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1. Global Research Limited
COMEX
Report
5th,November

2. 5th November,2013
Global Research Limited
Unemployment Claims
IMPACT
DATE
TIME: IST
05.11.13
8:30 P.M
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
54.4
54.4
HIGH
05.11.13
8:30 P.M
IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism
38.4
41.1
LOW
DATA
PRV
EXP
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
Source
Institute for Supply Management (latest release)
Measures
Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers, excluding the manufacturing
industry;
Usual Effect
Actual > Forecast = Good for currency;
Frequency
Released monthly, on the third business day after the month ends;
Next Release
Dec 4, 2013
FF Notes
Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. Source changed series from
unadjusted to seasonally adjusted as of January 2001. Source changed series calculation formula as
of Feb 2008;
Why trade care
Derived Via
2
It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their
purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of
the economy;
Survey of about 400 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of
business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and
inventories;
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3. 5th November,2013
Global Research Limited
IBD/TIPP Economic optimism
Source
TIPP (latest release)
Measures
Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed consumers;
Usual Effect
Actual < Forecast = Good for currency;
Frequency
Released monthly, around the middle of the current month;
Next Release
Dec 11, 2013
FF Notes
Above 50.0 indicates optimism, below indicates pessimism;
Derived Via
Also Called
3
Survey of about 900 consumers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of economic
conditions including six-month economic outlook, personal financial outlook, and confidence in
federal economic policies;
IBD/TIPP Consumer Confidence;
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4. 5th November,2013
Global Research Limited
The gold market waffled around unchanged early this morning but seemed to catch a bit of a bid into mid session. With modest
Gold
weakness in the Dollar, higher equities and countervailing US scheduled data, the gold market was lucky to have come away
with a slightly positive bias this morning. Factory orders were a touch weaker than expectations, while the ISM New York current
Business Index showed a fairly significant jump. All things considered, the magnitude of the rise in the regional ISM might have
countervailed some of the major headline status of the Factory orders results. This morning Gold did manage to rally in the face
of the ISM improvement and then it fell back somewhat in the wake of the weaker factory orders report! In other words, gold
seemed to need positive US data to rally this morning and that would seem to fly in the face of gold's patterns last week.
Silver

December silver fell back into the US scheduled data window and then recovered 9 cents in the face of the stronger
than expected ISM report. Unfortunately December silver also fell back in the wake of the slightly softer than
expected US Factory orders results. Therefore traders could suggest that silver is indeed acting like a physical
commodity market in need of positive progression in the economy again and that in turn would seem to downplay the
threat of tapering and the threat of adverse currency market action.
3
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5. 5th November,2013
Global Research Limited
Copper
After an initial rally on Friday, December copper prices appeared for some traders to lose their initial positive tone, and finished last week
roughly 4.00 cents below their weekly highs. Many in the market feel that the most notable development for copper last week was improved
Chinese economic data and slightly better than expected US economic data. However, copper recently saw a halt in a long held pattern of
daily LME exchange copper stock declines.
In addition, there was also an increase in weekly Shanghai copper stocks at the end of last week. The market was also presented with a
series of higher copper production readings from China, Mexico and South America last week. Some traders that while supply has become a
slightly negative issue for the market, and hopes for improved copper demand was able to strengthen copper prices last week in the face of
overt weakness in a number of other commodities.
Crude
The oil complex spent time on both sides of unchanged today as the market continues to digest bearish US oil
fundamentals and technicals against a backdrop of mixed external price drivers. Equities have remained mostly in positive
territory over the last twenty four hours while the US dollar Index finally was hit with a light round of profit taking selling
ending the day in negative territory and thus a slightly positive price driver for the oil complex today.

4
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6. Global Research Limited
Technical levels
Commodity
Support1
Support2
Resistance1
Resistance2
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