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False Economy
A surprising economic history of the
               world
                 By
            Alan Beattie
                           Team Apple
                               Sneha Nimkar
                           Sourangshu Sarkar
                              Mir Zeeshan Ali
False Economy
• Author – Alan Beattie

• Was born in Chester in 1971

• Balliol College under Oxford
University - Degree in History

• Master Degree in Economics
– Cambridge

• Economist – Bank of England

• Editor – Financial times since
2004
Preface
The aim of this book is to explain -

1. how and why countries and
   societies and economics got to
   where they are today
2. what made cities the way they are
3. why corruption destroyed some
   nations but not others
4. why the economy that fed the
   Roman Empire is now the world’s
   biggest importer of grain
5. Countries have choices, and those
   choices have substantially
   determined whether they
   succeeded or failed
World tour
Making Choices: Why did Argentina succeed and the US Stall

•   Countries do not get rich
    by accident, they make
    choices that determine
    the path their economics
    takes

•   US and Argentina: rivals -
    young, dynamic, fertile
    farmlands and confident
    exporters

•   Before great depression
    of 1930s, Argentina was
    among the ten richest
    economies in the world

•   A hundred years later
    there was no choice at all
Making Choices: Why did Argentina succeed
                                     and the US Stall
•   Colonies of US got independence
    in 1776 /new nation in 1789
•   Argentina independent republic in
    1816

•   Both faced internal struggle

•   US farmland to individuals and
    families / imported many farming
    practice from northern Europe,
    Britain, Germany, and Netherlands

•   Argentina delivered it rich
    landowners / 1860-70 land owners
    attracted towards rural life and
    passed their time with literature,
    music etc
Making Choices: Why did Argentina succeed and the US Stall

                 •    1880-1914 first golden age of
                      globalization

                 •    US/Argentina's export increased

                 •    Argentina’s income captured by the
                      owners of huge lands

                 •    Argentina needed to import more
                      technology

                 •    Argentine was trying to follow US, but US
                      invested it’s saving in industrialization

                 •    Argentina denied to invest in
                      industrialization initially

                 •    Argentine manufacturing was small-scale
                      – handicraft workshops
Cities


•    Cities are shaped by choices
     made by government and people

•     130-50 BC Rome (capital of Italy)
    –    Military conquered
    –    Unemployment
    –    Bribe & Tax

•     Venice and Florence
    –    Trading warehouse
    –    Industrial revolution
•    Milan – economic powerhouse of
     modern Italy
•    China - proliferation
•    Washington DC
Trade: Why does Egypt import half its staple food?


• Egypt – grain export

• Nile river

• Grain importer
Natural Resources: Why are oil and diamonds more trouble than
                                            they are worth?


•   Oil – UK, Norway
•   Giant, high technology drill, offshore
    platform
•   Small no of employee
Dutch Disease

               •    Exchange rate rose
               •    Other export down
               •    Unemployment




Oil Vs Tulip
Natural Resources: Why are oil and diamonds more
           trouble than they are worth?


               •   Diamond – West Africa
               •   Antwerp, Amsterdam, Mumbai
Natural Resources: Why are oil and diamonds more
           trouble than they are worth?




           • Copper – Zambia

           • Low price /60 years tax rebate

           • Chinese miners
Religion: Why does Islamic countries get rich?

            • Does success of economy
              depends upon religion?

            • Islamic countries

            • Prohibition on usury

            • Restriction to business and
              commercialization

            • Did not allow new technology

            • Conquer to other countries

            • Struggle to increase productivity
Religion: Why does Islamic countries get rich?

• Arab Empire (ottoman)

• Absorbing new technology

• Exchange of ideas and goods

• Hinduism
Trade route & supply chain: Why doesn’t Africa grow cocaine?

•   International trade – good
    communication, cheap & reliable
    transport, certainty about staff and
    customer
•   Advance in telecommunication &
    transport increased trade
•   Long distance : less trade
•   Rich – Poor countries : less trade
•   1600 AD – East India Company
•   Monopoly – Spices / pulse
•   England to Bombay – 100 to 120 Days
•   Dutch East India company – modern
    Trade – Financial - Logistical
•    Steam-powered ship
Trade route & supply chain: Why doesn’t Africa grow cocaine?

