     76%                               31%                   34%                        37%


55 years or older                                    68%                               24%                   18%                        42%


                                                                       Strongly Agree              Somewhat Agree
Source: Zipcar Millenials Survey (n=1025), 2010
       Alternative Transportation defined as carpooling, public transportation or bicycle

                                                                                                                              © 2011 IBM Corporation
IBM Global Business Services


For automakers to exploit new business opportunities,
they have to think outside the vehicle in order to cater consumers
who are moving away from owning a car to using mobility solutions

                                          “Auto companies often view mobility through the
                                              lens of just the vehicle, not the consumer"
                                                                              –US Automotive OEM

                Vehicles           Multi-modal Transportation           Cashless Packaging

                                                                     Insurance      Security
                                                                     Tolls          Connectivity
                                                                     Parking        Other in-vehicle
                                                                     Electricity     purchases

    Daily           Subscription
   vehicles           vehicles

                                    Service Integration

                                                           Solutions beyond the vehicle such as
                                                            location-based services or event services
                                                           Optimization and guidance across modes
                                                           Integrated cashless process


                                                                                        © 2011 IBM Corporation
IBM Global Business Services


 The alliances to enable mobility solutions must start between the
 OEMs and their finance companies

             OEM View                                                       Captive Finance View

  “We’ve spoken to several finance                                      “Financial services do not drive
  companies, but have neglected to                                     change but have to be ready when
        consider our own ”                                               Brand Partners require them”
                     – US Automotive OEM                                         – European Captive Finance


Many OEMs are seeking partners to pilot                                Captive finance companies are waiting
new ideas, but have not approached their                               to take direction from the OEM and
own finance companies                                                  don‘t feel in a position to lead



                                “There is no clear decision-making structure in
                                    the company that brings us together”
                                                  – European Captive Finance Executive


                                                     …Automotive finance companies should be
                                                  natural partners for enabling mobility solutions
                                                                                            © 2011 IBM Corporation
IBM Global Business Services


The changing environment will require enhancements in the existing
customer interaction to leverage the benefits

In our recent CEO study we asked…

 To what extent will the
 new economic environment be different?                                                              How will the future mobility consumer
                                                                                                     change the ownership model?
                                              Structurally
              61%                    16% different
                                              Sustained change                                       How can access and simplicity be
                                                                                                     provided to consumers of new mobility
        To a large/very large extent                                                                 solutions despite increasing complexity in
        To some extent                                                                               enabling mobility?

                                                                                                     What kind of financing models are
                                                                                                     required to meet the challenge of bundling
               "In the next 10 years we will have                                                    mobility solutions into attractive consumer
                                                                                                     services and enabling its deployment across
               more change than in the 50 years                                                      partners?
                          before"
                              –European Automotive OEM, 2008                                         How and to which degree will today‘s vehicle
                                    IBM Automotive 2020 Study                                        market structure change in face of
                                                                                                     increasing acceptance of new mobility
                                                                                                     solutions?

Source:2010 Global CEO Study/ Automotive, 2010., Advance Mobility Global Interviews (n=55), IBV Analysis

                                                                                                                                    © 2011 IBM Corporation
IBM Global Business Services

a
Advancing mobility demands new ways of operating and calls for
IBM‘s Smarter Planet Solutions


Instrumented                             Interconnected                   Intelligent

Monitoring and maintaining the           Applying sophisticated           Transforming raw data
integrity of the automotive supply       devices to connect consumers     into critical insight for quickly
chain while creating vehicles that       and vehicles to a broader        and accurately responding to
can measure their own health             transportation system that       changes and achieve better
and sense their surroundings.            encompasses roadways, energy     results through prediction
                                         sources, governments and more.   and optimization




Car sharing              Car on demand       eMobility     Fleet Management            Intermodal travel


            IBM Advanced
            Mobility Services    is an integral part of IBM‟s Smarter Planet Strategy
                                                                                             © 2011 IBM Corporation
IBM Global Business Services


