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SCALING UP
INVESTMENTS
IN ECOSYSTEM
RESTORATION
THE KEY ISSUES: FINANCING
AND COORDINATION
PBL Policy Brief
Scaling up investments in
Ecosystem Restoration
The key issues: financing
and coordination
Annelies Sewell, Jetske Bouma and Stefan van der Esch
PBL Policy Brief
Scaling Up Investments in Ecosystem Restoration
The key issues: financing and coordination
PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
The Hague, 2016
PBL publication number: 2088
Corresponding author
Annelies Sewell, annelies.sewell@pbl.nl
Authors
Annelies Sewell, Jetske Bouma and Stefan van der Esch
Graphics
Beeldredactie PBL
Editing and production
PBL Publishers and Michael van Laake
Layout
Textcetera, The Hague
Parts of this publication may be reproduced, providing the source is stated, in the form:
Sewell, A., Bouma, J., and van der Esch, S., (2016). Scaling Up Investments in Ecosystem
Restoration. The key issues: financing and coordination. The Hague: PBL Netherlands
Environmental Assessment Agency.
This publication can be downloaded from: www.pbl.nl/en.
PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency is the national institute for
strategic policy analysis in the field of environment, nature and spatial planning.
We contribute to improving the quality of political and administrative decision-making
by conducting outlook studies, analyses and evaluations in which an integrated
approach is considered paramount. Policy relevance is the prime concern in all our
studies. We conduct solicited and unsolicited research that is both independent and
scientifically sound.
This policy brief is based on Sewell, A., Bouma, J., and van der Esch, S (2016).
Investigating the challenges and opportunities for scaling up Ecosystem
Restoration. The Hague: PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency.
Contents
Introduction 4
The importance and potential of ecosystem restoration  4
Bottlenecks and approaches  6
Financing issues are limiting investments in ecosystem restoration  6
Coordination issues are limiting investments in ecosystem restoration  8
Lessons from practice  10
Recommendations 14
References 16

4 | Scaling up investments in Ecosystem Restoration
Introduction
The importance and potential of ecosystem restoration
Land degradation – both a global and a local issue
An estimated 12 million hectares of land are being degraded globally each year
(UNCCD, 2015). Currently 1.9 billion of the Earth’s total 13 billion hectares are considered
degraded, primarily in central Asia, South America and Sub-Saharan Africa, in humid
and dryland areas, in cropland, grassland, pasture and forested ecosystems (Gibbs &
Salmon, 2015; Nkonya, Mirzabaev, & von Braun, 2016). Degraded lands cannot provide
the ecosystem services important for human well-being, and therefore constitute a
welfare loss.
Ecosystem restoration has the potential to combine the global policy agendas
of biodiversity protection, climate mitigation, and food security
Restoration of degraded ecosystems poses an opportunity to reverse the process
of land degradation by undertaking mosaic, wide-scale or landscape scale efforts
to re-establish the natural state (ecological restoration) and regain productivity
(rehabilitation). Ecosystem restoration (ESR) can, under the right circumstances, not
only increase land productivity but also promote economic growth and social cohesion
(Caspari et al., 2014). It provides local benefits, in terms of food security and enhanced
smallholder resilience, regional benefits, such as improved water provision, and global
benefits, including biodiversity conservation and climate change mitigation, making ESR
a promising approach for reaching some of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).
As such, ESR is increasingly the focus of discussion in the international community and
national governments, and particularly by the United Nations Convention to Combat
Desertification (UNCCD) regarding Goal 15 — Life on Land. However, while the number
of restoration projects is on the rise, alongside national government pledges for
restoration — Great Green Wall (2010), Bonn Challenge (2011), New York Declaration
on Forests (2014), African Forest Landscape Restoration Initiative (2015) — a significant
scaling up of efforts does not seem to be taking place (Wentink, 2015; Ferwerda, 2015).

5Introduction |
Financing and coordination issues are limiting the scaling up of investments
in ecosystem restoration
Though ESR investments require significant amounts of resources (inputs, labour,
organisational capacity), multiple studies indicate that the socio-economic benefits
greatly outweigh the costs (de Groot et al., 2013; Holl & Howarth, 2000). Several studies
indicate that financing is an important bottleneck (Credit Suisse & McKinsey, 2016;
Shames, Hill Clarvis, & Kissinger, 2014) and here we argue that lack of coordination also
plays an important role. The term coordination is used to refer to regional, network-
based mechanisms to organise and regulate activities between various actors,
knowledge platforms and payment mechanisms. As ecosystem restoration requires
creating affinity between the local and global levels and aligning public and private
interests, it is crucial that financing and coordination issues are jointly addressed.
The investment and maintenance costs of restoration can be greatly reduced by efficient
organisation, clear land tenure arrangements and strong governance, and by building on
existing projects and intrinsic value.
Given the scale of land degradation and its implications for human well-being, there is
an urgent need to tap into the potential of restoration as a promising solution, taking
advantage of growing support from the international community and national policy
makers. In the face of the key bottlenecks, the central question is how investments in
ESR can be scaled up. Based on an in-depth background report, this policy brief
highlights the main arguments for demanding more attention for financing and
coordination to scale up ESR and provides recommendations for policy makers,
particularly with regard to the development of a strong enabling environment. We have
conducted interviews with key players, collected peer-reviewed and grey literature and
attended a series of workshops and conferences to test and confirm the relevance of our
focus and our approach.
6 | Scaling up investments in Ecosystem Restoration

