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Company Acquisition Proposal
          December 16, 2011
Agenda

Acquisition
                    Context
                                Organization
         Recommendations

Responsibility
                   Financials
                                  Conclusion

                                               2
Acquisition Proposal
                      Why	
  DPC	
  Should	
  Buy                                                Why	
  ConAgra	
  Will	
  Sell
       Kid Cuisine is the dominant player in                                          Smallest of ConAgra’s four frozen
       children’s frozen foods                                                        prepared food brands
       Kid Cuisine has more potential than                                            Sales have declined by 4% (CAGR)
       current value of $71 million                                                   over the past three years
       DPC can increase the NPV of Kid                                                Accounts for 0.58% of ConAgra’s
       Cuisine to over $120 million                                                   overall business


                 Free Cash Flows in Millions                                           Retail Sales in Millions (excluding Walmart)
           $9                                                                         $120
           $7                                                                         $115

           $5                                                                         $110

           $2                                                                         $105
                                    Current Estimated FCF’s
                                    Acquisition with Proposed Changes                 $100
           $0
             2010       2011     2012      2013      2014      2015                       2008                 2009               2010




* Data for this page was taken from the AC Nielsen Database - Sales exclude Walmart
**http://thomson.mobular.net/thomson/7/3004/4313/

                                                                                                                                         3
Context
                    Frozen Prepared Dinners
                            Market	
  Sta8s8cs                                                  Sales Volume - Top 10
        Overall sales are over $1 billion                                                       Overall Volume (Dollars)
                                                                                                                             % Frozen
        Six brands account for 91% of the                                                                  52 Weeks Ending
                                                                                                                              Dinner
                                                                                                              06/12/10
        market share                                                                                                          Market
                                                                                          *BANQUET          $201,237,060       22%
        Overall market shrank by over 5%                                              *MARIE CALLENDER'S    $171,419,784       18%
        (CAGR) from 2006-2010
                                                                                       *HEALTHY CHOICE      $164,614,390       18%
        ConAgra owns four primary brands,                                                HUNGRY-MAN         $132,488,544       14%
        accounting for 69% market share
                                                                                       *KID CUISINE         $103,313,725       11%
                                                     *Banquet
                       9%                            *Marie Callender’s                  LEAN CUISINE        $66,728,644       7%
                 7%           22%                    *Healthy Choice                        AMY'S            $17,057,759       2%
              14%                                    *Kid Cuisine
                                                     Hungry-Man (Pinnacle)             BOSTON MARKET         $13,718,543       1%
                                18%
                   11%                               Lean Cuisine (Nestle)                SWANSON            $13,576,044       1%
                         18%
                                                     Others
                                                                                        CLAIM JUMPER         $13,007,980       1%
                                                *ConAgra Brands                            OTHERS            $32,875,821       4%

* Data for this page was taken from the AC Nielsen Database - Sales exclude Walmart


                                                                                                                                        4
Consumers’
             Needs & Decisions
                           Decision	
  Making	
  Unit
                                   Parent                     Child

             Motivations   Saving Time & Money          Tasty & Fun Meal
                Role         Gatekeeper/Buyer              Influencer
               Criteria    Nutrition, Good Value        Flavor, Packaging
               Power             Very High                  Medium
              Attitude           Negative                   Positive



Emerging Consumption Patterns: serving size, ingredients,
ethnic variety
Threats: portion size, cooking is relaxing
Opportunities: open to new brands, useful under time constraint




                                                                            5
Market Potential
Kids between 6-11: 24 million

59% of children between 6-11 eat frozen meals: 14 million

Average consumption: 4 meals per month

Average MSRP: $2.17

       Total	
  Poten8al	
  Market	
  Size	
  for	
  Kid	
  Cuisine

                   $1.5 Billion

                                                                      6
Competitive Analysis
                 Single-­‐Serve	
  Meals                                                    Mul8-­‐Serve	
  Meals
       Variety                                                                           Convenience
       Price                                                                             Price
       Quality                                                                           Quality
       Nutritional Value

   “The competitive landscape includes the
     multi-serve world. Frozen pizzas and




                                                                                   Yes
   lasagnas also compete for a share of the




                                                                    Kid Friendly
               [kid’s] stomach.”
  David Cox - Senior Director of Consumer Insights. ConAgra, Inc.


100%




                                                                                   No
75%

50%
                                           Hot
25%
         Kid Cuisine Lunchables           Pockets                                              Low                  High
 0%                                                                                                     Price
                 Brand Awareness in Northeast**




                                                                                                                           7
Brand Positioning
Competitive Positioning
  Organic
  Healthy Alternative
  Filling
  Satisfying

Kid Cuisine Positioning to Kids
  Focused on fun and creativity

Kid Cuisine Positioning to Parents
  Reward your kids
  Be a “YES-Mom”

                                     8
Production
             and Distribution
  Supplier        Manufacturer       Distributor         Retailer


Contracted
 Farmers                                               Supermarket
                                                       Hypermarket

  Local /
 Regional             Food
                                      Distributor
 Farmers            Processor



  Open                                                     Other
  Market                                                  Retailer