•   Why do Africans not grow coca to
    make cocaine?
•   Like coffee, coca grows in high
    altitude – Andes
•   Large coffee growing regions –
    Uganda, Ethiopia
•    struck doing low-paid supply chain




•   As per UNO – poor transport and
    logistics
•   Unstable policies
•   Coca – not have a quick return
Corruption: Why did Indonesia prosper under
   a crooker ruler & Tanzania stay poor?
                   • Corruption
                   • Abuse of position for
                     personal gain
                   • Indonesia
                      –   Ruled by Suharta
                      –   Bribery & cronyism
                      –   Orthodox economic policy
                      –   Contract to private cronies
                   • Tanzania
                      – Julius Nyerere
                      – Great personal honesty
                      – Allowed state hold
                        companies
                      – Swept small holding farmers
                      – Appoint bureaucrats
Why Countries Succeed or Fail: Lessons from Argentina, Egypt, Indonesia and More

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Why Countries Succeed or Fail: Lessons from Argentina, Egypt, Indonesia and More

  • 1. False Economy A surprising economic history of the world By Alan Beattie Team Apple Sneha Nimkar Sourangshu Sarkar Mir Zeeshan Ali
  • 2. False Economy • Author – Alan Beattie • Was born in Chester in 1971 • Balliol College under Oxford University - Degree in History • Master Degree in Economics – Cambridge • Economist – Bank of England • Editor – Financial times since 2004
  • 3. Preface The aim of this book is to explain - 1. how and why countries and societies and economics got to where they are today 2. what made cities the way they are 3. why corruption destroyed some nations but not others 4. why the economy that fed the Roman Empire is now the world’s biggest importer of grain 5. Countries have choices, and those choices have substantially determined whether they succeeded or failed
  • 5.
  • 6. Making Choices: Why did Argentina succeed and the US Stall • Countries do not get rich by accident, they make choices that determine the path their economics takes • US and Argentina: rivals - young, dynamic, fertile farmlands and confident exporters • Before great depression of 1930s, Argentina was among the ten richest economies in the world • A hundred years later there was no choice at all
  • 7. Making Choices: Why did Argentina succeed and the US Stall • Colonies of US got independence in 1776 /new nation in 1789 • Argentina independent republic in 1816 • Both faced internal struggle • US farmland to individuals and families / imported many farming practice from northern Europe, Britain, Germany, and Netherlands • Argentina delivered it rich landowners / 1860-70 land owners attracted towards rural life and passed their time with literature, music etc
  • 8. Making Choices: Why did Argentina succeed and the US Stall • 1880-1914 first golden age of globalization • US/Argentina's export increased • Argentina’s income captured by the owners of huge lands • Argentina needed to import more technology • Argentine was trying to follow US, but US invested it’s saving in industrialization • Argentina denied to invest in industrialization initially • Argentine manufacturing was small-scale – handicraft workshops
  • 9. Cities • Cities are shaped by choices made by government and people • 130-50 BC Rome (capital of Italy) – Military conquered – Unemployment – Bribe & Tax • Venice and Florence – Trading warehouse – Industrial revolution • Milan – economic powerhouse of modern Italy • China - proliferation • Washington DC
  • 10. Trade: Why does Egypt import half its staple food? • Egypt – grain export • Nile river • Grain importer
  • 11. Natural Resources: Why are oil and diamonds more trouble than they are worth? • Oil – UK, Norway • Giant, high technology drill, offshore platform • Small no of employee
  • 12. Dutch Disease • Exchange rate rose • Other export down • Unemployment Oil Vs Tulip
  • 13. Natural Resources: Why are oil and diamonds more trouble than they are worth? • Diamond – West Africa • Antwerp, Amsterdam, Mumbai
  • 14. Natural Resources: Why are oil and diamonds more trouble than they are worth? • Copper – Zambia • Low price /60 years tax rebate • Chinese miners
  • 15. Religion: Why does Islamic countries get rich? • Does success of economy depends upon religion? • Islamic countries • Prohibition on usury • Restriction to business and commercialization • Did not allow new technology • Conquer to other countries • Struggle to increase productivity
  • 16. Religion: Why does Islamic countries get rich? • Arab Empire (ottoman) • Absorbing new technology • Exchange of ideas and goods • Hinduism
  • 17. Trade route & supply chain: Why doesn’t Africa grow cocaine? • International trade – good communication, cheap & reliable transport, certainty about staff and customer • Advance in telecommunication & transport increased trade • Long distance : less trade • Rich – Poor countries : less trade • 1600 AD – East India Company • Monopoly – Spices / pulse • England to Bombay – 100 to 120 Days • Dutch East India company – modern Trade – Financial - Logistical • Steam-powered ship
  • 18. Trade route & supply chain: Why doesn’t Africa grow cocaine? • Why do Africans not grow coca to make cocaine? • Like coffee, coca grows in high altitude – Andes • Large coffee growing regions – Uganda, Ethiopia • struck doing low-paid supply chain • As per UNO – poor transport and logistics • Unstable policies • Coca – not have a quick return
  • 19. Corruption: Why did Indonesia prosper under a crooker ruler & Tanzania stay poor? • Corruption • Abuse of position for personal gain • Indonesia – Ruled by Suharta – Bribery & cronyism – Orthodox economic policy – Contract to private cronies • Tanzania – Julius Nyerere – Great personal honesty – Allowed state hold companies – Swept small holding farmers – Appoint bureaucrats