Bottlenecks and
approaches
Financing issues are limiting investments in
ecosystem restoration
–	 Start-up and maintenance costs. During the initial years of restoration projects,
these expenses are perceived as high, while only few tangible benefits are obtained.
Context specificity, lack of standardised costs and the limited level of sharing of best
practices add to huge cost variations among projects, resulting in increased
investment risk.
–	 Investment returns and cost recovery. Studies have shown that ESR projects can
achieve net benefits in many ecosystems. However, estimating returns is often a
complex task which depends on many assumptions. The reason being that ESR
project returns vary in form (public - private, monetary - non-monetary), location
of delivery (local - global) and time frame (short - long term), all of which add to
the risk of investment, uncertainty among larger investors about security against
loans and concerns with regard to cost recovery and non-monetary returns, such as
improved health and restored landscapes.
–	 Risks and uncertainty. The high level of risk and uncertainty in ESR investments
is partly caused by the lack of an investment track record, long project timescales,
project size, uncertainty in costs and presence of public non-monetary returns.
Risks can be grouped into various categories including novelty, externality,
longevity, capacity and technical and regulatory risk.
7Bottlenecks and approaches |

Financial instruments for different types of investors, risks and
expected benefits
The range of financial instruments to suit various risk profiles, terms of investment and
expected returns (Figure 1) can be grouped into three categories. Enabling instruments
help to link public and private financing by reducing initial costs (grants and technical
assistance), opportunity costs and free-riding, by enforcing public good delivery (fiscal
incentives and law), supporting the development of market-based instruments such
as Payment for Ecosystem Services (PES) and land tenure security (regulation), and
lowering the risk of investment (guarantees). Asset instruments help to deliver return on
public or private investment and include more traditional tools, such as equity and debt.
Market-based instruments help to align public and private interests (green bonds, PES,
offsetting, insurance).
Figure 1
Investors, finance mechanisms, risk and instruments
Source: Several sources; compiled and edited by PBL 2016
BondsSenior loansMezzanineGuaranteesConcessional loansFiscal PES
DebtJunior loansEquityCertificationGrants/ donations
MainstreamIncubation Scaling
(fees)
Environmental
returns
Financial
returns
Pension
Funds
Impact
investors
BanksFundsPPPsNGOs
Development
banks
Governments
Lower
Lower
Private
Mature
Mature
Cost of capital
Risk
Investors and mechanisms
Project progress
Expected returns
Instruments
Higher
Higher
Public
Early
Early
MatureEarly
Social
returns
(services) (products)
pbl.nl
8 | Scaling up investments in Ecosystem Restoration

Coordination issues are limiting investments in
ecosystem restoration
–	 Search and information costs. Securing sufficient return on investment requires
effective project targeting and prioritisation and collecting information on two
determining factors: the biophysical characteristics of the ecosystem and its
socio-economic conditions. Local participation reduces the costs of optimal
targeting, but requires organisation. It is not yet clear to what extent standardised
methods could increase efficiency in this regard.
–	 Organisation and representation. Often, the various beneficiaries of ESR are not
well-organised, and nor are the actors who make the investments on the ground.
Organising multiple stakeholders, ensuring that their interests are well-represented,
and setting up effective decision-making and coordination procedures requires
substantial investments, particularly when there is a lack of local and regional
institutions.
–	 Monitoring and enforcement. There needs to be agreement on how
responsibilities are allocated and how the costs and benefits of ESR are shared.
To guarantee an ESR project produces returns, monitoring and evaluation systems
are required to assess progress, make necessary adjustments, provide data to
establish the distribution of benefits and facilitate long-term sustainable resource
management.
Coordination mechanisms for linking actors, scales and
financing mechanisms
Specific organisations and mechanisms, such as PPPs, Investment Funds and PES
schemes, are required to coordinate the various financing instruments available, and
represent the range of public-private and local-global stakeholder interests. They must
also coordinate knowledge aimed at site prioritisation and targeting, link the available
finance to projects on the ground and aid monitoring and enforcement to ensure service
delivery along project timelines and bring together buyers and sellers of ecosystem
services (Figure 2).
9Bottlenecks and approaches |

Figure 2
Interaction between scales is necessary
Source: PBL
Local needs and
development
Local knowledge
networks
Local regulation/
implementation
Global public goods
and services
International networks International
agreements
and financing
Interests Knowledge and
representation
Organisation and enabling
environment
Carbon
sequestration
Watershed
services
Provisioning
services
UNCCD
PPPs
Community-based
management
GEF
Investment
funds
PES
pbl.nl
10 | Scaling up investments in Ecosystem Restoration

Lessons from practice
Cases reveal a trend towards a regional approach to ecosystem restoration
To identify financing and coordination issues in practice, we explored the strengths and
weaknesses of a specially selected set of cases. Apart from the availability of sufficient
project data, projects were chosen on the basis of an analytical framework grounded
in relevant literature. The framework focuses specifically on the concept of ecosystem
services, since ESR is ultimately about the restoration of ecosystem service provisioning,
which requires attention for scales of delivery (local - global) and types of services
(private - public) (Figure 3). It is interesting to note that large-scale private financing is
mostly absent or still in development (Land Degradation Neutrality Fund), and that at
present, most cases fall in the public-local frame (China, Colombia). However, funding is
also arriving from the public-global frame (Global Environment Facility), with a general
trend towards private sector inclusion at the regional level, where there is a mix of
restoration and rehabilitation projects to suit different interests (Brazil, Kenya). What is
meant by regional/landscape is an initiative within a country. The regional approach is
not necessarily better but seems to address tensions between scales and interests. Our
selection of cases comprises China’s Loess Plateau, Colombia’s watershed restoration,
Ethiopia’s Tigray region, Brazil’s Atlantic Forest, and Kenya’s Lake Naivasha.
Strengths observed in the case studies include:
–	 A strong enabling environment. Clear land tenure rights, firm political commitment
and on-the-ground support appear to be key ingredients for the mobilisation of
financing for wide-scale restoration efforts. Regulation helps to reduce initial costs
and increase local stakeholder participation by establishing clear land rights and
reducing opportunity costs. For example, the projects in China and Colombia are
located in degraded and sloping areas with low opportunity costs and received
adequate initial public financing. In China, opportunity costs were further decreased
by the 1999 government regulations which introduced a ban on tree felling, grazing
and growing crops on slopes. The project in Ethiopia is supported by a government
policy which ensures clear land rights and food aid in exchange for 20 to 40 days per
year of compulsory restoration work by the local farmers (Denier et al., 2015).
–	 Private financing can play a role in ecosystem restoration, given the scale of
the restoration challenge. The tendency to move from national approaches
(China, Colombia) towards regional, mosaic and landscape efforts (Kenya, Brazil)
produces several ESR benefits which are more marketable and therefore well-
suited to a privately financed restoration model, although, once again, clear land
11Lessons from practice |

