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The Future of Manufacturing
Joe Barkai
ACE 2013
April 30, 2013
Out of the Recession (?)
Sources: Markit Group Holdings Ltd., 2013
ISM, 2013
Joe Barkai2
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
PMI
Jan 2000 - Mar 2013
Out of the Recession (?)
Sources: Markit Group Holdings Ltd., 2013
ISM, 2013
Joe Barkai3
 Optimism?
 Uncertainty!
Joe Barkai4
Rethinking Priorities
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Manufacturing footprint and sourcingstrategies
Manufacturing process innovation
New product innovation
New/enhanced customer services
Supply chain collaboration and transparency
Transactions/joint venture to acquire access to new
markets, technology or talent
Next1-2 years
Past 1-2 years
Which of the following elements of your operations will contribute significantly to
overall profitability?
Source: Economist Intelligence Survey, 2012Joe Barkai5
Let’s Innovate
 Innovation is expensive
 Innovation is risky
 Innovation takes time to make a difference
 Innovation may not solve the problem anyway
Waste
Differentiation
Neutralization
Productivity
Source: Geoffrey Moore, Dealing with Darwin
Joe Barkai6
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
Jul-01
Oct-01
Jan-02
Apr-02
Jul-02
Oct-02
Jan-03
Apr-03
Jul-03
Oct-03
Jan-04
Apr-04
Jul-04
Oct-04
Jan-05
Apr-05
Jul-05
Oct-05
Jan-06
Apr-06
Jul-06
Oct-06
Jan-07
Apr-07
Jul-07
Oct-07
The Tipping Point
Source: Adapted from Sketching User Experience
(Buxton, 2007), TechDigest.tv, Yahoo! Finance
Joe Barkai7
 “From image to implant”
 “Zero spare part inventories”
 “Minimal” supply chains
Manufacturing Renaissance?
Joe Barkai8
The Wonderful World of 3D
Printing
The Wonderful World of 3D
Printing
 Quality
 Reliability
 Safety
 Regulations
 IP protection
 Traceability
The Path to Industrialization
Joe Barkai20
 Global markets
 “Design anywhere / build anywhere / sell & support
anywhere”
 Global supply chains
Global Manufacturing Imperatives
Joe Barkai21
Not Much Has Changed In A 100 Years
Leverage Economies of Scale
Automation
Craftsmanship
Mass
Production
Lean, TPS
Flexible
Manufacturing
Joe Barkai22
 Harmonize different manufacturing plants: products,
processes, resources
 Design for capabilities
The Global Virtual Plant Floor
Demand
Forecasting
Design for
Capabilities
Plan for
Capacity
Joe Barkai23
Modularity and Platforms
Joe Barkai24
Collaborating on Innovation
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Competitors (e.g. to reduce costs, benefit from…
Academic institutions
Government/Public-sector organizations
Technology providers (e.g. IT or plant specialist)
Productcompanies (e.g. to provide a combined …
Supplier (e.g. to cooperate on product design)
Key Customers(e.g. for bespoke productdevelopment)
Much greater/ greater collaboration Same level of
collaboration
Much less/less
collaboration
No collaboration
Source: Economist Intelligence Survey, 2012
Do you intend to collaborate in innovation more or less with the following external
groups over the next 12 to 24 months?
Joe Barkai25
 The „ME‟ economy
 From products to performance
 Dynamic innovation-networks
Evolution of New Business Models
Joe Barkai26
Joe Barkai27
 The „ME‟ economy
 From products to performance
 Dynamic innovation-networks
Evolution of New Business Models
Design DeliverMakeInnovate
Customer as
Designer
Mfg. Supplier
Design
Suppliers
Manufacturer
Local Plant
3rd Party
Service
Provider
Sales
(Products &
Service
Customer
Customer as
Manufacturer
Supplier
collaboration
Predictive Maintenance
Everything and Everyone is Connected
Service
Customer Intimacy
Joe Barkai28
The Digital Thread
 Enterprise PLM/PDM strategy
 Foundation for data quality and analytics
 Multidisciplinary optimization
 Leverage emerging IT models
 Cloud
 Mobility
 Social business
 Big data and analytics
Joe Barkai29
• Multiple datastores
• Fragmented processes
• “Localized” / domain specific
analytics
Connect, Analyz
e, Predict and
Act
• Outsourcing design
• Collaborative design
Increase Value
Reduce Waste
• Limited visualization
• Cloud
• Mobile-enabled
Reduce
Complexity
(&Complication)
Strategy for Success
• Single virtual data model
• End-to-end multidisciplinary visibility
• Predictive analysis
• Context sensitive, smart action
• Design for performance
• Customer centric
• Modular & reusable design &
processes
• “Glocal” manufacturing
• User /context aware decision making
• Context sensitive, smarter action
• Visual decision making
• Social-embedded
FROM TO
Joe Barkai30
Stay In Touch
(and request presentation slides)
@JoeBarkai
jbarkai@comcast.com

