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Financing Renewable Energy


    Session 1

    Colin McNaught
Aim

 Introduction of main finance options and key concepts

 How finance options shape a project

 Increase your fluency in finance matters

      In short: How would you like to pay for that?




                                                         2
Scope




 Focus is on renewable energy
 – Solar, Wind, Hydro, Biomass etc.
 – Investment up to around £10 million:
     Wind: Up to 7 MW
     Solar: Up to 6 MW (small projects)
     Hydro: Up to 3 MW
 Key concepts also apply to energy efficiency

                                                3
My Background

 Energy sector experience over 20 years

 Energy efficiency, CHP & renewables

 Financial models for wind, solar, anaerobic
 digestion

 Background in engineering – so presenting
 finance from a different perspective



                                               4
Your Background

  Renewable Energy?


  Internal Finance?


  External Finance?


  Mortgage?




                      5
Agenda for Part 1

 The Drivers – why invest and finance a project?

 Risk and Reward

 Finance Options

 Decision Tree




                                                   6
Types of Drivers

 Reduce energy bills

 Invest capital and generate financial returns

 Reduce greenhouse gas emissions

 Improve corporate image

 Enhance energy security

 Address fuel poverty
                                                 7
See Copy of Guide: Page 4
Motivation     Main benefits                   Influence on the set up of the project
                                               Finance option which maximises and retains the value of energy
               Reduction in energy bills       generation potential should be selected.
Energy bills   Hedging against future rises    Finance must be set up so that developers can use the energy for their
               in energy costs                 own use.
                                               Projects that supply onsite energy demand will inherently offer this.
                                               Finance option which maximises the rate of return on investment
               Financial returns               should be selected.
Investment
returns        Greater rate of return than     Different financing options and choices of incentive should be explored
               investment in core activities   to determine the option that maximises such returns, without incurring
                                               significant risks.
                                               The selected finance option, and any incentives claimed, will need to
Greenhouse     Reduction in greenhouse gas     allow the carbon value of the renewable energy generated to be
gas            emissions                       claimed.
emissions      Reduction in carbon footprint   Energy from waste or biomass electricity projects that recover heat as
                                               well as generate electricity may offer this.
                                               Finance option needs to allow the developer sufficient control over real
               Improved public perception of   or perceived environmental risks.
Corporate
               environmental values of the     Finance should be setup so that local benefits are easily discernible
image
               organisation                    and communicated in an appropriate manner.
                                               Wind or solar PV projects may provide this opportunity.
               Reduction in dependence on      If energy security required on site, systems should be engineered so
               fossil fuels and electricity    that they can operate without a grid supply. This will add capital costs
Energy         supplies                        and should be weighed against the cost of energy supply interruptions.
Security
               Reduction of UK imports of      For biomass and energy from waste this will require on site storage of
               energy                          sufficient fuel.
               Energy security for poorer
                                               Finance set up should allow benefits of the project, e.g. lower energy
               communities
Fuel poverty                                   prices or a profit share, to be passed on to the communities in need.
               Reduction in energy costs
                                               For example, the roll out of solar PV to housing stock.
               and impact of price rises



                                                                                                                          8
Types of Drivers

 Reduce energy bills

 Invest capital and generate financial returns

 Reduce greenhouse gas emissions

 Improve corporate image              Most of these
                                      drivers are
                                      based on the
 Enhance energy security              income that
                                      can be
                                      earned
 Address fuel poverty
                                                      9
Income from renewables

 Feed in Tariff (FIT)
    Electricity systems up to 5 MW
    Solar PV, Wind, Hydro, Anaerobic Digestion…
    Tariff for 20 years
    Inflation indexed once registered
    But reduces for new schemes in future years
    Export tariff




                                                   10
Income from renewables

 Feed in Tariff – Non domestic schemes   (since April 2010)




                                                              11
Current FIT     Technology    Band (kW)    Tariff (p/kWh)
                                   ≤15            21
Subject to                       15-≤100         19.6
                Hydro           100-≤500         15.5
change
                               500-≤2000         12.1
depending
                              2000-≤5000         4.48
on rate of                         ≤1.5           21
market                          >1.5-≤15          21
growth                          >15-≤100          21
                Wind
                               >100-≤500         17.5
Solar PV                      >500-≤1500         9.5
needs to be                  >1500-≤5000         4.48
on a building                       ≤4          15.44
with an EPC                       >4-≤10        13.99
of D or                          >10-≤50        13.03
better to       Solar
                                >50-≤100         11.5
earn > 7.1 p                   >100-≤150         11.5
                               >150-≤250          11
                              >250-≤5000         7.1
                              Standalone         7.1
                Export              All          4.5




                                                            12
Income from renewables

 Renewable Heat Incentive (RHI)
  Heat systems
  Biomass, Ground Source Heat Pumps, Solar
   thermal...
  Tariff for 20 years
  Inflation indexed




                                              13
Current RHI   Technology             Band (kWth)        Tariff (p/kWh)
                                      ≤200 Tier 1              8.3
Tier 1:                               ≤200 Tier 2              2.1
              Commercial
< 1314                            > 200 < 1000 Tier 1          5.1
              Biomass
hours full                        > 200 < 1000 Tier 2          2.1
                                        > 1000                 1.0
load
                Ground Source            ≤100                  4.7
                  Heat Pumps             > 100                 3.4
Tier 2:
                 Solar Thermal             all                 8.9
> 1314
              Biomethane/biogas            all                 7.1
hours




                                                                         14
Income from renewables

 RHI – Non domestic schemes   (since Dec 2011)




                                                 15
Risk & Reward

 Risk increases the cost of finance, restricts the
 options for finance and adds to the cost of
 obtaining finance.
 Identifying and managing risk will improve all
 these finance issues.
 Risk management may involve a partnership
 approach.




