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Epic research special report of 23 june 2016
1. DAILY REPORT
23
rd
JUNE 2016
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
Global markets at a glance
European shares rose on Wednesday, but ended off highs
as results of a poll rekindled concerns that Britain may
leave the European Union hours before voting in the coun-
try's membership referendum starts. The pan-European
STOXX 600 index was up 0.4 percent, having risen earlier in
the session by as much as 1 percent to its highest in almost
two weeks. The FTSEurofirst 300 also settled off highs, up
0.5 percent. The two indexes have risen over the past four
sessions as worries that the UK would choose to leave the
EU eased, having hit four-month lows in the previous week.
Markets in Asia were mixed in early trade on Thursday, fol-
lowing losses in US stocks, as investors remained on edge
ahead of the UK vote on whether to leave the European
Union (EU). Australia's ASX 200 was up 0.07 percent, with
the materials subindex advancing 1.05 percent. Major min-
ers saw more 1 percent advances, with shares of Rio Tinto
up 1.35 percent and Fortescue rising 4.91 percent. Markets
in Asia were mixed in early trade on Thursday, following
losses in US stocks, as investors remained on edge ahead of
the UK vote on whether to leave the EU.
US stocks dipped in low trading volume on Wednesday,
with traders focusing on Thursday's referendum on
whether Britain will remain part of the European Union.
Stocks rose early after data showed US home resales rose
in May to a more than nine-year high, adding to retail sales
and international trade data that painted an upbeat picture
of the economy in the second quarter. But the S&P 500
once more hit a ceiling at the 2,100 level, which has been
an area where sellers cluster.
Previous day Roundup
The market has ended with minor losses. The Sensex wass
down 47.13 points or 0.2 percent at 26765.65, and the
Nifty slipped 16.20 points or 0.2 percent at 8203.70. About
982 shares have advanced, 1600 shares declined, and 190
shares are unchanged. Adani Ports, Dr Reddy's Labs, Lupin,
Coal India and Wipro were top gainers while Tata Motors,
GAIL, HUL, ITC and Infosys were losers in the Sensex. Auto
and FMCG stocks fell most.
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial
indices performed as follow; Consumer Durables [down
9.48 pts], Capital Goods [down 59.09 pts], PSU [down 2.67
pts], FMCG [down 46.75 Pts], Realty [up 3.62 pts], Power
[down 6.65 pts], Auto [down 151.87 pts], Healthcare [up
62.10 pts], IT [down 13.43 pts], Metals [up 1.58 Pts], TECK
[down 11.03 pts], Oil& Gas [down 15.78 pts].
World Indices
Index Value % Change
DJI 17769.00 +0.46
S&P500 2087.50 +0.52
NASDAQ 4833.32 -0.22
FTSE100 6253.00 +0.02
NIKKEI 16143.65 +0.49
HANG SENG 20878.45 +0.40
Top Gainers
Company CMP Change % Chg
ADANIPORTS 201.80 4.55 2.24
DRREDDY 3104.85 55.80 1.83
COALINDIA 317.00 4.00 1.28
LUPIN 1466.25 16.60 1.15
AMBUJACEM 242.55 2.35 0.98
Top Losers
Company CMP Change % Chg
INFRATEL 336.85 -11.55 -3.20
TATAMTRDVR 314.65 -10.05 -3.10
TATAMOTOR 472.10 -12.80 -2.64
GAIL 374.25 -8.30 -2.17
BOSCHLTD 2167.00 -311.20 -1.42
Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
AARVEEDEN 85.95 5.35 6.64
ADI 341.25 28.20 9.01
ALANKIT 136.90 6.10 4.66
ASPINWALL 200.85 -10.40 -4.85
BALAMINES 260.95 2.25 0.87
BANSWARAS 146.30 -3.60 -2.40
BIRLACOT 0.10 0.05 100.00
Indian Indices
Company CMP Change % Chg
NIFTY 8203.70 -16.20 -0.20
SENSEX 26765.65 -47.13 -0.18
Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
BIRLACOT 0.10 0.05 100.00
GEINDSYS 5.30 -0.25 -4.50
GLOBOFFS 148.90 -4.30 -2.81
2. DAILY REPORT
23
rd
JUNE 2016
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
MARICO [CASH]
On the daily chart of MARICO , it has given upside break-
out at 260.45 levels with good volumes yesterday session
and is completing rounding bottom pattern for this it is
expected to give good upside move for the day above yes-
terdays high. So we advise to buy MARICO above 261 for
the targets of 263.50 265 with stop loss below 259.