Watson represents out latest groundbreaking innovation in
IBM‘s Business Analytics and Optimization solutions




                               Watson is a computing system
                               that rivals a human‘s ability to answer
                               questions posed in natural language,
                               interpreting meaning and context and
                               retrieving, analyzing and understanding
                               vast amounts of information in real-time

                               Watson represents a culmination of
                               IBM‘s century-long dedication to research and innovation.
                               This same investment in research is driving the creation of new
                               Business Analytics and Optimization capabilities, allowing the
                               innovations from Watson to be applied to solve business and societal
                               problems – for example, diagnosing disease, handling online technical support
                               questions, and parsing vast tracts of legal documents - and to drive progress
                               across many industries.




                                                                                              © 2011 IBM Corporation
IBM Global Business Services


Agenda




 1 Key Market Trends and Issues Challenging Captive Finance Executives


 2 Key Findings of IBM‗s 2010 Global Advance Mobility Study


 3 Navigating through the Complexity of Advanced Mobility




                                                                         © 2011 IBM Corporation
IBM Global Business Services


As an enabler, IBM is capable of turning the vision of smarter mobility
concepts into reality by means of business analytics and optimization

                                  OEMs &            Insurance          Service          Fleet            Utilities          Government
    Stakeholder                   Suppliers                            Provider        Operator

                                                                    Mobility-as-a Service
                                           Car Sharing        Car on        Pay as you     Intermodal       Concierge
                                                             Demand            Use            travel         Services


                                         IBM Advanced Mobility Service Hub
                                                      Usage based           Remote                                Car Sharing
                                         Value                                             EV Services             Services
                                                       Insurance          Diagnostics
                    System Integration




                                         Added
                                                       Fleet Mgmt           Vehicle          Modality           Location based




                                                                                                                                        Infrastructure
                                         Services       Services            Tracking         Services              services                                Road Side
    User                                                                                                                                                    Devices
   Devices
                                                        Vehicle          3rd Party Data                          Master Data
                                                                                          Data Analytics         Management
                                         Core        Data Collection       Integration
                                         Services     B2B Service           Device          Security &
                                                      Management          Management       Privacy Mgmt
                                                                                                                                                         EV Charging
   Backend                                                                                                                                                 Stations
   Systems                                                      „Always On― Vehicle Connectivity
                                                                                                        Connected Vehicle Marketplace


                                                                                                                                                                    P


                                                                                                                                                         © 2011 IBM Corporation
IBM Global Business Services


A 360° view of consumers has increasingly become a precondition
in successfully targeting today‘s interconnected consumers



                  Consumers are globally connected




                                                       Customer data
                                                        management
                                                           becomes
                                                     essential in achieving:

                                                     360° customer view



                                      OEM„s
                                       app



                                                                  © 2011 IBM Corporation
IBM Global Business Services


Today‘s sophisticated consumers demand new mobility solutions
which replace or extend the use of their personal vehicle


                                          Mobilität
                                           Mobility




                 Multi-modal Transport     Parking        Travel Service




                                         Location-based
                  Subscription fleet        Services      Event Service




                                                                           © 2011 IBM Corporation
IBM Global Business Services


Blind spots need to be removed for delivering new value and improved
lifestyle experience meeting consumers‘ ever-evolving mobility needs and
wants



                                                          Predict
    Analyze all forms
                                                                      Recommend the
    of data to provide                                                most appropriate
        insight and                                                    action to take
    predict the future                                                                                  Leverage
                                                                                                      the power of
                                          Business
          Capture                       Analytics and                     Act                        information by
                                        Optimization                                                 applying business
       Customers       Surveys                                  Attract ―best‖ customers              analytics and
  Sales Data           Transactions                             Target customers:                optimization to customer
     Suppliers                                                   cross-sell, up-sell, retention
                         Web Logs
                                                                New product releases,
                                                                                                     data management
                 360
                  °                                              product adoption
                                                                Grow customer value
                                                                Retain profitable customers
    People & Business &
   Enterprise Data Sources             Store new data on        Decision Optimization &
                                      customers, sales, etc.          Automation
                                         for continuous
                                          improvement



