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Securities Markets
Economics 71a
Spring 2007
Mayo, Chapter 3
Lecture notes 2.3
Outline
īƒ Markets
īƒ Orders
īƒ Positions
īƒ Information
Markets
īƒ Primary markets
īŽ
New issues (IPO’s, corporate and public
debt)
īƒ Secondary markets
īŽ
Trading old stuff
īŽ
In many cases most activity in secondary
Money and Capital Markets
īƒ Money markets
īŽ
Short term securities (1 year or less)
īƒ Capital markets
īŽ
Longer term
Money Market Securities
īƒ  Treasury bills
īŽ
U.S. government debt
īŽ
Short term (less than 1 year)
īƒ  Commercial paper
īŽ
Short term corporate borrowing
īƒ  Discount pricing
īŽ
Buy for $10, get paid $11 in future
īŽ
No interest payments
Capital Market Securities
īƒ Bonds (longer term borrowing)
īŽ
U.S. Treasury
īŽ
Municipal (tax free)
īŽ
Corporate
īŽ
More later
Capital Market Securities
īƒ Stocks
īŽ
Common stock
īŽ
Preferred stock
īŽ
International
īŽ
More later
Trading and Secondary
Markets
īƒ Stock markets
īƒ Bond markets
īƒ Derivatives
īƒ Foreign Exchange
U.S. Stock Markets
īƒ New York Stock Exchange (NYSE)
īƒ National Association of Securities
Dealers Automated Quotation (Nasdaq)
īŽ
American Stock Exchange (AMEX)
Continuous Trading
īƒ Market types
īŽ
Specialist
īŽ
Electronic dealer
īŽ
Open outcry
īŽ
Over the counter
īĩ
NASDAQ
īĩ
Upstairs (negotiated)
īĩ
ECN (electronic crossing network)
ECN’s: Electronic Crossing
Networks
īƒ  Internet based trade networks
īƒ  Customers can meet directly (no broker)
īƒ  Used mostly by professional money
managers
īƒ  Advantage: fewer intermediaries
īƒ  Disadvantage: less liquidity
īŽ
(Fewer people to trade with)
īƒ  Fastest growing markets
Other Markets
īƒ Futures/Options
īƒ Foreign Exchange
īŽ
Spot versus forward
īƒ Bond
International Markets
īƒ Many major international stock markets
īŽ
London
īŽ
Tokyo
īŽ
China
īŽ
many more
īƒ US accounts for only 36% of the
companies listed on stock markets
around the world
International Investments
īƒ  Purchase stocks or bonds in foreign countries
īƒ  Purchase shares in foreign firms in U.S.
(American Depository Receipts) ($/English)
īƒ  Bonds can be issued in different currencies
īŽ
Eurobond: Intel issues $ denominated bond in
Japan
Trading Hours
īƒ  Most U.S. stock markets
īŽ
9:30-4:00
īƒ  Extended hours on electronic trading
networks
īƒ  “After hours trading”
īƒ  International markets (local times)
īƒ  Foreign exchange markets (24 hours)
īƒ  Hours increasing : toward a 24 hour market
Outline
īƒ Markets
īƒ Orders
īƒ Positions
īƒ Information
Types of Orders
īƒ Market order
īƒ Limit order
Market Order
īƒ Buy or sell at the current market price
īƒ No restrictions
īƒ â€œBuy 50 shares at market”
Limit Orders
īƒ  Buy when price drops below a limit
īƒ  Sell when price moves above a limit
īƒ  Example
īŽ
Limit buy at 50 (price at 60)
īŽ
Stock moves to 55 (nothing happens)
īŽ
Stock moves to 49 (order executed)
īƒ  Advantage
īŽ
Might end up with a better price
īƒ  Disadvantage
īŽ
Order might end up unfilled
Brokers
īƒ  Enable trading of financial services
īƒ  Dealer function
īƒ  Access
īŽ
Mail
īŽ
Phone
īŽ
Internet
Types of Brokers
īƒ  Full service
īŽ
Extensive research
īŽ
Merrill Lynch
īƒ  Premium discount
īŽ
Limited research
īŽ
Charles Schwab
īƒ  Basic discount
īŽ
No research
īŽ
E*trade
īƒ  Classification is difficult
Transaction Costs
īƒ Commissions
īƒ Bid/ask spreads
Costs of Trading
īƒ Commissions
īŽ
