3. Markets
ī Primary markets
īŽ
New issues (IPOâs, corporate and public
debt)
ī Secondary markets
īŽ
Trading old stuff
īŽ
In many cases most activity in secondary
4. Money and Capital Markets
ī Money markets
īŽ
Short term securities (1 year or less)
ī Capital markets
īŽ
Longer term
5. Money Market Securities
ī Treasury bills
īŽ
U.S. government debt
īŽ
Short term (less than 1 year)
ī Commercial paper
īŽ
Short term corporate borrowing
ī Discount pricing
īŽ
Buy for $10, get paid $11 in future
īŽ
No interest payments
9. U.S. Stock Markets
ī New York Stock Exchange (NYSE)
ī National Association of Securities
Dealers Automated Quotation (Nasdaq)
īŽ
American Stock Exchange (AMEX)
11. ECNâs: Electronic Crossing
Networks
ī Internet based trade networks
ī Customers can meet directly (no broker)
ī Used mostly by professional money
managers
ī Advantage: fewer intermediaries
ī Disadvantage: less liquidity
īŽ
(Fewer people to trade with)
ī Fastest growing markets
13. International Markets
ī Many major international stock markets
īŽ
London
īŽ
Tokyo
īŽ
China
īŽ
many more
ī US accounts for only 36% of the
companies listed on stock markets
around the world
14. International Investments
ī Purchase stocks or bonds in foreign countries
ī Purchase shares in foreign firms in U.S.
(American Depository Receipts) ($/English)
ī Bonds can be issued in different currencies
īŽ
Eurobond: Intel issues $ denominated bond in
Japan
15. Trading Hours
ī Most U.S. stock markets
īŽ
9:30-4:00
ī Extended hours on electronic trading
networks
ī âAfter hours tradingâ
ī International markets (local times)
ī Foreign exchange markets (24 hours)
ī Hours increasing : toward a 24 hour market
18. Market Order
ī Buy or sell at the current market price
ī No restrictions
ī âBuy 50 shares at marketâ
19. Limit Orders
ī Buy when price drops below a limit
ī Sell when price moves above a limit
ī Example
īŽ
Limit buy at 50 (price at 60)
īŽ
Stock moves to 55 (nothing happens)
īŽ
Stock moves to 49 (order executed)
ī Advantage
īŽ
Might end up with a better price
ī Disadvantage
īŽ
Order might end up unfilled
20. Brokers
ī Enable trading of financial services
ī Dealer function
ī Access
īŽ
Mail
īŽ
Phone
īŽ
Internet
21. Types of Brokers
ī Full service
īŽ
Extensive research
īŽ
Merrill Lynch
ī Premium discount
īŽ
Limited research
īŽ
Charles Schwab
ī Basic discount
īŽ
No research
īŽ
E*trade
ī Classification is difficult
24. Bid/ask Spread
ī Example:
īŽ
Ask = 88.5 (buy)
īŽ
Bid = 88 (sell)
ī Spreads may change
īŽ
Over time
īŽ
Over stocks
ī Reveal the ease of trading a stock
īŽ
âLiquidityâ again
25. Order Books
ī Order book
īŽ
List of current limit buy and sell orders
ī If you want to buy
īŽ
Can âhitâ limit sell orders
īŽ
Walk up the book
īŽ
Higher price for more stock
ī If you want to sell
īŽ
Can âhitâ limit buy orders
īŽ
Walk down the book
ī ECNâs and visible order books
29. Margin Purchase
ī âBuying on marginâ
ī Borrow money to buy stock
ī Buy at 75% margin
īŽ
75% of money in investment is yours
īŽ
25% is borrowed from broker or bank
ī Purchase $100 of stock at 75% margin
īŽ
You put in $75, and you borrow $25
31. Margins and Magnification
ī Example stock: Price = $100
īŽ
Up: Price = $150
īŽ
Down: Price = $75
ī If you purchased with your own money
īŽ
$100 total investment
īŽ
Up: + $50
īŽ
Down: - $25
32. Margins and Magnification
ī Buy on 50% margin (zero interest
charges)
ī $100 own, and $100 borrowed (needs
to be paid back)
ī Purchase $200/$100 shares = 2 shares
īŽ
$100 total investment
īŽ
Up: 2*150 - 100 - 100 = $100 (50)
īŽ
Down: 2*75 - 100 - 100 = $-50 (-25)
33. Margin Buying
ī Borrowing money to buy stocks
ī Magnifies gains and losses
ī Can lose more than you put in
īŽ
Buy $200 of stock
īĩ
$100 your own
īĩ
$100 borrowed
īŽ
Stock goes to zero
īĩ
Lose $100 of own investment, and
īĩ
Owe $100 of borrowed money too
34. Maintenance Margins
ī Margin required for investor to maintain
ī If margin falls below this level investors
must add more of their own money
ī âMargin callâ
ī Common margin call
īŽ
Prices fall
īŽ
Margin rises
īŽ
Investor needs to come up with more funds
36. Short Sales
ī Holding negative stock
īŽ
Sell stock you donât have (borrow)
īŽ
Buy it back later
īŽ
Pay dividends yourself in between
ī Key issue
īŽ
Make money on a price fall
īŽ
Lose money on a rise
ī Betting against a stock
37. The Mechanics of a Short
ī Tell broker you want to sell 100 shares of IBM
short (price = $50)
ī Broker âborrowsâ shares of 100 shares of IBM
owned by another client
ī Sells it to someone for 50*100=5000, and
pays this to you
ī You must keep this amount on account with
broker
ī When dividends are to be paid, you pay
broker, and broker pays the other client
38. The Mechanics of a Short
ī IBM goes down to $40 per share
ī You âbuyâ your 100 shares to take you back to zero,
pay broker 40*100=4000.