                                                     16
Types of Risk

 Financial risks, capital costs, energy prices,
 credit risks and inflation
 Development risks, the costs of undertaking
 feasibility and the risk of planning
 Construction risks, construction costs and long
 lead in times
 Technology risks, particularly around efficiency
 and reliability of the technology
 Operational risks, operational and maintenance
 costs, fuel availability
 Policy risks, changes to renewable energy policy
 and incentive structures = investment returns
                                                    17
Risk            Description
                            Capital costs higher than budget
See Copy                    Operational costs higher than budget (including maintenance, interest rates and insurance)
                            Cost of finance higher than expected
of Guide:   Economic /
                            Borrowing conditions breached and associated risks

Page 5
                            Risks associated with energy price fluctuations
            Financial
                            Carbon prices reduce
                            New competitors in the market
                            Rate of inflation
                            Currency risks (if cross-border projects, or if purchasing components in other currencies)
                            Cost of resource assessment and feasibility studies
                            Cost of environmental impact studies, EIA reports etc.
                            Cost of grid connection assessments
            Development
                            Planning time longer – delay in generation income / possible lower incentive value received
                            Failure to gain planning consent
                            Development partners disagree and part company
                            Planning consent requires cost to comply with conditions
                            Construction costs higher than budget
            Construction
                            Construction time longer, delaying income from generation
                            Connection to energy networks delayed
                            Costs of impact assessment (often a legal requirement) higher than budgeted
            Environmental
                            Issues identified during impact assessment delay or prevent project development
            / social
                            Costs of mitigation actions higher than budgeted
                            Technology less efficient than predicted, so less energy produced
            Technology
                            Technology less reliable than expected, less energy produced and higher maintenance costs
                            Renewable energy resource is lower than predicted (e.g. lower wind speed)
                            Access to site prevents repair or maintenance
                            Replacement parts required
                            Delays in supply or installation of spare parts
            Operational
                            Fuel costs higher than expected (e.g. biomass fuel costs higher or there is an increase in price of
                            electricity for heat pump projects)
                            Fuel supply problems, (poor quality or interruptions in delivery)
                            Site energy use falls, reducing the value of avoided energy costs
                            Planning requirements changed
                            Capital grants removed or oversubscribed
                            Revenue incentive removed or reduced in value
            Policy
                            Eligibility for capital grants or revenue incentives changed
                            Finance sector regulatory changes, reducing availability, and cost, of finance
                            Tax treatment changed
                                                                                                                                  18
Assessing Risk

 For each type of risk:
  – How could your project be affected?

  – How significant are the impacts?

  – How could you reduce the risks?

  – How could someone else reduce the risks?




                                               19
Financing options
Type          Examples

              –     Internal funding

Own           –     Debt finance
development   –     Equity finance
              –     Leasing

              –     Partnership – majority control
Partnership
              –     Partnership – equal split
structures
              –     Partnership – minority control

              –     Land lease agreements
Third party   –     Service concessions
              –     Energy Service Companies (ESCOs)




                                                       20
Own Development

 Greatest control + Rewards + Risks

 Internal Funding
 – Business Case and internal reviews
 – May not be deemed core business


 External Funding
 – Grants or low cost loans
 – May be incompatible with income from the FIT or
   RHI etc



                                                     21
Own Development

 Debt Finance:
 –   Full ownership of rewards and risks
 –   Likely to be part of capex (so need internal funds)
 –   Added costs of interest payments
 –   Capital repayments
 –   May be step in-rights




                                                           22
Partnership Development

 Many different forms of partnership
 Different structures, benefits and risks

 Majority control
  – You closely control risks
  – Partners bring niche skills or assets


 Minority control
  – Driver is not financial – reward share is low
  – Partner controls
  – Can you gain what you hope for without control?

                                                      23
Third Party

 Transfer of almost all aspects
 Best when you lack the skills and capital
 Small income – e.g. land rent




                                             24
Service Concessions

 Useful for the public sector
 Grant a right to develop and exploit a resource
 Often long term (25 years)
 Payments made to public authority
  – (fixed + revenue elements)
 Used for energy from waste contracts and other
 renewables




                                                   25
Choosing an Option

 What are your drivers and expected outcomes?

 Does the arrangement provide these outcomes?

 Which risks are retained?




                                                26
Own Development               Partnership                    Third Party
            Financial risks
See Copy    Rate of inflation / Capital
                                                                            Will depend on which party
of Guide:
            costs / Operational costs /       All risks typically held by                                  All risks typically held by
                                                                            has access to the lowest
            Cost of finance / Borrowing       the developer.                                               the third party.
                                                                            cost of capital.
            conditions
Page 11     Construction risks
                                              All risks typically held by                                  All risks typically held by
            Longer planning time /            the developer.                                               the third party.
                                                                            Will depend on which party
            Planning consent difficulties
                                              Potential to include some     has responsibility for         Potential to include some
            or costs / Construction
                                              risks (e.g. construction      construction of the project.   risks (e.g. construction
            costs / Construction delays
                                              time) in the contracts let.                                  time) in the contracts let.
            Environmental / social risks
            Impact assessment costs /
                                                                            Will depend on which party
            Delays due to impact              All risks typically held by                                  All risks typically held by
                                                                            has responsibility for
            assessment / Costs of             the developer.                                               the third party.
                                                                            construction of the project.
            mitigation
            Technology risks

                                              All risks typically held by   Will depend on the setup       All risks typically held by
                                              the developer.                arrangements for the           the third party.
                                                                            project. Who has the
            Lower technology efficiency       Potential to manage these     experience of the              Potential to manage these
            / Lower technology                through warranty with the     technology and the             through warranty with the
            reliability                       equipment supplier and        allocation of benefits (in     equipment supplier and
                                              through performance           terms of energy savings        through performance
                                              contracts with the            and revenue streams from       contracts with the
                                              equipment supplier.           generation)?                   equipment supplier.

