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Optimal Integration of New Treatments for
Castration-Resistant Prostate Cancer

Dr. Sankar Srinivasan, AB, FACP
Consultant Oncologist, Apollo Hospitals
Visiting Consultant, Ironwood Cancer and Research
Center, Phoenix, AZ, USA
Std Hormonal treatments
 Orchiectomy or Zoladex or Lupron
 Bicalutamide added for combined hormonal blockade
Case-1
        57-yr-old man – T3a PCa, Gleason 4+4 = 8,
         PSA = 8.2 ng/mL
        Undergoes radical prostatectomy
        Develops PSA recurrence none in prostatic bed
        Started on leuprolide + bicalutamide, and responds for 18 months
        Then develops rising PSA, despite bicalutamide withdrawal
        PSAs: 4.2 → 5.6 → 7.2 ng/mL
        Testosterone: 28 ng/dL
        Bone scan and CT scan: Negative for metastatic disease




•PSADT = prostate-specific antigen doubling time; CT = computed tomography.
•NCCN, 2011.
 Does this patient meet criteria for CRPC?
 How would you manage this patient?
•HRPC Definition
Practical definition: a consecutive series of increasing
    PSA levels after a nadir is reached with HT. Must
    have had a trial of anti-androgen withdrawal and
    must have castrate levels of testosterone


•   Men with HRPC are not treated to cure their
    disease but simply to improve their quality of life.
•   The lack of effective treatments for HRPC leads
    patients to turn to unproven therapies.
Overview
   Modern approaches to targeting          Autologous cellular
    androgens                                immunotherapy: understanding
                                             a new paradigm
     – COU-AA-301 phase III study:
       abiraterone                           – IMPACT phase III study:
                                               sipuleucel-T
     – Other androgen-targeted agents:
       MDV3100                               – TBC-PRO-002 phase II study:
                                               ProstVac-VF
   The evolving role of
    chemotherapy
     – TAX 327 study: weekly vs 3-
       weekly docetaxel vs
       mitoxantrone

     – TROPIC phase III study: second-
       line cabazitaxel
Modern Approaches to
 Targeting Androgens
Androgen Receptor Addiction Is a Hard Habit to
 Break
  Hormonal treatments continue to have antitumor activity
  High levels of intratumoral androgens despite castration
      – Preclinical and clinical evidence of intracrine synthesis

  Castration resistance associated with
      – AR amplification (increased gene dose)

      – AR mutations that increase AR (transcriptional) activity

      – ↑ AR (< 2x) expression (ligand driven) in isogenic resistant lines

  Identification of oncogenic translocations/fusions driven by
   androgens + estrogen-response elements (ETS genes;
   TMPRSS2/ERG in 50% to 70% of prostate cancer)

Attard G, et al. Cancer Cell. 2009;16:458-462.
Abiraterone Acetate: Androgen Biosynthesis
 Inhibitor
  Androgens produced at 3 critical sites lead to tumor
   proliferation
       – Testes
       – Adrenal gland
       – Prostate tumor cells
  Abiraterone inhibits biosynthesis of androgens that
   stimulate tumor cell growth
  PSA and radiographic responses in phase I/II studies
       – Chemotherapy-naive and postchemotherapy patients[1-5]
1. Attard G, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2008;26:4563-4571. 2. Attard G, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2009;27:3742-3748.
3. Reid AH, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2010;28:1489-1495. 4. Ryan C, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2010;28:1481-1488.
5. Danila D, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2010;28:1496-1501.
COU-AA-301: Phase III Study of Abiraterone
Acetate in mCRPC

                       Randomized 2:1

                                                  Abiraterone acetate 1000 mg/day +
  Patients with mCRPC                                    Prednisone 5 mg BID
  progressing after 1-2                                        (n = 797)
     chemotherapy
                                                 Stratified by ECOG PS, worst pain
       regimens,
                                                   over previous 24 hrs, previous
  1 of which contained
                                                 chemotherapy, type of progression
        docetaxel
                                                             Placebo +
        (N = 1195)
                                                        Prednisone 5 mg BID
                                                              (n = 398)



de Bono J, et al. N Engl J Med. 2011;364:1995-2005.
COU-AA-301: Abiraterone Acetate Improves
 OS in mCRPC
                           100
                                                                 HR: 0.646 (95% CI: 0.54-0.77;
                                                                 P < .0001)
                            80
                                                                                Abiraterone acetate
                                                                                Median OS: 14.8 mos
            Survival (%)




                            60                                                  (95% CI: 14.1-15.4)


                            40
                                           Placebo
                                           Median OS: 10.9 mos
                            20             (95% CI: 10.2-12.0)
                                     Median OS with 2 prior chemo:       Median OS with 1 prior chemo
                                     14.0 mos AA vs 10.3 mos placebo     15.4 mos AA vs 11.5 mos placebo
                            0
                                 0        3        6       9     12        15       18      21
                                                              Months
      AA                     797         736      657     520   282        68        2       0
de Bono J, et al. N Engl J Med. 355
      Placebo         398       2011;364:1995-2005.
                                         306      210       105      30              3       0
Copyright © 2011 Massachusetts Medical Society. All rights reserved.
COU-AA-301: All Secondary Endpoints
 Achieved Statistical Significance
 Endpoint Characteristic        Abiraterone       Placebo             HR        P Value
                                 (n = 797)        (n = 398)        (95% CI)
 Time to PSA                        10.2             6.6              0.58      < .0001
 progression, mos                                                 (0.46-0.73)
 rPFS, mos                           5.6              3.6             0.67      < .0001
                                                                  (0.59-0.78)
 PSA response rate, %
  Total                            38.0             10.1                       < .0001
  Confirmed                        29.1              5.5                       < .0001




de Bono J, et al. N Engl J Med. 2011;364:1995-2005.
Copyright © 2011 Massachusetts Medical Society. All rights reserved.
COU-AA-301: Adverse Events of Special
Interest
                                      Abiraterone                    Placebo
Adverse Event, %                       (n = 791)                     (n = 394)
                            All Grades        Grades 3/4    All Grades     Grades 3/4
Fluid retention                30.5                   2.3     22.3               1.0
Hypokalemia                    17.1                   3.8      8.4               0.8
LFT abnormalities              10.4                   3.5      8.1               3.0
Hypertension                    9.7                   1.3      7.9               0.3
Cardiac disorders              13.3                   4.1     10.4               2.3




