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SILICON VALLEY
SUCCESS
A.ARPUTHA SELVARAJ APMP IIM CALCUTTA
What is Silicon
Valley? 1,500 square miles
 35 Cities, 4 counties
 2.4 million people, 40
percent foreign born
 1.2 million workers
 81 percent high school
diploma; 40 percent
college degree
 25 percent of workforce in
high-skill occupations
 Income average 60
percent higher than US
 5 percent US GNP, 10
percent of US patents
 Productivity rate 50%
higher than US average
MOST IMPORTANT
CHARACTERISTIC: Region
Continually Re-Invents Itself
MILESTONE SILICON VALLEY INNOVATIONS
 Vacuum tube (Varian)
 Transistor and Integrated Circuit (Fairchild)
 Microprocessor (Intel)
 Microcomputer (Apple)
 Graphical User Interface (Xerox PARC)
 Relational Databases (IBM Almaden)
 Internet Search (Google)
However, the Valley’s edge
does not stem from
innovation alone ...
… but also from
entrepreneurship
Silicon Valley has a remarkable capacity to create
and grow new companies
New Companies New Technologies
(Entrepreneurship) (Innovation)
Endogenous Growth
New Wealth Creation
+

Valley spawns the leading
companies in every technology
generation
1950s Defense Electronics
Hewlett-Packard, Varian
1960s/
1970s
Semiconductors
National Semiconductor, Fairchild. Intel,
AMD
1980s Personal Computers, Workstations
Apple, Silicon Graphics, Sun
1990s Network Computing, packet switching
Cisco Systems, Sun
Internet
Netscape, Yahoo, eBay, Google,
2000s? New technologies, new companies, new
business models
LARGEST SILICON VALLEY FIRMS
1982
1. Hewlett-Packard
2. National Semiconductor
3. Intel
4. Memorex
5. Varian
6. Environtech*
7. Ampex
8. Raychem*
9. Amdahl*
10. Tymshare*
*no longer existed in 2002
2002
1. Hewlett-Packard
2. Intel
3. Cisco*
4. Sun*
5. Solectron
6. Oracle
7. Agilent*
8. Applied Materials
9. Apple
10. Seagate Technology
11. Also: Maxtor*, Palm*,
Google*,Cadence*, Adobe*,
Yahoo*
*didn’t exist in 1982
LARGEST DETROIT FIRMS
1982
1. Ford
2. General Motors
3. Chrysler
2002
1. Ford
2. General Motors
3. Daimler-Chrysler
Technology Regions Will Always
be Driven by Waves of Innovation
• New technologies drive dynamic wavesNew technologies drive dynamic waves
• Entrepreneurs take advantage of new opportunitiesEntrepreneurs take advantage of new opportunities
• Swarms of new firms cluster around new technologies creatingSwarms of new firms cluster around new technologies creating
short term bubblesshort term bubbles
• New products eventually become commodities and investmentNew products eventually become commodities and investment
leads to breaking of bubbles.leads to breaking of bubbles.
• New technologies emergeNew technologies emerge
from the convergence of oldfrom the convergence of old
technologies and the processtechnologies and the process
of “creative destruction”of “creative destruction”
begins againbegins again
“SILICON VALLEY LOSING IT’S
EDGE.” Cover Story, Business
Week.
“DREAMS OF STRIKING IT RICH
FADING IN SILICON VALLEY.”
Front page, Los Angeles Times
“THIS IS THE END OF SILICON
VALLEY AS WE KNOW IT.” Larry
Ellison, CEO of Oracle.
“SILICON VALLEY LOSING IT’S EDGE.”
Cover Story, Business Week, 1985.
“DREAMS OF STRIKING IT RICH FADING
IN SILICON VALLEY.”
Los Angeles Times, 1991.
“THIS IS THE END OF SILICON VALLEY
AS WE KNOW IT.”
Larry Ellison, 2003.
So what’s the secret?
A HABITAT for Innovation
1. Results oriented meritocracy
2. Climate that rewards risk and tolerates failure
3. Strong markets (capital, labor)
4. Mobile, fluid workforce
5. Favorable government policies
6. Open business environment
7. Universities and national research institutions that collaborate with
industry
8. Specialized infrastructure: venture funding, lawyers, accountancies,
executive search
9. Quality of life
10. Cluster effect
So what’s
happening right
now in Silicon
Valley?
RIGHT NOW?
It’s not the go-go 90s anymore
 Thank goodness!
 Region added 350,000 jobs. Sustainable?