tenure arrangements are a key requirement. Alternatively, private investors could
support ESR through green bonds or specific funds operated by PPPs. The move
towards regional-level approaches brings with it a diversification of cost recovery
instruments that can help to align public and private interests. Of course there is
no ‘silver bullet’ but an array of instruments that can be combined to address a
wide range of project goals, risks, tensions and returns. In Brazil, PACT coordinates
public funds in the form of government budget allocations and Official Development
Assistance, and also private funds through PES and offset schemes for Brazilian
infrastructure mitigation, water user fees, compensation payments for restoration
and grants and microloans to promote the creation of alternative sources of income.
–	 The number of mechanisms for coordination between public and private
stakeholders at local and global levels is increasing (PPPs and investment funds)
as a result of the multi-actor, multi-level nature of restoration. Local knowledge
is used for prioritisation and mapping of restoration sites (Brazil), and efforts are
being made to pool funds from various sources at the regional level. Coordination
mechanisms vary depending on the scale and the goals of a project, and can be used
in combination, for example by coupling PES schemes (local) and investment funds
(regional) with watershed (public) and offset schemes (private).
Figure 3
Ecosystem restoration cases
Source: PBL
Global
Local
Public Private
National initiative
Public funding
China
Colombia
Local initiative
Private funding
Ethiopia
Global initiative
Private funding
Land Degradation
Neutrality Fund (LDN)
Global initiative
Public funding
Movement towards
integrated landscape
approach
Global Environment
Facility (GEF)
Regional/landscape
initiative
Public and private funding
Brazil
Kenya
pbl.nl
12 | Scaling up investments in Ecosystem Restoration

–	 Addressing coordination issues can help to tackle financing issues. The investment
and maintenance costs of restoration can be greatly reduced by efficient organisation,
clear land tenure arrangements and strong governance, and by building on existing
projects and intrinsic value. This means that part of the cost will be covered by the
landowners themselves, local-level understanding of the business case will help to
reduce the risks of larger scale investments and effective monitoring and enforcement
on the ground will help build up a good investment track record. This has been
observed in the case study from Brazil, where effective coordination facilitated by
a multi-stakeholder platform helps to stimulate bottom-up motivation at the local
level, resulting in the landowners’ greater willingness to cover a larger proportion
of the implementation costs. In addition, search and information costs are greatly
reduced by mapping and targeting those areas with the greatest ecological and socio-
economic importance and prioritising them for investments.
Weaknesses in the case studies include the following:
–	 Lack of financial orchestration at the regional level. Trade-offs between interests
can result in a fragmented approach. In Kenya, the majority of funding is public,
despite huge possible benefits for the private sector and the flower industry. Better
financial orchestration is needed to pool funding from different sectors and allow
for prioritisation of projects. In Brazil there is also scope for a financial orchestrator
with the mandate to integrate funds from various sources.
–	 Scaling up can be limited by a lack of adequate representation and organisational
capacity at the local level. The Colombia case study shows that local stakeholder
involvement has been rather limited and, as a result, local communities do not
wholeheartedly adopt ESR or see its benefits, which could limit the long-term
economic sustainability of restoration efforts (Casey, 2015). In addition, Colombia
does not seem to address multiple ecosystem services and focuses on watershed
services alone, which may limit the possibilities for obtaining additional financing.
The observations from this case study suggest that local stakeholder involvement can
help to prioritise and monitor restoration areas, enforce continued action and provide
local capacity, though the effects are still somewhat limited. Knowledge brokering at
the regional level (for example Brazil’s Atlantic Forest) is beginning to take off via PPPs
but still requires better representation of local stakeholders.
–	 Risk is an issue in terms of the conditions at the initial project stages and affects
the long-term effectiveness of ecosystem restoration. The case study of the Loess
plateau region in China reveals that in areas with higher opportunity costs, the risk
of investments and the uncertainty about returns is likely to affect the long-term
success of ESR projects. One survey highlighted that 56% of farmers in this region
would return to grain farming once subsidies stop in 2018. These issues are being
addressed by initiatives such as the Moringa Fund, Commonland and Initiative
20x20 (Box 1), which utilise guarantees, investment funds, knowledge brokers and
a bottom-up approach to build a convincing investment track record.
13Lessons from practice |