de Bono J, et al. N Engl J Med. 2011;364:1995-2005.
MDV3100: Phase I/II Study in Advanced
  Prostate Cancer[1]
     MDV3100: novel, oral AR
      antagonist
        – Blocks testosterone binding to AR,        Testosterone synthesis
          impedes movement of AR to          Tumor death
          nucleus, inhibits DNA binding                  Testosterone
                                                                                   T                T
        – Slows tumor growth and                                                                   X MDV3100
          causes cell death in cancers                                      DNA binding and        AR 1 AR binding
          resistant to bicalutamide                                       3 activation blocked
                                                                                                        blocked
                                                                          X                X       2 Nuclear
     Phase I/II trial conducted to                                         Cell nucleus             translocation
      determine safety, PK, and                                         No prednisone                impaired
      antitumor activity of MDV3100[2]                                     required
                                                                 – Cohorts treated with
        – N = 140 patients with progressive                        sequentially escalating doses
          CRPC, pre- or postchemotherapy                           of MDV3100 (30-600 mg/day)

1. Higano CS, et al. ASCO GU 2011. Abstract 134. 2. Scher HI, et al. Lancet. 2010;375:1437-1446.
Long-term Follow-up of MDV3100: Antitumor
 Activity
  MDV3100 antitumor activity durable both before and
   after chemotherapy
 Outcome                                                    Chemotherapy       Post
                                                               Naïve       Chemotherapy
                                                              (n = 65)       (n = 75)
 ≥ 50% PSA decline from baseline, %                             62             51
 Median time to PSA progression, days
      Per protocol*                                            NYR            316
      PCCTWG 2 criteria†                                       281            148
 Median time to radiographic progression,
 days increase in PSA from baseline with increase ≥ 5 ng/mL     392            175
 *≥ 25%
 †
     ≥ 25% increase in PSA from nadir with increase ≥ 2 ng/mL
Higano CS, et al. ASCO GU 2011. Abstract 134.
Conclusion: Targeting Androgens
 Advanced prostate cancer is neither hormone
  refractory nor androgen independent and remains
  nuclear steroid receptor driven
   – Hormone therapy works after chemotherapy
 CYP17 blockade does not cause adrenal insufficiency
 Multiple lines of treatment available for advanced
  prostate cancer
   – Sipuleucel-T, docetaxel, abiraterone, cabazitaxel
   – The optimal sequence of administration now needs to
     be defined
Evolving Role of Chemotherapy in the
Management of Castration-Resistant
     Metastatic Prostate Cancer
TAX 327: Weekly vs 3-Weekly Docetaxel vs
 Mitoxantrone in CRPC—OS
                          1.0                         Docetaxel 3-weekly
                                                      Docetaxel weekly
                                                      Mitoxantrone
                          0.8
       Proportion Alive




                          0.6


                          0.4


                          0.2


                           0
Berthold DR, et al.0 Clin Oncol. 2008;26:242-245.
                   J        1         2        3       4        5         6    7
Reprinted with permission. © 2008 American Society of Clinical Oncology. All
rights reserved.
                                             Time (years)
Docetaxel-Based Therapy in CRPC:
Observations From Long-term Follow-up
 After 5 yrs of follow-up, 867 deaths (86% of 1006 patients) have
  occurred
 Median OS difference between every-3-wk docetaxel and
  mitoxantrone groups remains highly significant (P = .004)


Outcome                         Every-3-Wk             Weekly     Mitoxantrone/
                                Docetaxel/           Docetaxel/    Prednisone
                                Prednisone           Prednisone     (n = 337)
                                 (n = 335)            (n = 334)

Median OS, mos                       18.9               17.4          16.5
3-yr OS, %                           18.6               16.8          13.5


Berthold DR, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2008;26:242-245.
Cabazitaxel: A Novel Tubulin-Targeting Agent
   Selected to overcome the emergence of taxane resistance
   Preclinical data
      – Potency equivalent to docetaxel against sensitive cell lines and tumor models

      – Evidence of activity against tumor cells/models resistant to currently available
        taxanes

   Early clinical data from phase I studies demonstrated:
      – Dose-limiting toxicity: neutropenia

      – Activity in patients with metastatic CRPC

      – Moved from phase I to phase III development in a series of trials in a variety of
        epithelial neoplasms




Pivot X, et al. Ann Oncol. 2008;19:1547-1552.
Mita AC, et al. Clin Can Res. 2009;15:723
TROPIC: Phase III Registration Trial of
 Second-line Cabazitaxel in CRPC
        Stratified by ECOG PS
    (0,1 vs 2) and measurable vs
       nonmeasurable disease
                                                Mitoxantrone 12 mg/m2 IV q3w +
                                            Prednisone 10 mg/day PO for 10 courses
     Patients with                                          (n = 377)
      metastatic
   CRPC progressing
     on docetaxel                         Cabazitaxel 25 mg/m2 IV q3w +
                                      Prednisone 10 mg/day PO for 10 courses
         (N = 755)                                   (n = 378)


  Primary endpoint: OS
  Secondary endpoints: PFS, response rate, safety
de Bono JS, et al. Lancet. 2010;376:1147-1154 .
TROPIC: Main Eligibility Criteria
   mCRPC patients with documented disease
    progression
       – Measurable by RECIST or
       – Nonmeasurable: documented rising PSA levels (≥ 2
         consecutive rises in PSA over a reference value taken at
         least 1 week apart) or appearance of new lesion
   Previous treatment with a docetaxel-containing
    regimen
   No previous treatment with mitoxantrone
   ECOG PS: 0-2
   Normal organ function (CBC and serum chemistries)
de Bono JS, et al. Lancet. 2010;376:1147-1154 .
TROPIC: Preprotocol Treatment
 Previous Treatment                     Mitoxantrone/Prednisone   Cabazitaxel/Prednisone
                                               (n = 377)                 (n = 378)
 Chemotherapy, n (%)
  1 regimen                                        268 (71)             260 (69)
  2 regimens                                        79 (21)             94 (25)
  ≥ 3 regimens                                      30 (8)               24 (6)
 Docetaxel, n (%)
  1 regimen                                        327 (87)             316 (84)
  2 regimens                                        43 (11)             53 (14)
  ≥ 3 regimens                                       7 (2)               9 (2)
 Median total previous                               529.2               576.6
 docetaxel dose, mg/m2 (range)                    (380.9-787.2)       (408.4-761.2)
 Median time from last                                0.70
 docetaxel dose to progression,                      (0-2.9)              0.80
 mos (range)                                                             (0-3.1)