                                                                                                               © 2011 IBM Corporation
IBM Global Business Services


We have only just begun to uncover what is possible
on a smarter planet



 The main question remains
 to be answered:


                                  Who will be the first to
                                     drive and thrive
                               on the new avenue for growth
                               in a smarter mobility industry




                                                                © 2011 IBM Corporation
Thank you
for your attention




                     © 2011 IBM Corporation
Q&A
Thank You
This webinar will be available on-demand in a few
      days at www.autonews.com/webinars

All registrants will receive an e-mail notification
                when it is available

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Ibm Smarter Mobility Presentation Jens Diehlmann

  • 1. Welcome The webinar will begin momentarily
  • 2.
  • 4. Jens Diehlmann Partner – IBM Global Business Services IBM
  • 5. Daniel Delos Partner – Strategy & Transformation IBM
  • 6. IBM Global Business Services Captive Finance: The core enabler of the next automotive growth model Jens Diehlmann & Daniel Delos Let‘s build a smarter planet May 24th, 2011 © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 7. IBM Global Business Services Who is Jens Diehlmann? Jens Diehlmann is a Partner at IBM Global Business Services in Germany leading the Captive Automotive Banking Team. In addition, he is a leading Subject Matter Expert and is globally responsible for the IBM‘s Consulting Business across all captive finance companies. Mr. Diehlmann has over 15 years of experience in Banking & Financial Services and has worked for over 10 years as a Strategy Consultant for captive finance companies. During his career, he advised clients on Business and Operations Strategy, Leasing & Finance and Bank set-up. Mr. Diehlmann is a co-author of the book “Automotive Management – Navigating the next decade of auto industry transformation“ which was released in June 2010. © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 8. IBM Global Business Services Who is Dan Delos? Daniel Delos is an IBM Strategy & Transformation Partner with IBM Global Business Services leading the Innovation & Growth services area within the Industrial sector, managing the IBM relationship with multiple Automotive clients and heading the Americas Captive Finance competency. Mr. Delos is responsible for thought leadership, offering development and staff productivity across the Business Strategy, Technical Strategy and Market & Customer Management Strategy domains. This practice area leverages IBM assets, services and Smarter Planet offerings to help companies transform in the areas of M&A, Shared Services, Market Entry Strategies, Sales Transformation, Service Transformation, Captive Finance, Marketing Analytics and Smarter Commerce. © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 9. IBM Global Business Services Agenda 1 Key Market Trends and Issues Challenging Captive Finance Executives 2 Key Findings of IBM‗s 2010 Global Advance Mobility Study 3 Navigating through the Complexity of Advanced Mobility © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 10. IBM Global Business Services Captive finance organizations are manufacturer-affiliated financial services providers offering original and derivative financial solutions Profile of captive finance companies  Tasks: Acting as OEM‘s sustainable growth Captive finance companies Non-captive finance companies driver and sales support to: - stabilize corporate results - promote vehicle sales - increase customer loyalty  Product/service portfolio is directly or indirectly related to vehicles: - leasing and loan for passenger cars and commercial vehicles - wholesale finance  Unique role and strength: Serving as OEM‘s point of sale integrator Source: Automotive Management – Navigating the next decade of auto industry transformation, December 2010 © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 11. IBM Global Business Services In mature markets, captive finance companies are increasingly advancing towards the automotive banking approach Diverse approaches for captive finance companies to pursue business Source: Diehlmann / Häcker: Automotive Management – Navigating the next decade of auto industry transformation, December 2010 © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 12. IBM Global Business Services Status quo for automotive finance  After the economic downturn in 2008 and 2009, the entire car industry has bounced back at full speed.  Booming car sales in China have positively influenced the results of global manufacturers.  The entire industry has had a peak year with 61.7 million car sales in 2010 which is about to continue to 20111).  Leasing and Financing is growing in emerging markets where a growing middle class is gaining more prosperity and thus, demanding more services.  Captive Finance organizations follow their manufacturer in growth markets to establish own operations.  