–	 Monitoring and enforcement are lacking in top-down approaches, which is often
due to lack of clear goals for restoration, indicators to measure success, and
local level involvement. In Colombia, 90% of projects measure short-term goals
only, using performance indicators and benchmarks that are often unclear. At the
regional and landscape levels this is improving somewhat (in Brazil for example),
thanks to the development of specific monitoring committees, tools and investment
funds to enforce adherence, but knowledge dissemination, training and the lack
of local involvement and capacity building remain an issue. There are very few
mechanisms for quantitative evaluation of the impact of restoration on ecology,
society and the economy.
Box 1
Recent initiatives
Name Restoration type Financed by
(Public/Private)
Initiated by Active Project Sites
Initiative for
Sustainable
Landscapes (ISLA)
Landscape
restoration and
rehabilitation
Public and
private
PPP Kenya, Ethiopia, Brazil,
Côte d’Ivoire, Vietnam,
Indonesia, Liberia
Althelia Ecosphere Mosaic restoration Public and
private
International
non‑profit
Kenya, Peru, Guatemala,
Brazil
Moringa Fund Mosaic, Landscape
restoration
Public and
private
Private investment
bank, public
sector forestry
commission
Colombia, Peru, Chile,
Brazil, Cameroon, Gabon,
Dem. Congo
Livelihoods Fund
For Family Farming
Mosaic, Landscape
restoration
Private Private sector food
companies (Danone
and Mars, Inc.)
Côte d’Ivoire, Kenya,
Madagascar, India,
Indonesia, Brazil
Commonland Mosaic, Landscape
restoration and
rehabilitation
Public and
private
International
non‑profit,
university, private
foundation
Spain, South Africa,
Western Australia,
The Netherlands
Living Lands Landscape
restoration
Public and
private
Regional non-profit South Africa
Initiative 20x20 Restoration,
rehabilitation,
landscape
restoration
Public and
private
International
research
organisation and
NGOs and national
governments
Mexico, Guatemala, Brazil
(Matto Grosso, Espírito Santo
and São Paulo), Nicaragua,
Honduras, Argentina, Peru,
El Salvador, Costa Rica, Chile,
Colombia and Ecuador
African Forest
Landscape
Restoration
Initiative AFR 100
Restoration,
rehabilitation,
landscape
restoration
Public and
private
International
NGOs and research
organisations,
national
governments
Central African Republic,
Dem. Congo, Ethiopia,
Ghana, Togo, Kenya, Liberia,
Madagascar, Malawi,
Mozambique, Niger, Rwanda,
Togo, Uganda
14 | Scaling up investments in Ecosystem Restoration

Recommendations
Restoration efforts are increasingly moving towards regional/landscape based
approaches in order to leverage private financing to scale up projects. To connect the
local and the global levels and create affinity between public and private actors, there is
a need for competent governance by institutions that pool resources, aggregate projects
and organise payment mechanisms, through investment funds, PPPs, and co-financing.
It is clear that scaling up ESR requires improvements in financing and, more importantly,
coordination.
The trend towards the regional/landscape level approaches increases the difficulty in
coordinating projects and financing, given growing numbers of stakeholder interests
and benefits at different levels, which increases the complexity of coordinating projects
and securing financing. In the cases examined in this research, coordination and
financing are almost never addressed in full, whereas it is clear that improved
coordination can help to decrease the risks of financing and ensure a long term
approach to investments in ESR. To scale up investments in ESR and contribute to
international policy goals, attention needs to be given to the following points:
–	 Develop a strong enabling environment in terms of leveraging finance and
addressing risk and return issues. This requires providing legal clarity and addressing
perverse incentives, developing and supporting mechanisms that address financing
and coordination issues, establishing and monitoring safeguards for investments,
and providing public financing with the expectation of obtaining public and
non‑monetary returns.
–	 Create a strong track record to reduce the risk of investments in ESR. This involves
developing and supporting institutions and organisations which should become
showcases of experience and consistent performance and broker projects and
financing, coordinate priorities and support improved reporting of ESR project
progress at the local level.
15Recommendations |

–	 Avoid reinventing the wheel by promoting higher levels of knowledge sharing
between sectors through specific events and platforms and supporting and
developing green financing schemes for ecological infrastructure, drawing on ideas
from other sectors.
–	 Build knowledge brokering organisations and networks by strengthening existing
networks and supporting the development of regional and local PPP platforms and
coordination institutes.
–	 Advance standards for exploring the potential of ESR projects to reduce the cost
and risk of investments by standardising assessments and introducing improved and
more consistent monitoring and mapping.
16 | Scaling up investments in Ecosystem Restoration

References
Casey, M. (2015, Nov 5). Thinking restoration? Think big and think inclusive. Retrieved Jan 5,
2016, from Forests News: http://blog.cifor.org/37201/thinking-restoration-think-big-
and-think-inclusive?fnl=en
Caspari, T., Alexander, S., ten Brink, B., & Laestedius, L. (2014). Review of Global
Assessments of Land and Ecosystem Degradation and their Relevance in Achieving the
Land‑based Aichi Biodiversity Targets. Korea: CBD, UNEP.
Credit Suisse & McKinsey Center for Business and Environment. (2016). Conservation
Finance. From Niche to Mainstream: The Building of an Institutional Asset Class.
de Groot, R., Blignaut, J., van der Ploeg, S., Aronson, J., Elmqvist, T., & Farley, J. (2013).
Benefits of Investing in Ecosystem Restoration. Conservation Biology, 1286-1293.
Denier, L., Scherr, S., Shames, S., Chatterton, P., Hovani, L., & Stam, N. (2015). The Little
Sustainable Landscapes Book. Oxford: Global Canopy Programme.
EIB, UNEP, Finance in Motion, Climate Bonds Initiative & Clarmondial. (2015). White Paper:
Unlocking Capital for land use and conservation projects. Global Landscapes Forum.
FAO & Global Mechanism of the UNCCD. (2015). Sustainable financing for forest and landscape
restoration - opportunities, challenges and the way forward. Discussion Paper, Rome.
Ferwerda, W. (2015). 4 returns, 3 zones, 20 years: A Holistic Framework for Ecological Restoration
by People and Business for Next Generations. RSM/IUCN CEM.
Gibbs, H., & Salmon, J. (2015). Mapping the world’s degraded lands. Applied Geography,
12-21.
Holl, K., & Howarth, R. (2001). Paying for restoration. Restoration Ecology, 260-267.
Nkonya, E., Anderson, W., Kato, E., Koo, J., Mirzabaev, A., von Braun, J., et al. (2016).
Global Cost of Land Degradation. In E. Nkonya, A. Mirzabaev, & von Braun, J.,
Economics of Land Degradation and Improvement – A Global Assessment for Sustainable
Development (pp. 117-165).
Shames, S., Hill Clarvis, M., & Kissinger, G. (2014). Financing Strategies for Integrated
Landscape Investment. Washington, DC: Landscapes for People, Food and Nature.
UNCCD. (2015). The Land in Numbers. Bonn, Germany: United Nations Convention to
Combat Desertification.
van Schaick, L., & Dinnissen, R. (2014). Terra Incognita:land degradation as underestimated
threat amplifier. The Hague: Clingendael Institute.
Wentink, C. (2015). Landscape restoration: New directions in global governance; the case of the
Global Partnership on Forest and Landscape Restoration and the Bonn Challenge. The Hague:
PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency.
PBL Netherlands Environmental
Assessment Agency
Mailing address
Postbus 30314
2500 GH The Hague
The Netherlands
Visiting address
Oranjebuitensingel 6
2511 VE The Hague
T +31 (0)70 3288700
www.pbl.nl/en
June 2016