de Bono JS, et al. Lancet. 2010;376:1147-1154 .
TROPIC: OS (Updated ITT Analysis)
Survival                                                       MP                   CBZP
Median OS, mos                                                12.7                   15.1
HR                                                                       0.72
95% CI                                                                0.61-0.84
P value                                                                < .0001
 Combined median follow-up: 13.7 mos




de Bono JS, et al. ASCO 2010. Abstract 4508. de Bono JS, et al. Lancet. 2010;376:1147-1154.
TROPIC: Treatment-Emergent
 Grade 3/4 Adverse Events
 Treatment-Emergent Grade 3/4                   Mitoxantrone/           Cabazitaxel/
 Adverse Events,* %                              Prednisone             Prednisone
                                                  (n = 371)              (n = 371)
 Any adverse event                                  39.4                      57.4
  Febrile neutropenia                               1.3                      7.5
  Diarrhea                                          0.3                      6.2
  Fatigue                                           3.0                      4.9
  Back pain                                         3.0                      3.8
*Sorted by ≥ 2% incidence rate for grade ≥ 3 events in the cabazitaxel arm.




de Bono JS, et al. ASCO 2010. Abstract 4508 .
Cabazitaxel: Evolving Clinical Issues

 Following FDA approval, the first wave of patients
  treated were more heavily pretreated than would be
  expected over time
   – Effect of dose/toxicity
 Many important questions remain undefined
   – Optimal dose
      – Growth factors?

   – Cabazitaxel vs docetaxel retreatment
      – Upcoming clinical trials
Ongoing Cabazitaxel Clinical Trials:
Phase III PROSELICA Study
 Cabazitaxel 20 mg/m² vs 25 mg/m² for the treatment of
  patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate
  cancer and prior treatment with docetaxel
      – Both doses administered with prednisone
 Primary objective: overall survival




ClinicalTrials.gov. NCT01308580.
Ongoing Cabazitaxel Clinical Trials:
 Phase III FIRSTANA Study
  Cabazitaxel vs docetaxel for the treatment of patients
   with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer
   and no prior chemotherapy
       – Cabazitaxel 25 mg/m2 and 20 mg/m2 evaluated
       – Cabazitaxel and docetaxel both given with prednisone
  Primary objective: overall survival




ClinicalTrials.gov. NCT01308567.
Autologous Cellular Immunotherapy:
          Understanding
         a New Paradigm




                            •
Active Cellular Immunotherapy
(Sipuleucel-T)
                 Patient’s white blood
                 cells harvested


                          Short-term culture with protein
                                    “cassette”
                                                      GM-CSF
                               Prostatic acid
                               phosphatase
                               (PAP)

                                          Shipping


                        Cells infused back into
                        patient (IV)
Immunotherapy for Prostate Cancer:
 Mechanism(s) of Action
                                           CD4+ T cell
 Activated
                              TCR
 dendritic
 cell
                                    Class II MHC     Cytokine
                                                     s


                                     TCR
Tumor antigen                                       Antibodies: circulate in sera
                 Class I MHC                                 bind to tumor cells
                                              CD8 T cell
  Activated CD8+ T cells: traffic
  to tumor, lyse tumor cells
IMPACT: Phase III Study
                                                                       Physician’s
                                                            P           discretion,
     Patients with                                          R
                                               Placebo                   including
      metastatic,
   asymptomatic or                             q2w x 3      O            phase II
                                                            G          open-label
       minimally
                                                            R         sipuleucel-T*
  symptomatic CRPC,
                               2:1                                         study
      no visceral                                           E
      metastases                                            S
                                             Sipuleucel-T   S          Physician’s
        (N = 512)
                                               q2w x 3      I           discretion
                                                            O
                                                            N


  Primary endpoint: OS
  Secondary endpoint: TTP
                                                            *Prepared using cryopreserved
                                                            peripheral blood lymphocytes
Kantoff PW, et al. N Engl J Med. 2010;363:411-422.
IMPACT: Baseline Characteristics

 Key Inclusion Criteria
     – Metastatic and castrate resistant
     – Asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic
     – Prior chemotherapy permitted
 Selected Patient Characteristics
     – Median age: 71
     – Median PSA: 50 ng/mL
     – Hemoglobin: 12.8 g/dL
     – Bone-only disease: 50%
     – Bone and soft-tissue disease: 44%

Kantoff PW, et al. N Engl J Med. 2010;363:411-422.   •
IMPACT Study: OS (ITT Population)
                                                              P = .032 (Cox model)
                        100                                   HR: 0.775 (95% CI: 0.614-0.979)
                                                              Median survival benefit: 4.1 mos
   Patients Remaining




                         75
        Alive (%)




                         50                                   Sipuleucel-T (n = 341)
                                                              Median survival: 25.8 mos

                         25       Placebo (n = 171)
                                  Median survival: 21.7 mos

                          0
                              0   6   12   18   24
                                               30 36 42              48   54   60   66
                                              Survival (Mos)
Kantoff PW, et al. N Engl J Med. 2010;363:411-422.
Copyright © 2010. Massachusetts Medical Society. All rights reserved.
IMPACT: Results
  Clinical Outcomes
      – TTP not significantly different between arms
      – 1 objective response (in active treatment group)
      – Extensive subgroup analyses were inconclusive

 Adverse Event, %                              Sipuleucel-T   Placebo
 Chills                                              54         13
 Pyrexia                                             29         14
 Headache                                            16         5




Kantoff PW, et al. N Engl J Med. 2010;363:411-422.
Another Cancer Vaccine Approach:
ProstVac-VF         Costimulatory
                     Molecules
                      PSA
                               LFA   ICAM- B7-1
                     Target     -3     1
                     antigen             Vaccinia virus
                                         Fowlpox virus