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The Future of Manufacturing and the Path to Innovation

  • 1. The Future of Manufacturing Joe Barkai ACE 2013 April 30, 2013
  • 2. Out of the Recession (?) Sources: Markit Group Holdings Ltd., 2013 ISM, 2013 Joe Barkai2 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 PMI Jan 2000 - Mar 2013
  • 3. Out of the Recession (?) Sources: Markit Group Holdings Ltd., 2013 ISM, 2013 Joe Barkai3
  • 5. Rethinking Priorities 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Manufacturing footprint and sourcingstrategies Manufacturing process innovation New product innovation New/enhanced customer services Supply chain collaboration and transparency Transactions/joint venture to acquire access to new markets, technology or talent Next1-2 years Past 1-2 years Which of the following elements of your operations will contribute significantly to overall profitability? Source: Economist Intelligence Survey, 2012Joe Barkai5
  • 6. Let’s Innovate  Innovation is expensive  Innovation is risky  Innovation takes time to make a difference  Innovation may not solve the problem anyway Waste Differentiation Neutralization Productivity Source: Geoffrey Moore, Dealing with Darwin Joe Barkai6
  • 8.  “From image to implant”  “Zero spare part inventories”  “Minimal” supply chains Manufacturing Renaissance? Joe Barkai8
  • 9. The Wonderful World of 3D Printing
  • 10.
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  • 16. The Wonderful World of 3D Printing
  • 17.
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  • 20.  Quality  Reliability  Safety  Regulations  IP protection  Traceability The Path to Industrialization Joe Barkai20
  • 21.  Global markets  “Design anywhere / build anywhere / sell & support anywhere”  Global supply chains Global Manufacturing Imperatives Joe Barkai21
  • 22. Not Much Has Changed In A 100 Years Leverage Economies of Scale Automation Craftsmanship Mass Production Lean, TPS Flexible Manufacturing Joe Barkai22
  • 23.  Harmonize different manufacturing plants: products, processes, resources  Design for capabilities The Global Virtual Plant Floor Demand Forecasting Design for Capabilities Plan for Capacity Joe Barkai23
  • 25. Collaborating on Innovation 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Competitors (e.g. to reduce costs, benefit from… Academic institutions Government/Public-sector organizations Technology providers (e.g. IT or plant specialist) Productcompanies (e.g. to provide a combined … Supplier (e.g. to cooperate on product design) Key Customers(e.g. for bespoke productdevelopment) Much greater/ greater collaboration Same level of collaboration Much less/less collaboration No collaboration Source: Economist Intelligence Survey, 2012 Do you intend to collaborate in innovation more or less with the following external groups over the next 12 to 24 months? Joe Barkai25
  • 26.  The „ME‟ economy  From products to performance  Dynamic innovation-networks Evolution of New Business Models Joe Barkai26
  • 27. Joe Barkai27  The „ME‟ economy  From products to performance  Dynamic innovation-networks Evolution of New Business Models
  • 28. Design DeliverMakeInnovate Customer as Designer Mfg. Supplier Design Suppliers Manufacturer Local Plant 3rd Party Service Provider Sales (Products & Service Customer Customer as Manufacturer Supplier collaboration Predictive Maintenance Everything and Everyone is Connected Service Customer Intimacy Joe Barkai28
  • 29. The Digital Thread  Enterprise PLM/PDM strategy  Foundation for data quality and analytics  Multidisciplinary optimization  Leverage emerging IT models  Cloud  Mobility  Social business  Big data and analytics Joe Barkai29
  • 30. • Multiple datastores • Fragmented processes • “Localized” / domain specific analytics Connect, Analyz e, Predict and Act • Outsourcing design • Collaborative design Increase Value Reduce Waste • Limited visualization • Cloud • Mobile-enabled Reduce Complexity (&Complication) Strategy for Success • Single virtual data model • End-to-end multidisciplinary visibility • Predictive analysis • Context sensitive, smart action • Design for performance • Customer centric • Modular & reusable design & processes • “Glocal” manufacturing • User /context aware decision making • Context sensitive, smarter action • Visual decision making • Social-embedded FROM TO Joe Barkai30
  • 31. Stay In Touch (and request presentation slides) @JoeBarkai jbarkai@comcast.com

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. Goal: Profitable growth
  2. Priorities to achieve profitable growth: (not much changes past 2 years – uncertainty!)mfg/sourcingInnovationServiceSupply chain
  3. “next wave of innovation”
  4. New materials and new processes, such as additive manufacturing, offer new opportunities in products differentiation and supply chain/postponement improvements. However, industry needs to make progress in “industrializing” some (e.g. 3D printing) and bringing R&D and experimentation, especially in new materials under a structured PLM environment
  5. Traceability = serialization
  6. Service process, service information