MACRO NEWS
Fertiliser industry calls for import duty cut on raw mate-
rials .
Rs 10 lakh crore investment needed to meet 1.5 billion
tonne coal output target: Study .
Honda Cars receives 10k online bookings for BR-V since
launch .
Force Motors opens Rs 100 cr plant in Pune .
DCM Shriram to complete Rs 607 cr expansion project
by October.
India plans to import 500,000 tn of corn to overcome
shortage.
Govt approves Rs 2,272 cr highway project in Karnataka .
Income Tax dept to take steps to boost TDS collections.
Motherson plans to merge group cos with self
Debroy makes case for scrapping separate railway
budget
Textile sector sops to have 3-year sunset clause
Cabinet approves Rs 5.66 lakh cr mega spectrum auction
plan
Thomas Cook arm Quess Corp's Rs 400cr IPO to open
June 29
Jaguar Land Rovers annual profit could be cut by 1 billion
pounds by the end of the decade if Britain leaves the EU.
Bajaj Finance- non-banking arm of Bajaj Finserv tied up
with Future Group,
MSIL said it is ramping up production of premium
hatchback Baleno to meet the current demand and re-
duce waiting period.
Oil India led consortium to buy stake in Vankor oil field
Control Print India to List on NSE on Jun 24th
ICRA upgrades outlook on RCOM to Stable from negative
STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. YESBANK [FUTURE]
Last trading session YESBANK future give outperformed in
whole banking Index and show long build up at lower level
and last day stock made a high of 1081 and close near day
high with bullish candlestick in daily chart. And close near
major resistance level. We may see sharp rise for that it will
be good to buy above 1083 for the target of 1088-1095 with
SL of 1075.
2. TATAMOTORS [FUTURE]
Last trading session TATAMOTORS future gave Negative per-
formance in whole auto sector before BREXIT result and
close near day low with bearish candlestick in daily chart.
and stock break 470 level. We may see sharp fall ahead. so
it will be sell below 469 for the target of 465-460 with SL of
475.
3. DAILY REPORT
23
rd
JUNE 2016
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
FUTURES & OPTIONS
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol Op-
tion
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY CE 8300 55.40 2,56,320 67,24,800
NIFTY CE 8400 25.95 1,86,178 62,39,400
BANKNIFTY CE 17800 14.30 1,54,820 4,54,230
SBIN CE 215 5.15 3,279 32,52,000
LT CE 1550 10.45 2,96 4,97,400
ICICIBANK CE 250 2.60 1,936 47,19,200
ASHOKLEY CE 105 0.90 2,138 69,23,000
ARVIND CE 340 6.05 2,750 32,52,000
MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol Op-
tion
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY PE 8100 63.50 1,91,412 55,00,650
NIFTY PE 8200 99.05 1,79,100 36,36,000
BANKNIFTY PE 17500 32.00 1,42,672 3,37,980
TATAMOTOR PE 460 8.60 2,308 14,26,500
SBIN PE 210 5.40 3,802 33,56,000
VEDL PE 120 1.25 1,320 24,68,000
TCS PE 2600 15.00 1,264 1,52,200
ARVIND PE 320 7.90 1,219 2,63,500
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAYSELL
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES 24116 1404.99 31855 1902.16 227898 13663.89 -497.17
INDEX OPTIONS 354658 20335.48 360655 20725.55 1214346 73843.75 -390.07
STOCK FUTURES 90974 4706.65 82451 4358.87 1092629 54641.37 347.78
STOCK OPTIONS 58622 3173.09 58364 3139.58 119178 6230.18 33.51
TOTAL -505.95
STOCKS IN NEWS
Aadhar Housing and DHFL Vysya Housing to merge.