            Operational risks
            Lower levels of resource /                                      Will depend on which party
            Repair or maintenance                                           has responsibility for
            issues or delays / Higher         All risks typically held by   construction of the project,   All risks typically held by
            fuel costs / Lower site           the developer.                as well as on the setup        the third party.
            energy use falls / Carbon                                       arrangements for allocation
            prices / Market competition                                     of benefits.
            Policy risks
            Planning requirements                                           Policy risks are out of the    All risks typically held by
            changed                                                         hands of the developer or a    the third party.
            Changes in requirements or        All risks typically held by   third party. Neither can
                                              the developer.                manage these. So,              Some tax benefits for the
            eligibility for: Capital grants
                                                                            appropriate to share these     third party – e.g. enhanced
            / Revenue incentives / Tax
                                                                            risks.                         capital allowances.
            treatment

                                                                                                                                         27
Sources of Finance

 Two main options – but many variants

 On Balance Sheet:
  – Part of normal activities of the organisation


 Off Balance Sheet:
  – Separate company who owns the asset




                                                    28
On Balance Sheet

 Balance Sheet Debt
  – Usually through a bank as a loan
  – Banks have the first claim on the assets of a
    business (senior debt).
  – Bank loans are lower risk = lower returns
  – Two main types of bank debt:
      Non recourse
      Recourse




                                                    29
On Balance Sheet

 Non recourse debt:
  – Loan is secured on the value & income of the asset
  – Bank focuses on the value and income of the asset
        Will it perform? Will it break down?
  –   Added scrutiny on the asset
  –   Not as suitable for higher risk projects
  –   Lender will limit the risk e.g. 75% debt
  –   Fixed at outset, all consents etc. needed
  –   Often needs special purpose company
  –   Higher costs to set up
  –   Typically larger projects (> £25 million)


                                                         30
On Balance Sheet

 Recourse debt:
  –   Loan is secured by the borrower
  –   Bank focuses on the credit status of the borrower
  –   May suit higher risk projects
  –   May not suit borrowers with high levels of existing
      borrowing




                                                            31
Practical example

 Non recourse finance
  – Large wind investments typically need 1 year of on
    site wind measurements + detailed analysis
  – Cautious use of wind data
  – Adds to development cost
  – Adds to development timescale
  – May miss higher incentives


 Recourse finance
  – Farmers securing loan for 1 MW wind turbines
    against the farm
  – No met mast = saving 18 months + costs
                                                         32
Lessons from Non Recourse

 The tests are tougher because they are external

 Debt Service Cover Ratio: The operating cash
 flow compared to the debt payments?
  – Aim for at least 1.3 : 1 in any operating year


 Loan Life Cover Ratio: The operating cash flow
 compared to the debt payments over the entire
 term of the loan?
  – Aim for at least 1:5 : 1



                                                     33
Lessons from Non Recourse

 Debt Service Reserve: The cash kept to cover
 debt payments:
  – In Project Finance – typically 6 months debt
    payments

 Maintenance Service Reserve: The cash kept to
 cover maintenance:
  – Often at least 3 months


 P90 output: The output which will be exceeded
 90% of the time.


                                                   34
Output and Cash Flow

 Three hydro schemes in Argyll




 Use bank thinking in the business case

                                          35
Balance Sheet Equity

 Raise funds by creating and selling new shares

 Shareholders gain via:
  – A share of the operating profits (dividends)
  – Capital value in price of shares
  – Must be possible to sell share – all investors need
    an exit strategy




                                                          36
Mezzanine loans

 Think of buildings = Half way between bank debt
 and equity
 Can take higher risk
 Do not have highest call on assets
 Short duration
 Higher cost
 Used to fill a funding gap
 Replaced with lower cost finance once risks
 reduced?



                                                   37
How much will finance
cost?
     Guide Page 14
                                  Debt                                      Equity

                    Bank Senior      Bank Mezzanine                    Infrastructure
Type of finance                                       Pension Funds*                    Private Equity*
                    Debt             Debt*                             Funds*
                    Proven           Demonstrator /                    Proven
Type of risk        technology       proven           Proven           technology       Demonstrator
typically taken     Established      technology       technology       Private          technology
                    companies        New Companies                     companies
Typical level of
return expected
by the various      ~5.5% to 6%      ~7.5% to 10%     ~15% IRR         ~7% IRR          ~35% IRR
types of lender /
investor**



  Only an indication:
• Your project, your risks, your security, all
  influence the cost
                                                                                                          38
Guide Page 15: Decision Tree




                               39
QUESTIONS PLEASE


                   40
BREAK


        41
Financing Renewable Energy


    Session 2

    Colin McNaught
Agenda for Part 2

 Illustrations of the income and finance options for
 a renewable energy projects

 More on incentives

 Short case studies

 Short exercise




                                                       43
Own Development

 Risks
 –   Planning risk – upfront costs / 60% failure rate
 –   Requirement for equity can be as high as 30%
 –   Understanding project finance
 –   Selecting bankable technology –big issue under FIT
 Benefits
 – ‘Guaranteed’ income stream from electricity
   generation – regardless of use
 – Energy Security – Generation of your own
   electricity for use on site