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pbl-2016-scaling-up-investments-in-ecosystem-restoration_2088

  • 1. SCALING UP INVESTMENTS IN ECOSYSTEM RESTORATION THE KEY ISSUES: FINANCING AND COORDINATION PBL Policy Brief
  • 2.
  • 3. Scaling up investments in Ecosystem Restoration The key issues: financing and coordination Annelies Sewell, Jetske Bouma and Stefan van der Esch PBL Policy Brief
  • 4. Scaling Up Investments in Ecosystem Restoration The key issues: financing and coordination PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency The Hague, 2016 PBL publication number: 2088 Corresponding author Annelies Sewell, annelies.sewell@pbl.nl Authors Annelies Sewell, Jetske Bouma and Stefan van der Esch Graphics Beeldredactie PBL Editing and production PBL Publishers and Michael van Laake Layout Textcetera, The Hague Parts of this publication may be reproduced, providing the source is stated, in the form: Sewell, A., Bouma, J., and van der Esch, S., (2016). Scaling Up Investments in Ecosystem Restoration. The key issues: financing and coordination. The Hague: PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency. This publication can be downloaded from: www.pbl.nl/en. PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency is the national institute for strategic policy analysis in the field of environment, nature and spatial planning. We contribute to improving the quality of political and administrative decision-making by conducting outlook studies, analyses and evaluations in which an integrated approach is considered paramount. Policy relevance is the prime concern in all our studies. We conduct solicited and unsolicited research that is both independent and scientifically sound. This policy brief is based on Sewell, A., Bouma, J., and van der Esch, S (2016). Investigating the challenges and opportunities for scaling up Ecosystem Restoration. The Hague: PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency.
  • 5. Contents Introduction 4 The importance and potential of ecosystem restoration  4 Bottlenecks and approaches  6 Financing issues are limiting investments in ecosystem restoration  6 Coordination issues are limiting investments in ecosystem restoration  8 Lessons from practice  10 Recommendations 14 References 16
  • 6.  4 | Scaling up investments in Ecosystem Restoration Introduction The importance and potential of ecosystem restoration Land degradation – both a global and a local issue An estimated 12 million hectares of land are being degraded globally each year (UNCCD, 2015). Currently 1.9 billion of the Earth’s total 13 billion hectares are considered degraded, primarily in central Asia, South America and Sub-Saharan Africa, in humid and dryland areas, in cropland, grassland, pasture and forested ecosystems (Gibbs & Salmon, 2015; Nkonya, Mirzabaev, & von Braun, 2016). Degraded lands cannot provide the ecosystem services important for human well-being, and therefore constitute a welfare loss. Ecosystem restoration has the potential to combine the global policy agendas of biodiversity protection, climate mitigation, and food security Restoration of degraded ecosystems poses an opportunity to reverse the process of land degradation by undertaking mosaic, wide-scale or landscape scale efforts to re-establish the natural state (ecological restoration) and regain productivity (rehabilitation). Ecosystem restoration (ESR) can, under the right circumstances, not only increase land productivity but also promote economic growth and social cohesion (Caspari et al., 2014). It provides local benefits, in terms of food security and enhanced smallholder resilience, regional benefits, such as improved water provision, and global benefits, including biodiversity conservation and climate change mitigation, making ESR a promising approach for reaching some of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). As such, ESR is increasingly the focus of discussion in the international community and national governments, and particularly by the United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD) regarding Goal 15 — Life on Land. However, while the number of restoration projects is on the rise, alongside national government pledges for restoration — Great Green Wall (2010), Bonn Challenge (2011), New York Declaration on Forests (2014), African Forest Landscape Restoration Initiative (2015) — a significant scaling up of efforts does not seem to be taking place (Wentink, 2015; Ferwerda, 2015).
  • 7.  5Introduction | Financing and coordination issues are limiting the scaling up of investments in ecosystem restoration Though ESR investments require significant amounts of resources (inputs, labour, organisational capacity), multiple studies indicate that the socio-economic benefits greatly outweigh the costs (de Groot et al., 2013; Holl & Howarth, 2000). Several studies indicate that financing is an important bottleneck (Credit Suisse & McKinsey, 2016; Shames, Hill Clarvis, & Kissinger, 2014) and here we argue that lack of coordination also plays an important role. The term coordination is used to refer to regional, network- based mechanisms to organise and regulate activities between various actors, knowledge platforms and payment mechanisms. As ecosystem restoration requires creating affinity between the local and global levels and aligning public and private interests, it is crucial that financing and coordination issues are jointly addressed. The investment and maintenance costs of restoration can be greatly reduced by efficient organisation, clear land tenure arrangements and strong governance, and by building on existing projects and intrinsic value. Given the scale of land degradation and its implications for human well-being, there is an urgent need to tap into the potential of restoration as a promising solution, taking advantage of growing support from the international community and national policy makers. In the face of the key bottlenecks, the central question is how investments in ESR can be scaled up. Based on an in-depth background report, this policy brief highlights the main arguments for demanding more attention for financing and coordination to scale up ESR and provides recommendations for policy makers, particularly with regard to the development of a strong enabling environment. We have conducted interviews with key players, collected peer-reviewed and grey literature and attended a series of workshops and conferences to test and confirm the relevance of our focus and our approach.
