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Germany Solar Photovoltaic Market Outlook to 2015
TABLE OF CONTENTS
1.     Germany Solar Photovoltaic (PV) Market Introduction
2.     Germany Solar Feed-in Tariffs (FiT) Present Status and Impact
3.     Germany Solar PV Market Size, 2006-2010
     3.1. Germany Solar PV On-Grid and Off-Grid Cumulative Installed Capacity, 2006-
     2010
     3.2.     Germany Solar PV On-Grid and Off-Grid Annual Installed Capacity, 2006-2010
4.     Germany Solar Photovoltaic Power per Capita, 2006-2010
5.     Germany Solar Photovoltaic Power Generation, 2006-2010
6.     CO2 Savings through PV Systems in Germany, 2006-2010
7.     Solar Module Production in Germany, 2000, 2005 and 2010
8.     Germany Solar PV Market Segmentation
     8.1.     by Type of Installations, 2010
     8.2.     By Solar PV Installation Size Range, 2010
9.     Germany Solar PV Market Competitive Landscape
10.         Germany Solar PV SWOT Analysis
              Strengths
              Weakenesses
              Opportunities
              Threats
11.         Germany Solar Photovoltaic Market Future Outlook
     11.1.      Germany Solar PV Cumulative Installed Capacity, 2011-2015
     11.2.      Germany Solar PV Annual Installed Capacity, 2011-2015
     11.3.      Germany Solar PV Power Per Capita, 2011-2015
     11.4.      Germany Solar PV Power Generation, 2010-2015
12.         Germany Macro Economic Indicators: Current and Projections
     12.1.      Population, 2006-2015

                                                                                           2
12.2.     GDP, 2006-2015
13.   Appendix
  13.1.     Market Definition
  13.2.     Abbreviations
  13.3.     Research Methodology
          Data Collection Methods
          Approach
  13.4.     Disclaimer




                                    3
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1: Germany Solar PV Market Size in terms of Grid Connected and Off-Grid
Cumulative Installed Capacity in Percentage, 2006-2010
Figure 2: Germany Solar PV Market Size in terms of On-Grid and Off-Grid Annual Installed
Capacity in Percentage, 2006-2010
Figure 3: Germany Solar PV Power Installed Capacity per Capita in Watt/Inhabitant, 2006-
2010
Figure 4: Germany Solar PV Power Generation in Gigawatt hour, 2006- 2009
Figure 5: CO2 Savings through PV Systems in thousand metric tonnes, 2006-2010
Figure 6: Solar Module Production in Germany in Megawatt Peak (MWp), 2000, 2005 and
2010
Figure 7: Germany Solar PV Market Segmentation by Type of Installations in Percentage,
2010
Figure 8: Germany Solar PV Market Segmentation by Installation Size Type in Percentage,
2010
Figure 9: Germany Solar PV Market Size in terms of Cumulative Installed Capacity in
Megawatt, 2011-2015
Figure 10: Germany Solar PV Market Size in terms of Annual Installed Capacity in
Megawatt, 2011-2015
Figure 11: Germany Solar PV Power Installed Capacity per Capita in Watt/Inhabitant, 2011-
2015
Figure 12: Germany Solar PV Power Generation in Gigawatt hour (GWh), 2010-2015




                                                                                       4
LIST OF TABLES
Table 1: Present Scenario and Impact of Feed-in Tariff Plans in Germany Solar Photovoltaic
Market
Table 2: Germany Solar PV Industry Feed-in Tariff Plans Amendments, in ct/KWh in 2010
and 2011
Table 3: Germany Solar PV Market Size in terms of On-Grid and Off-Grid and Total
Cumulative Installed Capacity in Megawatt (MW), 2006-2010
Table 4: Germany Solar PV Market Size in terms of On-Grid and Off-Grid and Total Annual
Installed Capacity in Megawatt (MW), 2006-2010
Table 5: Germany Solar PV Market Segmentation by Installation Size Type’s Capacity in
MW and Number of Systems, 2010
Table 6: Competitive Landscape of Major Solar Photovoltaic Cell/Module Producers in
Germany (Q-cells, Bosch Solar Energy, Conergy, Scheuten and Schott Solar)
Table 7: Germany Solar PV Market Size in terms of Cumulative Installed Capacity in
Megawatt, 2011-2015
Table 8: Germany Solar PV Market Size in terms of Annual Installed Capacity in Megawatt,
2011-2015
Table 9: Germany Population Trend in Million, 2006-2015
Table 10: Germany Gross Domestic Product in USD Billion, 2006-2015




                                                                                        5
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY


The report titled “Germany Solar Photovoltaic Market Outlook to 2015” provides a
comprehensive analysis on various aspects such as On-Grid and Off-Grid Cumulative and
Annual Installed Capacity, PV power per capita, market segmentation and competitive
landscape of the major players operating in the country. The report also entails the SWOT
analysis of solar PV market in Germany.
The future outlook presented the base case, conservative case and aggressive case scenario
factor analysis providing an insight on the prospects in the solar PV cumulative and annual
installed capacity for the country. The report also includes the cause and effect relationship
among the various industry factors prevailing in the German solar PV market.