                                                          44
Debt example

 Single Enercon E-48 0.8MW Wind Turbine
 Bank provided Debt by way of :
 –   Stage Payment facility
 –   Term Loan
 –   Working Capital facility
 –   VAT bridge




                                          45
Debt example        (cont’d)




 45 Documents to sign including :
 – Banking documents
 – Turbine Supply & Maintenance documents
 – Land / Lease documents
 – Grid Connection documents
 – Planning documents (Section 75) /
   Decommissioning Bond
 – Insurance documents
 – Civils construction documents




                                            46
Debt example         (cont’d)




 18 weeks to reach financial close
 3 sets of lawyers (Bank, SPV and Landowners)
 18 different Parties Involved
 – Lawyers, Accountants, Technical Advisors,
   Insurance Advisors, PPA off takers, Turbine
   Suppliers, Civil Engineering Companies, Grid
   Connection provider, Project Manager /Planning
   Consultants, Wind Report Assessors.
 Turbine/ project performance to be monitored
 continually

 Which type of debt finance is this?
                                                    47
Project Finance Example

 Bank will typically lend 70% - 90% of the project
 cost (dependant on technology )
 Landowner will need to invest the remainder
 Term of up to 15 years
 Lend of between £1m and £25m
 Lent against the forecast future cash flows
 Bank will require legal, technical, financial and
 insurance overview
 These costs to be met by the SPV – part of equity
 investment


                                                     48
More on Incentives

 FIT & RHI – Covered in Part 1

 Renewables Obligation – generally for projects >
 5 MW

 CCL – Renewables is exempt worth £4.85/MWh
 for electricity

 CRC – Can be avoided – but better to claim FIT



                                                    49
More on Incentives

 EU-ETS – Large sites only, renewable heat would
 avoid purchase of fossil fuel and need fewer EU-
 ETS allowances

 CCA – Larger sites – Cant claim if earn FIT or RHI

 Public Capital Grants – Cant claim FIT or RHI
  – Some expenditure is eligible (development, heating
    network)
  – Private sector grants are OK



                                                         50
More on Incentives

 Enhanced Capital Allowances – a benefit against
 corporation tax paid. Not available if FIT or RHI is
 earned

 Business rate relief – Stepped by scheme size,
 100% relief for small schemes, to 2.5%




                                                        51
Example

 300 kW wind turbine

 27% load factor = 710 MWh pa

 372 tonnes CO2 pa

 Capex £450k

 Operating & Maintenance £13.2k



                                  52
Example

 Interest of 6.5% pa

 Deprecation of 10%

 Corporation tax 30%




                       53
Example – Scenario 1

 Earn CRC at £12/tonne

 CRC worth £4.4k
 Electricity used on site worth £64k

 Payback in year 14
 IRR 9.6%




                                       54
Example – Scenario 2

 Earn FIT at 17.5p/kWh + 3.1p export*

 FIT worth £124k
 Export worth £22k

 Payback in year 6
 IRR 25.2%


           * Guide and its examples were drafted when
           export tariff was 3.1 – this is now higher at 4.5p


                                                                55
Example – Scenario 4

 Earn FIT at 17.5p/kWh + 9 p/kWh on site use

 FIT worth £124k
 On site use worth £64k

 Payback in year 5
 IRR 38.9%




                                               56
Guide Page 22
                              Scenario 1   Scenario 2   Scenario 3   Scenario 4

Electricity used on site        100%          0%           40%         100%
Electricity exported             0%          100%          30%          0%
Electricity wheeled              0%           0%           40%          0%
CRC savings                    £4,467          -            -            -
Electricity savings on site    £63,860         -         £25,544      £63,860
FIT                               -        £124,173     £124,173     £124,173
Export                            -         £21,996      £6,599          -
Extra for Wheeling                -            -         £20,455         -
Exempt Services                   -            -         -£1,500
Total revenue (Year 1)         £68,327     £146,169     £175,271     £188,033
Payback by:                    Year 14       Year 6       Year 5       Year 5
IRR                             9.6%         25.2%        30.5%        32.9%
NPV                           £104,875     £727,786     £957,422     £1,058,483
ROI                             12.3%        29.5%        36.0%        38.9%




                                                                                  57
Finance Options

 Own Development (as per Scenarios 1 to 4)

 Partnership 50:50

 Third Party: Land lease:
  – £3,200/MW + 6% of electricity sales




                                             58
Guide Page 23

                                                                Partnership               Land lease
                                  Own development with
                                                         development with 50-50     arrangement with third
                                      debt finance
                                                         split of risk and reward       party developer
Annual turbine output                   710 MWh                 710 MWh                   710 MWh
FIT value (generation & export)        £206/MWh                £206/MWh                   £206/MWh
FIT                                     £124,173                 £62,087                      -
Export                                  £21,996                  £10,998                      -
Land rent per MW                           -                        -                      £3,200
Percentage of electricity sales            -                        -                        6%
Land rental income                         -                        -                      £13,673
Total revenue (Year 1)                  £146,169                 £73,085                   £13,673
Payback by:                              Year 6                  Year 6                      N/A
IRR                                      25.2%                   25.2%                       N/A
NPV                                     £727,786                £363,893                     N/A
ROI                                      29.5%                   29.5%                       N/A




                                                                                                             59
Worked Example

 Company plans to build a 1 MW wind turbine on
 their warehouse site costing £1.5 million
 Expect to generate 2,600 MWh pa.
 The relevant FIT is 9.5 p/kWh generated
 The export tariff is 4.5 p/kWh generated
 Operation costs are 1.7 p/kWh generated
 They are offered a finance on 75%:25% debt
 equity basis at 7% pa.