More and more focus is placed on innovative mobility concepts as stricter CO2 emission regulations force manufacturers to develop new business models and consumers to rethink their mobility demand.  Electric vehicles are gaining ground and most OEMs have models on the market or to be launched soon. However, it will still take some time until this trend will take off.  The entire automotive industry and its financing business has survived the economic crisis well and has established itself again as one of the strongest and profitable industries at all. 1) German Association of the Automotive Industry (VAD), January 2011 © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 13. IBM Global Business Services After the economic downturn, new challenges are awaiting captive finance companies Stagnating car sales in mature markets Residual value management and Booming increasing used car car sales in growth inventory and emerging markets Rising Sophisticated operating costs consumers are due to decentralized increasingly and outdated IT demanding new infrastructure mobility and Blind spots in meeting today‘s ownership models consumers ever- evolving needs © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 14. IBM Global Business Services Battlegrounds in the passenger car market is further shifting away from Triad markets Sales and production of passenger cars by region, 2000 – 20251) (m units) Sales Production 57 69 114 57 69 114 (CAGR %) (CAGR %) 5 8 11 11 Other (2.8) 9 Other (2.8) 14 6 3 11 6 15 China (6.7) 3 11 14 China (6.8) 21 22 31 BRI 2) (12.4) 32 BRI 2) (12.8) 86 80 59 53 44 Triad 3) (0.4) 44 Triad 3) (0.2) 2000 2010 2025 2000 2010 2025 1) 2025 Figures are estimations Source: Roland Berger 2) BRI countries include Brazil, Russia, India, China 3) Triad markets are North America, Western Europe and Japan © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 15. IBM Global Business Services IBM is the only global consulting company with a team dedicated and spezialized in captive finance IBM‟s global  The IBM Automotive Banking team has automotive banking and mobility engagements discussed and worked globally with CEOs to identify and develop new mobility business models  IBM has developed an in-depth understanding in supporting clients along the automotive value chain in mature and growth markets  IBM acts as strategic relationship partner and incubator for materializing new mobility concepts in the context of its Smarter Planet Campaign Cooperations with diverse stakeholders of the globally extended automotive ecosystem allows IBM‗s Automotive Banking Team to make valuable contributions to advance sustainable road mobility. © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 16. IBM Global Business Services The IBM Automotive Banking services portfolio is well-equipped to support captive finance executives in paving the future avenue to growth Captive Finance Strategy  New business opportunities Operating Model &  Business model innovation Market Entry Process Optimization  Business transformation outsourcing  Target operating model  Strategy development & implementation  Process optimization & harmonization  Feasibility study  Shared service centers  Reference process maps for business operations and system evaluation Information Technology Automotive Banking New Intelligence  Target IT architecture Automotive  Document management  Residual value & used car management Banking  Auto finance software vendor selection New Mobility Services  Captive finance performance analysis  Application management  Data management & business analytics  New mobility concepts  Smarter transportation  Financing options for alternative vehicles © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 17. IBM Global Business Services We have entered the age of the empowered customer Customers now have Social networking and Customer This is changing unlimited access to mobile commerce expectations of the entire way information and can have dramatically service, price and products are sourced, instantly share it with changed the dynamic delivery is soaring. manufactured and the world between buyer and distributed—and seller. making business more complex than ever. 155 million 75% $93 billion Number of tweets sent Percentage of people who Amount in sales missed due via Twitter each day believe companies don’t tell to out of stock inventory the truth in advertisements © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 18. IBM Global Business Services Power has shifted to the customer — compressing margins and changing paradigms In this new era, businesses need to: Understand and Adapt sourcing and Market, sell and Service anticipate procurement based customers fulfill the right customer on customer flawlessly, product and service predict and behavior and demand and at the right price, drive customer needs based on optimize supplier time and place loyalty customer interactions across insights across extended value all channels chains © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 19. IBM Global Business Services Smarter Commerce focuses on three