           Plasmid
             DNA

                                      Packaging
                                       cell line




         rV-PSA-TRICOM
         rF-PSA-TRICOM

                                         Vaccine
TBC-PRO-002: Phase II ProstVac-VF Study
 —OS
                                                          HR: 0.56 (95% CI: 0.37-0.85)
               100
                                                                  n Deaths Median OS, mo
                                               Control            40  37        16.6
               80
                                               ProstVac-VF        82  65        25.1
                                                rV-PSA ->
                60                              rF-PSA
      OS (%)




                40

                20

                 0
                     0        12              24             36              48       60
                                                    Mos
Kantoff PW, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2010;28:1099-1105.
Reprinted with permission. © 2008 American Society of Clinical Oncology. All rights
reserved.
Prospect Phase III Trial: ProstVac ± GM-CSF
 in Metastatic CRPC
                                     ProstVac-VF +
   Patients with                   TRICOM + low-dose
   asymptomatic                    adjuvant GM-CSF                                   S
    or minimally                                                                     U
    symptomatic                                                                      R
                                     ProstVac-VF +                                   V
     metastatic                        TRICOM +                        Standard of
                                                                          Care       I
       CRPC                         adjuvant placebo                                 V
                                                                                     A
     (Planned                                          No cross-over
                                                                                     L
     N = 1200)                      Vector placebo +
                                   adjuvant placebo



  Primary endpoint: OS


ClinicalTrials.gov. NCT01322490.
Conclusions
 Sipuleucel-T: a current treatment option
   – Asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic patients
 ProstVac-VF: entering phase III prechemotherapy
 Challenges
   – Sipuleucel-T: timing with regard to abiraterone
   – Integration of immunotherapy with chemotherapy and
     multiple other agents
   – An embarrassment of riches?
Hormone Refractory Prostate Cancer
 Multiple treatment options
   – Stop oral anti-androgens
   – Switch to another anti-androgen
   – Steroids
   – Ketoconazole
   – Megestrol acetate
   – Chemotherapy
   – ?immunotherapy
   – ?Target therapy
OS Benefit in Recent CRPC Trials
Trial/Agent Approved            Disease State         Comparator     HR     P Value
IMPACT[1]                       Chemo-naive               Placebo   0.775    .032
(Sipuleucel-T                      CRPC
vaccine)
TAX327[2]                       Chemo-naive          Mitoxantrone   0.76     .009
(Docetaxel)                       CRPC                Prednisone
TROPIC[3]                           Post-            Mitoxantrone   0.70    < .0001
(Cabazitaxel)                     docetaxel           Prednisone
                                   CRPC
COU-AA-301[4]                       Post-              Placebo      0.646   < .0001
(Abiraterone acetate)             docetaxel           Prednisone
                                   CRPC
1. Kantoff PW, et al. N Engl J Med. 2010;363:411-422.
2. Tannock IF, et al. N Engl J Med. 2004;351:1502-1512.
3. de Bono JS, et al. Lancet. 2010;376:1147-1154.
4. de Bono J, et al. N Engl J Med. 2011;364:1995-2005.
 Thanks for the attention
Case Study: Part 2
 Same patient – non-mCRPC
 Enrolls in phase II study or oral TAK-700 (orteronel)
 Has a PSA response lasting 6 months
 Then PSA begins to rise: 4.6 → 7.5 → 11.2 ng/mL
 Testosterone: 2 ng/dL
 CT scan repeated: Remains normal
 Bone scan: New lesions left 5th rib and L1 vertebral
  body
 He remains asymptomatic – no bone pain – ECOG 0
Case Study: Part 2
Discussion Question
 How would you manage this patient now?
Case Study: Part 3
 Same patient – asymptomatic mCRPC
 Patient receives 3 infusions of sipuleucel-T
 PSA rises after 3 months, and again after 6 months
 CT scan: Para aortic lymphadenopathy (up to 3.8 cm)
 Bone scan: 2 rib, 2 vertebral, and 1 pelvic bone lesion
 Patient reports new rib and back pain (intensity 3/10)
 ECOG PS 0
Case Study: Part 3
Discussion Question
 How would you manage this patient now?
Case Study: Part 4
 Same patient – symptomatic mCRPC
 He receives docetaxel q3wks and denosumab q4wks
 Obtains PSA response and objective radiologic response
 After 8 cycles, stops docetaxel due to grade 3 neuropathy
 4 months later, he has further PSA progression
 CT: New liver lesions (up to 4 cm) and lung lesions (8 mm)
 Bone lesions: Stable
 Has persistent grade 2 peripheral neuropathy
 ECOG PS 1
Case Study: Part 4
Discussion Question
 How would you manage this patient now?
Case Study: Part 1
   57-yr-old man – T3a PCa, Gleason 4+4 = 8,
    PSA = 8.2 ng/mL
   Undergoes radical prostatectomy
   Develops PSA recurrence with PSADT = 6 months
   Started on leuprolide + bicalutamide, and responds for 18
    months
   Then develops rising PSA, despite bicalutamide withdrawal
   PSAs: 4.2 → 5.6 → 7.2 ng/mL
   Testosterone: 28 ng/dL
   Bone scan and CT scan: Negative for metastatic disease
•PSADT = prostate-specific antigen doubling time; CT = computed tomography.
•NCCN, 2011.
Case Study: Part 1
   57-yr-old man – T3a PCa, Gleason 4+4 = 8,
    PSA = 8.2 ng/mL
   Undergoes radical prostatectomy
   Develops PSA recurrence with PSADT = 6 months
   Started on leuprolide + bicalutamide, and responds for 18
    months
   Then develops rising PSA, despite bicalutamide withdrawal
   PSAs: 4.2 → 5.6 → 7.2 ng/mL
   Testosterone: 28 ng/dL
   Bone scan and CT scan: Negative for metastatic disease
•PSADT = prostate-specific antigen doubling time; CT = computed tomography.
•NCCN, 2011.

