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Epic research special report of 29 june 2016.pdf
1. DAILY REPORT
29
th
JUNE 2016
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
Global markets at a glance
European shares rose for the first time in three days on
Tuesday after a heavy sell-off following Britain's shock vote
to leave the European Union, with battered financial stocks
leading the bounce. The pan-European STOXX 600 index,
which had slumped 11 percent in the last two sessions,
ended up 2.6 percent, while the pan-European FTSEurofirst
300 index rose 2.4 percent. Insurance and banking stocks
climbed, after suffering the worst of the market rout. Legal
& General was up almost 8 percent after it said its balance
sheet had proved resilient to the Brexit vote and it had
trimmed its exposure to riskier assets beforehand.
Asian share markets joined a global rally on Wednesday as
the immediate impact of Britain's vote to leave began to
wane and investors wagered central banks would have to
ride to rescue with more stimulus measures. MSCI's broad-
est index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.5%, but
remained a long way from its pre-vote levels. Japan's Nikkei
climbed 1.1%, while Australian stocks added 1%.
Wall Street bounced back on Tuesday, recouping some re-
cent losses, as investors sought cheap assets after a two-
day equities rout sparked by Britain's decision to leave the
European Union. US indexes joined stock markets around
the world in the rebound after global equity markets had
shed USD 3 trillion in value in the two days following Brit-
ain's shock vote, according to S&P Dow Jones Indices. In-
vestors also pointed to solid US economic data as helping
to stabilize stocks. Financials and tech stocks, hit hard in
the wake of the referendum, were among the top gaining
sectors on Tuesday.
Previous day Roundup
The market ended with gains but the Nifty ended below
8150. The 50-share closed up 33.15 points or 0.4 percent at
8127.85 and the Sensex is up 121.59 points or 0.5 percent
at 26524.55. About 1579 shares have advanced, 1020
shares declined, and 189 shares are unchanged. Lupin,
HUL, ITC, M&M and Bharti Airtel were top gainers while
Tata Motors, Wipro, Sun Pharma, TCS and Adani Ports were
top losers in the Sensex.
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial
indices performed as follow; Consumer Durables [down
9.54 pts], Capital Goods [up 54.07 pts], PSU [up 51.09 pts],
FMCG [up 144.68 Pts], Realty [up 9.51 pts], Power [up
10.50 pts], Auto [up 55.46pts], Healthcare [up 100.53 pts],
IT [down 98.40 pts], Metals [up 82.58 Pts], TECK [down
27.23pts], Oil& Gas [up79.46 pts].
World Indices
Index Value % Change
DJI 17328.00 +0.16
S&P500 2030.75 +0.11
NASDAQ 4691.87 +2.12
FTSE100 6132.50 +1.03
NIKKEI 15523.06 +1.30
HANG SENG 20330.39 +0.78
Top Gainers
Company CMP Change % Chg
LUPIN 1542.50 63.35 4.28
IDEA 104.10 3.75 3.74
INFRATEL 338.55 10.90 3.33
HINDUNILVR 885.60 26.75 3.11
BOSCHLTD 21545.00 614.30 2.93
Top Losers
Company CMP Change % Chg
HCLTECH 712.85 -22.20 -3.02
TATAMTRDVR 288.10 -7.80 -2.64
TATAMOTORS 441.00 -7.95 -1.77
HINDALCO 118.15 -1.65 -1.38
TCS 2464.00 -31.85 -1.28
Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
A2ZINFRA 42.00 5.75 15.86
ANDHRSUGAR 248.80 3.40 1.39
APLAPOLLO 935.00 -1.55 -0.17
ARSSINFRA 83.45 13.90 19.99
ASAHSONG 233.00 23.70 11.32
ASPINWALL 216.50 6.25 2.97
BAJAJFINSV 2201.00 19.10 0.88
Indian Indices
Company CMP Change % Chg
NIFTY 8127.85 +33.15 +0.41
SENSEX 26524.55 +121.59 +0.46
Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
BIRLCOT 0.10 0.00 0.0
IMPEXFERRO 1.10 0.05 4.76
INV20 35.8 -0.46 -1.27
2. DAILY REPORT
29
th
JUNE 2016
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
DHFL [CASH]
On daily chart DHFL has shown a good upside move in yes-
terday session and filled the gap rose with high volume
also it has given positive closing on intraday chart. So we
advise to buy DHFL above 203 for the targets of 206 208
with stop loss below 200.50
MACRO NEWS
India's apparel exports to decline 5% in June quarter on
global economic slowdown.