dimensions centered around the customer Customer Value Strategy Customer Insight In turn, you must re-think how your customers define In today‘s world of instant value, and the changes you business, you need deep must make to your value insights, in real-time that you chain so you can deliver can turn into immediate action exactly what your customers want - profitably Customer & Partner Engagement Customer You need an approach that allows you to more effectively connect, collaborate, conduct …increasing the value companies generate commerce and create a for their customers and partners in a differentiated customer rapidly changing digital world experience © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 20. IBM Global Business Services Businesses are rapidly adopting Social Media to ―be in touch‖ with their customers, but customers often engage for different reasons Percentage of Companies with a Profile or Key reasons cited for engaging in social Presence on a Type of Social Site media relationship with a business Company  Avoid being perceived as ―out of touch‖  Attract top employees  Missed sales opportunity  Competition being more successful in reaching customers Vs. Customer  Promotions, coupons, savings or some other form of benefit  Positive brand association  Lifestyle choice and simplicity Source: From Social Media to Social CRM, IBM Institute for Business Value Analysis, 2011. n=339 IBM Confidential © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 21. IBM Global Business Services IBM has developed a Smarter Commerce Multi-Channel Business Value Assessment to help clients answer the following question… ―Are your Marketing and Sales organizations effectively and efficiently delivering the right products, services and experiences to the right customers across preferred channels?‖ Customer / Account Segmentation Channel Identification of key areas of marketing and sales opportunities through the Assessment assessment of customer behaviors, products and channel preferences. Marketing Process Optimization Analysis of current marketing operational capabilities, including analytics, campaign effectiveness management and channel capabilities. Establish Sales & Channel Process Optimization Realization The Vision Evaluation of the current state of sales execution effectiveness and Roadmap efficiency through cost-to-serve model. Customer Experience Assessment Evaluation of the cross-channel user experiences using proven cross-industry practices and innovations. Evaluation of your digital presence including web, Capabilities mobile and social leveraging our assessment tool that features an extensive Framework database of online capabilities and leading practices. Evaluation © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 22. IBM Global Business Services Besides our operating business, IBM is aggressively investing in further developing intellectual property and shaping the development of future-oriented mobility services New mobility concepts Intellectual property Strategy and education “Electric taxis in „Global CEO Strategy Workshops China‟s mega-cities” for new mobility solutions“ “Advancing Mobility Study 2010” IBM E-Mobility and the impact on “Automotive Management” Captive Finance Companies Navigating the “Project Edison” next decade of European research project for the automotive Thesis set-up of intelligent e-vehicle Industry transformation infrastructure „CEO Study 2010“ “Truck 2020 IBM Study 2009” © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 23. IBM Global Business Services Agenda 1 Key Market Trends and Issues Challenging Captive Finance Executives 2 Key Findings of IBM„s 2010 Global Advance Mobility Study 3 Navigating through the Complexity of Advanced Mobility © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 24. IBM Global Business Services Together with IBM Institute for Business Value (IBV), the Automotive Banking Team launched a global study on future-oriented mobility by looking outside the traditional automotive value chain Interviews by Industry Segment 3% 7% Ind. Groups Government 27% 12% OEMs Others 7% Energy 3% Car Share 5% 17% EV Mfg Captive 10% Finance  123 executive interviews Telematics 10%  18 countries Suppliers  Others (outside of OEM) include: academia, government, service integrators, venture capitalists, mobility consultants and fleet operators Traditional Auto New Mobility Influencers © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 25. IBM Global Business Services The most important findings can be summarized as follows: Transforming how people move about is among the most complex Rethinking mobility struggles for cities, businesses and citizens. The economic, social and environmental concerns of mobility are forcing new ideas on providers. Although automotive companies will need to develop mobility solutions, Auto companies make they cannot lose sight of the need to develop technology-packed, vehicles intelligent vehicles at competitive prices. New packages need to be developed for all major customer segments Thinking outside the that establish automakers‘ stake in providing mobility