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Optimal integration of new treatments for castration resistant prostate cancer

  • 1. Optimal Integration of New Treatments for Castration-Resistant Prostate Cancer Dr. Sankar Srinivasan, AB, FACP Consultant Oncologist, Apollo Hospitals Visiting Consultant, Ironwood Cancer and Research Center, Phoenix, AZ, USA
  • 2. Std Hormonal treatments  Orchiectomy or Zoladex or Lupron  Bicalutamide added for combined hormonal blockade
  • 3. Case-1  57-yr-old man – T3a PCa, Gleason 4+4 = 8, PSA = 8.2 ng/mL  Undergoes radical prostatectomy  Develops PSA recurrence none in prostatic bed  Started on leuprolide + bicalutamide, and responds for 18 months  Then develops rising PSA, despite bicalutamide withdrawal  PSAs: 4.2 → 5.6 → 7.2 ng/mL  Testosterone: 28 ng/dL  Bone scan and CT scan: Negative for metastatic disease •PSADT = prostate-specific antigen doubling time; CT = computed tomography. •NCCN, 2011.
  • 4.  Does this patient meet criteria for CRPC?  How would you manage this patient?
  • 5. •HRPC Definition Practical definition: a consecutive series of increasing PSA levels after a nadir is reached with HT. Must have had a trial of anti-androgen withdrawal and must have castrate levels of testosterone • Men with HRPC are not treated to cure their disease but simply to improve their quality of life. • The lack of effective treatments for HRPC leads patients to turn to unproven therapies.
  • 6. Overview  Modern approaches to targeting  Autologous cellular androgens immunotherapy: understanding a new paradigm – COU-AA-301 phase III study: abiraterone – IMPACT phase III study: sipuleucel-T – Other androgen-targeted agents: MDV3100 – TBC-PRO-002 phase II study: ProstVac-VF  The evolving role of chemotherapy – TAX 327 study: weekly vs 3- weekly docetaxel vs mitoxantrone – TROPIC phase III study: second- line cabazitaxel
  • 7. Modern Approaches to Targeting Androgens
  • 8. Androgen Receptor Addiction Is a Hard Habit to Break  Hormonal treatments continue to have antitumor activity  High levels of intratumoral androgens despite castration – Preclinical and clinical evidence of intracrine synthesis  Castration resistance associated with – AR amplification (increased gene dose) – AR mutations that increase AR (transcriptional) activity – ↑ AR (< 2x) expression (ligand driven) in isogenic resistant lines  Identification of oncogenic translocations/fusions driven by androgens + estrogen-response elements (ETS genes; TMPRSS2/ERG in 50% to 70% of prostate cancer) Attard G, et al. Cancer Cell. 2009;16:458-462.
  • 9. Abiraterone Acetate: Androgen Biosynthesis Inhibitor  Androgens produced at 3 critical sites lead to tumor proliferation – Testes – Adrenal gland – Prostate tumor cells  Abiraterone inhibits biosynthesis of androgens that stimulate tumor cell growth  PSA and radiographic responses in phase I/II studies – Chemotherapy-naive and postchemotherapy patients[1-5] 1. Attard G, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2008;26:4563-4571. 2. Attard G, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2009;27:3742-3748. 3. Reid AH, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2010;28:1489-1495. 4. Ryan C, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2010;28:1481-1488. 5. Danila D, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2010;28:1496-1501.
  • 10. COU-AA-301: Phase III Study of Abiraterone Acetate in mCRPC Randomized 2:1 Abiraterone acetate 1000 mg/day + Patients with mCRPC Prednisone 5 mg BID progressing after 1-2 (n = 797) chemotherapy Stratified by ECOG PS, worst pain regimens, over previous 24 hrs, previous 1 of which contained chemotherapy, type of progression docetaxel Placebo + (N = 1195) Prednisone 5 mg BID (n = 398) de Bono J, et al. N Engl J Med. 2011;364:1995-2005.
  • 11. COU-AA-301: Abiraterone Acetate Improves OS in mCRPC 100 HR: 0.646 (95% CI: 0.54-0.77; P < .0001) 80 Abiraterone acetate Median OS: 14.8 mos Survival (%) 60 (95% CI: 14.1-15.4) 40 Placebo Median OS: 10.9 mos 20 (95% CI: 10.2-12.0) Median OS with 2 prior chemo: Median OS with 1 prior chemo 14.0 mos AA vs 10.3 mos placebo 15.4 mos AA vs 11.5 mos placebo 0 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 Months AA 797 736 657 520 282 68 2 0 de Bono J, et al. N Engl J Med. 355 Placebo 398 2011;364:1995-2005. 306 210 105 30 3 0 Copyright © 2011 Massachusetts Medical Society. All rights reserved.
  • 12. COU-AA-301: All Secondary Endpoints Achieved Statistical Significance Endpoint Characteristic Abiraterone Placebo HR P Value (n = 797) (n = 398) (95% CI) Time to PSA 10.2 6.6 0.58 < .0001 progression, mos (0.46-0.73) rPFS, mos 5.6 3.6 0.67 < .0001 (0.59-0.78) PSA response rate, %  Total 38.0 10.1 < .0001  Confirmed 29.1 5.5 < .0001 de Bono J, et al. N Engl J Med. 2011;364:1995-2005. Copyright © 2011 Massachusetts Medical Society. All rights reserved.
  • 13. COU-AA-301: Adverse Events of Special Interest Abiraterone Placebo Adverse Event, % (n = 791) (n = 394) All Grades Grades 3/4 All Grades Grades 3/4 Fluid retention 30.5 2.3 22.3 1.0 Hypokalemia 17.1 3.8 8.4 0.8 LFT abnormalities 10.4 3.5 8.1 3.0 Hypertension 9.7 1.3 7.9 0.3 Cardiac disorders 13.3 4.1 10.4 2.3 de Bono J, et al. N Engl J Med. 2011;364:1995-2005.
  • 14. MDV3100: Phase I/II Study in Advanced Prostate Cancer[1]  MDV3100: novel, oral AR antagonist – Blocks testosterone binding to AR, Testosterone synthesis impedes movement of AR to Tumor death nucleus, inhibits DNA binding Testosterone T T – Slows tumor growth and X MDV3100 causes cell death in cancers DNA binding and AR 1 AR binding resistant to bicalutamide 3 activation blocked blocked X X 2 Nuclear  Phase I/II trial conducted to Cell nucleus translocation determine safety, PK, and No prednisone impaired antitumor activity of MDV3100[2] required – Cohorts treated with – N = 140 patients with progressive sequentially escalating doses CRPC, pre- or postchemotherapy of MDV3100 (30-600 mg/day) 1. Higano CS, et al. ASCO GU 2011. Abstract 134. 2. Scher HI, et al. Lancet. 2010;375:1437-1446.