2,839 bottles of Sun Pharma Inc being recalled in US .
Spice Digital gets in-principle approval for BBPS li-
cence .
Force Motors opens Rs 100 cr plant in Pune .
Shree Cement gains on completion of expansion of
grinding unit in Bihar.
Gujarat Pipavav Port extends gain after block deal.
DCM Shriram to complete Rs 607 cr expansion project
by October .
KEC International wins orders of Rs. 1,036 Crore
MTNL to submit revival plan to DoT by August
NIFTY FUTURE
NIFTY in yesterday trading session remained range
bound to bearish. After an almost flat opening Nifty
dragged down in ceasing hours and closed below previ-
ous day’s low. It has been 3 sessions it is preparing lower
highs and taking resistance of trend-line. The index may
open with gap up but it is over all bearish. So sell it
around 8250-8230 for the targets of 8150 and 8050 with
strict stop loss of 8330
INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
NIFTY 8283.50 8243.60 8198.40 8158.50 8113.30
BANKNIFTY 17870.00 17748.00 17633.00 17511.00 17396.00
4. DAILY REPORT
23
rd
JUNE 2016
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Copper was static in evening trades but the trajectory re-
mained on the higher side on the back of positive senti-
ments emerging in Europe. The general expectation is that
Britain will remain in the European Union and won't exit it.
This has tamed the moves of Dollar and improved the buy-
ing spree in Copper. MCX Copper was trading at Rs 317.95
per kg, up 0.06%. The prices tested a high of Rs 319 per kg,
and a low of Rs 315.70 per kg. The prices of Copper on MCX
have depleted by 18.4% in the month of June 2016 com-
pared to June 2015. The metal corrected by 2.24% com-
pared to previous month.
MCX Copper averages at Rs 305 per kg at the verge of June
2016 against Rs 312 per kg in May 2015. So far in the year
2016, Copper has gained 2% from Rs 299 per kg at the be-
ginning of the year. The average position of Copper during
same period last year was Rs 374 per kg. Meanwhile, Inter-
national Copper is averaging around $ 4579 per tonne in the
month of June 2016, compared to $ 5834 per tonne in the
month of June 2015, down 21.5%. The prices declined by
2.74% on a month on month basis from $ 4708 per tonne in
the month of May 2016.
The international crude oil price of Indian Basket as com-
puted by Petroleum Planning and Analysis Cell under the
Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas was US$ 47.02 bbl
on 21.06.2016. This was lower than the price of US$ 47.24
per bbl on previous publishing day of 20.06.2016. In rupee
terms, the price of Indian Basket decreased to Rs. 3172.68
per bbl on 21.06.2016 as compared to Rs. 3184.55 per bbl
on 20.06.2016. Rupee closed weaker at Rs. 67.48 per US$
on 21.06.2016 as against Rs 67.41 per US$ on 20.06.2016.
Taking weak cues from overseas markets silver prices fell by
Rs 112 to Rs 42,000 per kg in futures trade. In futures trad-
ing at MCX silver for delivery in far-month September was
trading lower by Rs 66, or 0.22%, at Rs 42,000 per kg in a
business turnover of two lots. Similarly, the white metal for
delivery in July declined by Rs 80, or 0.19%, to Rs 41,275 per
kg in a business volume of 353 lots. In the international
market, silver fell 1.26% to $17.25 an ounce in New York
yesterday. The fall in silver prices was largely in line with a
weak trend in precious metals at global markets on specula-
tion that Britain will probably vote to stay in the European
Union in a referendum tomorrow, undercutting demand for
haven assets.