    Excellent relationship with supplier network
    Manufacturer margin of an estimated 25%
    Key functions such as packaging and transportation outsourced
    Core competency in food processing


                                                                     9
Retail Channels
             Average ACV of 71%                                                                               ConAgra Distribution
                                                                                                                         18%   6%
             41% of sales in south
                                                                                                                                    4%
                                                                                                                                     5%
             15% of sales through non-
             supermarket channels vs.
                                                                                         Super/Hypermarkets
             industry average of 5%                                                      Walmart                         67%
                                                                                         Drug stores and others
             Alternative channel retailing                                               Specialized retailers
             growing faster than supermarkets                                            Convenience stores


                                                                                      Kid Cuisine should keep the
                                                                                      production and distribution
                                                                                       processes similar to those
                                                                                      currently used by ConAgra
Frozen Food Industry Profile: United States; Nov2009
2010 STATE OF THE INDUSTRY REPORT. (cover story), refrigerated & Frozen Foods Retailer; September 2010, Vol. 8 Issue 8
Mintel Frozen Meals - US - September 2010
                                                                                                                                          10
Understanding ConAgra
Strategy: Focused, socially responsible and
environmentally friendly “food company”
Structure: Organization structure shows focus on quality,
innovation and consumer experience
Systems: Emphasis on accountability, simplification and
collaboration
Shared Values: One Company. One Goal. Making foods
you love.
Style: Strong and focused - Gary Rodkin, CEO, ConAgra
Staff: Currently 24,400 employees
Skills: High investment in employee development




                                                            11
Transition to DPC
Maintain current 141 ConAgra employees
Provide attractive compensation packages for top managers
Lease new plant in the proximity of existing
ConAgra plant
Recruit employees based on expertise from:
  PepsiCo
  Jimmy Dean
                                Dave Cox
  Whole Foods          Kid Cuisine Brand Manager


  IT Director        Marketing Director    Finance Director         Operations Director        HR Director
  Kid Cuisine           Kid Cuisine           Kid Cuisine              Kid Cuisine             Kid Cuisine
                                                                          Pepsi


   Breakfast Brand    Healthy Brand       Dinner Brand        Distribution     Manufacturing
      Manager           Manager             Manager           Kid Cusine        Kid Cuisine
    Jimmy Dean        Whole Foods          Kid Cuisine
                                              Pepsi




                                                                                                             12
Recommendation #1
           Healthier Ingredients
  Goal: Drive consumers to eat twice as many Kid Cuisines per month
  and expand current customer base
Product: Improved image; targeted
changes to select dinners
                                              Survey	
  Results:	
  “How	
  much	
  more	
  
Pricing strategy: Increase MSRP by            would	
  you	
  be	
  willing	
  to	
  pay	
  for	
  a	
  
$1 in the Northeast and West regions              healthier	
  frozen	
  dinner?”
                                    40%
 Distribution: Grocery stores and
 Peapod                             30%

  Promotion: Online and television 20%

 Economic Analysis (est.)           10%
 NPV= $14 million
                                     0%
 Incremental yearly sales=
                                               i   ng     0. 5
                                                                 0       .00       .50        .00                  ce
 3.4 million (4% CAGR over 4 years)        oth          +$             $1      +$
                                                                                  1
                                                                                         +$
                                                                                            2                  ren
                                          N                          +
                                                                                                    D      iffe
                                                                                                 No



                                                                                                                        13
A Need for Healthier Food
Childhood Obesity is on the
rise
   More than 12% of adolescents
   are overweight or obese.
   46% of parents are concerned




                                                 Yes
   that their children may
   become obese.


                                  Kid Friendly
The United States
Government is more focused
on children’s health
                                                 No
Competitors are introducing
healthier options
  Lunchables
                                                       Low             High
  Lean Pockets
  Other organic options more                                 Healthy
  prevalent



                                                                              14
Relationships:
     Price, Product & Promotion
Goal: Improve the image of Kid Cuisine by focusing on the healthy ingredients

Test: Determine if healthier ingredients or healthier positioning increase sales


Plan: Launch national
advertising campaign focused on
the idea that Kid Cuisine is made
from ingredients that are better                                                           Northeast:
                                                                                         Modified Product
for children.                                                                             Modified Price



                                                                              Central and South:
                                                                               Original Product
    “Our experience shows that there is a fine                                  Original Price
   balance between Mom’s stated desire to give
   her kids healthy food and her actual desire to
          get the kids to eat something.”                       West:
       - David Cox, ConAgra Director of Consumer Insight   Original Product
                                                            Modified Price




                                                                                                           15
Healthy
           Advertising Campaign
Positioning Statement: Kid Cuisine is made with ingredients that are good for
kids, allowing busy moms to spend less time preparing food and more quality time
with their kids.