  • 15. Long-term Follow-up of MDV3100: Antitumor Activity  MDV3100 antitumor activity durable both before and after chemotherapy Outcome Chemotherapy Post Naïve Chemotherapy (n = 65) (n = 75) ≥ 50% PSA decline from baseline, % 62 51 Median time to PSA progression, days Per protocol* NYR 316 PCCTWG 2 criteria† 281 148 Median time to radiographic progression, days increase in PSA from baseline with increase ≥ 5 ng/mL 392 175 *≥ 25% † ≥ 25% increase in PSA from nadir with increase ≥ 2 ng/mL Higano CS, et al. ASCO GU 2011. Abstract 134.
  • 16. Conclusion: Targeting Androgens  Advanced prostate cancer is neither hormone refractory nor androgen independent and remains nuclear steroid receptor driven – Hormone therapy works after chemotherapy  CYP17 blockade does not cause adrenal insufficiency  Multiple lines of treatment available for advanced prostate cancer – Sipuleucel-T, docetaxel, abiraterone, cabazitaxel – The optimal sequence of administration now needs to be defined
  • 17. Evolving Role of Chemotherapy in the Management of Castration-Resistant Metastatic Prostate Cancer
  • 18. TAX 327: Weekly vs 3-Weekly Docetaxel vs Mitoxantrone in CRPC—OS 1.0 Docetaxel 3-weekly Docetaxel weekly Mitoxantrone 0.8 Proportion Alive 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 Berthold DR, et al.0 Clin Oncol. 2008;26:242-245. J 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Reprinted with permission. © 2008 American Society of Clinical Oncology. All rights reserved. Time (years)
  • 19. Docetaxel-Based Therapy in CRPC: Observations From Long-term Follow-up  After 5 yrs of follow-up, 867 deaths (86% of 1006 patients) have occurred  Median OS difference between every-3-wk docetaxel and mitoxantrone groups remains highly significant (P = .004) Outcome Every-3-Wk Weekly Mitoxantrone/ Docetaxel/ Docetaxel/ Prednisone Prednisone Prednisone (n = 337) (n = 335) (n = 334) Median OS, mos 18.9 17.4 16.5 3-yr OS, % 18.6 16.8 13.5 Berthold DR, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2008;26:242-245.
  • 20. Cabazitaxel: A Novel Tubulin-Targeting Agent  Selected to overcome the emergence of taxane resistance  Preclinical data – Potency equivalent to docetaxel against sensitive cell lines and tumor models – Evidence of activity against tumor cells/models resistant to currently available taxanes  Early clinical data from phase I studies demonstrated: – Dose-limiting toxicity: neutropenia – Activity in patients with metastatic CRPC – Moved from phase I to phase III development in a series of trials in a variety of epithelial neoplasms Pivot X, et al. Ann Oncol. 2008;19:1547-1552. Mita AC, et al. Clin Can Res. 2009;15:723
  • 21. TROPIC: Phase III Registration Trial of Second-line Cabazitaxel in CRPC Stratified by ECOG PS (0,1 vs 2) and measurable vs nonmeasurable disease Mitoxantrone 12 mg/m2 IV q3w + Prednisone 10 mg/day PO for 10 courses Patients with (n = 377) metastatic CRPC progressing on docetaxel Cabazitaxel 25 mg/m2 IV q3w + Prednisone 10 mg/day PO for 10 courses (N = 755) (n = 378)  Primary endpoint: OS  Secondary endpoints: PFS, response rate, safety de Bono JS, et al. Lancet. 2010;376:1147-1154 .
  • 22. TROPIC: Main Eligibility Criteria  mCRPC patients with documented disease progression – Measurable by RECIST or – Nonmeasurable: documented rising PSA levels (≥ 2 consecutive rises in PSA over a reference value taken at least 1 week apart) or appearance of new lesion  Previous treatment with a docetaxel-containing regimen  No previous treatment with mitoxantrone  ECOG PS: 0-2  Normal organ function (CBC and serum chemistries) de Bono JS, et al. Lancet. 2010;376:1147-1154 .
  • 23. TROPIC: Preprotocol Treatment Previous Treatment Mitoxantrone/Prednisone Cabazitaxel/Prednisone (n = 377) (n = 378) Chemotherapy, n (%)  1 regimen 268 (71) 260 (69)  2 regimens 79 (21) 94 (25)  ≥ 3 regimens 30 (8) 24 (6) Docetaxel, n (%)  1 regimen 327 (87) 316 (84)  2 regimens 43 (11) 53 (14)  ≥ 3 regimens 7 (2) 9 (2) Median total previous 529.2 576.6 docetaxel dose, mg/m2 (range) (380.9-787.2) (408.4-761.2) Median time from last 0.70 docetaxel dose to progression, (0-2.9) 0.80 mos (range) (0-3.1) de Bono JS, et al. Lancet. 2010;376:1147-1154 .
  • 24. TROPIC: OS (Updated ITT Analysis) Survival MP CBZP Median OS, mos 12.7 15.1 HR 0.72 95% CI 0.61-0.84 P value < .0001 Combined median follow-up: 13.7 mos de Bono JS, et al. ASCO 2010. Abstract 4508. de Bono JS, et al. Lancet. 2010;376:1147-1154.
  • 25. TROPIC: Treatment-Emergent Grade 3/4 Adverse Events Treatment-Emergent Grade 3/4 Mitoxantrone/ Cabazitaxel/ Adverse Events,* % Prednisone Prednisone (n = 371) (n = 371) Any adverse event 39.4 57.4  Febrile neutropenia 1.3 7.5  Diarrhea 0.3 6.2  Fatigue 3.0 4.9  Back pain 3.0 3.8 *Sorted by ≥ 2% incidence rate for grade ≥ 3 events in the cabazitaxel arm. de Bono JS, et al. ASCO 2010. Abstract 4508 .
  • 26. Cabazitaxel: Evolving Clinical Issues  Following FDA approval, the first wave of patients treated were more heavily pretreated than would be expected over time – Effect of dose/toxicity  Many important questions remain undefined – Optimal dose – Growth factors? – Cabazitaxel vs docetaxel retreatment – Upcoming clinical trials
  • 27. Ongoing Cabazitaxel Clinical Trials: Phase III PROSELICA Study  Cabazitaxel 20 mg/m² vs 25 mg/m² for the treatment of patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer and prior treatment with docetaxel – Both doses administered with prednisone  Primary objective: overall survival ClinicalTrials.gov. NCT01308580.
  • 28. Ongoing Cabazitaxel Clinical Trials: Phase III FIRSTANA Study  Cabazitaxel vs docetaxel for the treatment of patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer and no prior chemotherapy – Cabazitaxel 25 mg/m2 and 20 mg/m2 evaluated – Cabazitaxel and docetaxel both given with prednisone  Primary objective: overall survival ClinicalTrials.gov. NCT01308567.
  • 29. Autologous Cellular Immunotherapy: Understanding a New Paradigm •
  • 30. Active Cellular Immunotherapy (Sipuleucel-T) Patient’s white blood cells harvested Short-term culture with protein “cassette” GM-CSF Prostatic acid phosphatase (PAP) Shipping Cells infused back into patient (IV)
  • 31. Immunotherapy for Prostate Cancer: Mechanism(s) of Action CD4+ T cell Activated TCR dendritic cell Class II MHC Cytokine s TCR Tumor antigen Antibodies: circulate in sera Class I MHC bind to tumor cells CD8 T cell Activated CD8+ T cells: traffic to tumor, lyse tumor cells