Fixed
īŽ
Negotiated
īŽ
Varying structures (fixed + varying)
īĩ
$20 + shares * C
īƒ Bid/ask spread
īĩ
Buy at the ask
īĩ
Sell at the bid
Bid/ask Spread
īƒ Example:
īŽ
Ask = 88.5 (buy)
īŽ
Bid = 88 (sell)
īƒ Spreads may change
īŽ
Over time
īŽ
Over stocks
īƒ Reveal the ease of trading a stock
īŽ
“Liquidity” again
Order Books
īƒ  Order book
īŽ
List of current limit buy and sell orders
īƒ  If you want to buy
īŽ
Can “hit” limit sell orders
īŽ
Walk up the book
īŽ
Higher price for more stock
īƒ  If you want to sell
īŽ
Can “hit” limit buy orders
īŽ
Walk down the book
īƒ  ECN’s and visible order books
Settlement and Delivery
īƒ Settlement dates
īŽ
Usually trade date + 3 days
īƒ Take delivery or leave shares with
broker (street name)
Outline
īƒ Markets
īƒ Orders
īƒ Positions
īƒ Information
Long Purchase
īƒ Straight purchase of a security
īƒ Speculate that price will increase
īŽ
Buy at 100
īŽ
Sell at 110
īŽ
10% return
Margin Purchase
īƒ â€œBuying on margin”
īƒ Borrow money to buy stock
īƒ Buy at 75% margin
īŽ
75% of money in investment is yours
īŽ
25% is borrowed from broker or bank
īƒ Purchase $100 of stock at 75% margin
īŽ
You put in $75, and you borrow $25
Basic Margin Formula
Margin=
Totalvalue−Borrowedfunds
Totalvalue
Margins and Magnification
īƒ Example stock: Price = $100
īŽ
Up: Price = $150
īŽ
Down: Price = $75
īƒ If you purchased with your own money
īŽ
$100 total investment
īŽ
Up: + $50
īŽ
Down: - $25
Margins and Magnification
īƒ Buy on 50% margin (zero interest
charges)
īƒ $100 own, and $100 borrowed (needs
to be paid back)
īƒ Purchase $200/$100 shares = 2 shares
īŽ
$100 total investment
īŽ
Up: 2*150 - 100 - 100 = $100 (50)
īŽ
Down: 2*75 - 100 - 100 = $-50 (-25)
Margin Buying
īƒ  Borrowing money to buy stocks
īƒ  Magnifies gains and losses
īƒ  Can lose more than you put in
īŽ
Buy $200 of stock
īĩ
$100 your own
īĩ
$100 borrowed
īŽ
Stock goes to zero
īĩ
Lose $100 of own investment, and
īĩ
Owe $100 of borrowed money too
Maintenance Margins
īƒ Margin required for investor to maintain
īƒ If margin falls below this level investors
must add more of their own money
īƒ â€œMargin call”
īƒ Common margin call
īŽ
Prices fall
īŽ
Margin rises
īŽ
Investor needs to come up with more funds
Margin Requirements
īƒ Common stock: 50%
īƒ Bonds: 50%
īƒ Options: 20% stock value
īƒ Futures: 2-10% of the contract value
Short Sales
īƒ Holding negative stock
īŽ
Sell stock you don’t have (borrow)
īŽ
Buy it back later
īŽ
Pay dividends yourself in between
īƒ Key issue
īŽ
Make money on a price fall
īŽ
Lose money on a rise
īƒ Betting against a stock
The Mechanics of a Short
īƒ  Tell broker you want to sell 100 shares of IBM
short (price = $50)
īƒ  Broker “borrows” shares of 100 shares of IBM
owned by another client
īƒ  Sells it to someone for 50*100=5000, and
pays this to you
īƒ  You must keep this amount on account with
broker
īƒ  When dividends are to be paid, you pay
broker, and broker pays the other client
The Mechanics of a Short
īƒ  IBM goes down to $40 per share
īƒ  You “buy” your 100 shares to take you back to zero,
pay broker 40*100=4000.
īƒ  Broker buys at market, and puts the shares back in
the other person’s account
īƒ  You make 5000-4000 = 1000 (less dividends)
īƒ  Make money when price falls
īƒ  Lose money when price rises
The Mechanics of a Short
īƒ  IBM goes up to $60 per share
īƒ  You “buy” your 100 shares to take you back to zero,
pay broker 60*100=6000.