 Since 2001, we have lost 220,000 jobs.
 Net gain of 130,000
Now, with retrospect, we understand the meaning
 Internet search was another wave (Google, Yahoo)
 Internet is a viable tool for commerce (eBay, Amazon)
 Consolidation, boom-bust cycle is taking its predicted
course
Rip Van Winkle
Theory
If Rip Van Winkle fell asleep in
1998 …
… and woke up again in 2006 …
… He would actually be impressed!
Even
through the
downturn,
most key
indicators
continued
to rise
Value-Added
per
employee
grows at
twice the
national rate
Region’s
share of
Venture
Funding
Continues
to Grow
Average
Pay Still
Rising
Income
Distribution
Narrowing
High School
Performance
Housing
Density
Increases
But
disparities
persist by
race
Housing
still out of
reach for
too many
But Rip Van Winkle would
also be confused by
something:
Valley productivity is
not translating into
burgeoning job
growth.
In the future prodigious job growth
in Silicon Valley is unlikely.
We can most likely expect steady,
incremental growth.
The major opportunities will be in a
few key clusters, and the
industries that support those
clusters.
Those jobs will be hard to get, and
require significant training.
Why? What’s Happening?
1. Intense competition. Rise of
competitor regions
 Companies doing more with less. They
have to.
 Bay area workers doing it with
productivity gains.
Why? What’s Happening?
2. Offshoring and outsourcing.
Old story, except now higher-
end functions going off shore
– Design
– R&D
Why? What’s Happening?
3. Technologies we invented
eliminated whole classes of
jobs
Administrative class
Archivists, others
Why? What’s Happening?
4. Many of the emerging
clusters (web 2.0) aren’t
big job generators to begin
with.
Why? What’s Happening?
5. Nature of capitalism itself is
changing
Vertical integration a thing of the past
Companies down-sizing
Focus on key competencies
Groaning under weight of overhead
Health care, benefits
Reducing FTEs, using contractors
To survive
and thrive,
Silicon
Valley has to
be innovative,
productive,
and
To survive and
thrive, Silicon
Valley workers
must be
innovative,
productive,
willing to re-
invent
themselves, and
SILICON VALLEY WORKER OF THE
FUTURE?
 Will work in numerous places over course of
career
 Will have to re-train and re-tool
 Will have to distinguish self with a unique
competency
 Will shoulder a heavier burden for coverage
and benefits
 Will need high-end skills: language, writing,
communication, technical expertise
Jobs Leaving Silicon Valley
AREAS WHERE
SILICON VALLEY IS
NOT PRICE-
COMPETITIVE
OCCUPATIONS LEAVING THE VALLEY
Mass Production High tech manufacturing and assembly (except
high-end)
Back-office
Operations
Office support (e.g., data entry clerks, etc.)
Business and financial support (e.g.,
processing staff)
IT support specialists
IT administrators
Legal assistants
Statistical analysts
Product And
Process
Enhancement
Entry-level computer and software engineers
Quality assurance and test engineers
Product and process engineers
Silicon Valley Job Strengths
Bay Area
Competitive
Strengths
Sample Occupations Aligned with Regional
Capabilities
New Business
Creation and
Entrepreneurship
Venture capitalists, lawyers and other occupations in the
entrepreneurial infrastructure
Research In
Advanced
Technologies
and
Cross-disciplinary
Research
IT, biotech and nanotech R&D professionals
Select computer and software engineers for research and
advanced development (e.g., architects, systems level software
engineers, software engineers with domain expertise)
Select engineering including electrical, mechanical and
electronics
Concept And
Market
Development
Strategic managers in sales and marketing
Product marketing managers
Global Integrated
Management
Managers of global teams and assets (headquarters, product
development, IT, HR, etc.)
WAGE GROWTH IN KEY SECTORS, 2002-
2005
So what’s next
for Silicon
Valley?
The Next Big Wave?
1. We’re not finished with
information technology yet
Telecommunications, hand-
held devices, entertainment
Ubiquitous internet, WIFI,
WIMAX
Web 2.0
The Next Big Wave?
2. Alternative Energy, Clean
Technology, Green
Buildings
–VC activity starting a mini
boom
The Next Big Wave?