Germany is the largest solar photovoltaic market in the world in terms of installed PV
capacity. It has the highest conversion rate i.e. conversion of solar power into electricity in
comparison to other countries across the globe. The various technologies used in generation
of PV are wafer based, thin film and organic PV. The country is home to various companies
operating in this sector, numerous developers, integrators and installers. Since the market is
very competitive in respect to the number of installers in the country, the price of the
installation is the cheapest around the globe. Funding from private banks as well as various
rules and regulations initiated by the government support the growth of the PV technology in
the country.

In the year 2000, Renewable Energy Act was introduced in which feed-in-tariffs and other
incentives helped in encouraging the growth of the PV sector. In 2001, the cumulative solar
PV installed capacity was 195 MW which increased to 5,979 MW in 2008. In 2009, Germany
represented over 40% of the worldwide market share, making it the largest solar energy
market. In 2009, the PV energy output increased to 9,785 MW.

The power generated from solar photovoltaic technology has also registered a considerable
growth in the country. Although the power generation using photovoltaic technologies is still
expensive as compared to other sources, it is expected that the learning curve will become
more convex over a period of time with the innovation in technology and with the
achievement of economies of scale. The power generation has increased from 2,220 GWh in
2006 to 6,578 GWh in 2009. During the period from 2006-2009, the solar photovoltaic power
generation increased at a high CAGR of 43.6%.

The requirement for PV installation is mostly in the commercial/industrial sector which
represents a major chunk of installations in the country. The commercial and industrial
applications contributed 68% of the total installations in 2010. Ground mounted is the second

                                                                                             6
largest type of PV installations with the market share of 19% followed by the installations in
the residential sector. Residential installation represents 13% of the total installed capacity in
2010 in the country.

Under the base case scenario, the market is expected to improve the conversion rate and the
decline in the cost of equipment such as solar modules/panels will offset the tariff cuts
resulting in an average growth trend for the industry. The cumulative installations, in this
case, are expected to reach to ~ MW by 2015.



KEY TOPICS COVERED IN THE REPORT

   •   The feed-in-tariffs introduced in the country and their effect on the solar PV market
   •   The annual and cumulative PV installations along with PV power per capita in the
       country from 2006-2010
   •   Future Outlook on the basis of assumed scenarios i.e. base case, worst case and
       aggressive case on cumulative installed capacity, annual installed capacity and PV
       power per capita, from 2011-2015
   •   SWOT analysis of the solar PV industry and Macro Economic Environment in the
       country
   •   Competitive Landscape of the various players operating in the country.




                                                                                                7

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Germany Solar Photovoltaic Market Outlook to 2015