Budget: $4.3 million annually

Media: Television advertisements and online
initiatives:
        New website focused on nutrition facts
        Facebook integration
        Continue current promotions with
        Krazy Kombos and Kidz Bop Music Mania
        New promotion: Kid Cuisine Quest
        Redesigned box



  NPV(est.) = $14 million

                                                                                   16
Recommendation #2
                Breakfast
Goal: Drive consumers to eat twice as many Kid Cuisines per month

          Breakfast              Lunch       Dinner

Product
  Expansion in the breakfast
  category with three new products
Price and Distribution
  Remain consistent
Promotion
  8-week launch campaign
  Total cost: $3.75 million




                                                                    17
Why Breakfast?
Market potential:
  Kids between 6-11: 24 million
  48% eat frozen breakfasts: 12 million children
  Average consumption: 4.6 frozen breakfasts per month
  Average consumption: 643,004,928 units per year


64% of kids think “breakfast is the most              Frozen Breakfast Category -
important meal of the day”*                          Forecasted Sales (in millions)
                                           $1,100

                                            $825
Primary competitor: Jimmy Dean                                                                     6.1% growth
                                            $550
     Reduced SKU’s by 30% while
     increasing sales year                  $275


     Recently launched Jimmy D’s              $0
                                                      05        07         09               e .)               e .)               e .)
                                                    20        20         20          (   for            (   for            (   for
                                                                                  11                 13                 15
                                                                                20                 20                 20




                                                    * Mintel “Breakfast Entrees and Sandwiches” November, 2010

                                                                                                                                         18
Breakfast Launch
     Positioning statement
    Quick, guilt-free, and easy
alternative for your kid’s breakfast
      or breakfast for dinner.

           Total cost:
           $3.75 million

 Total reach: (over 8 weeks)
   Greater than 60% of target

            Media:
                                       Economic analysis (est.)
           Television                     NPV = $28 million
             Online                       Market share = 5%
        Point of purchase                 Incremental sales= 13.7 million units
        Movie integration                (25% CAGR over 2 years)



                                                                                  19
Corporate Social
                  Responsibility
An Active and Healthy Future
Goals
  1. Increase brand awareness
  2. Change brand perception to ‘a nutritious, energy-packed meal’
  3. Create a sense of loyalty

  Sustainable packaging
    Four-sided packaging, $0.02 saving per box
    100% recycled materials
  Stewards of growth program
  Employee development and safety

  BPA-free packaging
  More vegetables and whole wheat




                                                                     20
Non-Profit Sponsorship
Five-year, strategic alliance with Boys and Girls Club of America
     44% (1.85 million) of BCGA members 6-10 years old
     65% (2.73 million) of BCGA members minorities

What
 $5 million
 Donate meals
 Eating healthy educational series
 Kid Cuisine Learn to Swim Program

Benefits
  Enhance brand image
  Increase brand awareness
  Yearly $380,000 tax shield
  Five-year increase in sales of 17 million
  units, resulting in net revenues of $5 million



                                                                    21
Sales and Margins
                                                AC Nielsen             Walmart                 Total
                                                                        (18%)

                   Kid Cuisine Sales
                  (FY2010) in 000’s             $103,314              $22,679              $125,992


                                                Margin %              Margin $              Sale Price

                          COGS                                                               $0.90
                  Manufacturer                      25%                 $0.30                 $1.20
                     Distributor                    15%                 $0.21                 $1.41
                        Retailer                    35%                 $0.76                 $2.17

                                                Est. Units   Revenue ($) in                 EBIT ($) in
                                               Sold in 000’s    000’s                         000’s
                 Kid Cuisine Sales
                     (FY2010)                     58,061               69,673                 6,914




* ConAgra 2010 10K - Page 80
** Beaman, J.A., Johnson, A.J., A Guide for New Manufacturers Food Distribution Channel Overview, Oregon State University, 2006.
*** Broker fee of 3-5% buried in SG&A

                                                                                                                                   22
DCF Valuation
                                        & Industry Ratios
                                                           Kid Cuisine DCF Valuation*
                                      Present Value of Cash Flows (in 000’s)                                                     $18,258
                                  Present Value of Terminal Value (in 000’s)                                                     $53,272
                                             Estimated Firm Value (in 000’s)                                                     $71,530

                                                                        Assumptions
            Five-year growth rates were taken directly from Mintel reports**
            9% depreciation charge based off current parent company***
            Financing mix of 2:1 debt to equity
            Tax rate: 38%
            WACC: 6.02%

* Please refer to Appendix I & II for Income Statement and Balance Sheet
** http://academic.mintel.com.ezproxy.bu.edu/sinatra/oxygen_academic/search_results/show&/display/id=482903/display/id=548674?select_section=548675
*** ConAgra 10-K 2010

                                                                                                                                                      23
Monte Carlo Simulation
Overall:
   Growth (taken directly from a Mintel report)
   Unit price variation (+/- 2%) historically stable
   Unit cost variation (+/- 5%) based on corn,
   plastic, cardboard, and lean manufacturing
   initiatives

Healthy line inputs:
  Growth (twice the current rate) as compared to
  comparable products
  Variation (+/- 10%) as compared to comparable                          $ in 000’s
  products
                                                         NPV Mean         124,838
Breakfast line inputs:
   Growth (five times the current rate) new product
   introduction in a healthy market growing at 6.1%    25th Percentile     82,801
   vs -5% frozen dinner
   Variation (+/- 25%) new contender in a growing      50th Percentile    118,561
   market, with some proven success, but strong
   competition
                                                       75th Percentile    159,903