3. CONVERGENCE
Nanotechnology,
Biotechnology, and
Information Technology
Examples of Convergence
Our Organization
Joint Venture: Silicon Valley Network
Business
Community-Based
Organizations
Labor
Government
Higher
Education
The Joint Venture Program
 Tax and Fiscal Reform
 Technology Convergence Consortium
 Health Care
 Electronic Medical Records
 Wireless Infrastructure Initiative
 Transportation and Housing
 Unified Building Code
 Cell phone coverage
 Disaster Preparedness
For more information …
www.siliconvalleyonline.org
Thanks
Email me : arputhaselvaraj@gmail.com
Silicon Valley 2015

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Silicon Valley 2015

  • 2. What is Silicon Valley? 1,500 square miles  35 Cities, 4 counties  2.4 million people, 40 percent foreign born  1.2 million workers  81 percent high school diploma; 40 percent college degree  25 percent of workforce in high-skill occupations  Income average 60 percent higher than US  5 percent US GNP, 10 percent of US patents  Productivity rate 50% higher than US average
  • 4. MILESTONE SILICON VALLEY INNOVATIONS  Vacuum tube (Varian)  Transistor and Integrated Circuit (Fairchild)  Microprocessor (Intel)  Microcomputer (Apple)  Graphical User Interface (Xerox PARC)  Relational Databases (IBM Almaden)  Internet Search (Google) However, the Valley’s edge does not stem from innovation alone ...
  • 5. … but also from entrepreneurship Silicon Valley has a remarkable capacity to create and grow new companies New Companies New Technologies (Entrepreneurship) (Innovation) Endogenous Growth New Wealth Creation + 
  • 6. Valley spawns the leading companies in every technology generation 1950s Defense Electronics Hewlett-Packard, Varian 1960s/ 1970s Semiconductors National Semiconductor, Fairchild. Intel, AMD 1980s Personal Computers, Workstations Apple, Silicon Graphics, Sun 1990s Network Computing, packet switching Cisco Systems, Sun Internet Netscape, Yahoo, eBay, Google, 2000s? New technologies, new companies, new business models
  • 7. LARGEST SILICON VALLEY FIRMS 1982 1. Hewlett-Packard 2. National Semiconductor 3. Intel 4. Memorex 5. Varian 6. Environtech* 7. Ampex 8. Raychem* 9. Amdahl* 10. Tymshare* *no longer existed in 2002 2002 1. Hewlett-Packard 2. Intel 3. Cisco* 4. Sun* 5. Solectron 6. Oracle 7. Agilent* 8. Applied Materials 9. Apple 10. Seagate Technology 11. Also: Maxtor*, Palm*, Google*,Cadence*, Adobe*, Yahoo* *didn’t exist in 1982
  • 8. LARGEST DETROIT FIRMS 1982 1. Ford 2. General Motors 3. Chrysler 2002 1. Ford 2. General Motors 3. Daimler-Chrysler
  • 9. Technology Regions Will Always be Driven by Waves of Innovation • New technologies drive dynamic wavesNew technologies drive dynamic waves • Entrepreneurs take advantage of new opportunitiesEntrepreneurs take advantage of new opportunities • Swarms of new firms cluster around new technologies creatingSwarms of new firms cluster around new technologies creating short term bubblesshort term bubbles • New products eventually become commodities and investmentNew products eventually become commodities and investment leads to breaking of bubbles.leads to breaking of bubbles. • New technologies emergeNew technologies emerge from the convergence of oldfrom the convergence of old technologies and the processtechnologies and the process of “creative destruction”of “creative destruction” begins againbegins again
  • 10. “SILICON VALLEY LOSING IT’S EDGE.” Cover Story, Business Week. “DREAMS OF STRIKING IT RICH FADING IN SILICON VALLEY.” Front page, Los Angeles Times “THIS IS THE END OF SILICON VALLEY AS WE KNOW IT.” Larry Ellison, CEO of Oracle.
  • 11. “SILICON VALLEY LOSING IT’S EDGE.” Cover Story, Business Week, 1985. “DREAMS OF STRIKING IT RICH FADING IN SILICON VALLEY.” Los Angeles Times, 1991. “THIS IS THE END OF SILICON VALLEY AS WE KNOW IT.” Larry Ellison, 2003.
  • 12. So what’s the secret? A HABITAT for Innovation 1. Results oriented meritocracy 2. Climate that rewards risk and tolerates failure 3. Strong markets (capital, labor) 4. Mobile, fluid workforce 5. Favorable government policies 6. Open business environment 7. Universities and national research institutions that collaborate with industry 8. Specialized infrastructure: venture funding, lawyers, accountancies, executive search 9. Quality of life 10. Cluster effect
  • 13. So what’s happening right now in Silicon Valley?