                                                 60
Knowledge Review

 How much did they borrow?

 What was the annual interest payment?

 How much income (£/yr) from the FIT is due?

 What is the net annual income?




                                               61
Knowledge Review

  How much did they borrow?
   – £1.125 million (75% x £1.5 million)
  What was the annual interest payment?
   – £78.8k pa (7% x £1.25 million)
  How much income (£/yr) from the FIT is due?
   – £247k pa (9.5 p/kWh x 2,600,000 kWh)
  What is the net annual income?
   – (FIT + Export – Interest – O&M)
   – (£247k + £117k) – (£78.8k + £44.2k)
   – (£364k) –(£123k) = £241k


NB this is a Simple Example which did not include:
• Repayments, Insurance, Business rates, Land rent , P90
  Output etc.                                              62
Further Resources

 Co-operative Bank; project case studies
 Financing renewable energy projects; A guide for
 developers
 Financing Renewable Energy Projects for Farmers
 Private Financing of Renewable Energy; A Guide
 for Policymakers
 West Midlands Local Authority Low Carbon
 Economy Programme; Local authority funding
 guide
 Scottish Future Trust; Report on the Commercial
 Aspects of Local Authority Renewable Energy
 Production
                                                    63
Questions

3.5



 3



2.5



 2



1.5



 1



0.5



 0
 00:00   02:00   04:00   06:00   08:00   10:00   12:00   14:00   16:00   18:00   20:00   22:00
T: 0870 190 6191
E: colin.mcnaught@aeat.co.uk




                               65

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Finance for renewable energy