                                                                                      24
Free Proposed Changes Estimation
           Cash Flow            in 000’s
            Increase NPV from:
                $71 million
$9,000               to


                                                           }
               $120 million
$6,750


$4,500
                                        Current Status
                                        Healthy Line
$2,250                                  Breakfast Line
                                        All Changes

   $0
     2010     2011     2012      2013     2014           2015



                                                                25
Summary
  Kid Cuisine is a relatively neglected brand, and
  ConAgra may be interested in selling

  We believe that with a few changes:
   We can increase the current market share
   We can enter a similar, but growing market

  ROI of 76% over life of project
“Don’t leave money on the table”




                                                     26
Acquire Kid Cuisine

                a proud brand of




                                   27
References
AC	
  Nielsen	
  Database.	
  www.nielsen.com

“ANtudes	
  Toward	
  Food:	
  Weight	
  and	
  Diet,”	
  May,	
  2009.	
  Mintel	
  Database.	
  www.mintel.com.	
  

Beaman,	
  J.A.	
  and	
  A.J.	
  Johnson.	
  “A	
  Guide	
  for	
  New	
  Manufacturers:	
  Food	
  Distribu8on	
  Channel	
  Overview.”	
  Oregon	
  State	
  University	
  Food	
  Innova8on	
  Center.

Boys	
  and	
  Girls	
  Club	
  of	
  America	
  Na8onal	
  Headquarters.	
  Phone	
  call.	
  December	
  8,	
  2010.

Boys	
  and	
  Girls	
  Club	
  of	
  America	
  Website,	
  Facts	
  and	
  Figures.	
  	
  h[p://www.bgca.org/whoweare/Pages/FactsFigures.aspx

“Breakfast	
  Sandwiches	
  and	
  Entrees	
  -­‐	
  US	
  -­‐	
  November,	
  2010”	
  Mintel	
  Database.	
  www.mintel.com.

Business	
  Wire.	
  	
  “Strategy	
  Engages	
  Kids	
  by	
  Building	
  Story	
  Arc	
  for	
  KC	
  Character”.	
  	
  November	
  19,	
  2009.	
  	
  h[p://www.istockanalyst.com/ar8cle/viewiStockNews/ar8cleid/3650619

“ConAgra	
  Foods	
  2010	
  Annual	
  Report.”	
  Mobular	
  Technologies,	
  2010.h[p://thomson.mobular.net/thomson/7/3004/4313/.

“ConAgra	
  Foods	
  2009	
  Annual	
  Report.”	
  Mobular	
  Technologies,	
  2010.h[p://thomson.mobular.net/thomson/7/3004/4313/.

“ConAgra	
  Foods	
  2008	
  Annual	
  Report.”	
  Mobular	
  Technologies,	
  2010.h[p://thomson.mobular.net/thomson/7/3004/4313/.

ConAgra	
  Food	
  Inc.	
  “ConAgra	
  Foods	
  to	
  Reduce	
  Sodium	
  in	
  Products	
  by	
  20	
  Percent	
  by	
  2015”.	
  October	
  15,	
  2009.	
  h[p://media.conagrafoods.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=202310&p=irol-­‐
newsAr8cle&ID=1342465&highlight.

ConAgra	
  Foods,	
  Inc.	
  ADVFN	
  website.	
  h[p://www.advfn.com/p.php?pid=financials&symbol=NYSE%3ACAG.

ConAgra	
  Foods	
  corporate	
  website.	
  h[p://company.conagrafoods.com

ConAgra	
  Foods	
  financial	
  repor8ng.	
  	
  Morningstar.com.	
  h[p://morningstar.gravitystream.com/quick-­‐stocknet-­‐bonds-­‐12/USA/CAG.shtml?p=0

“ConAgra	
  Foods,	
  Inc.”	
  Cogmap.	
  h[p://www.cogmap.com/chart/conagra-­‐foods,-­‐inc.

Cox,	
  David,	
  Senior	
  Director,	
  Consumer	
  Insights	
  at	
  ConAgra.	
  Inc.	
  Personal	
  interview.	
  Conducted	
  October	
  20,	
  2010.




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                28
References
“Frozen	
  Foods	
  -­‐	
  US	
  -­‐	
  September,	
  2010”	
  Mintel	
  Database.	
  www.mintel.com.

“Frozen	
  Snacks,”	
  October,	
  2010.	
  Mintel	
  Database.	
  www.mintel.com.	
  

Iden8ty	
  Works.	
  “ConAgra	
  Foods”.	
  h[p://www.iden8tyworks.com/reviews/2009/ConAgra.htm

Interview	
  with	
  Michael	
  Steinberg,	
  Food	
  Produc8on	
  Manager	
  at	
  Boston	
  University	
  -­‐	
  GSU.	
  December	
  10,	
  2010.