Ola to invest Rs 350 crore in Haryana over 5 years
SBI to soon send detailed merger plan for government
approval .
I-T dept to establish over 60 taxpayer centres across
country
I-T dept to establish over 60 taxpayer centres across
country
Govt appoints N S Vishwanathan as new RBI deputy gov-
ernor
Quess IPO (subsidiary of Thomas Cook) IPO Opens on Jun
29 & Closes on Jul 1
DLF (ET) KP Singh to infuse `10000 cr in company
Adani group (ToI) Group eyes financial serices
Corporate Actions Ex-Dividend HDFC Bank `9.5/sh (CMP
1167) Havells `3/sh (CMP 357) Dabur `1/sh (CMP 312)
Trent to raise `300 cr via NCDs
JSW Steel may tap global markets for $2bn
ITC plans to invest `4000 cr to set up 9 plants over next 2
-3 years: BS
Janus Capital exits DLF
Axis Bank launches urban micro-finance product
SBI to soon send detailed merger plan for government
approval.
HDFC Bank growth to come from investments it made
over 2 yrs
STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. ITC [FUTURE]
Last trading session ITC future show good strenth and close
near day high with bullish candlestick in daily chart. since
last session it rose with rising OI in long side and last day
stock close above major resistance level. We may see sharp
rise for that it will be good to buy above 370 for the target of
373-378 with SL of 365.
2. M&M [FUTURE]
Last trading session M&M future give out-performed in Auto
sector and close near day high with bullish candlestick in
daily chart. And stock cross major resistance level and since
last session it rose with rising OI in long sides in next series
of month and stock sustain above the resistance level . We
may see sharp rise for that it will be good to buy above 1417
for the target of 1427-1440 with SL of 1400.
3. DAILY REPORT
29
th
JUNE 2016
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
FUTURES & OPTIONS
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol Op-
tion
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY CE 8,200 21.00 4,14,125 56,84,920
NIFTY CE 8,100 68.00 3,05,543 40,28,850
BANKNIFTY CE 18,000 144.00 68,018 24,01,500
SBIN CE 220 1.80 8,144 74,02,000
LT CE 1,500 7.80 5,325 8,84,100
LUPIN CE 1,550 14.95 3,551 1,72,500
ASHOKLEY CE 100 0.80 2,868 56,98,000
MARUTI CE 4,100 30.00 2,858 1,13,625
MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol Op-
tion
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY PE 8,000 11.25 4,33,791 74,09,575
NIFTY PE 8,100 33.65 4,27,096 51,11,475
BANKNIFTY PE 17,500 91.00 87,542 4,14,600
LT PE 1,450 7.05 2,797 3,18,300
SBIN PE 210 1.20 4,582 44,66,000
MARUTI PE 4,000 12.05 1,833 1,10,250
TATAMOTOR PE 430 2.20 1,765 12,34,500
YESBANK PE 1,060 7.50 1,779 6,81,800
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAYSELL
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES 90913 5481.57 103244 6273.52 251385 15342.23 -791.95
INDEX OPTIONS 400723 23410.34 377507 22006.59 1290032 77800.13 1403.76
STOCK FUTURES 357041 18766.67 351146 19075.72 1038382 56040.67 -309.06
STOCK OPTIONS 59246 3063.95 59818 3098.43 133908 6966.83 -34.48
TOTAL 268.27
STOCKS IN NEWS
ITC to invest Rs 4,000 crore to set up 9 plants
Ashok Leyland impaired Rs 558 crore in 2015-16
Panacea Biotec launches diabetes drug 'Tenepan' .