  • 8. 6 | Scaling up investments in Ecosystem Restoration  Bottlenecks and approaches Financing issues are limiting investments in ecosystem restoration – Start-up and maintenance costs. During the initial years of restoration projects, these expenses are perceived as high, while only few tangible benefits are obtained. Context specificity, lack of standardised costs and the limited level of sharing of best practices add to huge cost variations among projects, resulting in increased investment risk. – Investment returns and cost recovery. Studies have shown that ESR projects can achieve net benefits in many ecosystems. However, estimating returns is often a complex task which depends on many assumptions. The reason being that ESR project returns vary in form (public - private, monetary - non-monetary), location of delivery (local - global) and time frame (short - long term), all of which add to the risk of investment, uncertainty among larger investors about security against loans and concerns with regard to cost recovery and non-monetary returns, such as improved health and restored landscapes. – Risks and uncertainty. The high level of risk and uncertainty in ESR investments is partly caused by the lack of an investment track record, long project timescales, project size, uncertainty in costs and presence of public non-monetary returns. Risks can be grouped into various categories including novelty, externality, longevity, capacity and technical and regulatory risk.
  • 9. 7Bottlenecks and approaches |  Financial instruments for different types of investors, risks and expected benefits The range of financial instruments to suit various risk profiles, terms of investment and expected returns (Figure 1) can be grouped into three categories. Enabling instruments help to link public and private financing by reducing initial costs (grants and technical assistance), opportunity costs and free-riding, by enforcing public good delivery (fiscal incentives and law), supporting the development of market-based instruments such as Payment for Ecosystem Services (PES) and land tenure security (regulation), and lowering the risk of investment (guarantees). Asset instruments help to deliver return on public or private investment and include more traditional tools, such as equity and debt. Market-based instruments help to align public and private interests (green bonds, PES, offsetting, insurance). Figure 1 Investors, finance mechanisms, risk and instruments Source: Several sources; compiled and edited by PBL 2016 BondsSenior loansMezzanineGuaranteesConcessional loansFiscal PES DebtJunior loansEquityCertificationGrants/ donations MainstreamIncubation Scaling (fees) Environmental returns Financial returns Pension Funds Impact investors BanksFundsPPPsNGOs Development banks Governments Lower Lower Private Mature Mature Cost of capital Risk Investors and mechanisms Project progress Expected returns Instruments Higher Higher Public Early Early MatureEarly Social returns (services) (products) pbl.nl
  • 10. 8 | Scaling up investments in Ecosystem Restoration  Coordination issues are limiting investments in ecosystem restoration – Search and information costs. Securing sufficient return on investment requires effective project targeting and prioritisation and collecting information on two determining factors: the biophysical characteristics of the ecosystem and its socio-economic conditions. Local participation reduces the costs of optimal targeting, but requires organisation. It is not yet clear to what extent standardised methods could increase efficiency in this regard. – Organisation and representation. Often, the various beneficiaries of ESR are not well-organised, and nor are the actors who make the investments on the ground. Organising multiple stakeholders, ensuring that their interests are well-represented, and setting up effective decision-making and coordination procedures requires substantial investments, particularly when there is a lack of local and regional institutions. – Monitoring and enforcement. There needs to be agreement on how responsibilities are allocated and how the costs and benefits of ESR are shared. To guarantee an ESR project produces returns, monitoring and evaluation systems are required to assess progress, make necessary adjustments, provide data to establish the distribution of benefits and facilitate long-term sustainable resource management. Coordination mechanisms for linking actors, scales and financing mechanisms Specific organisations and mechanisms, such as PPPs, Investment Funds and PES schemes, are required to coordinate the various financing instruments available, and represent the range of public-private and local-global stakeholder interests. They must also coordinate knowledge aimed at site prioritisation and targeting, link the available finance to projects on the ground and aid monitoring and enforcement to ensure service delivery along project timelines and bring together buyers and sellers of ecosystem services (Figure 2).
  • 11. 9Bottlenecks and approaches |  Figure 2 Interaction between scales is necessary Source: PBL Local needs and development Local knowledge networks Local regulation/ implementation Global public goods and services International networks International agreements and financing Interests Knowledge and representation Organisation and enabling environment Carbon sequestration Watershed services Provisioning services UNCCD PPPs Community-based management GEF Investment funds PES pbl.nl
  • 12. 10 | Scaling up investments in Ecosystem Restoration  Lessons from practice Cases reveal a trend towards a regional approach to ecosystem restoration To identify financing and coordination issues in practice, we explored the strengths and weaknesses of a specially selected set of cases. Apart from the availability of sufficient project data, projects were chosen on the basis of an analytical framework grounded in relevant literature. The framework focuses specifically on the concept of ecosystem services, since ESR is ultimately about the restoration of ecosystem service provisioning, which requires attention for scales of delivery (local - global) and types of services (private - public) (Figure 3). It is interesting to note that large-scale private financing is mostly absent or still in development (Land Degradation Neutrality Fund), and that at present, most cases fall in the public-local frame (China, Colombia). However, funding is also arriving from the public-global frame (Global Environment Facility), with a general trend towards private sector inclusion at the regional level, where there is a mix of restoration and rehabilitation projects to suit different interests (Brazil, Kenya). What is meant by regional/landscape is an initiative within a country. The regional approach is not necessarily better but seems to address tensions between scales and interests. Our selection of cases comprises China’s Loess Plateau, Colombia’s watershed restoration, Ethiopia’s Tigray region, Brazil’s Atlantic Forest, and Kenya’s Lake Naivasha. Strengths observed in the case studies include: – A strong enabling environment. Clear land tenure rights, firm political commitment and on-the-ground support appear to be key ingredients for the mobilisation of financing for wide-scale restoration efforts. Regulation helps to reduce initial costs and increase local stakeholder participation by establishing clear land rights and reducing opportunity costs. For example, the projects in China and Colombia are located in degraded and sloping areas with low opportunity costs and received adequate initial public financing. In China, opportunity costs were further decreased by the 1999 government regulations which introduced a ban on tree felling, grazing and growing crops on slopes. The project in Ethiopia is supported by a government policy which ensures clear land rights and food aid in exchange for 20 to 40 days per year of compulsory restoration work by the local farmers (Denier et al., 2015). – Private financing can play a role in ecosystem restoration, given the scale of the restoration challenge. The tendency to move from national approaches (China, Colombia) towards regional, mosaic and landscape efforts (Kenya, Brazil) produces several ESR benefits which are more marketable and therefore well- suited to a privately financed restoration model, although, once again, clear land