solutions. vehicle Automakers have assets that can be leveraged to protect their interests. Who are partners and who are competitors? More often these will be Partners, competitors the same. The partners needed to assemble innovative solutions will and alliances also be positioning themselves to control customers and their wallet. Mobility solutions require that finance companies become the core Finance becomes the enabler to simplifying the way that consumers want to move. The new core integrating feature across partnerships will be homogenous transactions. © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 26. IBM Global Business Services Automakers will have to reinvent their business models to cater to a new market segment of consumers who are not tied to individual vehicles How many consumers would be willing to give up their personal vehicles? provided sufficient subscription mobility services exist More than 50% 14% It is expected that future customers will demanding more flexible mobility solutions Subscription mobility could provide that About 25% 50% flexibility: –Consumer may give up vehicles altogether –They could choose to have less vehicles as Very few 36% they pursue an ownership model based on their everyday needs Not an attractive business model 0% “The most important step is to enable consumers to move from ownership of vehicles to selling a subscription to them as needed” –European Auto OEM Source: Advance Mobility Global Interviews (n=42), IBV Analysis, © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 27. IBM Global Business Services People across age groups are finding it difficult to own a car and choosing to drive less for a number of reasons, with ‗Millennials‘ topping the list In today‘s economy, it In the past year, I have With access to social I want to protect the can be difficult to own consciously reduced networking sites, I environment, so I drive a car because of the how much I drive, and choose to spend time less. high cost of gas, instead took alternative online with friends parking and transportation instead of driving to maintenance meet them 18-34 years old 35% 80% 16% 45% 23% 54% 16% 45% 35-44 years old 71% 40% 46% 39% 45-54 years old 76% 31% 34% 37% 55 years or older 68% 24% 18% 42% Strongly Agree Somewhat Agree Source: Zipcar Millenials Survey (n=1025), 2010 Alternative Transportation defined as carpooling, public transportation or bicycle © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 28. IBM Global Business Services For automakers to exploit new business opportunities, they have to think outside the vehicle in order to cater consumers who are moving away from owning a car to using mobility solutions “Auto companies often view mobility through the lens of just the vehicle, not the consumer" –US Automotive OEM Vehicles Multi-modal Transportation Cashless Packaging  Insurance  Security  Tolls  Connectivity  Parking  Other in-vehicle  Electricity purchases Daily Subscription vehicles vehicles Service Integration  Solutions beyond the vehicle such as location-based services or event services  Optimization and guidance across modes  Integrated cashless process © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 29. IBM Global Business Services The alliances to enable mobility solutions must start between the OEMs and their finance companies OEM View Captive Finance View “We’ve spoken to several finance “Financial services do not drive companies, but have neglected to change but have to be ready when consider our own ” Brand Partners require them” – US Automotive OEM – European Captive Finance Many OEMs are seeking partners to pilot Captive finance companies are waiting new ideas, but have not approached their to take direction from the OEM and own finance companies don‘t feel in a position to lead “There is no clear decision-making structure in the company that brings us together” – European Captive Finance Executive …Automotive finance companies should be natural partners for enabling mobility solutions © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 30. IBM Global Business Services The changing environment will require enhancements in the existing customer interaction to leverage the benefits In our recent CEO study we asked… To what extent will the new economic environment be different? How will the future mobility consumer change the ownership model? Structurally 61% 16% different Sustained change How can access and simplicity be provided to consumers of new mobility To a large/very large extent solutions despite increasing complexity in To some extent enabling mobility? What kind of financing models are required to meet the challenge of bundling "In the next 10 years we will have mobility solutions into attractive consumer services and enabling its deployment across more change than in the 50 years partners? before" –European Automotive OEM, 2008 How and to which degree will today‘s vehicle IBM Automotive 2020 Study market structure change in face of increasing acceptance of new mobility solutions? Source:2010 Global CEO Study/ Automotive, 2010., Advance Mobility Global Interviews (n=55), IBV Analysis © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 31. IBM Global Business Services a Advancing mobility demands new ways of operating and calls for IBM‘s Smarter Planet Solutions Instrumented Interconnected Intelligent Monitoring and maintaining the Applying sophisticated Transforming raw data integrity of the automotive supply devices to connect consumers into critical insight for quickly chain while creating vehicles that and vehicles to a broader and accurately responding to can measure their own health transportation system that changes and achieve better and sense their surroundings. encompasses roadways, energy results through prediction sources, governments and more. and optimization Car sharing Car on demand eMobility Fleet Management Intermodal travel IBM Advanced Mobility Services is an integral part of IBM‟s Smarter Planet Strategy © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 32. IBM Global Business Services Watson represents out latest groundbreaking innovation in IBM‘s Business Analytics and Optimization solutions Watson is a computing system that rivals a human‘s ability to answer questions posed in natural language, interpreting meaning and context and retrieving, analyzing and understanding vast amounts of information in real-time Watson represents a culmination of IBM‘s century-long dedication to research and innovation. This same investment in research is driving the creation of new Business Analytics and Optimization capabilities, allowing the innovations from Watson to be applied to solve business and societal problems – for example, diagnosing disease, handling online technical support questions, and parsing vast tracts of legal documents - and to drive progress across many industries. © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 33. IBM Global Business Services Agenda 1 Key Market Trends and Issues Challenging Captive Finance Executives 2 Key Findings of IBM‗s 2010 Global Advance Mobility Study 3 Navigating through the Complexity of Advanced Mobility © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 34. IBM Global Business Services As an enabler, IBM is capable of turning the vision of smarter mobility concepts into reality by means of business analytics and optimization OEMs & Insurance Service Fleet Utilities Government Stakeholder Suppliers Provider Operator Mobility-as-a Service Car Sharing Car on Pay as you Intermodal Concierge Demand Use travel Services IBM Advanced Mobility Service Hub Usage based Remote Car Sharing Value EV Services Services Insurance Diagnostics System Integration Added Fleet Mgmt Vehicle Modality Location based Infrastructure Services Services Tracking Services services Road Side User Devices Devices Vehicle 3rd Party Data Master Data Data Analytics Management Core Data Collection Integration Services B2B Service Device Security & Management Management Privacy Mgmt EV Charging Backend Stations Systems „Always On― Vehicle Connectivity Connected Vehicle Marketplace P © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 35. IBM Global Business Services A 360° view of consumers has increasingly become a precondition in successfully targeting today‘s interconnected consumers Consumers are globally connected Customer data management becomes essential in achieving: 360° customer view OEM„s app © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 36. IBM Global Business Services Today‘s sophisticated consumers demand new mobility solutions which replace or extend the use of their personal vehicle Mobilität Mobility Multi-modal Transport Parking Travel Service Location-based Subscription fleet Services Event Service © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 37. IBM Global Business Services Blind spots need to be removed for delivering new value and improved lifestyle experience meeting consumers‘ ever-evolving mobility needs and wants Predict Analyze all forms Recommend the of data to provide most appropriate insight and action to take predict the future Leverage the power of Business Capture Analytics and Act information by Optimization applying business Customers Surveys  Attract ―best‖ customers analytics and Sales Data Transactions  Target customers: optimization to customer Suppliers cross-sell, up-sell, retention Web Logs  New product releases, data management 360 ° product adoption  Grow customer value  Retain profitable customers People & Business & Enterprise Data Sources Store new data on Decision Optimization & customers, sales, etc. Automation for continuous improvement © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 38. IBM Global Business Services We have only just begun to uncover what is possible on a smarter planet The main question remains to be answered: Who will be the first to drive and thrive on the new avenue for growth in a smarter mobility industry © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 39. Thank you for your attention © 2011 IBM Corporation
  • 40. Q&A
  • 41. Thank You This webinar will be available on-demand in a few days at www.autonews.com/webinars All registrants will receive an e-mail notification when it is available