RECOMMENDATIONS
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
GOLD SELL BELOW 30000 TARGET 29900 29800 SL 30105
BUY GOLD ABOVE 30275 TARGET 30400 30550 SL 30100
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER ABOVE 41350 TARGET 41500 41700 SL 41100
SELL SILVER BELOW 40750 TARGET 40500 40300 SL 41005
MCX
5. DAILY REPORT
23
rd
JUNE 2016
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
NCDEX
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value % Change
BARLEY 1574.50 -0.41
CHANA 6898 +0.61
CORIANDER 7220 +2.01
COTTON SEED 2475 +1.06
GUAR SEED 3113 +1.93
JEERA 17640 +.11
MUSTARDSEED 4735 -0.42
REF SOYA OIL 654.60 +0.26
SUGAR M GRADE 3593 -0.66
TURMERIC 8110 -0.54
RECOMMENDATIONS
DHANIYA
BUY CORIANDER JULY ABOVE 7225 TARGET 7270 7370 SL
BELOW 7160
SELL CORIANDER JULY BELOW 7170 TARGET 7125 7025 SL
ABOVE 7235
GUARGUM
BUY GUARGUM JULY ABOVE 5560 TARGET 5610 5680 SL
BELOW 5500
SELL GUARGUM JULY BELOW 5450 TARGET 5400 5330 SL
ABOVE 5510
After five good years, coffee output might see a dip. The
current season, ending Sept, saw high production at
350,000 tonnes. The next one is expected to be tougher for
coffee output, with drought in major growing areas of Kar-
nataka. The state normally produces 70% of the all-India
total. The coffee year begins on Oct 1 and the 2014-15 out-
put was 327,000 tonnes; this year ending September 30 will
see 350,000 tonnes, says the United Planters' Association of
Southern India. It had been 314,000 tonnes in 2011-12.
Extending its losses for a third straight day sugar pricesfell
further by 0.77% to Rs 3,589 per quintal in futures trade as
traders engaged in trimming position to book profits amid
higher supplies from mills at the spot market. At NCDEX
sugar for delivery in July month drifted further lower by Rs
28, or 0.77% to Rs 3,589 per quintal with an open interest
of 34,020 lots. On similar lines, the sweetener for delivery
in October contracts moved down by Rs 20, or 0.53% to Rs
3,740 per quintal in 13,020 lots. Trimming of positions par-
ticipants to book profits at higher levels and ample stocks at
the spotmarkets due to higher supplies from mills, mainly
weighed on sweetner prices at futures trade here.
Crude palm oil prices recovered by 0.24% to Rs 508.50 per
10 kg in futures trade today as traders built fresh positions
after pick up in demand in the spot market. At the Multi
Commodity Exchange, crude palm oil for delivery in June
month rose by Rs 1.20, or 0.24%, to Rs 508.50 per 10 kg in
business turnover of 56 lots. On similar lines, the oil for de-
livery in far-month July contracts edged up by 40 paise, or
0.08%, to Rs 506 per 10 kg in 82 lots. Fresh positions cre-
ated by participants, tracking pick up in demand in the spot
market against tight stocks posiion on restricted supplies
from producing regions, mainly led to the rise in crude palm
oil prices in futures trade.
6. DAILY REPORT
23
rd
JUNE 2016
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
RBI Reference Rate
Currency Rate Currency Rate
Rupee- $ 67.557 Yen-100 64.610
Euro 76.035 GBP 99.153
CURRENCY
USD/INR
BUY USD/INR JUN ABOVE 67.55 TARGET 67.68 67.83 SL BE-
LOW 67.35
SELL USD/INR JUN BELOW 67.48 TARGET 67.35 67.2 SL
ABOVE 67.68
EUR/INR
BUY EUR/INR JUN ABOVE 76.3 TARGET 76.45 76.65 SL BE-
LOW 76.1
SELL EUR/INR JUN BELOW 76.18 TARGET 76.03 75.83 SL
ABOVE 76.38
CURRENCY MARKET UPDATES:
Recovering from early losses against the US currency, the
rupee ended flat at 67.48 a dollar on fag-end selling of the
greenback by banks and exporters in view of a weak dollar
in overseas markets. The currency market moved in tan-
dem with polls around the UK's referendum on whether to
stay in the European Union.
