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Web Poll Shows 67% of Web
    Polls are Made Up
(and 103% of Them Don't Even Make Sense)


               Al Sweigart
         http://coffeeghost.net
Ice cream poll:
• Favorite flavor:
Ice cream poll:
• Favorite flavor:
  –Chocolate:
Ice cream poll:
• Favorite flavor:
  –Chocolate: 2
Ice cream poll:
• Favorite flavor:
  –Chocolate: 2
  –Vanilla:
Ice cream poll:
• Favorite flavor:
  –Chocolate: 2
  –Vanilla: 700
Ice cream poll:
• Favorite flavor:
  –Chocolate: 2
  –Vanilla: 700

• Results:
Ice cream poll:
• Favorite flavor:
  –Chocolate: 2
  –Vanilla: 700
  –Pat Buchanan: 72,012,495,538,528
• Results:

  –Pat Buchanan
heh heh, whut?
Web polls are horrible.
The malicious reasons web polls suck...
“72 trillion Americans love
  chocolate ice cream.”
“72 trillion Americans love
  chocolate ice cream.”

“You don’t love chocolate ice cream?”
“72 trillion Americans love
  chocolate ice cream.”

“You don’t love chocolate ice cream?”

“TERRORIST.”
(This image represents the bandwagon effect?)
• People who fill out polls want their opinion to
  be publicly counted.
Protection mechanisms:
Protection mechanisms:
• Cookies don’t work.
Protection mechanisms:
• Cookies don’t work.
Protection mechanisms:
• Cookies don’t work.
• Logging IP addresses doesn’t work.
Protection mechanisms:
• Cookies don’t work.
• Logging IP addresses doesn’t work.
 –Bot nets
 –Social sites with lots of like-minded visitors.
You can’t trust the poller.
• It’s trivial for admins to change the votes.
You can’t trust the poller.
• It’s trivial for admins to change the votes.
• There is no such thing as a CREDIBLE
  public web poll.
 –Time Magazine “marble cake” hack.
Time’s most influential person of 2009:
Time’s most influential person of 2009:



             moot
Time’s most influential person of 2009:



             moot?
Sorry.
“I would remind anyone who
  doubts the results that this is an
  Internet poll. Doubting the
  results is kind of the point.”
            Time.com's Entertainment
            section managing editor,
            Josh Tyrangiel
The incompetence reasons web polls suck...
Web polls are not scientific.
• Not a good, representational sample of any
  population…
Web polls are not scientific.
• Not a good, representational sample of any
  population…



                        …except people who
                      have filled out web poll.
Web polls are good because:
Web polls are good because:
• They’re cheap.
Web polls are good because:
• They’re cheap.




                      <cricket chirp>
Web polls are good because:
• They’re cheap.
Not just web polls.
• Reddit, Digg, etc.
• Blog comments.
• Amazon reviews.
• Ebay seller/buyer reputation.
• Wikipedia.
Thanks.
Al Sweigart
al@coffeeghost.net
http://coffeeghost.net

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Nov 09 - Al Sweigart - Web Poll Shows 67% of Web Polls are Made Up (and 103% of Them Don’t Even Make Sense)