ī Broker buys at market, and puts the shares back in
the other personâs account
ī You make 5000-4000 = 1000 (less dividends)
ī Make money when price falls
ī Lose money when price rises
39. The Mechanics of a Short
ī IBM goes up to $60 per share
ī You âbuyâ your 100 shares to take you back to zero,
pay broker 60*100=6000.
ī Broker buys at market, and puts the shares back in
the other personâs account
ī You lose 5000-6000 = -1000 (less dividends)
40. Margins and Shorts
ī Broker requires additional funds to cover
possible losses
ī Fraction of additional sale amount
ī Example
īŽ
Sell $5000 worth of stock at 50% margin
īŽ
Need to keep 1.5*5000 = 7500 on account with
the broker
īŽ
When the price goes up, need to increase this
īŽ
âMargin callâ
41. Oddities About Shorts
ī Can lose unbounded amounts of money
īŽ
Normally only lose what you put in
īŽ
With short price can go up forever, and your losses keep
increasing
ī Also, broker can get in trouble if you default
īŽ
Other customer could lose original shares
īŽ
Often insured for this
42. Short Interest
ī Fraction of shares sold short
ī Measure of market pessimism in a
stock
ī Common market indicator
ī Measures market pessimism
43. Squeeze Play
ī Assume Microsoft has a large number
of short sellers
ī Price starts to rise
īŽ
Short sellers losing money
īŽ
Get nervous
īŽ
Buy stock to close out their short positions
īŽ
Prices rise more, more buying .. (etc. etc)
45. Information Sources
ī Private
īŽ
Quicken and Yahoo finance
īŽ
Wall St. Journal (fee)
īŽ
Value line and Standard and Poors (fee)
īŽ
Brokerage firms
īŽ
Corporations
ī Government
īŽ
Federal Reserve
īŽ
SEC
46. Information Sources
ī Key publications
īŽ
Economic information
īĩ
Federal reserve bulletins (economic info)
īŽ
Firm/investment data
īĩ
Value Line Survey
īĩ
Standard and Poorâs Handbook
īĩ
Security firm reports
īĩ
Firm annual reports
47. The Internet and Investing
ī Cheap and accessible information
ī Investor tools
īŽ
Charts
īŽ
Screening
īŽ
Calculators
ī Online trading
48. Investment Information on the
Web
ī News articles
īŽ
NY times
īŽ
CBS Market watch
īŽ
CNN financial
49. More Investment Information
ī Stock information
īŽ
Yahoo
īŽ
Google
īŽ
Quicken
ī Historical information
īŽ
Yahoo
īŽ
Datastream (fee)
īŽ
Bloomberg (fee)
51. More (biased) Information
ī Firm annual reports and accounting info
ī Analyst information
īŽ
Analysts recommend (buy, sell, hold)
īŽ
Problems:
īĩ
Firms often are biased in what they tell analysts
īĩ
Analysts are biased since stocks they analyze
can be their own clients
55. Index Construction
ī Weighted sum
ī Weighting options
īŽ
Equal w = (1/N)
īŽ
Relative value of the firm (S&P, NASDAQ)
īĩ
Value weighting
īŽ
Odd (Dow Jones)
Pt,I = wj Pt,j
j=1
N
â
1= wj
j=1
N
â
56. Index Uses
ī Summary of the market
ī Investor benchmark (performance
check)
īŽ
Compare own result to index
ī Investment target
īŽ
Index mutual fund
57. Index Problems
ī Index is not constant
īŽ
Additions and removals
īŽ
Changing weights
ī As stock increases in value, share in
index increases
ī Index can drift towards growing sectors
in the market