Siemens gains on order from Power Grid worth Rs 570
crore
Strides Shasun Gets Shareholder Nod For Divestment
Of Shasun Pharma Solutions, UK
NHPC to invest `3000 cr on solar, wind projects
SBI to divest stake in non-core assets to raise `3000 cr
ICICI prudential Life Insurance to launch its `6000
cr IPO by Sep
M&M two wheeler arm to cut 700 jobs
Sobha to Launch Sobha City, Luxury Project in Delhi-
NCR
NIFTY FUTURE
Nifty in yesterday trading session remained bullish with
lower volume. Although Nifty has prepared a bullish can-
dlestick, but it has resistance on upper levels. Nifty will
come to touch some more upper levels but it seems to
fall down to 8000 level again. So we advise you to sell
Nifty on rise around 8200 for the targets of 8130 and
8000 with stoploss of 8320.
INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
NIFTY 8179.80 8153.80 8120.30 8094.30 8060.80
BANKNIFTY 17701.00 17631.00 17631.00 17486.00 17411.00
4. DAILY REPORT
29
th
JUNE 2016
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Gold prices drifted Rs 245 to Rs 31,303 per 10 gram in
futures trade as participants lightened their positions,
largely in tandem with a weak trend overseas. In futures
trading, gold for delivery in August was trading Rs 245 or
0.78% down at Rs 31,303 per 10 gram at theMulti Com-
modity Exchange with a business turnover of 1,490 lots.
The metal for delivery in October plunged by Rs 228 or
0.72% to Rs 31,638 per 10 gram in 49 lots. A weak trend
in the overseas markets where gold dropped after post-
ing the biggest two-day gain in more than seven years
following the UK's vote to exit from the European Union
and profit-booking by speculators, weighed on gold fu-
tures. Globally, gold lost 0.6% to $1,316.320 an ounce in
Singapore.
The recovery in Copper is getting constant with every
passing day. Minor hiccups after the UK exit from Euro-
zone have not troubled the markets of Copper. The prices
have gained sharply and was trading at Rs 324 per kg,
when last checked, up 2.01%. The dollar slid back to lows
seen on Monday, which fuelled an advance in metals,
which have proven more resilient in recent days. Copper
fell nearly 5 percent at one point on Friday. Copper prices
fell 1.7 per cent on Friday due to uncertainty in the after-
math of the British vote to leave the European Union,
which may provoke central banks such as the Bank of
England to provide monetary stimulus by cutting rates.
Brexit is not expected to have major long-term implica-
tions on the copper market, unless of course it is just the
start of the complete fall apart of the EU. On COMEX,
prices of Copper were at $ 2.16 per pound, up 1.91%. The
prices tested a high of $ 2.17 per pound, and a low of $
2.12 per pound.
Amid a weakening trend overseas, silver prices dropped
by Rs 199 to Rs 42,945 per kg in futures trade as specula-
tors cut down their bets. Silver for delivery in September
was trading lower by Rs 199, or 0.46%, to Rs 42,945 per
kg, in a business turnover of 258 lots in futures trading at
(MCX. The white metal for delivery in July lost Rs 185, or
0.44%, at Rs 42,104 per kg, with a business turnover of
1,150 lots. In the international market, silver traded
0.37% lower at $17.66 an ounce in Singapore. A weak
trend in precious metals in global markets as precious
metals hold decline on looming US rate rise, kept pres-
sure on silver futures.