  • 1. Financing Renewable Energy Session 1 Colin McNaught
  • 2. Aim Introduction of main finance options and key concepts How finance options shape a project Increase your fluency in finance matters In short: How would you like to pay for that? 2
  • 3. Scope Focus is on renewable energy – Solar, Wind, Hydro, Biomass etc. – Investment up to around £10 million:  Wind: Up to 7 MW  Solar: Up to 6 MW (small projects)  Hydro: Up to 3 MW Key concepts also apply to energy efficiency 3
  • 4. My Background Energy sector experience over 20 years Energy efficiency, CHP & renewables Financial models for wind, solar, anaerobic digestion Background in engineering – so presenting finance from a different perspective 4
  • 5. Your Background Renewable Energy? Internal Finance? External Finance? Mortgage? 5
  • 6. Agenda for Part 1 The Drivers – why invest and finance a project? Risk and Reward Finance Options Decision Tree 6
  • 7. Types of Drivers Reduce energy bills Invest capital and generate financial returns Reduce greenhouse gas emissions Improve corporate image Enhance energy security Address fuel poverty 7
  • 8. See Copy of Guide: Page 4 Motivation Main benefits Influence on the set up of the project Finance option which maximises and retains the value of energy Reduction in energy bills generation potential should be selected. Energy bills Hedging against future rises Finance must be set up so that developers can use the energy for their in energy costs own use. Projects that supply onsite energy demand will inherently offer this. Finance option which maximises the rate of return on investment Financial returns should be selected. Investment returns Greater rate of return than Different financing options and choices of incentive should be explored investment in core activities to determine the option that maximises such returns, without incurring significant risks. The selected finance option, and any incentives claimed, will need to Greenhouse Reduction in greenhouse gas allow the carbon value of the renewable energy generated to be gas emissions claimed. emissions Reduction in carbon footprint Energy from waste or biomass electricity projects that recover heat as well as generate electricity may offer this. Finance option needs to allow the developer sufficient control over real Improved public perception of or perceived environmental risks. Corporate environmental values of the Finance should be setup so that local benefits are easily discernible image organisation and communicated in an appropriate manner. Wind or solar PV projects may provide this opportunity. Reduction in dependence on If energy security required on site, systems should be engineered so fossil fuels and electricity that they can operate without a grid supply. This will add capital costs Energy supplies and should be weighed against the cost of energy supply interruptions. Security Reduction of UK imports of For biomass and energy from waste this will require on site storage of energy sufficient fuel. Energy security for poorer Finance set up should allow benefits of the project, e.g. lower energy communities Fuel poverty prices or a profit share, to be passed on to the communities in need. Reduction in energy costs For example, the roll out of solar PV to housing stock. and impact of price rises 8
  • 9. Types of Drivers Reduce energy bills Invest capital and generate financial returns Reduce greenhouse gas emissions Improve corporate image Most of these drivers are based on the Enhance energy security income that can be earned Address fuel poverty 9
  • 10. Income from renewables Feed in Tariff (FIT)  Electricity systems up to 5 MW  Solar PV, Wind, Hydro, Anaerobic Digestion…  Tariff for 20 years  Inflation indexed once registered  But reduces for new schemes in future years  Export tariff 10
  • 11. Income from renewables Feed in Tariff – Non domestic schemes (since April 2010) 11
  • 12. Current FIT Technology Band (kW) Tariff (p/kWh) ≤15 21 Subject to 15-≤100 19.6 Hydro 100-≤500 15.5 change 500-≤2000 12.1 depending 2000-≤5000 4.48 on rate of ≤1.5 21 market >1.5-≤15 21 growth >15-≤100 21 Wind >100-≤500 17.5 Solar PV >500-≤1500 9.5 needs to be >1500-≤5000 4.48 on a building ≤4 15.44 with an EPC >4-≤10 13.99 of D or >10-≤50 13.03 better to Solar >50-≤100 11.5 earn > 7.1 p >100-≤150 11.5 >150-≤250 11 >250-≤5000 7.1 Standalone 7.1 Export All 4.5 12
  • 13. Income from renewables Renewable Heat Incentive (RHI)  Heat systems  Biomass, Ground Source Heat Pumps, Solar thermal...  Tariff for 20 years  Inflation indexed 13
  • 14. Current RHI Technology Band (kWth) Tariff (p/kWh) ≤200 Tier 1 8.3 Tier 1: ≤200 Tier 2 2.1 Commercial < 1314 > 200 < 1000 Tier 1 5.1 Biomass hours full > 200 < 1000 Tier 2 2.1 > 1000 1.0 load Ground Source ≤100 4.7 Heat Pumps > 100 3.4 Tier 2: Solar Thermal all 8.9 > 1314 Biomethane/biogas all 7.1 hours 14
  • 15. Income from renewables RHI – Non domestic schemes (since Dec 2011) 15
  • 16. Risk & Reward Risk increases the cost of finance, restricts the options for finance and adds to the cost of obtaining finance. Identifying and managing risk will improve all these finance issues. Risk management may involve a partnership approach. 16
  • 17. Types of Risk Financial risks, capital costs, energy prices, credit risks and inflation Development risks, the costs of undertaking feasibility and the risk of planning Construction risks, construction costs and long lead in times Technology risks, particularly around efficiency and reliability of the technology Operational risks, operational and maintenance costs, fuel availability Policy risks, changes to renewable energy policy and incentive structures = investment returns 17
  • 18. Risk Description Capital costs higher than budget See Copy Operational costs higher than budget (including maintenance, interest rates and insurance) Cost of finance higher than expected of Guide: Economic / Borrowing conditions breached and associated risks Page 5 Risks associated with energy price fluctuations Financial Carbon prices reduce New competitors in the market Rate of inflation Currency risks (if cross-border projects, or if purchasing components in other currencies) Cost of resource assessment and feasibility studies Cost of environmental impact studies, EIA reports etc. Cost of grid connection assessments Development Planning time longer – delay in generation income / possible lower incentive value received Failure to gain planning consent Development partners disagree and part company Planning consent requires cost to comply with conditions Construction costs higher than budget Construction Construction time longer, delaying income from generation Connection to energy networks delayed Costs of impact assessment (often a legal requirement) higher than budgeted Environmental Issues identified during impact assessment delay or prevent project development / social Costs of mitigation actions higher than budgeted Technology less efficient than predicted, so less energy produced Technology Technology less reliable than expected, less energy produced and higher maintenance costs Renewable energy resource is lower than predicted (e.g. lower wind speed) Access to site prevents repair or maintenance Replacement parts required Delays in supply or installation of spare parts Operational Fuel costs higher than expected (e.g. biomass fuel costs higher or there is an increase in price of electricity for heat pump projects) Fuel supply problems, (poor quality or interruptions in delivery) Site energy use falls, reducing the value of avoided energy costs Planning requirements changed Capital grants removed or oversubscribed Revenue incentive removed or reduced in value Policy Eligibility for capital grants or revenue incentives changed Finance sector regulatory changes, reducing availability, and cost, of finance Tax treatment changed 18