Johnson,	
  Leonard.	
  "A	
  Note	
  on	
  the	
  7-­‐S	
  Model."	
  OB	
  713:	
  Managing	
  Organiza8ons	
  and	
  People.	
  Page	
  67.1997

“Kids	
  Market	
  Promises	
  Phenomenal	
  Poten8al	
  Growth.”	
  Food	
  Market,	
  October	
  24,	
  2006.	
  h[p://www.allbusiness.com/agriculture-­‐forestry-­‐fishing/4437631-­‐1.html

Li[le	
  League	
  Baseball	
  and	
  Solball	
  Organiza8on’s	
  Website:	
  About	
  Our	
  Organiza8on.	
  h[p://www.li[leleague.org/learn/about.htm

Lowe,	
  Lexie,	
  Media	
  Supervisor,	
  AKQA	
  Adver8sing	
  and	
  Media.	
  	
  Personal	
  Interview.	
  	
  Conducted	
  December	
  10,	
  2010.

Nielsen	
  Ad	
  Relevance.	
  	
  Current	
  Kid	
  Cuisine	
  Online	
  Media	
  Spend.	
  

“Shelf	
  Stable	
  Meals	
  and	
  Meal	
  Kits	
  -­‐	
  US	
  -­‐	
  September	
  2010”	
  Mintel	
  Database.	
  www.mintel.com.

Staff	
  of	
  the	
  Mayo	
  Clinic.	
  “Children’s	
  Health:	
  Nutri8on	
  for	
  Kids.	
  	
  Guidelines	
  for	
  a	
  Healthy	
  Diet”	
  h[p://www.mayoclinic.com/health/nutri8on-­‐for-­‐kids/NU00606

Transcript.	
  “ConAgra	
  CEO	
  Discusses	
  F1Q11	
  Results	
  -­‐	
  Earnings	
  call	
  transcript”	
  September	
  21,	
  2010.	
  h[p://seekingalpha.com/ar8cle/226343-­‐conagra-­‐ceo-­‐discusses-­‐f1q11-­‐results-­‐
earnings-­‐call-­‐transcript

Muller,	
  Tom.	
  “Dollar	
  Dinners	
  From	
  ConAgra	
  Threatened	
  by	
  Costs”.	
  	
  August	
  19,	
  2010.	
  h[p://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-­‐08-­‐19/conagra-­‐s-­‐recession-­‐proof-­‐1-­‐meals-­‐threatened-­‐
by-­‐rising-­‐commodity-­‐costs.html

Wong,	
  Elaine.	
  	
  “How	
  Sara	
  Lee	
  Beefed	
  Up	
  Jimmy	
  Dean	
  Brand.”	
  	
  AdWeek,	
  March	
  24,	
  2010	
  h[p://www.adweek.com/aw/content_display/news/strategy/
e3id51767e5e16b097944d2403df25385c5




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   29

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Kid Cuisine Brand Acquisition