  • 13. 11Lessons from practice |  tenure arrangements are a key requirement. Alternatively, private investors could support ESR through green bonds or specific funds operated by PPPs. The move towards regional-level approaches brings with it a diversification of cost recovery instruments that can help to align public and private interests. Of course there is no ‘silver bullet’ but an array of instruments that can be combined to address a wide range of project goals, risks, tensions and returns. In Brazil, PACT coordinates public funds in the form of government budget allocations and Official Development Assistance, and also private funds through PES and offset schemes for Brazilian infrastructure mitigation, water user fees, compensation payments for restoration and grants and microloans to promote the creation of alternative sources of income. – The number of mechanisms for coordination between public and private stakeholders at local and global levels is increasing (PPPs and investment funds) as a result of the multi-actor, multi-level nature of restoration. Local knowledge is used for prioritisation and mapping of restoration sites (Brazil), and efforts are being made to pool funds from various sources at the regional level. Coordination mechanisms vary depending on the scale and the goals of a project, and can be used in combination, for example by coupling PES schemes (local) and investment funds (regional) with watershed (public) and offset schemes (private). Figure 3 Ecosystem restoration cases Source: PBL Global Local Public Private National initiative Public funding China Colombia Local initiative Private funding Ethiopia Global initiative Private funding Land Degradation Neutrality Fund (LDN) Global initiative Public funding Movement towards integrated landscape approach Global Environment Facility (GEF) Regional/landscape initiative Public and private funding Brazil Kenya pbl.nl
  • 14. 12 | Scaling up investments in Ecosystem Restoration  – Addressing coordination issues can help to tackle financing issues. The investment and maintenance costs of restoration can be greatly reduced by efficient organisation, clear land tenure arrangements and strong governance, and by building on existing projects and intrinsic value. This means that part of the cost will be covered by the landowners themselves, local-level understanding of the business case will help to reduce the risks of larger scale investments and effective monitoring and enforcement on the ground will help build up a good investment track record. This has been observed in the case study from Brazil, where effective coordination facilitated by a multi-stakeholder platform helps to stimulate bottom-up motivation at the local level, resulting in the landowners’ greater willingness to cover a larger proportion of the implementation costs. In addition, search and information costs are greatly reduced by mapping and targeting those areas with the greatest ecological and socio- economic importance and prioritising them for investments. Weaknesses in the case studies include the following: – Lack of financial orchestration at the regional level. Trade-offs between interests can result in a fragmented approach. In Kenya, the majority of funding is public, despite huge possible benefits for the private sector and the flower industry. Better financial orchestration is needed to pool funding from different sectors and allow for prioritisation of projects. In Brazil there is also scope for a financial orchestrator with the mandate to integrate funds from various sources. – Scaling up can be limited by a lack of adequate representation and organisational capacity at the local level. The Colombia case study shows that local stakeholder involvement has been rather limited and, as a result, local communities do not wholeheartedly adopt ESR or see its benefits, which could limit the long-term economic sustainability of restoration efforts (Casey, 2015). In addition, Colombia does not seem to address multiple ecosystem services and focuses on watershed services alone, which may limit the possibilities for obtaining additional financing. The observations from this case study suggest that local stakeholder involvement can help to prioritise and monitor restoration areas, enforce continued action and provide local capacity, though the effects are still somewhat limited. Knowledge brokering at the regional level (for example Brazil’s Atlantic Forest) is beginning to take off via PPPs but still requires better representation of local stakeholders. – Risk is an issue in terms of the conditions at the initial project stages and affects the long-term effectiveness of ecosystem restoration. The case study of the Loess plateau region in China reveals that in areas with higher opportunity costs, the risk of investments and the uncertainty about returns is likely to affect the long-term success of ESR projects. One survey highlighted that 56% of farmers in this region would return to grain farming once subsidies stop in 2018. These issues are being addressed by initiatives such as the Moringa Fund, Commonland and Initiative 20x20 (Box 1), which utilise guarantees, investment funds, knowledge brokers and a bottom-up approach to build a convincing investment track record.