RECOMMENDATIONS
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD ABOVE 31450 TARGET 31550 31700 SL 31225
SELL GOLD BELOW 31150 TARGET 31000 30850 SL 31350
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER AROUND 41800-41850 TARGET 42100 42400 SL
41600
SELL SILVER BELOW 42150 TARGET 42000 41800 SL 424502
MCX
5. DAILY REPORT
29
th
JUNE 2016
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
NCDEX
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value % Change
BARLEY 1585.50 +.032
CHANA 7626 +3.97
CORIANDER 7285 -0.59
COTTON SEED 2568 +0.55
GUAR SEED 3158 +2.07
JEERA 18380 +1.10
MUSTARDSEED 4773 +1.36
REF SOYA OIL 646.90 -0.04
SUGAR M GRADE 3594 -0.19
TURMERIC 8364 +0.43
RECOMMENDATIONS
DHANIYA
BUY CORIANDER JULY ABOVE 7320 TARGET 7365 7465 SL
BELOW 7255
SELL CORIANDER JULY BELOW 7250 TARGET 7205 7105 SL
ABOVE 7315
GUARGUM
BUY GUARGUM JULY ABOVE 5650 TARGET 5700 5770 SL
BELOW 5590
SELL GUARGUM JULY BELOW 5570 TARGET 5520 5450 SL
ABOVE 5630
Turmeric futures have witnessed smart buying in second
consecutive trading session due to resurgence of exporter's
demand and anticipation of weak sowing in the current
year. Strong exporter's buying in Nizamabad has added Rs
300 per quintal in spot prices of turmeric in last two trading
days. Moreover, possibility of decline in turmeric sowing in
the current year due to weak prices has also aided futures
prices. The NCDEX July Turmeric futures swelled by 0.77
percent to close at Rs 8366 per quintal. The NCDEX futures
added 0.35 percent in open interest indicating fresh buying.
Cardamom futures fell 0.63% to Rs 857.10 per kg today as
traders trimmed their holdings amid sluggish spot demand.
Moreover, adequate stock position following increased arri-
vals from producing regions also fueled the downtrend. At
the Multi Commodity Exchange, the commodity for July
eased by Rs 5.40, or 0.63%, to Rs 857.10 per kg, with a busi-
ness turnover of 59 lots. The spice for delivery in August
was trading lower by Rs 2.40, or 0.27%, at Rs 888.30 per kg,
with a trading volume of 14 lots. Offloading of positions by
participants owing to a weak trend at spot market on sub-
dued demand mainly put pressure on cardamom prices.
A stocking norm prescribing the minimum quantity of Rice
and Wheat that should be available in Central Pool at the
beginning of each quarter to take care of operational re-
quirements and above fluctuations, has also been approved
by the Government of India. As per stocking norms as on
1st April, FCI has to maintain wheat stocks of 74.60 Lakh MT
(LMT), whereas 145.38 LMT wheat stocks were available in
central pool as on 01.04.2016. During the current wheat
procurement seasons, about 230 LMT wheat have been
procured. The wheat stock in the Central Pool as on 1st
June 2016 was 326.38 LMT. The annual requirement under
NFSA is around 240 LMT.
6. DAILY REPORT
29
th
JUNE 2016
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
RBI Reference Rate
Currency Rate Currency Rate
Rupee- $ 67.886 Yen-100 66.690
Euro 75.062 GBP 90.173
CURRENCY
USD/INR
BUY USD/INR JULY ABOVE 68.3 TARGET 68.43 68.58 SL BE-
LOW 68.1
SELL USD/INR JULY BELOW 68.2 TARGET 68.07 67.92 SL
ABOVE 68.4
EUR/INR
BUY EUR/INR JULY ABOVE 75.8 TARGET 75.95 76.15 SL BE-
LOW 75.6
SELL EUR/INR JULY BELOW 75.7 TARGET 75.55 75.35 SL
ABOVE 75.9
CURRENCY MARKET UPDATES:
The global economy can benefit from alignment of mone-
tary policies by central banks around the world, European
Central Bank President Mario Draghi said Tuesday, accord-
ing to media reports. Monetary policy has inevitably cre-
ated destabilizing spillovers as well, he said at the ECB Fo-
rum on Central Banking. But this is not so much a result of
the measures central banks have employed, but rather of
the intensity with which they have had to be used. The
global economy could also benefit from cooperation
among spillover-initiating and spillover-receiving econo-
mies on how to mitigate unwanted side effects.
