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1. Global Research Limited
COMEX
Report
30th,January

2. 30th January ,2014
Global Research Limited
Global Economic Data
DATA
PRV
EXP
IMPACT
7:00 P.M
Advance GDP q/q
4.1%
3.3%
STRONG
30.01.14
7:00 P.M
Unemployment Claims
326K
331K
STRONG
30.01.14
7:00 P.M
Advance GDP Price Index q/q
2.0%
1.2%
MEDIUM
30.01.14
8:30 P.M
Pending Home Sales m/m
0.2%
-0.1%
STRONG
DATE
TIME: IST
30.01.14
Advance GDP q/q
Source
Bureau of Economic Analysis (latest release)
Measures
Annualized change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the
economy;
Usual Effect
Actual > Forecast = Good for currency;
Frequency
Next Release
FF Notes
Released quarterly, about 30 days after the quarter ends;
Apr 30, 2014
While this is q/q data, it's reported in an annualized format (quarterly change x4). There are
3 versions of GDP released a month apart – Advance, Preliminary, and Final. The Advance
release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact;
Why Traders
Care
Also Called
GDP First Release, Estimated GDP;
Acro Expand
2
It's the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy's
health;
Gross Domestic Product (GDP);
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3. 30th January ,2014
Global Research Limited
Unemployment Claims
Source
Department of Labor (latest release)
Measures
The number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the
past week;
Usual Effect
Actual < Forecast = Good for currency;
Frequency
Next Release
FF Notes
Released weekly, 5 days after the week ends;
Feb 6, 2014
This is the nation's earliest economic data. The market impact fluctuates from week to week
- there tends to be more focus on the release when traders need to diagnose recent
developments, or when the reading is at extremes;
Why Traders
Care
Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an
important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated
with labor-market conditions. Unemployment is also a major consideration for those steering
the country's monetary policy;
Also Called
Jobless Claims, Initial Claims;
Pending Home Sales m/m
Source
National Association of Realtors (latest release)
Measures
Change in the number of homes under contract to be sold but still awaiting the closing
transaction, excluding new construction;
Usual Effect
Actual > Forecast = Good for currency;
Frequency
Released monthly, about 28 days after the month ends;
Next Release
FF Notes
This data is released about a week later than Existing Home Sales, but it's more forwardlooking as a contract is signed several weeks before the home is counted as sold;
Why Traders
Care
It's a leading indicator of economic health because the sale of a home triggers a widereaching ripple effect. For example, renovations are done by the new owners, a mortgage is
sold by the financing bank, and brokers are paid to execute the transaction;
Also Called
GDP First Release, Estimated GDP;
Acro Expand
3
Feb 28, 2014
Pending Resales;
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4. 29th January ,2014
Gold

Global Research Limited
Gold moved higher overnight to open at 1264.00/1265.00. It touched a high of 1268.50/1269.50 generating “safe haven”
interest following the ongoing financial crisis in emerging markets, particularly in Argentina, which dragged global equities
lower. The metal then dropped to a low of 1261.00/1262.00 as investors geared up for the Fed's policy statement, before
finally closing the session at 1262.00/1263.00. Following the close, the metal traded within range despite the Fed
announcement of a further $10 billion cut to bring its monthly bond purchases down to $65 billion.

Gold traded higher today, closing at 1263. Resistance sits at 1278-79, from the 38.2% retracement of the August to
December 2013 downtrend, and from Monday's high. Support is at the recent low of 1231. RSI has turned higher, and is
testing resistance at 62 (currently at 60.33).

Gold gained as stock markets surrendered early gains to fall ahead of a policy statement from the Federal Reserve.

Fed said it would trim its bond purchases by another $10 billion as it stuck to a plan to wind down its extraordinary economic
stimulus


Silver edged higher overnight to open at 19.70/19.75. After posting a high of 19.95/20.00, it declined steadily to close at the

Silver is also trading higher at 19.59. Silver continues to be trapped within a sideways range, with the range high being 20.64, and

The gold-silver ratio is trading lower today at current 64.15. This is the first lower close after six sessions higher. Resistance is at

Silver
SPDR gold trust holding gained by 2.10 tonnes i.e. 0.27% to 792.56 tonnes from 790.46 tonnes.
Silver rose as ongoing turbulence in emerging markets boosted the safe haven appeal of the precious metal.
session low of 19.54/19.59.
the range low being 18.84. There is also a downtrend on the daily chart which comes in at 20.17.
the 67.56 high. There is strong support from the daily uptrend which currently comes in at 61.38.

Prices earlier seen pressure as market sentiment improved after Turkey's central bank announced aggressive rate hikes in an effort
to stem the lira's decline.

4
The U.S. Federal Reserve announced a further reduction in its bond-buying stimulus.
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5. 29th January ,2014


Copper






Crude

Global Research Limited
On the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange, copper futures for March delivery hit a session high of USD3.268 a
pound, before trimming gains to trade at USD3.262 during European morning trade, up 0.3%.
The March copper contract fell to USD3.246 a pound on Tuesday, the lowest since December 9, before paring losses to settle at
USD3.253 a pound, down 0.18%.
Copper futures were likely to find support at USD3.246 a pound, the low from January 28 and resistance at USD3.287 a pound, the high
from January 27.
Appetite for riskier assets improved after Turkey's central bank announced aggressive rate hikes overnight in an effort to stem the lira's
decline.
Turkey's central bank raised its overnight lending rate to 12% from 7.75% and its repurchase rate to 10% from 4.5% in its first
emergency meeting since 2011.
The move eased concerns over emerging markets, following a broad based selloff last Friday, triggered by worries over the impact of
reduction in Fed stimulus
and concerns over a possible slowdown in China.
Copper futures edged mildly higher on Wednesday, as global markets rebounded after an aggressive rate hike by the Turkish central
bank and ahead of a policy announcement by the Federal Reserve later in the day.
On Wednesday, the New York-traded oil futures hit a session low of USD97.38 a barrel and a high of USD97.59 a barrel. The March
contract settled at USD97.42 a barrel. Nymex oil futures were likely to find support at USD95.22 a barrel, Monday's low, and resistance at
USD97.65 a barrel, Tuesday's high.

Meanwhile on Wednesday, the U.S. Energy Information Administration said in its weekly report that U.S. crude oil inventories rose by 6.4
million barrels in the week ended Jan. 24, far beyond expectations for an increase of 2.3 million barrels, which sent prices falling by
fanning fears the country remains awash in supply. Total U.S. crude oil inventories stood at 357.6 million barrels as of last week.
 The report also showed that total motor gasoline inventories decreased by 819,000 barrels compared to forecasts for a gain of 1.1 million
barrels.

NYMEX crude oil prices rose during Asian trading hours on Thursday after Federal Reserve decided to cut USD10 billion from its USD75
billion monthly bond-buying program and U.S. supply data disappointed investors.
 On the New York Mercantile Exchange, West Texas Intermediate crude for delivery in March traded at USD97.62 a barrel during Asian
trading, up 0.26%
5
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6. Global Research Limited
Technical levels
Support1
Support2
GOLD
1250
1239
1272
1282
SILVER
19.35
19.14
19.86
20.17
COPPER
3.2286
3.2168
3.2606
3.2808
CRUDE
96.53
95.71
97.96
98.57
Resistance1
Resistance2
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