  • 2. TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. Germany Solar Photovoltaic (PV) Market Introduction 2. Germany Solar Feed-in Tariffs (FiT) Present Status and Impact 3. Germany Solar PV Market Size, 2006-2010 3.1. Germany Solar PV On-Grid and Off-Grid Cumulative Installed Capacity, 2006- 2010 3.2. Germany Solar PV On-Grid and Off-Grid Annual Installed Capacity, 2006-2010 4. Germany Solar Photovoltaic Power per Capita, 2006-2010 5. Germany Solar Photovoltaic Power Generation, 2006-2010 6. CO2 Savings through PV Systems in Germany, 2006-2010 7. Solar Module Production in Germany, 2000, 2005 and 2010 8. Germany Solar PV Market Segmentation 8.1. by Type of Installations, 2010 8.2. By Solar PV Installation Size Range, 2010 9. Germany Solar PV Market Competitive Landscape 10. Germany Solar PV SWOT Analysis Strengths Weakenesses Opportunities Threats 11. Germany Solar Photovoltaic Market Future Outlook 11.1. Germany Solar PV Cumulative Installed Capacity, 2011-2015 11.2. Germany Solar PV Annual Installed Capacity, 2011-2015 11.3. Germany Solar PV Power Per Capita, 2011-2015 11.4. Germany Solar PV Power Generation, 2010-2015 12. Germany Macro Economic Indicators: Current and Projections 12.1. Population, 2006-2015 2
  • 3. 12.2. GDP, 2006-2015 13. Appendix 13.1. Market Definition 13.2. Abbreviations 13.3. Research Methodology Data Collection Methods Approach 13.4. Disclaimer 3
  • 4. LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1: Germany Solar PV Market Size in terms of Grid Connected and Off-Grid Cumulative Installed Capacity in Percentage, 2006-2010 Figure 2: Germany Solar PV Market Size in terms of On-Grid and Off-Grid Annual Installed Capacity in Percentage, 2006-2010 Figure 3: Germany Solar PV Power Installed Capacity per Capita in Watt/Inhabitant, 2006- 2010 Figure 4: Germany Solar PV Power Generation in Gigawatt hour, 2006- 2009 Figure 5: CO2 Savings through PV Systems in thousand metric tonnes, 2006-2010 Figure 6: Solar Module Production in Germany in Megawatt Peak (MWp), 2000, 2005 and 2010 Figure 7: Germany Solar PV Market Segmentation by Type of Installations in Percentage, 2010 Figure 8: Germany Solar PV Market Segmentation by Installation Size Type in Percentage, 2010 Figure 9: Germany Solar PV Market Size in terms of Cumulative Installed Capacity in Megawatt, 2011-2015 Figure 10: Germany Solar PV Market Size in terms of Annual Installed Capacity in Megawatt, 2011-2015 Figure 11: Germany Solar PV Power Installed Capacity per Capita in Watt/Inhabitant, 2011- 2015 Figure 12: Germany Solar PV Power Generation in Gigawatt hour (GWh), 2010-2015 4
  • 5. LIST OF TABLES Table 1: Present Scenario and Impact of Feed-in Tariff Plans in Germany Solar Photovoltaic Market Table 2: Germany Solar PV Industry Feed-in Tariff Plans Amendments, in ct/KWh in 2010 and 2011 Table 3: Germany Solar PV Market Size in terms of On-Grid and Off-Grid and Total Cumulative Installed Capacity in Megawatt (MW), 2006-2010 Table 4: Germany Solar PV Market Size in terms of On-Grid and Off-Grid and Total Annual Installed Capacity in Megawatt (MW), 2006-2010 Table 5: Germany Solar PV Market Segmentation by Installation Size Type’s Capacity in MW and Number of Systems, 2010 Table 6: Competitive Landscape of Major Solar Photovoltaic Cell/Module Producers in Germany (Q-cells, Bosch Solar Energy, Conergy, Scheuten and Schott Solar) Table 7: Germany Solar PV Market Size in terms of Cumulative Installed Capacity in Megawatt, 2011-2015 Table 8: Germany Solar PV Market Size in terms of Annual Installed Capacity in Megawatt, 2011-2015 Table 9: Germany Population Trend in Million, 2006-2015 Table 10: Germany Gross Domestic Product in USD Billion, 2006-2015 5
  • 6. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The report titled “Germany Solar Photovoltaic Market Outlook to 2015” provides a comprehensive analysis on various aspects such as On-Grid and Off-Grid Cumulative and Annual Installed Capacity, PV power per capita, market segmentation and competitive landscape of the major players operating in the country. The report also entails the SWOT analysis of solar PV market in Germany. The future outlook presented the base case, conservative case and aggressive case scenario factor analysis providing an insight on the prospects in the solar PV cumulative and annual installed capacity for the country. The report also includes the cause and effect relationship among the various industry factors prevailing in the German solar PV market. Germany is the largest solar photovoltaic market in the world in terms of installed PV capacity. It has the highest conversion rate i.e. conversion of solar power into electricity in comparison to other countries across the globe. The various technologies used in generation of PV are wafer based, thin film and organic PV. The country is home to various companies operating in this sector, numerous developers, integrators and installers. Since the market is very competitive in respect to the number of installers in the country, the price of the installation is the cheapest around the globe. Funding from private banks as well as various rules and regulations initiated by the government support the growth of the PV technology in the country. In the year 2000, Renewable Energy Act was introduced in which feed-in-tariffs and other incentives helped in encouraging the growth of the PV sector. In 2001, the cumulative solar PV installed capacity was 195 MW which increased to 5,979 MW in 2008. In 2009, Germany represented over 40% of the worldwide market share, making it the largest solar energy market. In 2009, the PV energy output increased to 9,785 MW. The power generated from solar photovoltaic technology has also registered a considerable growth in the country. Although the power generation using photovoltaic technologies is still expensive as compared to other sources, it is expected that the learning curve will become more convex over a period of time with the innovation in technology and with the achievement of economies of scale. The power generation has increased from 2,220 GWh in 2006 to 6,578 GWh in 2009. During the period from 2006-2009, the solar photovoltaic power generation increased at a high CAGR of 43.6%. The requirement for PV installation is mostly in the commercial/industrial sector which represents a major chunk of installations in the country. The commercial and industrial applications contributed 68% of the total installations in 2010. Ground mounted is the second 6
  • 7. largest type of PV installations with the market share of 19% followed by the installations in the residential sector. Residential installation represents 13% of the total installed capacity in 2010 in the country. Under the base case scenario, the market is expected to improve the conversion rate and the decline in the cost of equipment such as solar modules/panels will offset the tariff cuts resulting in an average growth trend for the industry. The cumulative installations, in this case, are expected to reach to ~ MW by 2015. KEY TOPICS COVERED IN THE REPORT • The feed-in-tariffs introduced in the country and their effect on the solar PV market • The annual and cumulative PV installations along with PV power per capita in the country from 2006-2010 • Future Outlook on the basis of assumed scenarios i.e. base case, worst case and aggressive case on cumulative installed capacity, annual installed capacity and PV power per capita, from 2011-2015 • SWOT analysis of the solar PV industry and Macro Economic Environment in the country • Competitive Landscape of the various players operating in the country. 7