īƒ  Broker buys at market, and puts the shares back in
the other person’s account
īƒ  You lose 5000-6000 = -1000 (less dividends)
Margins and Shorts
īƒ  Broker requires additional funds to cover
possible losses
īƒ  Fraction of additional sale amount
īƒ  Example
īŽ
Sell $5000 worth of stock at 50% margin
īŽ
Need to keep 1.5*5000 = 7500 on account with
the broker
īŽ
When the price goes up, need to increase this
īŽ
“Margin call”
Oddities About Shorts
īƒ  Can lose unbounded amounts of money
īŽ
Normally only lose what you put in
īŽ
With short price can go up forever, and your losses keep
increasing
īƒ  Also, broker can get in trouble if you default
īŽ
Other customer could lose original shares
īŽ
Often insured for this
Short Interest
īƒ Fraction of shares sold short
īƒ Measure of market pessimism in a
stock
īƒ Common market indicator
īƒ Measures market pessimism
Squeeze Play
īƒ Assume Microsoft has a large number
of short sellers
īƒ Price starts to rise
īŽ
Short sellers losing money
īŽ
Get nervous
īŽ
Buy stock to close out their short positions
īŽ
Prices rise more, more buying .. (etc. etc)
Outline
īƒ Markets
īƒ Orders
īƒ Positions
īƒ Information
Information Sources
īƒ  Private
īŽ
Quicken and Yahoo finance
īŽ
Wall St. Journal (fee)
īŽ
Value line and Standard and Poors (fee)
īŽ
Brokerage firms
īŽ
Corporations
īƒ  Government
īŽ
Federal Reserve
īŽ
SEC
Information Sources
īƒ Key publications
īŽ
Economic information
īĩ
Federal reserve bulletins (economic info)
īŽ
Firm/investment data
īĩ
Value Line Survey
īĩ
Standard and Poor’s Handbook
īĩ
Security firm reports
īĩ
Firm annual reports
The Internet and Investing
īƒ Cheap and accessible information
īƒ Investor tools
īŽ
Charts
īŽ
Screening
īŽ
Calculators
īƒ Online trading
Investment Information on the
Web
īƒ News articles
īŽ
NY times
īŽ
CBS Market watch
īŽ
CNN financial
More Investment Information
īƒ Stock information
īŽ
Yahoo
īŽ
Google
īŽ
Quicken
īƒ Historical information
īŽ
Yahoo
īŽ
Datastream (fee)
īŽ
Bloomberg (fee)
Warnings on Internet
Information
īƒ Don’t use information to trade to
frequently
īƒ Don’t believe everything you see on the
web
More (biased) Information
īƒ Firm annual reports and accounting info
īƒ Analyst information
īŽ
Analysts recommend (buy, sell, hold)
īŽ
Problems:
īĩ
Firms often are biased in what they tell analysts
īĩ
Analysts are biased since stocks they analyze
can be their own clients
Internet Tools
īƒ Education
īŽ
www.investorguide.com
īŽ
www.fool.com
īŽ
www.smartmoney.com
īƒ Calculators
īŽ
www.financenter.com
Internet Tools
īƒ Stock screening
īŽ
Quicken
īŽ
Yahoo
īŽ
Google
īƒ Plotting/graphics
īŽ
bigcharts.com
īŽ
smartmoney.com
Market Indices
īƒ  Summarize market movements
īƒ  Examples
īŽ
Dow Jones Industrial (30 stocks)
īŽ
NYSE Composite
īŽ
S&P 500 Composite (500 stocks)
īŽ
NASDAQ Composite
īŽ
Nikkei (Japan)
īŽ
Wilshire 5000
īŽ
Sector indices
Index Construction
īƒ  Weighted sum
īƒ  Weighting options
īŽ
Equal w = (1/N)
īŽ
Relative value of the firm (S&P, NASDAQ)
īĩ
Value weighting
īŽ
Odd (Dow Jones)
Pt,I = wj Pt,j
j=1
N
∑
1= wj
j=1
N
∑
Index Uses
īƒ Summary of the market
īƒ Investor benchmark (performance
check)
īŽ
Compare own result to index
īƒ Investment target
īŽ
Index mutual fund
Index Problems
īƒ Index is not constant
īŽ
Additions and removals
īŽ
Changing weights
īƒ As stock increases in value, share in
index increases
īƒ Index can drift towards growing sectors
in the market

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