  • 32. IMPACT: Phase III Study Physician’s P discretion, Patients with R Placebo including metastatic, asymptomatic or q2w x 3 O phase II G open-label minimally R sipuleucel-T* symptomatic CRPC, 2:1 study no visceral E metastases S Sipuleucel-T S Physician’s (N = 512) q2w x 3 I discretion O N  Primary endpoint: OS  Secondary endpoint: TTP *Prepared using cryopreserved peripheral blood lymphocytes Kantoff PW, et al. N Engl J Med. 2010;363:411-422.
  • 33. IMPACT: Baseline Characteristics  Key Inclusion Criteria – Metastatic and castrate resistant – Asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic – Prior chemotherapy permitted  Selected Patient Characteristics – Median age: 71 – Median PSA: 50 ng/mL – Hemoglobin: 12.8 g/dL – Bone-only disease: 50% – Bone and soft-tissue disease: 44% Kantoff PW, et al. N Engl J Med. 2010;363:411-422. •
  • 34. IMPACT Study: OS (ITT Population) P = .032 (Cox model) 100 HR: 0.775 (95% CI: 0.614-0.979) Median survival benefit: 4.1 mos Patients Remaining 75 Alive (%) 50 Sipuleucel-T (n = 341) Median survival: 25.8 mos 25 Placebo (n = 171) Median survival: 21.7 mos 0 0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 60 66 Survival (Mos) Kantoff PW, et al. N Engl J Med. 2010;363:411-422. Copyright © 2010. Massachusetts Medical Society. All rights reserved.
  • 35. IMPACT: Results  Clinical Outcomes – TTP not significantly different between arms – 1 objective response (in active treatment group) – Extensive subgroup analyses were inconclusive Adverse Event, % Sipuleucel-T Placebo Chills 54 13 Pyrexia 29 14 Headache 16 5 Kantoff PW, et al. N Engl J Med. 2010;363:411-422.
  • 36. Another Cancer Vaccine Approach: ProstVac-VF Costimulatory Molecules PSA LFA ICAM- B7-1 Target -3 1 antigen Vaccinia virus Fowlpox virus Plasmid DNA Packaging cell line rV-PSA-TRICOM rF-PSA-TRICOM Vaccine
  • 37. TBC-PRO-002: Phase II ProstVac-VF Study —OS HR: 0.56 (95% CI: 0.37-0.85) 100 n Deaths Median OS, mo Control 40 37 16.6 80 ProstVac-VF 82 65 25.1 rV-PSA -> 60 rF-PSA OS (%) 40 20 0 0 12 24 36 48 60 Mos Kantoff PW, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2010;28:1099-1105. Reprinted with permission. © 2008 American Society of Clinical Oncology. All rights reserved.
  • 38. Prospect Phase III Trial: ProstVac ± GM-CSF in Metastatic CRPC ProstVac-VF + Patients with TRICOM + low-dose asymptomatic adjuvant GM-CSF S or minimally U symptomatic R ProstVac-VF + V metastatic TRICOM + Standard of Care I CRPC adjuvant placebo V A (Planned No cross-over L N = 1200) Vector placebo + adjuvant placebo  Primary endpoint: OS ClinicalTrials.gov. NCT01322490.
  • 39. Conclusions  Sipuleucel-T: a current treatment option – Asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic patients  ProstVac-VF: entering phase III prechemotherapy  Challenges – Sipuleucel-T: timing with regard to abiraterone – Integration of immunotherapy with chemotherapy and multiple other agents – An embarrassment of riches?
  • 40. Hormone Refractory Prostate Cancer Multiple treatment options – Stop oral anti-androgens – Switch to another anti-androgen – Steroids – Ketoconazole – Megestrol acetate – Chemotherapy – ?immunotherapy – ?Target therapy
  • 41. OS Benefit in Recent CRPC Trials Trial/Agent Approved Disease State Comparator HR P Value IMPACT[1] Chemo-naive Placebo 0.775 .032 (Sipuleucel-T CRPC vaccine) TAX327[2] Chemo-naive Mitoxantrone 0.76 .009 (Docetaxel) CRPC Prednisone TROPIC[3] Post- Mitoxantrone 0.70 < .0001 (Cabazitaxel) docetaxel Prednisone CRPC COU-AA-301[4] Post- Placebo 0.646 < .0001 (Abiraterone acetate) docetaxel Prednisone CRPC 1. Kantoff PW, et al. N Engl J Med. 2010;363:411-422. 2. Tannock IF, et al. N Engl J Med. 2004;351:1502-1512. 3. de Bono JS, et al. Lancet. 2010;376:1147-1154. 4. de Bono J, et al. N Engl J Med. 2011;364:1995-2005.
  • 42.  Thanks for the attention
  • 43. Case Study: Part 2  Same patient – non-mCRPC  Enrolls in phase II study or oral TAK-700 (orteronel)  Has a PSA response lasting 6 months  Then PSA begins to rise: 4.6 → 7.5 → 11.2 ng/mL  Testosterone: 2 ng/dL  CT scan repeated: Remains normal  Bone scan: New lesions left 5th rib and L1 vertebral body  He remains asymptomatic – no bone pain – ECOG 0
  • 44. Case Study: Part 2 Discussion Question  How would you manage this patient now?
  • 45. Case Study: Part 3  Same patient – asymptomatic mCRPC  Patient receives 3 infusions of sipuleucel-T  PSA rises after 3 months, and again after 6 months  CT scan: Para aortic lymphadenopathy (up to 3.8 cm)  Bone scan: 2 rib, 2 vertebral, and 1 pelvic bone lesion  Patient reports new rib and back pain (intensity 3/10)  ECOG PS 0
  • 46. Case Study: Part 3 Discussion Question  How would you manage this patient now?
  • 47. Case Study: Part 4  Same patient – symptomatic mCRPC  He receives docetaxel q3wks and denosumab q4wks  Obtains PSA response and objective radiologic response  After 8 cycles, stops docetaxel due to grade 3 neuropathy  4 months later, he has further PSA progression  CT: New liver lesions (up to 4 cm) and lung lesions (8 mm)  Bone lesions: Stable  Has persistent grade 2 peripheral neuropathy  ECOG PS 1
  • 48. Case Study: Part 4 Discussion Question  How would you manage this patient now?
  • 49. Case Study: Part 1  57-yr-old man – T3a PCa, Gleason 4+4 = 8, PSA = 8.2 ng/mL  Undergoes radical prostatectomy  Develops PSA recurrence with PSADT = 6 months  Started on leuprolide + bicalutamide, and responds for 18 months  Then develops rising PSA, despite bicalutamide withdrawal  PSAs: 4.2 → 5.6 → 7.2 ng/mL  Testosterone: 28 ng/dL  Bone scan and CT scan: Negative for metastatic disease •PSADT = prostate-specific antigen doubling time; CT = computed tomography. •NCCN, 2011.
  • 50. Case Study: Part 1  57-yr-old man – T3a PCa, Gleason 4+4 = 8, PSA = 8.2 ng/mL  Undergoes radical prostatectomy  Develops PSA recurrence with PSADT = 6 months  Started on leuprolide + bicalutamide, and responds for 18 months  Then develops rising PSA, despite bicalutamide withdrawal  PSAs: 4.2 → 5.6 → 7.2 ng/mL  Testosterone: 28 ng/dL  Bone scan and CT scan: Negative for metastatic disease •PSADT = prostate-specific antigen doubling time; CT = computed tomography. •NCCN, 2011.