  • 19. Assessing Risk For each type of risk: – How could your project be affected? – How significant are the impacts? – How could you reduce the risks? – How could someone else reduce the risks? 19
  • 20. Financing options Type Examples – Internal funding Own – Debt finance development – Equity finance – Leasing – Partnership – majority control Partnership – Partnership – equal split structures – Partnership – minority control – Land lease agreements Third party – Service concessions – Energy Service Companies (ESCOs) 20
  • 21. Own Development Greatest control + Rewards + Risks Internal Funding – Business Case and internal reviews – May not be deemed core business External Funding – Grants or low cost loans – May be incompatible with income from the FIT or RHI etc 21
  • 22. Own Development Debt Finance: – Full ownership of rewards and risks – Likely to be part of capex (so need internal funds) – Added costs of interest payments – Capital repayments – May be step in-rights 22
  • 23. Partnership Development Many different forms of partnership Different structures, benefits and risks Majority control – You closely control risks – Partners bring niche skills or assets Minority control – Driver is not financial – reward share is low – Partner controls – Can you gain what you hope for without control? 23
  • 24. Third Party Transfer of almost all aspects Best when you lack the skills and capital Small income – e.g. land rent 24
  • 25. Service Concessions Useful for the public sector Grant a right to develop and exploit a resource Often long term (25 years) Payments made to public authority – (fixed + revenue elements) Used for energy from waste contracts and other renewables 25
  • 26. Choosing an Option What are your drivers and expected outcomes? Does the arrangement provide these outcomes? Which risks are retained? 26
  • 27. Own Development Partnership Third Party Financial risks See Copy Rate of inflation / Capital Will depend on which party of Guide: costs / Operational costs / All risks typically held by All risks typically held by has access to the lowest Cost of finance / Borrowing the developer. the third party. cost of capital. conditions Page 11 Construction risks All risks typically held by All risks typically held by Longer planning time / the developer. the third party. Will depend on which party Planning consent difficulties Potential to include some has responsibility for Potential to include some or costs / Construction risks (e.g. construction construction of the project. risks (e.g. construction costs / Construction delays time) in the contracts let. time) in the contracts let. Environmental / social risks Impact assessment costs / Will depend on which party Delays due to impact All risks typically held by All risks typically held by has responsibility for assessment / Costs of the developer. the third party. construction of the project. mitigation Technology risks All risks typically held by Will depend on the setup All risks typically held by the developer. arrangements for the the third party. project. Who has the Lower technology efficiency Potential to manage these experience of the Potential to manage these / Lower technology through warranty with the technology and the through warranty with the reliability equipment supplier and allocation of benefits (in equipment supplier and through performance terms of energy savings through performance contracts with the and revenue streams from contracts with the equipment supplier. generation)? equipment supplier. Operational risks Lower levels of resource / Will depend on which party Repair or maintenance has responsibility for issues or delays / Higher All risks typically held by construction of the project, All risks typically held by fuel costs / Lower site the developer. as well as on the setup the third party. energy use falls / Carbon arrangements for allocation prices / Market competition of benefits. Policy risks Planning requirements Policy risks are out of the All risks typically held by changed hands of the developer or a the third party. Changes in requirements or All risks typically held by third party. Neither can the developer. manage these. So, Some tax benefits for the eligibility for: Capital grants appropriate to share these third party – e.g. enhanced / Revenue incentives / Tax risks. capital allowances. treatment 27
  • 28. Sources of Finance Two main options – but many variants On Balance Sheet: – Part of normal activities of the organisation Off Balance Sheet: – Separate company who owns the asset 28
  • 29. On Balance Sheet Balance Sheet Debt – Usually through a bank as a loan – Banks have the first claim on the assets of a business (senior debt). – Bank loans are lower risk = lower returns – Two main types of bank debt:  Non recourse  Recourse 29
  • 30. On Balance Sheet Non recourse debt: – Loan is secured on the value & income of the asset – Bank focuses on the value and income of the asset  Will it perform? Will it break down? – Added scrutiny on the asset – Not as suitable for higher risk projects – Lender will limit the risk e.g. 75% debt – Fixed at outset, all consents etc. needed – Often needs special purpose company – Higher costs to set up – Typically larger projects (> £25 million) 30
  • 31. On Balance Sheet Recourse debt: – Loan is secured by the borrower – Bank focuses on the credit status of the borrower – May suit higher risk projects – May not suit borrowers with high levels of existing borrowing 31
  • 32. Practical example Non recourse finance – Large wind investments typically need 1 year of on site wind measurements + detailed analysis – Cautious use of wind data – Adds to development cost – Adds to development timescale – May miss higher incentives Recourse finance – Farmers securing loan for 1 MW wind turbines against the farm – No met mast = saving 18 months + costs 32
  • 33. Lessons from Non Recourse The tests are tougher because they are external Debt Service Cover Ratio: The operating cash flow compared to the debt payments? – Aim for at least 1.3 : 1 in any operating year Loan Life Cover Ratio: The operating cash flow compared to the debt payments over the entire term of the loan? – Aim for at least 1:5 : 1 33
  • 34. Lessons from Non Recourse Debt Service Reserve: The cash kept to cover debt payments: – In Project Finance – typically 6 months debt payments Maintenance Service Reserve: The cash kept to cover maintenance: – Often at least 3 months P90 output: The output which will be exceeded 90% of the time. 34
  • 35. Output and Cash Flow Three hydro schemes in Argyll Use bank thinking in the business case 35