  • 1. Company Acquisition Proposal December 16, 2011
  • 2. Agenda Acquisition Context Organization Recommendations Responsibility Financials Conclusion 2
  • 3. Acquisition Proposal Why  DPC  Should  Buy Why  ConAgra  Will  Sell Kid Cuisine is the dominant player in Smallest of ConAgra’s four frozen children’s frozen foods prepared food brands Kid Cuisine has more potential than Sales have declined by 4% (CAGR) current value of $71 million over the past three years DPC can increase the NPV of Kid Accounts for 0.58% of ConAgra’s Cuisine to over $120 million overall business Free Cash Flows in Millions Retail Sales in Millions (excluding Walmart) $9 $120 $7 $115 $5 $110 $2 $105 Current Estimated FCF’s Acquisition with Proposed Changes $100 $0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2008 2009 2010 * Data for this page was taken from the AC Nielsen Database - Sales exclude Walmart **http://thomson.mobular.net/thomson/7/3004/4313/ 3
  • 4. Context Frozen Prepared Dinners Market  Sta8s8cs Sales Volume - Top 10 Overall sales are over $1 billion Overall Volume (Dollars) % Frozen Six brands account for 91% of the 52 Weeks Ending Dinner 06/12/10 market share Market *BANQUET $201,237,060 22% Overall market shrank by over 5% *MARIE CALLENDER'S $171,419,784 18% (CAGR) from 2006-2010 *HEALTHY CHOICE $164,614,390 18% ConAgra owns four primary brands, HUNGRY-MAN $132,488,544 14% accounting for 69% market share *KID CUISINE $103,313,725 11% *Banquet 9% *Marie Callender’s LEAN CUISINE $66,728,644 7% 7% 22% *Healthy Choice AMY'S $17,057,759 2% 14% *Kid Cuisine Hungry-Man (Pinnacle) BOSTON MARKET $13,718,543 1% 18% 11% Lean Cuisine (Nestle) SWANSON $13,576,044 1% 18% Others CLAIM JUMPER $13,007,980 1% *ConAgra Brands OTHERS $32,875,821 4% * Data for this page was taken from the AC Nielsen Database - Sales exclude Walmart 4
  • 5. Consumers’ Needs & Decisions Decision  Making  Unit Parent Child Motivations Saving Time & Money Tasty & Fun Meal Role Gatekeeper/Buyer Influencer Criteria Nutrition, Good Value Flavor, Packaging Power Very High Medium Attitude Negative Positive Emerging Consumption Patterns: serving size, ingredients, ethnic variety Threats: portion size, cooking is relaxing Opportunities: open to new brands, useful under time constraint 5
  • 6. Market Potential Kids between 6-11: 24 million 59% of children between 6-11 eat frozen meals: 14 million Average consumption: 4 meals per month Average MSRP: $2.17 Total  Poten8al  Market  Size  for  Kid  Cuisine $1.5 Billion 6
  • 7. Competitive Analysis Single-­‐Serve  Meals Mul8-­‐Serve  Meals Variety Convenience Price Price Quality Quality Nutritional Value “The competitive landscape includes the multi-serve world. Frozen pizzas and Yes lasagnas also compete for a share of the Kid Friendly [kid’s] stomach.” David Cox - Senior Director of Consumer Insights. ConAgra, Inc. 100% No 75% 50% Hot 25% Kid Cuisine Lunchables Pockets Low High 0% Price Brand Awareness in Northeast** 7
  • 8. Brand Positioning Competitive Positioning Organic Healthy Alternative Filling Satisfying Kid Cuisine Positioning to Kids Focused on fun and creativity Kid Cuisine Positioning to Parents Reward your kids Be a “YES-Mom” 8
  • 9. Production and Distribution Supplier Manufacturer Distributor Retailer Contracted Farmers Supermarket Hypermarket Local / Regional Food Distributor Farmers Processor Open Other Market Retailer Excellent relationship with supplier network Manufacturer margin of an estimated 25% Key functions such as packaging and transportation outsourced Core competency in food processing 9
  • 10. Retail Channels Average ACV of 71% ConAgra Distribution 18% 6% 41% of sales in south 4% 5% 15% of sales through non- supermarket channels vs. Super/Hypermarkets industry average of 5% Walmart 67% Drug stores and others Alternative channel retailing Specialized retailers growing faster than supermarkets Convenience stores Kid Cuisine should keep the production and distribution processes similar to those currently used by ConAgra Frozen Food Industry Profile: United States; Nov2009 2010 STATE OF THE INDUSTRY REPORT. (cover story), refrigerated & Frozen Foods Retailer; September 2010, Vol. 8 Issue 8 Mintel Frozen Meals - US - September 2010 10
  • 11. Understanding ConAgra Strategy: Focused, socially responsible and environmentally friendly “food company” Structure: Organization structure shows focus on quality, innovation and consumer experience Systems: Emphasis on accountability, simplification and collaboration Shared Values: One Company. One Goal. Making foods you love. Style: Strong and focused - Gary Rodkin, CEO, ConAgra Staff: Currently 24,400 employees Skills: High investment in employee development 11
  • 12. Transition to DPC Maintain current 141 ConAgra employees Provide attractive compensation packages for top managers Lease new plant in the proximity of existing ConAgra plant Recruit employees based on expertise from: PepsiCo Jimmy Dean Dave Cox Whole Foods Kid Cuisine Brand Manager IT Director Marketing Director Finance Director Operations Director HR Director Kid Cuisine Kid Cuisine Kid Cuisine Kid Cuisine Kid Cuisine Pepsi Breakfast Brand Healthy Brand Dinner Brand Distribution Manufacturing Manager Manager Manager Kid Cusine Kid Cuisine Jimmy Dean Whole Foods Kid Cuisine Pepsi 12