  • 15. 13Lessons from practice |  – Monitoring and enforcement are lacking in top-down approaches, which is often due to lack of clear goals for restoration, indicators to measure success, and local level involvement. In Colombia, 90% of projects measure short-term goals only, using performance indicators and benchmarks that are often unclear. At the regional and landscape levels this is improving somewhat (in Brazil for example), thanks to the development of specific monitoring committees, tools and investment funds to enforce adherence, but knowledge dissemination, training and the lack of local involvement and capacity building remain an issue. There are very few mechanisms for quantitative evaluation of the impact of restoration on ecology, society and the economy. Box 1 Recent initiatives Name Restoration type Financed by (Public/Private) Initiated by Active Project Sites Initiative for Sustainable Landscapes (ISLA) Landscape restoration and rehabilitation Public and private PPP Kenya, Ethiopia, Brazil, Côte d’Ivoire, Vietnam, Indonesia, Liberia Althelia Ecosphere Mosaic restoration Public and private International non‑profit Kenya, Peru, Guatemala, Brazil Moringa Fund Mosaic, Landscape restoration Public and private Private investment bank, public sector forestry commission Colombia, Peru, Chile, Brazil, Cameroon, Gabon, Dem. Congo Livelihoods Fund For Family Farming Mosaic, Landscape restoration Private Private sector food companies (Danone and Mars, Inc.) Côte d’Ivoire, Kenya, Madagascar, India, Indonesia, Brazil Commonland Mosaic, Landscape restoration and rehabilitation Public and private International non‑profit, university, private foundation Spain, South Africa, Western Australia, The Netherlands Living Lands Landscape restoration Public and private Regional non-profit South Africa Initiative 20x20 Restoration, rehabilitation, landscape restoration Public and private International research organisation and NGOs and national governments Mexico, Guatemala, Brazil (Matto Grosso, Espírito Santo and São Paulo), Nicaragua, Honduras, Argentina, Peru, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Chile, Colombia and Ecuador African Forest Landscape Restoration Initiative AFR 100 Restoration, rehabilitation, landscape restoration Public and private International NGOs and research organisations, national governments Central African Republic, Dem. Congo, Ethiopia, Ghana, Togo, Kenya, Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Mozambique, Niger, Rwanda, Togo, Uganda
  • 16. 14 | Scaling up investments in Ecosystem Restoration  Recommendations Restoration efforts are increasingly moving towards regional/landscape based approaches in order to leverage private financing to scale up projects. To connect the local and the global levels and create affinity between public and private actors, there is a need for competent governance by institutions that pool resources, aggregate projects and organise payment mechanisms, through investment funds, PPPs, and co-financing. It is clear that scaling up ESR requires improvements in financing and, more importantly, coordination. The trend towards the regional/landscape level approaches increases the difficulty in coordinating projects and financing, given growing numbers of stakeholder interests and benefits at different levels, which increases the complexity of coordinating projects and securing financing. In the cases examined in this research, coordination and financing are almost never addressed in full, whereas it is clear that improved coordination can help to decrease the risks of financing and ensure a long term approach to investments in ESR. To scale up investments in ESR and contribute to international policy goals, attention needs to be given to the following points: – Develop a strong enabling environment in terms of leveraging finance and addressing risk and return issues. This requires providing legal clarity and addressing perverse incentives, developing and supporting mechanisms that address financing and coordination issues, establishing and monitoring safeguards for investments, and providing public financing with the expectation of obtaining public and non‑monetary returns. – Create a strong track record to reduce the risk of investments in ESR. This involves developing and supporting institutions and organisations which should become showcases of experience and consistent performance and broker projects and financing, coordinate priorities and support improved reporting of ESR project progress at the local level.
  • 17. 15Recommendations |  – Avoid reinventing the wheel by promoting higher levels of knowledge sharing between sectors through specific events and platforms and supporting and developing green financing schemes for ecological infrastructure, drawing on ideas from other sectors. – Build knowledge brokering organisations and networks by strengthening existing networks and supporting the development of regional and local PPP platforms and coordination institutes. – Advance standards for exploring the potential of ESR projects to reduce the cost and risk of investments by standardising assessments and introducing improved and more consistent monitoring and mapping.
  • 18. 16 | Scaling up investments in Ecosystem Restoration  References Casey, M. (2015, Nov 5). Thinking restoration? Think big and think inclusive. Retrieved Jan 5, 2016, from Forests News: http://blog.cifor.org/37201/thinking-restoration-think-big- and-think-inclusive?fnl=en Caspari, T., Alexander, S., ten Brink, B., & Laestedius, L. (2014). Review of Global Assessments of Land and Ecosystem Degradation and their Relevance in Achieving the Land‑based Aichi Biodiversity Targets. Korea: CBD, UNEP. Credit Suisse & McKinsey Center for Business and Environment. (2016). Conservation Finance. From Niche to Mainstream: The Building of an Institutional Asset Class. de Groot, R., Blignaut, J., van der Ploeg, S., Aronson, J., Elmqvist, T., & Farley, J. (2013). Benefits of Investing in Ecosystem Restoration. Conservation Biology, 1286-1293. Denier, L., Scherr, S., Shames, S., Chatterton, P., Hovani, L., & Stam, N. (2015). The Little Sustainable Landscapes Book. Oxford: Global Canopy Programme. EIB, UNEP, Finance in Motion, Climate Bonds Initiative & Clarmondial. (2015). White Paper: Unlocking Capital for land use and conservation projects. Global Landscapes Forum. FAO & Global Mechanism of the UNCCD. (2015). Sustainable financing for forest and landscape restoration - opportunities, challenges and the way forward. Discussion Paper, Rome. Ferwerda, W. (2015). 4 returns, 3 zones, 20 years: A Holistic Framework for Ecological Restoration by People and Business for Next Generations. RSM/IUCN CEM. Gibbs, H., & Salmon, J. (2015). Mapping the world’s degraded lands. Applied Geography, 12-21. Holl, K., & Howarth, R. (2001). Paying for restoration. Restoration Ecology, 260-267. Nkonya, E., Anderson, W., Kato, E., Koo, J., Mirzabaev, A., von Braun, J., et al. (2016). Global Cost of Land Degradation. In E. Nkonya, A. Mirzabaev, & von Braun, J., Economics of Land Degradation and Improvement – A Global Assessment for Sustainable Development (pp. 117-165). Shames, S., Hill Clarvis, M., & Kissinger, G. (2014). Financing Strategies for Integrated Landscape Investment. Washington, DC: Landscapes for People, Food and Nature. UNCCD. (2015). The Land in Numbers. Bonn, Germany: United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification. van Schaick, L., & Dinnissen, R. (2014). Terra Incognita:land degradation as underestimated threat amplifier. The Hague: Clingendael Institute. Wentink, C. (2015). Landscape restoration: New directions in global governance; the case of the Global Partnership on Forest and Landscape Restoration and the Bonn Challenge. The Hague: PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency.
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  • 20. PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency Mailing address Postbus 30314 2500 GH The Hague The Netherlands Visiting address Oranjebuitensingel 6 2511 VE The Hague T +31 (0)70 3288700 www.pbl.nl/en June 2016