The Indian rupee on Tuesday erased all intraday gains and
closed flat against the US dollar, as month-end dollar de-
mand from oil importers soaked up the dollar supply.
The home currency closed at 67.95, unchanged from its
previous close. The local currency opened at 67.81 a dollar
and touched a high and a low of 67.72 and 67.96, respec-
tively.
So far this year, the rupee has fallen 2.64%, while foreign
institutional investors (FIIs) have bought $2.76 billion in
equity and sold $2 billion in debt markets. Meanwhile, In-
dia’s 10-year bond yield closed at 7.452%, compared with
Monday’s close of 7.458%.
Asian currencies closed higher. Indonesian rupiah was up
1.24%, South Korean won 0.95%, Singapore dollar 0.65%,
Malaysian ringgit 0.54%, Philippines peso 0.29%, Taiwan
dollar 0.26%, Thai baht 0.17% and China offshore 0.12%.
However, Japanese yen was down 0.32%.
The dollar index was trading at 95.93, down 0.64% from its
previous close of 96.544. European Union lawmakers said
the UK should trigger the process for seceding from the EU
“as soon as possible,” increasing pressure on British Prime
Minister. The European Parliament said any lengthy UK
delay in activating negotiations on an exit from the 28-
nation EU must be avoided “to prevent damaging uncer-
tainty for everyone and to protect the union’s integrity”.
The EU assembly made the appeal in a non-binding resolu-
tion approved on Tuesday in Brussels.
7. DAILY REPORT
29
th
JUNE 2016
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
Date
Commodity/ Currency
Pairs
Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
28/06/16 NCDEX DHANIYA JULY BUY 7400 7445-7545 7335 NO PROFIT NO LOSS
28/06/16 NCDEX DHANIYA JULY SELL 7280 7235-7135 7345 NOT EXECUTED
28/06/16 NCDEX GUARGUM JULY BUY 5560 5610-5680 5500 BOOKED PROFIT
28/06/16 NCDEX GUARGUM JULY SELL 5480 5430-5360 5540 BOOKED PROFIT
28/06/16 MCX GOLD AUG. BUY 315000 31600-31750 31400 NOT EXECUTED
28/06/16 MCX GOLD AUG. SELL 31400 31300-31200 31515 BOOKED PROFIT
28/06/16 MCX SILVER JULY BUY 42350 42550-42800 42150 CALL OPEN
28/06/16 MCX SILVER JULY SELL 42150 42000-41800 42350 BOOKED PROFIT
Date Scrip
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
28/06/16 NIFTY FUTURE BUY 8200 8130-8000 8320 NOT EXEUTED
28/06/16 CIPLA FUTURE BUY 494 499-507 486 BOOKED PROFIT
28/06/16 SBIN FUTURE BUY 219.5 222.5-226 215.5 NOT EXECUTED
28/06/16 INDIA CEMENT CASH BUY 103.5 105-106.5 101.5 BOOKED PROFIT
8. DAILY REPORT
29
th
JUNE 2016
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
ECONOMIC CALENDAR
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TIME REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL
CONSENSUS
FORECAST
PREVIOUS
MONDAY, JUNE 27
NONE SCHEDULED
TUESDAY, JUNE 28
10 AM JANET YELLEN TESTIMONY
WEDNESDAY, JUNE 29
10 AM EXISTING HOME SALES MAY 5.64 MLN 5.45 MLN
THURSDAY, JUNE 30
8:30 AM WEEKLY JOBLESS CLAIMS 6/18 N/A N/A
8:30 AM CHICAGO FED NATIONAL INDEX MAY -- 0.10
9:45 PM MARKIT PMI FLASH JUNE -- 50.7
10 AM NEW HOME SALES MAY 555,000 619,000
10 AM LEADING INDICATORS MAY -- 0.6%
FRIDAY, JULY 01
8:30 AM DURABLE GOODS ORDERS MAY -0.8% 3.4%
8:30 AM CORE CAPITAL GOODS ORDERS MAY -- -0.6%
10 AM CONSUMER SENTIMENT JUNE -- 94.3