  • 13. Recommendation #1 Healthier Ingredients Goal: Drive consumers to eat twice as many Kid Cuisines per month and expand current customer base Product: Improved image; targeted changes to select dinners Survey  Results:  “How  much  more   Pricing strategy: Increase MSRP by would  you  be  willing  to  pay  for  a   $1 in the Northeast and West regions healthier  frozen  dinner?” 40% Distribution: Grocery stores and Peapod 30% Promotion: Online and television 20% Economic Analysis (est.) 10% NPV= $14 million 0% Incremental yearly sales= i ng 0. 5 0 .00 .50 .00 ce 3.4 million (4% CAGR over 4 years) oth +$ $1 +$ 1 +$ 2 ren N + D iffe No 13
  • 14. A Need for Healthier Food Childhood Obesity is on the rise More than 12% of adolescents are overweight or obese. 46% of parents are concerned Yes that their children may become obese. Kid Friendly The United States Government is more focused on children’s health No Competitors are introducing healthier options Lunchables Low High Lean Pockets Other organic options more Healthy prevalent 14
  • 15. Relationships: Price, Product & Promotion Goal: Improve the image of Kid Cuisine by focusing on the healthy ingredients Test: Determine if healthier ingredients or healthier positioning increase sales Plan: Launch national advertising campaign focused on the idea that Kid Cuisine is made from ingredients that are better Northeast: Modified Product for children. Modified Price Central and South: Original Product “Our experience shows that there is a fine Original Price balance between Mom’s stated desire to give her kids healthy food and her actual desire to get the kids to eat something.” West: - David Cox, ConAgra Director of Consumer Insight Original Product Modified Price 15
  • 16. Healthy Advertising Campaign Positioning Statement: Kid Cuisine is made with ingredients that are good for kids, allowing busy moms to spend less time preparing food and more quality time with their kids. Budget: $4.3 million annually Media: Television advertisements and online initiatives: New website focused on nutrition facts Facebook integration Continue current promotions with Krazy Kombos and Kidz Bop Music Mania New promotion: Kid Cuisine Quest Redesigned box NPV(est.) = $14 million 16
  • 17. Recommendation #2 Breakfast Goal: Drive consumers to eat twice as many Kid Cuisines per month Breakfast Lunch Dinner Product Expansion in the breakfast category with three new products Price and Distribution Remain consistent Promotion 8-week launch campaign Total cost: $3.75 million 17
  • 18. Why Breakfast? Market potential: Kids between 6-11: 24 million 48% eat frozen breakfasts: 12 million children Average consumption: 4.6 frozen breakfasts per month Average consumption: 643,004,928 units per year 64% of kids think “breakfast is the most Frozen Breakfast Category - important meal of the day”* Forecasted Sales (in millions) $1,100 $825 Primary competitor: Jimmy Dean 6.1% growth $550 Reduced SKU’s by 30% while increasing sales year $275 Recently launched Jimmy D’s $0 05 07 09 e .) e .) e .) 20 20 20 ( for ( for ( for 11 13 15 20 20 20 * Mintel “Breakfast Entrees and Sandwiches” November, 2010 18
  • 19. Breakfast Launch Positioning statement Quick, guilt-free, and easy alternative for your kid’s breakfast or breakfast for dinner. Total cost: $3.75 million Total reach: (over 8 weeks) Greater than 60% of target Media: Economic analysis (est.) Television NPV = $28 million Online Market share = 5% Point of purchase Incremental sales= 13.7 million units Movie integration (25% CAGR over 2 years) 19
  • 20. Corporate Social Responsibility An Active and Healthy Future Goals 1. Increase brand awareness 2. Change brand perception to ‘a nutritious, energy-packed meal’ 3. Create a sense of loyalty Sustainable packaging Four-sided packaging, $0.02 saving per box 100% recycled materials Stewards of growth program Employee development and safety BPA-free packaging More vegetables and whole wheat 20
  • 21. Non-Profit Sponsorship Five-year, strategic alliance with Boys and Girls Club of America 44% (1.85 million) of BCGA members 6-10 years old 65% (2.73 million) of BCGA members minorities What $5 million Donate meals Eating healthy educational series Kid Cuisine Learn to Swim Program Benefits Enhance brand image Increase brand awareness Yearly $380,000 tax shield Five-year increase in sales of 17 million units, resulting in net revenues of $5 million 21
  • 22. Sales and Margins AC Nielsen Walmart Total (18%) Kid Cuisine Sales (FY2010) in 000’s $103,314 $22,679 $125,992 Margin % Margin $ Sale Price COGS $0.90 Manufacturer 25% $0.30 $1.20 Distributor 15% $0.21 $1.41 Retailer 35% $0.76 $2.17 Est. Units Revenue ($) in EBIT ($) in Sold in 000’s 000’s 000’s Kid Cuisine Sales (FY2010) 58,061 69,673 6,914 * ConAgra 2010 10K - Page 80 ** Beaman, J.A., Johnson, A.J., A Guide for New Manufacturers Food Distribution Channel Overview, Oregon State University, 2006. *** Broker fee of 3-5% buried in SG&A 22
  • 23. DCF Valuation & Industry Ratios Kid Cuisine DCF Valuation* Present Value of Cash Flows (in 000’s) $18,258 Present Value of Terminal Value (in 000’s) $53,272 Estimated Firm Value (in 000’s) $71,530 Assumptions Five-year growth rates were taken directly from Mintel reports** 9% depreciation charge based off current parent company*** Financing mix of 2:1 debt to equity Tax rate: 38% WACC: 6.02% * Please refer to Appendix I & II for Income Statement and Balance Sheet ** http://academic.mintel.com.ezproxy.bu.edu/sinatra/oxygen_academic/search_results/show&/display/id=482903/display/id=548674?select_section=548675 *** ConAgra 10-K 2010 23