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. The consensus was that HRPC is a state where there may be some androgen sensitive cells, but where androgen independent cells dominate. The androgen receptor has undergone a conformational change and antiandrogens may impose agonist activity. The androgen receptor gene may be over expressed or the androgen receptor maybe more sensitive to low levels of oestrogen. The practical definition is a consecutive series of increasing PSA levels after a nadir is reached with HT. Patients must have had a trial of anti-androgen withdrawal and have castrate levels of testosterone. The majority of the group agreed that in HRPC you should continue with castration therapy, because there will be a proportion of cells that are androgen sensitive. Furthermore, withdrawing castration therapy may increase bone pain and the growth of the tumour. It was agreed that the biology of HRPC is different to that 20 years ago. Patients are being presented at an earlier stage of disease and fewer patients are presenting with symptomatic metastatic prostate cancer. In the USA, HRPC is used to refer to patients who have failed local therapies.
  2. AR, androgen receptor.
  3. PSA, prostate-specific antigen.
  4. BID, twice daily; ECOG, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group; mCRPC, metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer; PS, performance status.
  5. AA, abiraterone acetate; CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio; mCRPC, metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer; OS, overall survival.
  6. CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio; PSA, prostate-specific antigen; rPFS, radiographic progression-free survival.
  7. LFT, liver function test.
  8. AR, androgen receptor; CRPC, castration-resistance prostate cancer; PC, prostate cancer; PK, pharmacokinetics.
  9. NYR, not yet reached; PCCTWG, Prostate Cancer Clinical Trials Working Group; PSA, prostate-specific antigen.
  10. CRPC, castration-resistant prostate cancer; HR, hazard ratio; OS, overall survival.
  11. CRPC, castration-resistant prostate cancer; OS, overall survival.
  12. CRPC, castration-resistant prostate cancer.
  13. CRPC, castration-resistant prostate cancer; ECOG PS, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status; OS, overall survival; PFS, progression-free survival; PO, orally.
  14. CBC, complete blood count; ECOG PS, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status; mCRPC, metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer; PSA, prostate-specific antigen; RECIST, response evaluation criteria in solid tumors.
  15. CBZP, cabazitaxel, prednisone; CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio; ITT, intent-to-treat; MP, mitoxantrone, prednisone; OS, overall survival. TROPIC slide deck. Slide5
  16. TROPIC slide deck. Slide34
  17. GM-CSF, granulocyte macrophage-colony stimulating factor.
  18. MHC, major histocompability complex; TCR, T-cell receptor.
  19. CRPC, castration-resistant prostate cancer; IHC, immunohistochemistry; OS, overall survival; PAP, prostatic acid phosphatase; TTP, time to progression. Tannock IF, de Wit R, Berry WR, et al. Docetaxel plus prednisone or mitoxantrone plus prednisone for advanced prostate cancer. N Engl J Med . 2004;351:1502-1512.
  20. PSA, prostate-specific antigen.
  21. CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio; ITT, intent-to-treat; OS, overall survival.
  22. TTP, time to progression.
  23. PSA, prostate-specific antigen.
  24. CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio; OS, overall survival; rF-PSA, recombinant fowlpox prostate-specific antigen; rV-PSA, recombinant vaccinia prostate-specific antigen.
  25. CRPC, castration-resistant prostate cancer; GM-CSF, granulocyte macrophage-colony stimulating factor; OS, overall survival.
  26. CRPC, castration-resistant prostate cancer; HR, hazard ratio; OS, overall survival.