  • 14. RIGHT NOW? It’s not the go-go 90s anymore  Thank goodness!  Region added 350,000 jobs. Sustainable?  Since 2001, we have lost 220,000 jobs.  Net gain of 130,000 Now, with retrospect, we understand the meaning  Internet search was another wave (Google, Yahoo)  Internet is a viable tool for commerce (eBay, Amazon)  Consolidation, boom-bust cycle is taking its predicted course
  • 15. Rip Van Winkle Theory If Rip Van Winkle fell asleep in 1998 … … and woke up again in 2006 …
  • 16. … He would actually be impressed!
  • 26. But Rip Van Winkle would also be confused by something: Valley productivity is not translating into burgeoning job growth.
  • 27. In the future prodigious job growth in Silicon Valley is unlikely. We can most likely expect steady, incremental growth. The major opportunities will be in a few key clusters, and the industries that support those clusters. Those jobs will be hard to get, and require significant training.
  • 28. Why? What’s Happening? 1. Intense competition. Rise of competitor regions  Companies doing more with less. They have to.  Bay area workers doing it with productivity gains.
  • 29. Why? What’s Happening? 2. Offshoring and outsourcing. Old story, except now higher- end functions going off shore – Design – R&D
  • 30. Why? What’s Happening? 3. Technologies we invented eliminated whole classes of jobs Administrative class Archivists, others
  • 31. Why? What’s Happening? 4. Many of the emerging clusters (web 2.0) aren’t big job generators to begin with.
  • 32. Why? What’s Happening? 5. Nature of capitalism itself is changing Vertical integration a thing of the past Companies down-sizing Focus on key competencies Groaning under weight of overhead Health care, benefits Reducing FTEs, using contractors
  • 33. To survive and thrive, Silicon Valley has to be innovative, productive, and
  • 34. To survive and thrive, Silicon Valley workers must be innovative, productive, willing to re- invent themselves, and
  • 35. SILICON VALLEY WORKER OF THE FUTURE?  Will work in numerous places over course of career  Will have to re-train and re-tool  Will have to distinguish self with a unique competency  Will shoulder a heavier burden for coverage and benefits  Will need high-end skills: language, writing, communication, technical expertise
  • 36. Jobs Leaving Silicon Valley AREAS WHERE SILICON VALLEY IS NOT PRICE- COMPETITIVE OCCUPATIONS LEAVING THE VALLEY Mass Production High tech manufacturing and assembly (except high-end) Back-office Operations Office support (e.g., data entry clerks, etc.) Business and financial support (e.g., processing staff) IT support specialists IT administrators Legal assistants Statistical analysts Product And Process Enhancement Entry-level computer and software engineers Quality assurance and test engineers Product and process engineers
  • 37. Silicon Valley Job Strengths Bay Area Competitive Strengths Sample Occupations Aligned with Regional Capabilities New Business Creation and Entrepreneurship Venture capitalists, lawyers and other occupations in the entrepreneurial infrastructure Research In Advanced Technologies and Cross-disciplinary Research IT, biotech and nanotech R&D professionals Select computer and software engineers for research and advanced development (e.g., architects, systems level software engineers, software engineers with domain expertise) Select engineering including electrical, mechanical and electronics Concept And Market Development Strategic managers in sales and marketing Product marketing managers Global Integrated Management Managers of global teams and assets (headquarters, product development, IT, HR, etc.)
  • 38. WAGE GROWTH IN KEY SECTORS, 2002- 2005
  • 39.
  • 40. So what’s next for Silicon Valley?
  • 41. The Next Big Wave? 1. We’re not finished with information technology yet Telecommunications, hand- held devices, entertainment Ubiquitous internet, WIFI, WIMAX Web 2.0
  • 42. The Next Big Wave? 2. Alternative Energy, Clean Technology, Green Buildings –VC activity starting a mini boom
  • 43. The Next Big Wave? 3. CONVERGENCE Nanotechnology, Biotechnology, and Information Technology
  • 45. Our Organization Joint Venture: Silicon Valley Network Business Community-Based Organizations Labor Government Higher Education
  • 46. The Joint Venture Program  Tax and Fiscal Reform  Technology Convergence Consortium  Health Care  Electronic Medical Records  Wireless Infrastructure Initiative  Transportation and Housing  Unified Building Code  Cell phone coverage  Disaster Preparedness
  • 47. For more information … www.siliconvalleyonline.org
  • 48. Thanks Email me : arputhaselvaraj@gmail.com