  • 24. Monte Carlo Simulation Overall: Growth (taken directly from a Mintel report) Unit price variation (+/- 2%) historically stable Unit cost variation (+/- 5%) based on corn, plastic, cardboard, and lean manufacturing initiatives Healthy line inputs: Growth (twice the current rate) as compared to comparable products Variation (+/- 10%) as compared to comparable $ in 000’s products NPV Mean 124,838 Breakfast line inputs: Growth (five times the current rate) new product introduction in a healthy market growing at 6.1% 25th Percentile 82,801 vs -5% frozen dinner Variation (+/- 25%) new contender in a growing 50th Percentile 118,561 market, with some proven success, but strong competition 75th Percentile 159,903 24
  • 25. Free Proposed Changes Estimation Cash Flow in 000’s Increase NPV from: $71 million $9,000 to } $120 million $6,750 $4,500 Current Status Healthy Line $2,250 Breakfast Line All Changes $0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 25
  • 26. Summary Kid Cuisine is a relatively neglected brand, and ConAgra may be interested in selling We believe that with a few changes: We can increase the current market share We can enter a similar, but growing market ROI of 76% over life of project “Don’t leave money on the table” 26
  • 27. Acquire Kid Cuisine a proud brand of 27
  • 28. References AC  Nielsen  Database.  www.nielsen.com “ANtudes  Toward  Food:  Weight  and  Diet,”  May,  2009.  Mintel  Database.  www.mintel.com.   Beaman,  J.A.  and  A.J.  Johnson.  “A  Guide  for  New  Manufacturers:  Food  Distribu8on  Channel  Overview.”  Oregon  State  University  Food  Innova8on  Center. Boys  and  Girls  Club  of  America  Na8onal  Headquarters.  Phone  call.  December  8,  2010. Boys  and  Girls  Club  of  America  Website,  Facts  and  Figures.    h[p://www.bgca.org/whoweare/Pages/FactsFigures.aspx “Breakfast  Sandwiches  and  Entrees  -­‐  US  -­‐  November,  2010”  Mintel  Database.  www.mintel.com. Business  Wire.    “Strategy  Engages  Kids  by  Building  Story  Arc  for  KC  Character”.    November  19,  2009.    h[p://www.istockanalyst.com/ar8cle/viewiStockNews/ar8cleid/3650619 “ConAgra  Foods  2010  Annual  Report.”  Mobular  Technologies,  2010.h[p://thomson.mobular.net/thomson/7/3004/4313/. “ConAgra  Foods  2009  Annual  Report.”  Mobular  Technologies,  2010.h[p://thomson.mobular.net/thomson/7/3004/4313/. “ConAgra  Foods  2008  Annual  Report.”  Mobular  Technologies,  2010.h[p://thomson.mobular.net/thomson/7/3004/4313/. ConAgra  Food  Inc.  “ConAgra  Foods  to  Reduce  Sodium  in  Products  by  20  Percent  by  2015”.  October  15,  2009.  h[p://media.conagrafoods.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=202310&p=irol-­‐ newsAr8cle&ID=1342465&highlight. ConAgra  Foods,  Inc.  ADVFN  website.  h[p://www.advfn.com/p.php?pid=financials&symbol=NYSE%3ACAG. ConAgra  Foods  corporate  website.  h[p://company.conagrafoods.com ConAgra  Foods  financial  repor8ng.    Morningstar.com.  h[p://morningstar.gravitystream.com/quick-­‐stocknet-­‐bonds-­‐12/USA/CAG.shtml?p=0 “ConAgra  Foods,  Inc.”  Cogmap.  h[p://www.cogmap.com/chart/conagra-­‐foods,-­‐inc. Cox,  David,  Senior  Director,  Consumer  Insights  at  ConAgra.  Inc.  Personal  interview.  Conducted  October  20,  2010. 28
  • 29. References “Frozen  Foods  -­‐  US  -­‐  September,  2010”  Mintel  Database.  www.mintel.com. “Frozen  Snacks,”  October,  2010.  Mintel  Database.  www.mintel.com.   Iden8ty  Works.  “ConAgra  Foods”.  h[p://www.iden8tyworks.com/reviews/2009/ConAgra.htm Interview  with  Michael  Steinberg,  Food  Produc8on  Manager  at  Boston  University  -­‐  GSU.  December  10,  2010. Johnson,  Leonard.  "A  Note  on  the  7-­‐S  Model."  OB  713:  Managing  Organiza8ons  and  People.  Page  67.1997 “Kids  Market  Promises  Phenomenal  Poten8al  Growth.”  Food  Market,  October  24,  2006.  h[p://www.allbusiness.com/agriculture-­‐forestry-­‐fishing/4437631-­‐1.html Li[le  League  Baseball  and  Solball  Organiza8on’s  Website:  About  Our  Organiza8on.  h[p://www.li[leleague.org/learn/about.htm Lowe,  Lexie,  Media  Supervisor,  AKQA  Adver8sing  and  Media.    Personal  Interview.    Conducted  December  10,  2010. Nielsen  Ad  Relevance.    Current  Kid  Cuisine  Online  Media  Spend.   “Shelf  Stable  Meals  and  Meal  Kits  -­‐  US  -­‐  September  2010”  Mintel  Database.  www.mintel.com. Staff  of  the  Mayo  Clinic.  “Children’s  Health:  Nutri8on  for  Kids.    Guidelines  for  a  Healthy  Diet”  h[p://www.mayoclinic.com/health/nutri8on-­‐for-­‐kids/NU00606 Transcript.  “ConAgra  CEO  Discusses  F1Q11  Results  -­‐  Earnings  call  transcript”  September  21,  2010.  h[p://seekingalpha.com/ar8cle/226343-­‐conagra-­‐ceo-­‐discusses-­‐f1q11-­‐results-­‐ earnings-­‐call-­‐transcript Muller,  Tom.  “Dollar  Dinners  From  ConAgra  Threatened  by  Costs”.    August  19,  2010.  h[p://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-­‐08-­‐19/conagra-­‐s-­‐recession-­‐proof-­‐1-­‐meals-­‐threatened-­‐ by-­‐rising-­‐commodity-­‐costs.html Wong,  Elaine.    “How  Sara  Lee  Beefed  Up  Jimmy  Dean  Brand.”    AdWeek,  March  24,  2010  h[p://www.adweek.com/aw/content_display/news/strategy/ e3id51767e5e16b097944d2403df25385c5 29