The rupee opened lower at 67.59 per dollar as against
Tuesday's closing level of 67.48 per dollar at the interbank
foreign exchange (forex) market. It dropped further to
67.63 per dollar on initial dollar demand from banks and
importers. However, it washed out initial losses and recov-
ered to 67.4325 per dollar on fag-end dollar selling before
ending at 67.48 per dollar, showing no change from previ-
ous close. The rupee hovered in a range of 67.4325 and
67.63 per dollar during the day.
The dollar index was trading down 0.26 per cent at against
a basket of six currencies in the late afternoon trade. The
Reserve Bank of India fixed the reference rate for the dol-
lar at 67.5570 and euro at 76.0354. The dollar slipped
lower against the other major currencies on Wednesday,
as polls showed that the race between the Leave and Re-
main campaigns remains tight one day before the vote on
a potential British exit from the European Union, or Brexit.
In cross-currency trades, the rupee recovered against the
pound sterling to end at 99.09 from 99.47 on Tuesday and
also recouped against the euro to 76.20 from 76.41. The
domestic currency dropped further against the Japanese
yen to 64.51 per 100 yen from 64.44.
The Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) relaxed
currency derivatives rules on Wednesday, allowing partici-
pants to continue to hold on to their open position limits
even if total open interest in a currency pair falls at a stock
exchange. Market participants will, however, have to
gradually bring down their open positions to comply with
applicable limits within a time period specified by the stock
exchanges.
7. DAILY REPORT
23
rd
JUNE 2016
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
Date
Commodity/ Currency
Pairs
Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
22/06/16 NCDEX DHANIYA JULY BUY 7100 7145-7245 7035 BOOKED FULL PROFIT
22/06/16 NCDEX DHANIYA JULY SELL 7030 6985-6885 7095 NOT EXECUTED
22/06/16 NCDEX GUARGUM JULY BUY 5440 5490-5560 5380 BOOKED FULL PROFIT
22/06/16 NCDEX GUARGUM JULY SELL 5300 5250-5180 5360 NOT EXECUTED
22/06/16 MCX GOLD AUG. BUY 30100 30300-30500 29950 CALL OPEN
22/06/16 MCX GOLD AUG. SELL 30550-30600 30350-30100 30730 NOT EXECUTED
22/06/16 MCX SILVER JULY BUY 41000-41025 41200-41400 40750 BOOKED PROFIT
22/06/16 MCX SILVER JULY SELL 41650 41400-41100 41875 NOT EXECUTED
Date Scrip
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
22/06/16 NIFTY FUTURE SELL 8270-8250 8200-8100 8300 BOOKED PROFIT
22/06/16 ARVIND FUTURE BUY 330 335-345 322 BOOKED PROFIT
22/06/16 AUROPHARMA FUTURE SELL 720 713-705 735 CALL OPEN
22/06/16 WELSPUN CASH BUY 110.5 1112-113 108 SL TRIGGERED
17/06/16 NIFTY FUTURE SELL 8170-8190 8080-8000 8320 CALL OPEN
8. DAILY REPORT
23
rd
JUNE 2016
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
ECONOMIC CALENDAR
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TIME REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL
CONSENSUS
FORECAST
PREVIOUS
MONDAY, JUNE 20
NONE SCHEDULED
TUESDAY, JUNE 21
10 AM JANET YELLEN TESTIMONY
WEDNESDAY, JUNE 22
10 AM EXISTING HOME SALES MAY 5.64 MLN 5.45 MLN
THURSDAY, JUNE 23
8:30 AM WEEKLY JOBLESS CLAIMS 6/18 N/A N/A
8:30 AM CHICAGO FED NATIONAL INDEX MAY -- 0.10
9:45 PM MARKIT PMI FLASH JUNE -- 50.7
10 AM NEW HOME SALES MAY 555,000 619,000
10 AM LEADING INDICATORS MAY -- 0.6%
FRIDAY, JUNE 24
8:30 AM DURABLE GOODS ORDERS MAY -0.8% 3.4%
8:30 AM CORE CAPITAL GOODS ORDERS MAY -- -0.6%
10 AM CONSUMER SENTIMENT JUNE -- 94.3