  • 36. Balance Sheet Equity Raise funds by creating and selling new shares Shareholders gain via: – A share of the operating profits (dividends) – Capital value in price of shares – Must be possible to sell share – all investors need an exit strategy 36
  • 37. Mezzanine loans Think of buildings = Half way between bank debt and equity Can take higher risk Do not have highest call on assets Short duration Higher cost Used to fill a funding gap Replaced with lower cost finance once risks reduced? 37
  • 38. How much will finance cost? Guide Page 14 Debt Equity Bank Senior Bank Mezzanine Infrastructure Type of finance Pension Funds* Private Equity* Debt Debt* Funds* Proven Demonstrator / Proven Type of risk technology proven Proven technology Demonstrator typically taken Established technology technology Private technology companies New Companies companies Typical level of return expected by the various ~5.5% to 6% ~7.5% to 10% ~15% IRR ~7% IRR ~35% IRR types of lender / investor** Only an indication: • Your project, your risks, your security, all influence the cost 38
  • 39. Guide Page 15: Decision Tree 39
  • 41. BREAK 41
  • 42. Financing Renewable Energy Session 2 Colin McNaught
  • 43. Agenda for Part 2 Illustrations of the income and finance options for a renewable energy projects More on incentives Short case studies Short exercise 43
  • 44. Own Development Risks – Planning risk – upfront costs / 60% failure rate – Requirement for equity can be as high as 30% – Understanding project finance – Selecting bankable technology –big issue under FIT Benefits – ‘Guaranteed’ income stream from electricity generation – regardless of use – Energy Security – Generation of your own electricity for use on site 44
  • 45. Debt example Single Enercon E-48 0.8MW Wind Turbine Bank provided Debt by way of : – Stage Payment facility – Term Loan – Working Capital facility – VAT bridge 45
  • 46. Debt example (cont’d) 45 Documents to sign including : – Banking documents – Turbine Supply & Maintenance documents – Land / Lease documents – Grid Connection documents – Planning documents (Section 75) / Decommissioning Bond – Insurance documents – Civils construction documents 46
  • 47. Debt example (cont’d) 18 weeks to reach financial close 3 sets of lawyers (Bank, SPV and Landowners) 18 different Parties Involved – Lawyers, Accountants, Technical Advisors, Insurance Advisors, PPA off takers, Turbine Suppliers, Civil Engineering Companies, Grid Connection provider, Project Manager /Planning Consultants, Wind Report Assessors. Turbine/ project performance to be monitored continually Which type of debt finance is this? 47
  • 48. Project Finance Example Bank will typically lend 70% - 90% of the project cost (dependant on technology ) Landowner will need to invest the remainder Term of up to 15 years Lend of between £1m and £25m Lent against the forecast future cash flows Bank will require legal, technical, financial and insurance overview These costs to be met by the SPV – part of equity investment 48
  • 49. More on Incentives FIT & RHI – Covered in Part 1 Renewables Obligation – generally for projects > 5 MW CCL – Renewables is exempt worth £4.85/MWh for electricity CRC – Can be avoided – but better to claim FIT 49
  • 50. More on Incentives EU-ETS – Large sites only, renewable heat would avoid purchase of fossil fuel and need fewer EU- ETS allowances CCA – Larger sites – Cant claim if earn FIT or RHI Public Capital Grants – Cant claim FIT or RHI – Some expenditure is eligible (development, heating network) – Private sector grants are OK 50
  • 51. More on Incentives Enhanced Capital Allowances – a benefit against corporation tax paid. Not available if FIT or RHI is earned Business rate relief – Stepped by scheme size, 100% relief for small schemes, to 2.5% 51
  • 52. Example 300 kW wind turbine 27% load factor = 710 MWh pa 372 tonnes CO2 pa Capex £450k Operating & Maintenance £13.2k 52
  • 53. Example Interest of 6.5% pa Deprecation of 10% Corporation tax 30% 53
  • 54. Example – Scenario 1 Earn CRC at £12/tonne CRC worth £4.4k Electricity used on site worth £64k Payback in year 14 IRR 9.6% 54
  • 55. Example – Scenario 2 Earn FIT at 17.5p/kWh + 3.1p export* FIT worth £124k Export worth £22k Payback in year 6 IRR 25.2% * Guide and its examples were drafted when export tariff was 3.1 – this is now higher at 4.5p 55
  • 56. Example – Scenario 4 Earn FIT at 17.5p/kWh + 9 p/kWh on site use FIT worth £124k On site use worth £64k Payback in year 5 IRR 38.9% 56
  • 57. Guide Page 22 Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3 Scenario 4 Electricity used on site 100% 0% 40% 100% Electricity exported 0% 100% 30% 0% Electricity wheeled 0% 0% 40% 0% CRC savings £4,467 - - - Electricity savings on site £63,860 - £25,544 £63,860 FIT - £124,173 £124,173 £124,173 Export - £21,996 £6,599 - Extra for Wheeling - - £20,455 - Exempt Services - - -£1,500 Total revenue (Year 1) £68,327 £146,169 £175,271 £188,033 Payback by: Year 14 Year 6 Year 5 Year 5 IRR 9.6% 25.2% 30.5% 32.9% NPV £104,875 £727,786 £957,422 £1,058,483 ROI 12.3% 29.5% 36.0% 38.9% 57
  • 58. Finance Options Own Development (as per Scenarios 1 to 4) Partnership 50:50 Third Party: Land lease: – £3,200/MW + 6% of electricity sales 58
  • 59. Guide Page 23 Partnership Land lease Own development with development with 50-50 arrangement with third debt finance split of risk and reward party developer Annual turbine output 710 MWh 710 MWh 710 MWh FIT value (generation & export) £206/MWh £206/MWh £206/MWh FIT £124,173 £62,087 - Export £21,996 £10,998 - Land rent per MW - - £3,200 Percentage of electricity sales - - 6% Land rental income - - £13,673 Total revenue (Year 1) £146,169 £73,085 £13,673 Payback by: Year 6 Year 6 N/A IRR 25.2% 25.2% N/A NPV £727,786 £363,893 N/A ROI 29.5% 29.5% N/A 59
  • 60. Worked Example Company plans to build a 1 MW wind turbine on their warehouse site costing £1.5 million Expect to generate 2,600 MWh pa. The relevant FIT is 9.5 p/kWh generated The export tariff is 4.5 p/kWh generated Operation costs are 1.7 p/kWh generated They are offered a finance on 75%:25% debt equity basis at 7% pa. 60
  • 61. Knowledge Review How much did they borrow? What was the annual interest payment? How much income (£/yr) from the FIT is due? What is the net annual income? 61
  • 62. Knowledge Review How much did they borrow? – £1.125 million (75% x £1.5 million) What was the annual interest payment? – £78.8k pa (7% x £1.25 million) How much income (£/yr) from the FIT is due? – £247k pa (9.5 p/kWh x 2,600,000 kWh) What is the net annual income? – (FIT + Export – Interest – O&M) – (£247k + £117k) – (£78.8k + £44.2k) – (£364k) –(£123k) = £241k NB this is a Simple Example which did not include: • Repayments, Insurance, Business rates, Land rent , P90 Output etc. 62
  • 63. Further Resources Co-operative Bank; project case studies Financing renewable energy projects; A guide for developers Financing Renewable Energy Projects for Farmers Private Financing of Renewable Energy; A Guide for Policymakers West Midlands Local Authority Low Carbon Economy Programme; Local authority funding guide Scottish Future Trust; Report on the Commercial Aspects of Local Authority Renewable Energy Production 63
  • 64. Questions 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 00:00 02:00 04:00 06:00 08:00 10:00 12:00 14:00 16:00 18:00 20:00 22:00
  • 65. T: 0870 190 6191 E: colin.mcnaught@aeat.co.uk 65